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Pakistan records largest drop in default risk among emerging markets
Pakistan records largest drop in default risk among emerging markets

Express Tribune

time11 hours ago

  • Business
  • Express Tribune

Pakistan records largest drop in default risk among emerging markets

Listen to article Pakistan has achieved the world's steepest decline in sovereign default risk over the past year, leading Bloomberg Intelligence's Global Emerging Market (EM) Rankings for credit risk improvement, according to data released by the finance minister's adviser on Saturday. Bloomberg, the international financial information and media firm, has described Pakistan as the most improved economy in terms of reducing default risk. The report attributes this progress to renewed investor confidence, macroeconomic stabilisation, structural reforms, successful engagement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), timely debt repayments, and positive credit outlooks from global rating agencies including Fitch and S&P. According to Bloomberg's research division, Pakistan's credit default swap (CDS)-implied probability of default declined from 59 per cent to 47 per cent over the last 12 months — an 11 percentage point drop and the largest reduction among emerging markets globally. This improvement outpaces other countries such as Argentina, Tunisia, and Nigeria, while some nations including Egypt, Gabon and Turkey have seen their default risks increase. Breaking: Pakistan Leads the World in Sovereign Risk Improvement - Tops Global EM Rankings As per the latest data posted by Bloomberg Intelligence, Pakistan stands out globally as the most improved economy in terms of reduction in sovereign default risk, as measured by… — Khurram Schehzad (@kschehzad) June 28, 2025 Khurram Shehzad, adviser to the finance minister, took to social media platform X to highlight Pakistan's achievement, stating that the country 'stands out globally as the most improved economy in terms of reduction in sovereign default risk.' Read More: Pakistan, WB boost ties with $40b framework He further added that this 'marks the sharpest decline among major emerging markets,' and credited factors such as macroeconomic stabilisation, structural reforms, successful IMF engagement, and timely debt repayments for the positive trend. 'This is a resounding signal to global investors that Pakistan is not only back on the map — it is moving forward with stability, credibility, and reform at its core,' he said. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif welcomed the Bloomberg report, expressing satisfaction over the acknowledgment of Pakistan's economic stability. 'The report acknowledges important institutional reforms in various sectors, successful agreement with the IMF, and timely loan repayments, which are definitely evidence of improvement in the government's economic situation,' he remarked. Also Read: Global ranking of green passport improves He added that Pakistan was among the few countries to show the most economic improvement in the past year, according to Bloomberg's data, and said the country was advancing swiftly towards a stronger economic future. The prime minister attributed these gains to the sustained efforts and dedication of the government's economic team.

IMF 'turns deaf ear' to India's request
IMF 'turns deaf ear' to India's request

Express Tribune

time03-05-2025

  • Business
  • Express Tribune

IMF 'turns deaf ear' to India's request

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has turned a deaf ear to India's demand to halt its loan programme for Pakistan. IMF Resident Represen-tative in Pakistan Esther Perez Ruiz clarified in an informal conversation that the Fund's Executive Board will proceed with its agenda on May 9, and Pakistan's request will also be considered in that meeting. "We cannot comment on concerns raised by other countries," she said. According to officials from the Ministry of Finance, the country is expected to receive a $2.3 billion package from the IMF during the meeting. The meeting is also expected to approve a $1.3 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) programme related to climate financing. The funds will be disbursed in installments over a 28-month period to help Pakistan tackle climate change challenges. A staff-level agreement between Pakistan and the IMF was reached on March 25. Earlier, media reports citing a foreign news agency stated that an Indian government official had urged the IMF to review its financial assistance to Pakistan. However, no further details were provided about the demand. Meanwhile, Khurram Shehzad, adviser to the finance minister, told a foreign news agency that the IMF programme is progressing in the right direction and the recent review has been successfully completed.

Pakistan dismisses India's IMF loan concerns
Pakistan dismisses India's IMF loan concerns

Express Tribune

time03-05-2025

  • Business
  • Express Tribune

Pakistan dismisses India's IMF loan concerns

India has asked the International Monetary Fund to review loans disbursed to Pakistan, an Indian government source told Reuters on Friday, as tensions between the South Asian neighbours escalated following a deadly attack in Kashmir. Pakistan secured a $7 billion bailout programme from the IMF last year and was granted a new $1.3 billion climate resilience loan in March. The programme is critical to the $350 billion economy and Pakistan said it has stabilized under the bailout that helped it stave off a default threat. India raised concerns with the IMF on its loans to Pakistan, asking for a review, a government source told Reuters without elaborating. The IMF and India's finance ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. "The latest review has been done well and we are completely on track," advisor Khurram Shehzad, told Reuters, adding that Pakistan had very productive spring meetings with financial institutions in Washington. "We did about 70 meetings ... interest has been very high for investing and supporting Pakistan as the economy turns around," Shehzad said.

