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The Sun
16-05-2025
- Sport
- The Sun
De Bruyne to end Man City career on a high and Newcastle to make history against Arsenal – Weekend Wager's best bets
SUNSPORT'S Weekend Wager returns once more to bring you the best analysis and tips ahead of another huge weekend of sport. It may be the penultimate gameweek for the Premier League but taking centre stage is the FA Cup final. 2 2 Manchester City are aiming to go one better than last year when they finished as runners-up after losing to rivals Manchester United at Wembley. Standing in their way is Crystal Palace, who are featuring in their first cup final since 2016. Elsewhere there is a battle for second place in the Premier League as Arsenal host Newcastle. There is also horse racing and cricket action to sink your teeth into, with our experts sharing their insight into the meet at Newbury and the IPL. Crystal Palace vs Manchester City - Saturday, 4:30pm Kweku: Either team in extra-time 5/1 "My bet is either team to win in extra time, 5-1. I think that's quite good, right? "If you look at these teams, I can say they're evenly matched and the stats back it up. City are unbeaten in their last 10 games in all competitions, winning seven and drawing three of those, including clean sheets in their last three games. "And Palace are unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions, winning two, drawing three. "City will go into this as favourites, but I like the value in extra time. And I think that at 5-1, it's not bad." Will: Under 2.5 goals 11/10 "I've gone for under 2.5 goals, 11-10. Now I know that is quite an unfashionable, boring sort of bet because it's like you're almost betting on the game being a little bit dry and a little bit, you know, not as exciting because there are not many goals. "The stats just say that City have not conceded a goal in their last 342 minutes of football. "That's five hours and 42 minutes. And Crystal Palace have recorded 11 clean sheets in all competitions in 2025, which is the most of any Premier League side since the turn of the year." Sam: Kevin De Bruyne to score or assist - Evens "This is likely going to be his last ever FA Cup final, certainly with Manchester City anyway. He's been involved in four goals in his previous three FA Cup finals as well. "He scored one, he's assisted three. He is an absolute big game player. And yes, while he is coming to the end of his peak, this could be a big swansong for him. And I just see him having such an impact still." Arsenal vs Newcastle - Sunday, 4:30pm Kweku: Newcastle to win 12/5 "I've gone for a Newcastle win in this one, pretty straightforward, 12-5. I love those odds for that. And the stats back it up as well. "Newcastle have already faced Arsenal three times this season and won all three of those games, beating them 1-0 in the Premier League and 2-0 in both legs of their League Cup semi-final. "No team has ever beaten Arsenal four times in a season. I think Newcastle have got a great chance of doing it. And they've won five out of their four games and they've lost eight games against Arsenal in all competitions. "The other three of those games, they drew one, lost two. And that's as many wins they had in their previous 52 against Arsenal. Also on the Arsenal side of things, I think the wheels have slightly fallen off, the Emirates is not as much of a fortress as it used to be. "They're actually winless in the last four games at home in all competitions, drawing two and losing two of those. "So I think Newcastle are going into this game full of confidence. They're in great form, arguably the most in form side in the country. And I think they'll go to the Emirates and get the job done." Will: Gabriel Martinelli 2+ shots on target 13/5 "I am of the belief that Gabriel Martinelli is nowhere near the level that Arsenal want to be. "I personally think the amount of chances that Martinelli misses that are absolute dead sitters, is just too many. "Martinelli has scored two goals in his last four Premier League games, he's had six shots on target