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Fantasy baseball: Bobby Witt embodies premium placed on speed in AL LABR auction
Fantasy baseball: Bobby Witt embodies premium placed on speed in AL LABR auction

USA Today

time03-03-2025

  • Entertainment
  • USA Today

Fantasy baseball: Bobby Witt embodies premium placed on speed in AL LABR auction

Fantasy baseball: Bobby Witt embodies premium placed on speed in AL LABR auction Show Caption Hide Caption The New York Yankees have officially changed their facial hair policy Sports Seriously's Mackenzie Salmon breaks down the change in facial hair policy from the Yankees and the impact it may have on Major League Baseball. Sports Seriously The annual League of Alternative Baseball Reality drafts came with a twist this year. The traditional stare-downs and player jerseys at the auction table were replaced by tiny avatars and a BID+1 button. For just the second time in LABR history, the AL and NL auctions were conducted online. However, most traditions continued with defending AL champion James Anderson of Rotowire having the honor of tossing out Jazz Chisholm to kick things off. The Yankees aren't shy about spending and LABR managers weren't shy about spending on Yankees as Chisholm, eligible at third base and the outfield, went for $33. Shortly afterward, Aaron Judge became the evening's most expensive player as the bidding reached $46 from CBS Sports' Chris Towers. Would that be more or less than Royals shortstop Bobby Witt? Turns out, it was exactly the same. Bidders were similarly aggressive throughout the opening rounds, especially on the hitting side: Jose Ramirez ($41), Vladimir Guerrero ($39), Gunnar Henderson ($36), Julio Rodriguez ($35), Jarren Duran ($33), Corey Seager ($29) and Brent Rooker ($27) were among the first 40 players off the board. NL LABR RECAP: Ohtani, Skenes the top prizes in NL AL LABR RESULTS: Complete draft grid, auction prices Call to arms in AL Elite pitching didn't come cheaply either. Ian Kahn, after a one-year stint in the NL, was back in the AL. He spent the most on any single pitcher by paying $33 for Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal. That was followed by Logan Gilbert ($27), Garrett Crochet ($25) and Framber Valdez ($24). Yet the strength of this year's AL pitching pool offers drafters a variety of options and strategies. Adding to the pitching depth in this draft, Boston University professor Andy Andres went heavy on hitting (as he did as an LABR rookie last year), spending $220 of his $260 budget on bats. As a result, eleven pitchers sold for between $18 and $22 as the other teams stocked their rosters with upper-tier starters. Perhaps the most polarizing of the group is the Rangers' Jacob deGrom. The two-time NL Cy Young winner has only thrown a total of 41 innings over the past two seasons, but he's fully healthy for the first time since 2020, and is capable of being a real difference-maker. After Skubal's nomination, seven more pitchers were thrown out consecutively. Mariners starters Luis Castillo ($19) and Gilbert went quickly before the bidding turned to deGrom. Skepticism about his ability to stay healthy prevented him from getting too expensive, with Baseball Prospectus' Jesse Roche taking the plunge at $21. The relatively stable group of AL closers produced few surprises, with Emmanuel Clase leading the way at $25, followed by Josh Hader at $24 and Devin Williams at $22. Among the less-settled closer situations: Red Sox: Liam Hendriks ($8), Aroldis Chapman ($6), Justin Slaten ($1). Liam Hendriks ($8), Aroldis Chapman ($6), Justin Slaten ($1). Angels: Kenley Jansen ($13), Ben Joyce ($4). Kenley Jansen ($13), Ben Joyce ($4). Rays: Pete Fairbanks ($11), Edwin Uceta ($5). Pete Fairbanks ($11), Edwin Uceta ($5). Royals: Carlos Estevez ($10), Lucas Erceg ($8). Carlos Estevez ($10), Lucas Erceg ($8). Tigers: Jason Foley ($7), Tyler Holton ($3), Beau Brieske (reserve). Need for speed (and versatility) One thing that became apparent very early was the importance of securing stolen bases. Sure, the elite power/speed stars – Witt, Ramirez, Rodriguez, Duran, Chisholm – will be expensive no matter what. However, mid-tier players who can run also drew substantial interest from AL LABR managers. Everyday shortstops Anthony Volpe and Jeremy Peña went for $23 apiece, just $6 less than Seager. And if those speedy runners happen to play multiple positions, they're exceptionally valuable in a mono league. And the winning bids reflected it. 2B/3B Maikel Garcia: $20 2B/3B Luis Rengifo: $18 SS/OF Ceddane Rafaela: $18 2B/SS/3B/OF Willi Castro: $17 2B/SS/3B Jose Caballero: $8 Don't forget the outfield One final note: the outfield depth in the AL beyond the top stars gets thin very quickly. The traditional sweet spot for five-outfielder leagues usually falls between $10 and $19 – not too expensive to blow your budget, but valuable enough to be everyday contributors. In this draft, just 15 outfielders fell in that range – an average of slightly more than one per team. That left a few teams with less-than-optimal choices to fill their outfield slots in the endgame. For more in-depth fantasy baseball stats and analysis, subscribe to

