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Consumers- What Confidence and Costco Tell Us About the Spending Outlook
Consumers- What Confidence and Costco Tell Us About the Spending Outlook

Yahoo

time4 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Consumers- What Confidence and Costco Tell Us About the Spending Outlook

The good news recently was that the Conference Board announced its consumer confidence index surged in May to 98, up from 85.7 in April. Especially encouraging is that the expectations component soared to 72.8 in May, up from 55.4 in April, notes Louis Navellier, founder and chairman of Navellier & Associates. To get a FREE copy of the complete MoneyShow 2025 Top Picks Report, click HERE.) Other components, like business conditions, employment prospects, and future income also rose in May. So, after consumer confidence declined for five straight months, the May resurgence is very hopeful for the summer, since consumers are now suddenly upbeat! ( Louis will be speaking at the 2025 MoneyShow Masters Symposium Las Vegas, scheduled for July 15-17. Click HERE to register.) Another good sign of consumer confidence is that Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) announced its earnings on Thursday, with quarterly same-store sales rising 8%, which is a sign that consumer spending remains strong. Since Costco is a major gasoline retailer, the fact that its same-store sales rose despite lower gasoline prices is an important signal. Costco will also be key to helping move the bloated inventory of goods that were 'dumped' in the US in the first quarter in an effort to beat the coming US tariffs. The company has stockpiled many goods, such as patio furniture, with no price increases foreseen for the summer months. See also: CTRI: A Utility Play That Just Landed Large, New Contracts All in all, the Commerce Department reported that personal spending rose only 0.1% in April after surging 0.7% in March. The data is not very inflationary, so the Federal Reserve has all the reasons its needs to cut key interest rates as soon as it can overcome its inflation fears. Disclosure: Navellier & Associates owns COST in managed accounts. Louis Navellier and his family own COST via a Navellier managed account and in a personal account. More From SPX: Yes, We Could Finish 2025 at 6,600 Given Earnings, AI Growth Earnings, Jobs Data to Drive Next Market Moves Market Minute 6/3/25: Wet-Blanket Forecasts Weigh on Markets Sign in to access your portfolio

Crypto Miners Soar on OpenAI-CoreWeave Deal; Galaxy Jumps in Nasdaq Debut
Crypto Miners Soar on OpenAI-CoreWeave Deal; Galaxy Jumps in Nasdaq Debut

Yahoo

time17-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Crypto Miners Soar on OpenAI-CoreWeave Deal; Galaxy Jumps in Nasdaq Debut

While cryptocurrencies put in a flattish performance on Friday with bitcoin BTC churning around $104,000, crypto-related stocks were having a moment to shine. Crypto mining and data center firms such as Cipher Mining (CIFR), Hive Digital (HIVE), Hut 8 (HUT) and TeraWulf (WULF) booked 10%-20% gains on optimism about artificial intelligence (AI) computing demand, jolted by CoreWeave (CRWV) signing a $4 billion deal with ChatGPT-developer OpenAI. These firms are often seen as proxies for AI-linked infrastructure bets due to their data center assets. For its part, CoreWeave soared more than 26%. The rally extended to Galaxy Digital (GLXY), which rose 8% on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq, marking the firm's long-awaited U.S. market debut. The company, previously only listed in Toronto, manages crypto investments and trades digital assets and also has a data center business. Crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) rebounded 9% after a sharp drop Thursday triggered by customer data breach and ongoing regulatory scrutiny by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).DeFi Development (DFDV), the real estate tech firm with a Solana SOL treasury strategy, surged 45% to fresh record highs on news of striking a validator operation deal with memecoin BONK BONK and adding more SOL tokens to its balance sheet. Meanwhile, BTC held just above $104,000, up 1.3% over the 24 hours, while ether ETH gained 2.3% to $2,580. The broad-market CoinDesk 20 Index was flat, with XRP XRP underperforming as a U.S. judge rejected the settlement proposal between Ripple and the SEC. On the macro front, the University of Michigan's latest inflation survey showed consumers expect 1-year inflation to rise to 7.3%, up from 6.5%, the highest since the 1980s, while expectations for 5-10 years ticked up to 4.6%, a multi-decade high. "It's so high it doesn't make sense," Louis Navellier, chief investment officer of money management firm Navellier said in a market note. Responses showed staggering divergence in outlooks by political affiliations, with the Republican outlook for far tamer inflation. Traditional markets, consequently, shrugged off the data, with major U.S. stock indices climbing higher towards the latter hours of the session. However, rising inflation expectations may have a second-order impact on markets by discouraging Fed policymakers from cutting rates in the next months. "The concern here is that the Fed has expressed interest in consumer expectations on inflation, and with their concern about the potential of tariff-fueled inflation, it may give them further reason to pause," Navellier said.