Islamabad says IMF team in Pakistan for governance review, not judicial oversight
Islamabad says IMF team in Pakistan for governance review, not judicial oversight

Arab News

time11-02-2025

  • Business
  • Arab News

Islamabad says IMF team in Pakistan for governance review, not judicial oversight

ISLAMABAD: An International Monetary Fund (IMF) team is currently visiting Pakistan to conduct a Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), a finance ministry official said on Monday, adding the visit has nothing to do with the country's judicial system or a review of Pakistan's ongoing $7 billion IMF program. The statement came a day after the finance ministry said the three-member IMF mission would conduct the governance and corruption assessment to recommend reforms for transparency, institutional strengthening and sustainable growth in the South Asian country. Pakistan, currently bolstered by the $7 billion IMF facility that was granted in September, is navigating an economic recovery path. IMF bailouts are critical for Pakistan, which narrowly avoided a sovereign default in June 2023 by clinching a last-gasp, $3 billion IMF loan. The global lender is set to review Pakistan's progress on the current $7 billion program by March, with the government and central bank expressing confidence about meeting the targets. 'All rumors suggesting that the IMF team is here to evaluate the judicial process or other related matters are baseless and nothing of that sort is happening during this visit,' Khurram Shehzad, an adviser to Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, told Arab News. 'The purpose of the IMF team's visit is to assess the governance structure, which falls under the global lender's mandate for countries under its program.' Arab News approached the IMF mission currently visiting Pakistan but did not get a reply by the filing of this story. Shehzad refuted reports suggesting that the IMF team would meet members of the Judicial Commission of Pakistan next week to discuss the process of judges' appointment. The reports emerged amid calls from lawyer bodies and opposition to repeal the 26th constitutional amendment, which empowered parliament to pick the country's top judge and introduced fundamental changes in the appointment of judges in the superior judiciary. Shehzad said the IMF team's visit was not sudden, it was rather planned in July 2024 as part of Pakistan's previous $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA). 'This visit is unrelated to the six-month review of the current IMF program, which will be conducted by a separate team,' he said. 'That team has not yet arrived in Pakistan and is expected [to arrive] by the end of February or the first week of March.' He said this was not a new development neither exclusive to Pakistan as similar assessments had been conducted in many other countries. 'They are in Pakistan to conduct a Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), focusing on evaluating corruption vulnerabilities across six core state functions, including fiscal governance, central bank governance and operations, financial sector oversight, market regulation, rule of law, and Anti-Money Laundering and Combating the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT),' the finance adviser said. The IMF has been offering guidance and technical support for a long time, which has contributed to improved governance by enhancing public sector transparency and accountability, according to the official. 'They followed a process in which they assess a country's governance structure by meeting regulators and institutions to explore ways to improve it in line with global best practices,' he shared. Following the analysis, Shehzad said, the IMF team will provide GCDAs with recommendations to systematically address the vulnerabilities. 'They will provide a comprehensive overview of the governance structure, highlighting areas for improvement and suggesting methods to bring that improvement and the report on the IMF team's assessment will be published by the government in July this year,' he added. The IMF mission will mainly engage with the Finance Division, Federal Board of Revenue, State Bank of Pakistan, Auditor General of Pakistan, Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan, Election Commission of Pakistan, and Ministry of Law & Justice, according to Pakistan's finance ministry. Traditionally, the IMF's main focus has been to encourage countries to correct macroeconomic imbalances, reduce inflation, and undertake key trade, exchange and other market reforms needed to improve efficiency and support sustained economic growth. 'While these remain its main focus in all its member countries, however, the IMF has found that a much broader range of institutional reforms is needed if countries are to establish and maintain private sector confidence and thereby lay the basis for sustained growth,' the ministry said in a statement, adding that the IMF identified that promoting good governance in all its aspects, including ensuring the rule of law, improving the efficiency and accountability of the public sector and tackling corruption, are essential elements of a framework within which economies can prosper. In 1997, the IMF adopted a policy on how to address economic governance, embodied in the Guidance Note 'The Role of the IMF in Governance Issues.' To further strengthen the implementation of this policy, the IMF adopted in 2018 a new Framework for Enhanced Engagement on Governance (Governance Policy) that aims to promote more systematic, effective, candid, and evenhanded engagement with member countries regarding governance vulnerabilities, including corruption, that are critical to macroeconomic performance, according to the finance ministry. Under this policy and framework, the IMF offers to undertake GCDA with member countries to analyze and recommend actions for addressing corruption vulnerabilities and strengthening integrity and governance in IMF member countries. Since 2018, 20 GCDA reports have been finalized, including those for Sri Lanka, Mauritania, Cameroon, Zambia, and Benin and ten diagnostics are ongoing, with several more under IMF consideration.

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