Fantasy baseball: Shohei Ohtani the top prize in NL LABR auction
Fantasy baseball: Shohei Ohtani the top prize in NL LABR auction

USA Today

time03-03-2025

  • Sport
  • USA Today

Fantasy baseball: Shohei Ohtani the top prize in NL LABR auction

Fantasy baseball: Shohei Ohtani the top prize in NL LABR auction Show Caption Hide Caption Juan Soto snubs Yankees, signs historic $765 million contract with the Mets The wait is over! Juan Soto agreed to a massive 15-year $765 million contract with the Mets and our experts are here to break it down. Sports Pulse There was little doubt which hitter and which pitcher would be the most expensive in the NL LABR auction. The question was merely how high the bidding would go. As the RT Sports website clock counted down, defending champ Doug Dennis of Baseball HQ had the honor of the first nomination. Would it be reigning league MVP Shohei Ohtani? Or would it be rookie of the year Paul Skenes? But Dennis, as veteran LABR observers know, has quite the contrarian streak – which he displayed once again by tossing out … Mark Vientos! The suspense didn't last very long, however, with Skenes coming out fourth overall. Fantasy Alarm's Howard Bender persevered to win him at $33. And right after that, came Ohtani. Shohei ... the money Coming off an epic 54-homer, 59-steal season – and returning to the mound in 2025 – Ohtani is the ultimate weapon in fantasy baseball. He can slot in as a pitcher or hitter (but not both) each week, giving his team tremendous flexibility. The bidding on Ohtani blew past Skenes, then topped the $38 Elly De La Cruz fetched as the second player nominated. In the end, I went back and forth with Baseball HQ's injury expert, Matt Cederholm in the final battle. When he reached $46, I tapped out and Dr. HQ had his franchise cornerstone. Cederholm didn't stop there, adding Zack Wheeler, Ryan Helsley, Mookie Betts, James Wood, Michael Toglia, Spencer Schwellenbach and Matthew Boyd within the first six rounds – and in the process, spending $199 of his $260 budget. In stark contrast, CBS Sports' Frank Stampfl didn't win a single player through the first three rounds of nominations (and only two of the first 65 players), as he opted for a classic spread-the-wealth strategy. Third baseman Austin Riley and pitcher Dylan Cease were his top buys at $25 each. Different strokes for different folks. NL LABR RESULTS: Complete draft grid, auction prices NL auction dynamics Despite the spirited bidding to start, prices for those top players turned out to be a bit lower than perhaps they should have, leading to some in-draft inflation. After De La Cruz, outfielders Juan Soto and Kyle Tucker went for $37 apiece and Corbin Carroll $35. Only one other pitcher topped the $30 mark: Zack Wheeler of the Phillies ($31). While the general consensus among NL first basemen has either Bryce Harper or Freddie Freeman atop the position, Pete Alonso ($32) was LABR's most expensive. Freeman was nominated first and only made it to $27, a nice buy for Creative Sports' Brian Walton. Harper went for $30 and Olson for $29. Also, the closer options were tossed out in a truly random order, which created a fair amount of chaos. The Giants' Ryan Walker was nominated first, setting the bar at $18 and driving prices up for the higher-rated closers who came afterward: Ryan Helsley at $23, Edwin Diaz at $23, Robert Suarez at $19 and finally, Raisel Iglesias at $24. With the top relief arms off the board, things cooled considerably, as LABR managers became reluctant to chase saves or opted to invest in closers-in-waiting. Some bullpens to watch: Dodgers: Tanner Scott ($16), Kirby Yates ($8), Blake Treinen ($2), Michael Kopech ($2). Tanner Scott ($16), Kirby Yates ($8), Blake Treinen ($2), Michael Kopech ($2). Phillies: Jordan Romano ($11), Orion Kerkering ($5), Matt Strahm ($5). Jordan Romano ($11), Orion Kerkering ($5), Matt Strahm ($5). Cubs: Ryan Pressly ($12), Porter Hodge ($5). Ryan Pressly ($12), Porter Hodge ($5). Diamondbacks: Justin Martinez ($10), A.J. Puk ($7). NL prospects abound It's always interesting to see how LABR values young players who don't have much of a track record in the majors. A year ago, Skenes, Jackson Chourio and Michael Busch turned out to be exceptional values. Nationals outfielder Dylan Crews had some success late last season, especially in stealing bases. He was this year's top rookie at $20 to ESPN's Eric Karabell, who also picked up Cubs third baseman Matt Shaw for $13. On the pitching side, Roki Sasaki of the Dodgers was a surprisingly tame $14 pickup for Brian Walton of The Cardinal Nation. Karabell also got the Phillies' Andrew Painter for $3. Brewers infielder Caleb Durbin ($6), Marlins 1B Deyvison De Los Santos ($5) and Diamondbacks SS Jordan Lawlar ($2) were also taken in the auction – as were catchers Dalton Rushing ($3) and Augustin Ramirez ($2) and pitchers Quinn Mathews ($4), Bubba Chandler ($2), Brandon Sproat ($1) and Rhett Lowder ($1). For more in-depth fantasy baseball stats and analysis, subscribe to

