3 days ago
Shayne O'Cass's best bets and inside mail for Kembla Grange, Moree on Tuesday
Racenet form analyst Shayne O'Cass provides his best bets and inside mail for Kembla Grange on Tuesday, as well as his tips for Moree.
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KEMBLA TIPS
BEST BET
Race 3 No.1 ANT: Always looked like a 2000m horse and gets his first chance to prove it here.
NEXT BEST
Race 1 No.4 BEAUTY DASH: Blue-blood who has sent out all the rights signs in her trials.
VALUE
Race 5 No.11 DAPPER DANCER: Only win was on Heavy; well-weighted here after the claim.
QUADDIE
Race 4: 1,2,3,11
Race 5: 2,4,7,11
Race 6: 2
Race 7: 3
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Leader/defending title champion Keagan Latham is on 49 Provincial wins this season.
KEMBLA INSIDE MAIL
BEAUTY DASH (4) races in the same colours as Hong Kong idol Beauty Generation. This mare is by I Am Invincible out of a Encosta de Lago mare who is herself out of a Zabeel mare so she's got the pedigree to get somewhere. Trialled three times dating back to July last year and lots to like about all of them. THAIBEEFSALADE (10) has raced here at home 13 times for four placings, sometimes in 'strong' maidens. KOWLOON VICTOR (3) is a fast horse. Market watch advised. BRIDE WARS (5) and the debutante JUST LIKE TILDA (8) are most worthy of support.
BET: BEAUTY DASH (4) to win, exacta 4 to beat 10.
EMPRESS TSARINA (3) is a Russian Revolution filly whose dam is a Canterbury winning half-sister to Mazu and Headway. This Edward O'Rourke trained 3YO was $41 on debut, clocking in an 'even' fourth of seven behind I Am Brave in the opener on Scone Cup day. Drawn well this time and has the race experience now CUBAN RAIN (8) 's best two runs so far have both been here at home The extra 100m now, second-up, could make all the difference to her. Ditto that last bit for the stablemate JAMARNI (9).
BET: EMPRESS TSARINA (3) to win, quinella 3,8.
ANT (1) is by Snitzel out of a half-sister to Appearance but his future lies at the mile and beyond. The Chris Waller gelding has a get back/run on pattern but that could change now that he gets to 2000m. Whatever the case and wherever they ride him, he is crying out for this trip. The same goes for his stablemate SO SUAVE (3) who is of course, the younger brother of Verry Elleegant. Pardon the pun but I have a theory MR CONSPIRACY (16) might run well at this trip.
BET: ANT (1) to win, quinella 1,3, MR CONSPIRACY (16) to place.
OH GOLLY GOSH (11) has finished on the podium at 16 of her 37 starts which is an appealing scenario for each-way punters bearing in mind that she has only won three times. A few points there; one of those wins was on Heavy and she does generally give away headstarts in her races. Nicely weighted. HOT BANDIT (1) is from the in-form Luke Pepper stable. The horse has the highest benchmark rating of all who gets in 3 kgs less thanks to the claim. INVADE AND CONQUER (2) 's best form has been here at home.
BET: OH GOLLY GOSH (11) each-way.
DAPPER DANCER (11) may have only managed one won from 16 starts but it helps that it was on a Heavy track given the conditions on Tuesday. The form guide says he is four starts at Kembla with nothing to show for it but that last run here on May 17 was actually rather good. For the record, the Ron Leemon-trained chestnut finished a length and tail fourth behind Miss Spacegirl who will naturally be awfully hard to beat again. WINNER OF KOWLOON (7) and ONE LAST SHOT (3) are both players in an open race.
BET: DAPPER DANCER (11) each-way, Daily Double 1st Leg 11, 2nd leg 3.
THE PROFESSOR (2) brings together father (trainer) Richard Collett and son (jockey) Jason for the 402nd time. Their current tally is 71 wins and 108 placings. One win and one placing among that total can be attributed to The Professor who has been good in his two runs back this time; just got too far back with big weights each time. EUROMASTER (4) doesn't win often but he doesn't run many bad races. TOKYO QUEEN (6) is a Newcastle winner inside her three starts.
BET: THE PROFESSOR (2) to win, box trifecta 2,4,6,8.
ZARAGOZA (3) is the sixth and last foal of Ramornie winner Jerezana whose prior offspring included Osborne Bulls and Zapateo. A former Godolphin resident himself, Zaragoza has been with the Prices at Kembla for a while and done very well indeed. In fact, he just loves racing in the Illawarra; his record here is 7 starts for three wins and three placings. Ticks a lot of boxes – especially the jockey! CASSIEL (4) rolled a pretty good lot of sprinters at Canterbury first-up. Mitch Beer local SCISSOR ME TIMBERS (6) is an absolute muddie! Eager to see how the market treats CLOSE ENCOUNTER (7) who trialled well the other week.
BET: ZARAGOZA (3) to win, box trifecta 3,4,6,7.
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