6 days ago
Thai business group cuts 2025 GDP forecast as US tariffs threaten exports
[BANGKOK] Thailand's export engine could stall, and the economy is expected to slow sharply in the second half of the year due to the impact of US tariffs, a leading Thai business group said on Wednesday (Jun 4).
The economy was likely to grow by 1.5 per cent to 2.0 per cent this year, down from an earlier forecast of 2.0 per cent to 2.2 per cent, the Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking said.
Committee chair Payong Srivanich said annual growth would fall below 1 per cent in the second half of the year from 3 per cent in the first half, after the group cut its forecast for exports to a range of a drop of 0.5 per cent to a rise of 0.3 per cent, from 0.3 per cent to 0.9 per cent growth previously.
Businesses were concerned about the uncertain status of trade negotiations with Washington, and the prospect that other nations could strike a better deal than Thailand.
'We also have to look at our neighbours ... if Vietnam receives a lower tariff than us, the impact will be quite severe,' Federation of Thai Industries chair Kriangkrai Thianuku said.
Thailand faces a 36 per cent US tariff if a reduction can't be negotiated before a moratorium expires in July, while Vietnam faces a tariff rate of 46 per cent. Hanoi has held two rounds of talks with Washington.
Payong said there were also concerns amongst firms that an appreciating baht would hit their competitiveness. REUTERS