Fantasy Baseball: Why Shohei Ohtani shouldn't be 2025's No. 1 overall draft pick
Fantasy Baseball: Why Shohei Ohtani shouldn't be 2025's No. 1 overall draft pick

Yahoo

time26-02-2025

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Fantasy Baseball: Why Shohei Ohtani shouldn't be 2025's No. 1 overall draft pick

The draft randomizer handed me the No. 1 pick in the LABR mixed league draft Tuesday night, and I didn't have any hesitation. But with the entire baseball universe available to me — including reigning MVPs Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge — I went in what some might consider an unconventional direction. I selected Bobby Witt Jr. This isn't meant to be a hot-take thing or a look-at-me pick. And I don't fault anyone who would pick Ohtani or Judge in this spot (note, all of my Yahoo colleagues currently rank Ohtani first). It's a matter of trying to take Wayne Gretzky's advice — I'm not skating to where the puck has been, I'm skating to where the puck is headed. A chunk of the pick-Witt exercise invariably turns into a mild talking down of Ohtani — this piece is as much about why I'm not taking Ohtani as it is why I am taking Witt. I take no joy in nitpicking Ohtani. He's the unicorn of baseball, a player no living person has a comparison for. Ohtani was easily the most valuable player in fantasy last season, courtesy of that absurd .310-134-54-130-59 line. Let's focus on that final column for Ohtani, the 59 steals. It's incongruent with the rest of his career. Starting in 2018, here are the yearly steal counts for Showtime: 10-12-7*-26-11-20 (the seven steals came in the pandemic season). And then last year, we saw the 59-bag explosion. I suspect Ohtani upped his steal interest last year because registering a 50-50 season became a tangible goal. Through 101 games, he was sitting on 24 swipes, a solid total, clearly headed for a new career high. And then in his final 58 games, he stole a ridiculous 35 bags — on 35 attempts, which is equally ridiculous. There was a destination in mind, a new plateau to shoot for. Alas, stealing bases is a physical drain on the body. And even while it's a plus play for a high-percentage thief like Ohtani, it's not always the practical thing to do, long term. While Ohtani was running wild, most of his veteran teammates were picking their spots to run. Mookie Betts settled for a modest 16 steals, on 18 attempts. Freddie Freeman moved down to nine bags, after 23 steals the previous year. It's not that players like this can't steal bases. It's that they don't think it's always worth the physical wear and tear. Let's accept that the loaded Dodgers are basically in the 2025 playoffs already, like Duke is already in the men's basketball tournament or Scottie Scheffler has effectively already made the weekend at the Masters. This franchise has made the playoffs 12 straight years, with 11 division titles. The 2025 roster is probably the deepest one they've ever had. Los Angeles has the luxury of planning for October even when it's months away — and that means being prudent with player injuries and workloads. I suspect that will be an invisible hand that encourages Ohtani to run less. Ohtani is also scheduled to pitch this year, which is another tax on his body. Maybe it means he has more overall injury risk. Perhaps the