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Newsweek
5 days ago
- Politics
- Newsweek
Andrew Cuomo's Chances of Winning New York Mayoral Race
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo has a strong chance of winning the New York mayor primary, latest betting odds show. Cuomo's odds of success stand at 82 percent while his nearest rival, Zohran Mamdani, is on 19 percent, according to Polymarket, at the time of publishing. Why It Matters Cuomo is standing in the primaries for New York City mayor, returning to public life after he resigned as New York Governor in 2021 amid the threat of impeachment over sexual misconduct allegations. Cuomo has always denied the accusations and no charges were ever brought against him. Whoever wins the Democratic primary will likely win the race, as New York City is reliably Democratic. Andrew Cuomo speaks during a Democratic mayoral primary debate, Wednesday, June 4, 2025, in New York. Andrew Cuomo speaks during a Democratic mayoral primary debate, Wednesday, June 4, 2025, in New York. AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura, Pool The election uses ranked-choice ballots, meaning voters select up to five candidates in order of preference. What To Know On Wednesday, nine Democratic candidates faced off in a two-hour debate. The latest odds measure how prospective voters responded to the debate. They show that Cuomo had a slight dip from his 84 percent odds of victory before the debate, but that overall the debate didn't affect voting behavior to a large extent. Polls have shown Cuomo has a strong lead in the run up to the election. A May Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey of 1,000 registered voters, found that 35 percent backed Cuomo on the first round of the ranked-choice ballot, while Mamdani was favored by 23 percent. According to a Marist Poll conducted between May 1 and 8 among 3,383 likely Democratic primary voters, Cuomo was the first choice of 37 percent of respondents, including those who were undecided but leaning toward a candidate. What People Are Saying William F. Hall, an adjunct professor of political science and business at Webster University in St. Louis, Missouri told Newsweek: "Several important factors, including the huge name recognition advantage and extensive political experience, coupled with the significant challenges that any Muslim candidate would face, including Mamdani as a Muslim American running for public office in a major American city populated with an extensive Jewish constituency and heavily sympathetic Jewish leaning political environment, the odds for his chances for success in the New York City Mayoral race, would appear to be extremely daunting and highly unlikely. "Despite several of Cuomo's negative issues that have blemished his career, on balance, there nonetheless still does appear to be a strong viable window for victory for Cuomo, because of the many positive successes he achieved while in public office in the past and especially, in light of the current difficulties experienced in the New York City's Mayors office, under the incumbent." Cuomo during the debate: "I know how to deal with Donald Trump because I've dealt with him before. We fought on a daily basis through COVID. And I won many of those battles ... So he can be beaten, but he has to know that he's up against an adversary who can actually beat him." Queens assemblyman and democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani, during the debate: "The difference between myself and Andrew Cuomo is that my campaign is not funded by the very billionaires who put Donald Trump in D.C." What Happens Next The Democratic primary takes place on 24 June. The general mayoral election takes place on 4 November. Meanwhile, Cuomo is facing another legal issue as House Oversight Chair James Comer requested that the Department of Justice (DOJ) investigate and potentially prosecute him for allegedly lying to Congress about New York State's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in nursing homes. Cuomo's spokesperson Rich Azzopardi told Politico the claims were "nonsense," adding: "As the DOJ constantly reminds people, this kind of transparent attempt at election interference and lawfare violates their own policies."