SAP SE (SAP): A Bull Case Theory
SAP SE (SAP): A Bull Case Theory

Yahoo

time07-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

SAP SE (SAP): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on SAP SE (SAP) on Substack by FluentInQuality. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on SAP. SAP SE (SAP)'s share was trading at $292.55 as of April 29th. SAP's trailing and forward P/E were 52.96 and 41.67 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX): Among Louis Navellier's Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential A close-up of a laptop screen displaying cloud platform application software. SAP SE (SAP) isn't flashy, but it's foundational—powering the global economy behind the scenes with software that acts less like a vendor and more like core infrastructure. With over 400,000 enterprises relying on SAP for mission-critical functions across manufacturing, logistics, finance, and HR, the company has embedded itself so deeply that switching providers is akin to changing an airplane engine mid-flight. Its ERP suite, led by S/4HANA, isn't simply a cloud migration—it's a full-scale operational rearchitecture. With over 25 vertical-specific modules and end-to-end integrations, SAP has transitioned into the real enterprise cloud story, not by chasing trends, but by delivering deeply embedded solutions tailored to the complexities of modern global businesses. This deep integration has created a customer base with unusually high stickiness, leading to a recurring cloud backlog that now accounts for more than 80% of total revenues. The result: once customers are on board, there's effectively no escape velocity. SAP's long-term pivot to the cloud is now bearing fruit. Cloud revenue is the fastest-growing segment, and as subscription models scale, gross margins are expanding. Operational efficiencies are surfacing, freeing capital for investment in high-leverage areas like artificial intelligence and R&D. Unlike companies using AI as a buzzword, SAP is embedding it strategically where it can generate tangible outcomes—automating invoice reconciliations, forecasting industrial demand, and driving ESG and procurement insights. SAP's AI isn't built for show—it's purpose-built for results. The company is steadily evolving from a legacy software giant into a lean, cloud-first platform focused on profitable compounding. The business case is further reinforced by SAP's handling of enterprise-scale problems. When global supply chains break, SAP is what holds them together. When compliance becomes a labyrinth, SAP untangles it. Its software addresses the kind of logic where failure isn't an inconvenience—it's a catastrophe. This ability to manage extreme complexity at scale, without compromising on performance or reliability, makes SAP indispensable.

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Traded Lower Due to Softer Quarterly Guidance
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Traded Lower Due to Softer Quarterly Guidance

Yahoo

time26-04-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Traded Lower Due to Softer Quarterly Guidance

Carillon Tower Advisers, an investment management company, released its 'Carillon Eagle Mid Cap Growth Fund' first quarter 2025 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. Mid-cap stocks had a challenging first quarter; the Russell Midcap® Growth Index, which was down 7.12%, had greater difficulties than the Russell Midcap® Value Index, which was down 2.11%. In addition, you can check the fund's top 5 holdings to determine its best picks for 2025. In its first-quarter 2025 investor letter, Carillon Eagle Mid Cap Growth Fund highlighted stocks such as Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK). Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) is a footwear, apparel, and accessories company for everyday casual lifestyle and high-performance activities. The one-month return of Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) was -5.39%, and its shares lost 17.68% of their value over the last 52 weeks. On April 1, 2025, Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) stock closed at $110.65 per share with a market capitalization of $16.79 billion. Carillon Eagle Mid Cap Growth Fund stated the following regarding Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) in its Q1 2025 investor letter: "Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) designs, markets and distributes shoes, clothes and accessories globally under brands like UGG, HOKA, Teva, Koolaburra, and AHNU. The stock pulled back substantially due to softer quarterly guidance and uncertainty over the impact of tariffs. Guidance suggests slower HOKA growth than expected, but we believe this is due to challenging year-over-year comparisons and the timing of two new HOKA launches, not necessarily an indication of a material slowdown in HOKA demand." A customer browsing a retail store, finding the perfect footwear for their casual outfits. Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) is not on our list of 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 66 hedge fund portfolios held Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) at the end of the fourth quarter compared to 61 in the third quarter. In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Deckers Outdoor Corporation's (NYSE:DECK) revenue grew 17% year-over-year to $1.8 billion. While we acknowledge the potential of Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as NVIDIA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock. In another article, we covered Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) and shared Louis Navellier's stock picks with huge upside potential. In addition, please check out our hedge fund investor letters Q1 2025 page for more investor letters from hedge funds and other leading investors. READ NEXT: Michael Burry Is Selling These Stocks and A New Dawn Is Coming to US Stocks. Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey. Sign in to access your portfolio

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL): Among Louis Navellier's Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL): Among Louis Navellier's Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential

Yahoo

time24-04-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL): Among Louis Navellier's Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential

We recently published a list of . In this article, we are going to take a look at where Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) stands against other Louis Navellier's stock picks with huge upside potential. Navellier & Associates is an independent money management firm founded in 1987 by renowned stock analyst Louis Navellier. Headquartered in Reno, Nevada, the firm has spent over three decades delivering disciplined, style-consistent investment strategies to both individual and institutional clients. Its core mission is to maximize returns while effectively managing excessive risk, offering customized portfolios built on a proprietary mix of quantitative and fundamental analysis. Distinct from firms that mimic market indexes, Navellier & Associates aims to outperform them, constructing portfolios that exhibit low correlation to standard benchmarks, greater diversification, and reduced overall volatility. Navellier's investment philosophy is based on a rigorous three-step, bottom-up stock selection methodology designed to identify inefficiencies and high-growth opportunities in the market. The first step in this process uses a proprietary quantitative screening system that evaluates market data and individual stock statistics, measuring risk through standard deviation and reward through alpha. This narrows the investment universe to stocks ranking in the top percentiles for favorable risk/reward characteristics. The second step employs fundamental analysis to target companies with strong earnings growth, healthy profit margins, and reasonable forward-looking price-to-earnings ratios. The third and final step involves a proprietary optimization model that strategically allocates portfolio holdings to maximize alpha and minimize volatility. This structured approach results in portfolios that are diversified across sectors and industries and are particularly suited for long-term investors aiming to achieve steady growth in varying market conditions. Louis Navellier, the firm's Founder, Chairman, Chief Investment Officer, and Chief Compliance Officer, continues to oversee the portfolios he helped originate. A highly respected voice in the financial community, Navellier has published quantitative growth stock research since 1980. His insights have been widely disseminated across CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and MarketWatch, and he has been profiled in leading financial publications such as Forbes, Fortune, Barron's, and The Wall Street Journal. His methodologies and career have also been spotlighted in books like Secrets of the Investment All-Stars and Investing Under Fire. Navellier & Associates manages more than $1 billion in private and institutional assets and is a trusted resource for high-net-worth individuals and organizations. The firm offers personalized portfolio reviews that include detailed analysis, risk assessments, and tailored investment recommendations. Portfolio sizes range from $100,000 to over $100 million, and all investment decisions are uniquely customized to align with each client's financial goals, preferences, and risk tolerance. This commitment to individualized service underscores the firm's belief that every investor deserves a strategy tailored to their unique financial journey. As of its latest 13F filing for the fourth quarter of 2024, Navellier & Associates reported managing approximately $834 million in securities. The firm's top ten holdings represent 29.42% of the total portfolio, highlighting a focused yet strategically diversified investment approach rooted in decades of systematic analysis and seasoned market expertise. We searched through Navellier & Associates' Q4 2024 13F filings to identify Louis Navellier's stock picks with the highest upside potential. From the resultant data, we picked out the equities with upside potential higher than 50% based on analyst ratings and discussed why they stood out as sound potential investments. Finally, we ranked the stocks based on their respective price targets according to analysts. Additionally, we have mentioned the hedge fund sentiment around each stock using data from 1,009 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey in the fourth quarter of 2024. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter's strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (). A team of architects meeting around a blueprint to discuss the design of a high-end apartment Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) is a prominent American homebuilding company that specializes in the construction, marketing, and financing of residential and commercial properties across the United States. As of 2020, it ranked as the fifth-largest homebuilder in the country by homebuilding revenue. Known for its focus on luxury homes, Toll Brothers continues to solidify its reputation as a leader in the upscale housing market. On February 18, 2025, Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) announced its financial results for the first quarter ending on January 31, 2025. The company reported net income of $177.7 million, translating to $1.75 per diluted share. This was a decline compared to the same quarter of fiscal year 2024, when it reported net income of $239.6 million and $2.25 per diluted share. Despite the year-over-year decrease, the company maintained solid profitability, supported by income from operations amounting to $219.1 million. Additional contributions from other income, losses from unconsolidated entities, and gross margin from land sales and other sources totaled $2.5 million. The company also demonstrated confidence in its long-term value by repurchasing approximately 0.2 million shares of its stock at an average price of $127.02 per share, amounting to a total investment of $23.7 million. In addition to its financial reporting, Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) announced the expansion of its real estate footprint with the development of Saltgrass at Heron Bay, a new luxury community located in the Heron Bay master-planned development in Parkland, Florida. This initiative is part of Toll Brothers' ongoing efforts to offer premium residential living experiences in high-demand markets, reinforcing its commitment to quality construction, community development, and upscale design in the luxury housing sector. Overall, TOLL ranks 9th on our list of Louis Navellier's stock picks with huge upside potential. While we acknowledge the potential of TOLL as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TOLL but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock. READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires. Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey. 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