in his last five Premier League games. "I don't mind this bet because he always gets in good positions and fires them straight at the goalkeeper, the sitters, and never seems to put the ball in. But obviously scored at Liverpool last weekend. "Arsenal did a little bit of a switch up during the game, played him up front and Matt has convinced me that he's likely to play as the central striker this weekend. "Merino suspended. Trossard, I think a 50-50 chance he comes back." Sam: Fabian Schar 2+ fouls 7/4, Myles Lewis-Skelly to be fouled 2+ times "I absolutely love player fouls. Fabian Schar to commit two or more fouls, seven to four. He's committed nine fouls in his last six matches. "Looking at who he's likely to come up against, which is the big one for me, Miles Lewis-Skelly on that left-hand side, likes to get forward. "He's been one of the shining lights of Arsenal season, hasn't he? But he's been fouled at least two times in seven of his last nine league appearances. In fact, only James Madison is averaging more fouls, one per 90 in the Premier League this season. "So I can see him potentially causing Newcastle problems down that right-hand side. And if he gets up the field high enough, then I can see him running into Fabian Schar." The Boylesports Lockinge Stakes, Newbury, Saturday 2:45pm Sam: Dancing Gemini 11/4 "Huge race on Saturday at Newbury. It's the Group One, locking stakes at 2.35. Looking at the market, Rosalien's a 6-4 favourite for trainer Richard Hannan, who's having a great start to the flat season so far. "Had a double at York earlier this week. And to be honest with you, the top three in the market look pretty solid for this one. As I've mentioned, Rosalien, 6-4 favourite. Gemini is one that a lot of people like, including myself at 11-4. "Then you've got the likes of notable speech at 4-1. Tanfana, 11-2. Fallen Angel, 16-1. Bar that, you're looking 20-1 or bigger." IPL Sam: Virat Kohli top batsman "I'm going to have to continue that theme of Virat Kohli because obviously it's been a big week for him. He's announced his retirement from Test cricket. He's still going to be playing T20 IPL and obviously one day international as well. Yeah. "His team, Royal Challengers Bengaluru play the Kolkata Night Riders on Saturday. Challengers, the favourites are 8-11. "They're absolutely having a storming season so far, this IPL, second in the table at the minute and looking good. "The upset, Kolkata to win, currently 11-10. "But looking at Kohli and sticking with the theme of backing him and hopefully getting some more winners on him, he's the 11-4 favourite to be the top batsman in this game. "We've actually odds boosted him as well to have two sixes, two plus sixes, should I say, two plus fours and to take a catch. That's 10-1."
The Sun
25-04-2025
- Sport
- The Sun
Salah stats show he's ready to get Anfield rocking but Maddison could be in a foul mood – Weekend Wager's best bets
SUNSPORT'S Weekend Wager uses in-depth stats and detailed analysis to find the best value bets this weekend. And it could be a party for our experts, as well as at Anfield, if their tips come off - as Liverpool bid to seal the Premier League title. 11 SunSport 's Will Pugh was joined by football broadcaster Kweku Afari and Betfair expert Sam Rosbottom to give their verdict on this weekend's most enticing selections. Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa, FA Cup, Saturday 5.15pm Kweku: Rashford three or more shots 7/5 "It's hard to gauge Villa because that was a really good win against Newcastle but against Man City they failed to really capitalise. "If you look at Marcus Rashford, a player rejuvenated at Villa and Unai Emery seems to be getting the best out of him, and the stats back that up as well. "Rashford has had at least three shots on target in both of his FA Cup starts for Villa this season which suggests he's going to be heavily involved if he does start. "I expect Villa to win and Rashford to have a very very good game." 11 11 Will: Game to be decided via a penalty shootout 9/2 "Villa are having a brilliant season and