Miami Herald
14-05-2025
- Politics
- Miami Herald
Andrew Cuomo's Chances of Winning Democratic Primary
Andrew Cuomo is emerging as the clear front-runner in the Democratic primary race for New York City mayor, with new polling showing he is the first choice of nearly 40 percent of likely voters. The strong early showing suggests that Cuomo's political base remains solid, despite past issues, and that his message is resonating with a sizable portion of the Democratic electorate. If these numbers persist, his path to the nomination may be shorter and smoother than expected—reshaping the dynamics of the race and putting pressure on rivals to consolidate support or risk elimination. A primary win for Cuomo would mark a dramatic political comeback, just four years after he resigned as governor in 2021 amid the threat of impeachment over sexual misconduct allegations—which he has consistently denied. According to a new survey by Marist Poll, conducted between May 1-8 among 3,383 likely Democratic primary voters, Cuomo is the first choice of 37 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, including those who are undecided, but leaning toward a candidate. With his closest rival, Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani, trailing at 18 percent, Cuomo's commanding lead places him in a strong position ahead of what's expected to be a fiercely contested race. Trailing Mamdani are NYC Council Speaker Adrienne Adams (9 percent), NYC Comptroller Brad Lander (8 percent), former Manhattan borough president Scott Stringer (4 percent), and State Senator Zellnor Myrie (3 percent). State Senator Jessica Ramos earns 2 percent, Whitney Tilson 1 percent, and former Democratic National Convention Vice Chair Michael Blake polls at under 1 percent. But notably, 17 percent of likely Democratic primary voters remain undecided—leaving room for late shifts in momentum. Nonetheless, the poll shows that Cuomo's support is not only broad, but geographically strong, signaling that his appeal is widespread. He performs best in the Bronx, where he garners 50 percent, and holds 48 percent in both Queens and Staten Island. In Manhattan, he leads with 32 percent, while he and Mamdani are tied at 25 percent each in Brooklyn. Cuomo is also consolidating support among key Democratic constituencies, particularly older voters and communities of color, giving him a critical advantage in the New York City mayoral primary. According to the poll, nearly half of likely Democratic voters aged 45 and older back Cuomo—an important edge given that older voters historically turn out in much higher numbers than younger ones. Mamdani, meanwhile, leads among younger voters, capturing 38 percent of Democrats under 45 compared to just 18 percent for Cuomo. He also commands strong support from the party's left flank, winning nearly half of voters who identify as "very liberal." Cuomo, by contrast, dominates among Democrats who describe themselves as liberal, moderate, or conservative. Racial and ethnic divides are also shaping the race. Cuomo holds overwhelming support among Black voters, with 50 percent saying they plan to vote for him—far ahead of other candidates, including Adams, who is backed by about one in seven Black Democrats. Cuomo also leads among Latino voters, securing 41 percent support—more than double Mamdani's 20 percent. Jewish voters are more divided, with Cuomo leading at 26 percent, followed by Lander (17 percent), Mamdani (14 percent), and Adams (10 percent). And in ranked choice voting projections, Cuomo begins with 44 percent of the vote in the first round—more than double Mamdani's 22 percent. Adams follows with 11 percent, and Lander with 10 percent. By the fifth round, Cuomo breaks the 50 percent threshold, winning with 53 percent of likely Democratic voters (excluding undecided voters), while Mamdani ends with 29 percent, and Lander with 18 percent. Cuomo also led in ranked choice voting projections in a survey conducted by Data for Progress between March 17–24 among 854 likely Democratic primary voters. In that poll, in the first round of the ranked choice simulation, Cuomo led with 39 percent, followed by Mamdani at 15 percent, Lander at 8 percent, and incumbent Mayor Eric Adams at 7 percent. City Council Speaker Adams received 5 percent, while all other candidates polled below that mark. The poll had a margin of error of +3 percentage points. But with three months remaining until the primary election, the dynamics of the race may still shift. Around this point in 2021, Andrew Yang led in public polling by double digits, but ultimately finished fourth, with 12 percent of the vote. Online betting site Polymarket currently puts Cuomo's odds of winning the Democratic primary at 89 percent. Mamdani follows with odds of 7 percent. Every other candidate has odds of 1 percent or less. Current Mayor Adams has exited the Democratic primary and is now seeking reelection through independent ballot lines. On the Republican side, Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa is the party's nominee, while attorney Jim Walden is mounting his own independent campaign. Marist pollster Lee Miringoff said: "Right now Cuomo is on a path to success. Someone is going to have to bring him down." Early voting for the primary is set to run from June 14-22. Related Articles Donald Trump's Approval Rating Suffers Double DentPete Buttigieg's 2028 Chances as He Gives Update on Possible RunNew Jersey Governor Race Update: What Polls Say Four Weeks Ahead of PrimaryDonald Trump's Approval Rating Reaches New Low Point: Poll 2025 NEWSWEEK DIGITAL LLC.