shift back to the mound means he has to give up a less important part of his game, like the base-stealing. Mix it all together and I suspect Ohtani's steals could easily land back in the 20-30 range, and the workload of pitching also makes me an eyelash concerned about what his offense might look like. Ohtani was a 9.2-win offensive player last year, perhaps because he was unburdened by pitching. His previous high in offensive bWAR was 6.0; an undeniable superstar, sure, but not at 2024's levels. Let's try to accept last year as the outlier season it truly was. And let's not forget that in any format, he's utility-only — he doesn't carry a position. It's a small ding, but it's worth considering, especially if you play on a platform less position-flexible than Yahoo. That's enough about the guy I didn't pick. What about the player I did? One item about Witt that specifically excites me is the idea that we haven't seen his best season yet. He steps into his age-25 campaign (Judge turns 33 in April, Ohtani turns 31 in July). There's already plenty of black ink on Witt's Baseball Reference page — last year he led the AL in hits and the majors in batting average. His walks were up, his strikeouts down. His Baseball Savant slider page is a glorious collection of red — in addition to all the hard-hit metrics, note the 100 percentile sprint speed. It doesn't seem fair that a hitter this great is also the fastest player in baseball. (This hasn't always led to Witt being a perfect base stealer, but he's still a kid — bet on that efficiency improving.) Witt doesn't have the supporting cast that Ohtani enjoys, but the Royals are on the right track. They were 13th in runs last year, after sitting 23rd the previous season. Six of the top seven hitters in the KC lineup are projected to be plus offensive players, if you work off their projected wRC+. Maybe the Royals can't go toe-to-toe with the best teams 1-through-9, but the top four of Jonathan India, Witt, Vinnie Pasquantino and Salvador Perez looks formidable to me. There's some randomness to injuries, but when in doubt, bet on the younger players. Witt has missed just 17 games in three years. Ohtani has met significant injury in three of his seven seasons, while Judge has found IL issues in four of his past seven seasons. The longer I play fantasy sports, the more I want my premium players to be front-nine guys, athletes who are still on the escalator. And sometimes there are no wrong answers. Witt, Ohtani and Judge can all be the centerpiece of any fantasy offense. All of them contributed in all five categories last year (albeit Judge's steals are probably a year-to-year thing). Witt could lead the majors in almost any category. Judge is the signature right-handed power hitter in baseball, while maintaining a high average. Ohtani remains the ultimate one-of-one guy. But my decision came down to age and career arc. And my decision was influenced by the unusual Ohtani spike in steals, and the likelihood that regresses significantly. I also am not sure how much a pitching workload could affect Ohtani's offense, even if that difference is slight. Not everyone has to favor the same shade of blue. Not everything has to be East Coast or West Coast. So for 2025, Bobby Witt Jr. is my guy.

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