this presents that opportunity to go that one step further and lift the cup that their fans are longing for. "Villa have won none of their last four matches against Aston Villa in all competitions, drawn one and lost three, conceded 13 goals and Palace knocked them out of the League Cup. "Everyone's going for a Palace win but I just can't see it. "I think Palace are a bit more switched on than people give them credit for. "A bit of a sluggish start to the season but coming into their own - a great performance, very much deserved that point, at Arsenal. And I just think it will be a cagey one that goes to pens." Sam: Konsa to have one or more shots at 5/4 "Villa have got an unbelievable squad - one of the best in the Premier League. On Tuesday night they brought on Ollie Watkins and Marco Asensio! "It's a semi-final at Wembley. These games are always cagey and tight. But I do think Villa will have just enough to get over the line with that squad depth. "With it being cagey and tight I can see set-pieces being absolutely crucial in this one and Villa have a good couple of threats in their team. "Looking at the centre-halfs, Tyrone Mings and Ezri Konsa - I am going to side with Konsa to have a shot at 5/4. 11 "I think that's a really nice bit of value, especially when we're looking at corners. He's had four shots in his last four games, four shots on target in his last nine matches. "It could be one of those (games) where a defender pops up and makes the difference." Liverpool vs Tottenham, Prem 4.30pm Sunday Kweku: Liverpool to score 3 or more goals 4/6 "For Spurs forget about progressing or getting decent results in the league - it's all about the Europa league, so I'm very much backing Liverpool in this one. 11 "Liverpool have been by far the best team in the Premier League this season. Arne Slot has done a fantastic job since coming in. "Liverpool have scored at least one goal in each of their last 29 Premier League games - stretching back to September, when they lost 1-0 against Nottingham Forest, their only home defeat this season. "Spurs have conceded 10 goals against Liverpool this season, losing 6-3 in the league and 4-0 in the League Cup semi-final second leg. "We expect Liverpool to be in celebratory mood and I expect them to score a few goals as well." Sam: Salah, three or more shots on target 2/1 "My bet's not much braver, to be fair! " Mo Salah 's had seven shots in his last Premier League game, that 1-0 win over Leicester. "And he had four shots on target the last time Liverpool played Spurs, that 4-0 victory in the League Cup. I really fancy this bet." 11 11 Sam: Maddison to commit two or more fouls at 6/4 "Anfield is going to be in jovial, celebratory mood. "Spurs, while their eggs are very much in the Europa League basket, are going to want to spoil a little bit of the party, so they might want to stink the place out a little. "I'm thinking fouls here and there, and if there's a player who absolutely loves a little niggly foul it is James Maddison! "And for him to commit two or more fouls at 6/4 is something that I really like. "Maddison has committed seven fouls in his last three Premier League appearances, so again he could be the one for the fouls." Chris Eubank Jr vs Conor Benn, middleweight boxing, Saturday. from 10pm Sam: Eubank Jr to win by a ninth-round stoppage 13/1 " There's a hydration clause. This is something that's a little bit new for him (Eubank Jr. "We have odds boosted of him to win by TKO or KO at 23/10. "When you look at the records, these guys do love knockouts. " Conor Benn has got a record of 23 wins, 14 knockouts, no losses, so he's in good form. "Looking at that family history, Eubank Jr to win by a ninth-round stoppage 13/1, which would replicate Eubank Senior (against Nigel Benn) in 1990." 11 Kweku fight verdict: "If Conor Benn gets it done, he gets it done early... but I think Eubank has got too much experience, and it's been at a higher level than Benn. "And we don't know what Conor Benn would look like if he's dragged into deep waters with Eubank, so I've got Eubank to win on points."