Newsweek
14-05-2025
- Politics
- Newsweek
Andrew Cuomo's Chances of Winning Democratic Primary
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Andrew Cuomo is emerging as the clear front-runner in the Democratic primary race for New York City mayor, with new polling showing he is the first choice of nearly 40 percent of likely voters. Why It Matters The strong early showing suggests that Cuomo's political base remains solid, despite past issues, and that his message is resonating with a sizable portion of the Democratic electorate. If these numbers persist, his path to the nomination may be shorter and smoother than expected—reshaping the dynamics of the race and putting pressure on rivals to consolidate support or risk elimination. A primary win for Cuomo would mark a dramatic political comeback, just four years after he resigned as governor in 2021 amid the threat of impeachment over sexual misconduct allegations—which he has consistently denied. What To Know According to a new survey by Marist Poll, conducted between May 1-8 among 3,383 likely Democratic primary voters, Cuomo is the first choice of 37 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, including those who are undecided, but leaning toward a candidate. With his closest rival, Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani, trailing at 18 percent, Cuomo's commanding lead places him in a strong position ahead of what's expected to be a fiercely contested race. Trailing Mamdani are NYC Council Speaker Adrienne Adams (9 percent), NYC Comptroller Brad Lander (8 percent), former Manhattan borough president Scott Stringer (4 percent), and State Senator Zellnor Myrie (3 percent). State Senator Jessica Ramos earns 2 percent, Whitney Tilson 1 percent, and former Democratic National Convention Vice Chair Michael Blake polls at under 1 percent. Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo speaks during a mayoral candidates' forum on April 23, 2025, in New York City. Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo speaks during a mayoral candidates' forum on April 23, 2025, in New York City. Frank Franklin II/AP But notably, 17 percent of likely Democratic primary voters remain undecided—leaving room for late shifts in momentum. Nonetheless, the poll shows that Cuomo's support is not only broad, but geographically strong, signaling that his appeal is widespread. He performs best in the Bronx, where he garners 50 percent, and holds 48 percent in both Queens and Staten Island. In Manhattan, he leads with 32 percent, while he and Mamdani are tied at 25 percent each in Brooklyn. Cuomo is also consolidating support among key Democratic constituencies, particularly older voters and communities of color, giving him a critical advantage in the New York City mayoral primary. According to the poll, nearly half of likely Democratic voters aged 45 and older back Cuomo—an important edge given that older voters historically turn out in much higher numbers than younger ones. Mamdani, meanwhile, leads among younger voters, capturing 38 percent of Democrats under 45 compared to just 18 percent for Cuomo. He also commands strong support from the party's left flank, winning nearly half of voters who identify as "very liberal." Cuomo, by contrast, dominates among Democrats who describe themselves as liberal, moderate, or conservative. Racial and ethnic divides are also shaping the race. Cuomo holds overwhelming support among Black voters, with 50 percent saying they plan to vote for him—far ahead of other candidates, including Adams, who is backed by about one in seven Black Democrats. Cuomo also leads among Latino voters, securing 41 percent support—more than double Mamdani's 20 percent. Jewish voters are more divided, with Cuomo leading at 26 percent, followed by Lander (17 percent), Mamdani (14 percent), and Adams (10 percent). And in ranked choice voting projections, Cuomo begins with 44 percent of the vote in the first round—more than double Mamdani's 22 percent. Adams follows with 11 percent, and Lander with 10 percent. By the fifth round, Cuomo breaks the 50 percent threshold, winning with 53 percent of likely Democratic voters (excluding undecided voters), while Mamdani ends with 29 percent, and Lander with 18 percent. Cuomo also led in ranked choice voting projections in a survey conducted by Data for Progress