The Irish Sun
25-04-2025
- Sport
- The Irish Sun
Salah stats show he's ready to get Anfield rocking but Maddison could be in a foul mood – Weekend Wager's best bets
SUNSPORT'S Weekend Wager uses in-depth stats and detailed analysis to find the best value bets this weekend. And it could be a party for our experts, as well as at Anfield, if their tips come off - as 11 Mo Salah has an incredible 27 goals in 33 Prem games this term 3of Liverpool during the Carabao Cup Final match between Liverpool vs Newcastle U Credit: Alamy 11 James Maddison & Co aim to delay Liverpool's title party with a shock Tottenham win at Anfield on Sunday Credit: Rex SunSport's Will Pugh was joined by football broadcaster Kweku Afari and Betfair expert Sam Rosbottom to give their verdict on this weekend's most enticing selections. Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa, FA Cup, Saturday 5.15pm Kweku: Rashford three or more shots 7/5 "It's hard to gauge "If you look at Marcus Rashford, a player rejuvenated at Villa and READ MORE IN FOOTBALL "Rashford has had at least three shots on target in both of his FA Cup starts for Villa this season which suggests he's going to be heavily involved if he does start. "I expect Villa to win and Rashford to have a very very good game." 11 Marcus Rashford is in hot form on loan for Villa Credit: PA BEST ONLINE CASINOS - TOP SITES IN THE UK 11 Villa might reckon the omens are good Will: Game to be decided via a penalty shootout 9/2 Most read in Boxing "Villa are having a brilliant season and this presents that opportunity to go that one step further and lift the cup that their fans are longing for. "Villa have won none of their last four matches against Aston Villa in all competitions, drawn one and lost three, conceded 13 goals and "Everyone's going for a Palace win but I just can't see it. "I think Palace are a bit more switched on than people give them credit for. "A bit of a sluggish start to the season but coming into their own - a great performance, very much deserved that point, at Sam: Konsa to have one or more shots at 5/4 "Villa have got an unbelievable squad - one of the best in the Premier League. On Tuesday night they brought on Ollie Watkins and Marco Asensio! "It's a semi-final at Wembley. These games are always cagey and tight. But I do think Villa will have just enough to get over the line with that squad depth. "With it being cagey and tight I can see set-pieces being absolutely crucial in this one and Villa have a good couple of threats in their team. "Looking at the centre-halfs, Tyrone Mings and 11 Villa defender Ezri Konsa could be a big menace from set-pieces Credit: Alamy "I think that's a really nice bit of value, especially when we're looking at corners. He's had four shots in his last four games, four shots on target in his last nine matches. "It could be one of those (games) where a defender pops up and makes the difference." Liverpool vs Tottenham, Prem 4.30pm Sunday Kweku: Liverpool to score 3 or more goals 4/6 "For Spurs forget about progressing or getting decent results in the league - it's all about the Europa league, so I'm very much backing Liverpool in this one. 11 The goal stats this season could be ominous for Spurs "Liverpool have been by far the best team in the Premier League this season. Arne Slot has done a fantastic job since coming in. "Liverpool have scored at least one goal in each of their last 29 Premier League games - stretching back to September, when they lost 1-0 against "Spurs have conceded 10 goals against Liverpool this season, losing 6-3 in the league and 4-0 in the League Cup semi-final second leg. "We expect Liverpool to be in celebratory mood and I expect them to score a few goals as well." Sam: Salah, three or more shots on target 2/1 "My bet's not much braver, to be fair! "Mo Salah's had seven shots in his last Premier League game, that 1-0 win over Leicester. "And he had four shots on target the last time Liverpool played Spurs, that 4-0 victory in the League Cup. I really fancy this bet." 11 Mo Salah will hope to again be the Reds' main man Credit: Reuters 11 Liverpool hitman Salah has been peppering in goal attempts Sam: Maddison to commit two or more fouls at 6/4 "Anfield is going to be in jovial, celebratory mood. "Spurs, while their eggs are very much in the Europa League basket, are going to want to spoil a little bit of the party, so they might want to stink the place out a little. "I'm thinking fouls here and there, and if there's a player who absolutely loves a little niggly foul it is James Maddison! "And for him to commit two or more fouls at 6/4 is something that I really like. "Maddison has committed seven fouls in his last three Premier League appearances, so again he could be the one for the fouls." Chris Eubank Jr vs Conor Benn, middleweight boxing, Saturday. from 10pm Sam: Eubank Jr to win by a ninth-round stoppage 13/1 " 11 "We have odds boosted of him to win by TKO or KO at 23/10. "When you look at the records, these guys do love knockouts. " "Looking at that family history, 11 Here are some of the big-fight flutters that could be tempting Kweku fight verdict: "If Conor Benn gets it done, he gets it done early... but I think Eubank has got too much experience, and it's been at a higher level than Benn. "And we don't know what Conor Benn would look like if he's dragged into deep waters with Eubank, so I've got Eubank to win on points." 11 Eubank Jr is odds-on to win the family grudge fight