between March 17–24 among 854 likely Democratic primary voters. In that poll, in the first round of the ranked choice simulation, Cuomo led with 39 percent, followed by Mamdani at 15 percent, Lander at 8 percent, and incumbent Mayor Eric Adams at 7 percent. City Council Speaker Adams received 5 percent, while all other candidates polled below that mark. The poll had a margin of error of +3 percentage points. But with three months remaining until the primary election, the dynamics of the race may still shift. Around this point in 2021, Andrew Yang led in public polling by double digits, but ultimately finished fourth, with 12 percent of the vote. Online betting site Polymarket currently puts Cuomo's odds of winning the Democratic primary at 89 percent. Mamdani follows with odds of 7 percent. Every other candidate has odds of 1 percent or less. Current Mayor Adams has exited the Democratic primary and is now seeking reelection through independent ballot lines. On the Republican side, Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa is the party's nominee, while attorney Jim Walden is mounting his own independent campaign. What People Are Saying Marist pollster Lee Miringoff said: "Right now Cuomo is on a path to success. Someone is going to have to bring him down." What Happens Next Early voting for the primary is set to run from June 14-22.
Newsweek
03-05-2025
- Politics
- Newsweek
List of Cities Hosting 50501 May Day Protests Over the Weekend
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Dozens of cities across the country are hosting "May Day" protests over the weekend to oppose President Donald Trump's administration and policies. Newsweek reached out to the White House for comment via email. Why It Matters The group 50501, one of the organizers of these protests, has become one of the most influential groups organizing demonstrations against Trump since his return to the Oval Office in January. It has organized rallies in all corners of the country this year in every state, from deep blue California to ruby red West Virginia. Trump is facing growing dissatisfaction from many Americans as the 100-day mark of his second tenure in office passed this week. A Marist Poll released this week showed 53 percent of Americans disapprove of his job performance, while 42 percent gave him positive marks for the first few months of his term. It polled 1,439 adults from April 21 to 23 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. What To Know Demonstrations were held by 50501 and May Day Strong in every state this week for May 1, when "May Day" is celebrated. "May Day" is a holiday in which labor workers are celebrated, and protests calling for working class solidarity often go with the day. May Day Strong's website calls for protests to promote a "united, pro-immigrant, anti-racist working class politics in this country." Individuals looking to protest who missed the Thursday demonstrations will have more opportunities to do so over the weekend, when dozens of other protests are planned for most states. Demonstrators rally in Philadelphia on May 1 as part of a "May Day" rally. Demonstrators rally in Philadelphia on May 1 as part of a "May Day" rally. MATTHEW HATCHER/AFP via Getty Images List of Cities Hosting 50501 May Day Protests This Weekend Here's a look at one event happening in each state, though gatherers should know many states are hosting multiple protests in various cities. For a complete list of events, visit the 50501's website. Gustavus, Alaska: 2 p.m. on May 3 at the Gustavus dock Tempe, Arizona: 10 a.m. on May 3 at 2077 E University Dr. Little Rock, Arkansas: 2 p.m. on May 3 at 500 Woodlane St. Palo Alto, California: 1:30 p.m. on May 3 at 4180 El Camino Real Golden, Colorado: 12:30 p.m. on May 3 at the Genesee Overpass Westport, Connecticut: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 1 Parker Harding Plaza Newark, Delaware: 11 a.m. on May 3 at East Main St. & South College Ave. Clermont, Florida: 10 a.m. on May 4 at 16729 Cagan Oaks Atlanta: 2 p.m. on May 3 at 371 10th St. NE Salmon, Idaho: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 201 Main St. Joliet, Illinois: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 100 W Jefferson St. Kokomo, Indiana: 5 p.m. on May 3 at 104 N Buckeye St. Cedar Rapids, Iowa: 12 p.m. on May 3 at 2nd St. SE & 8th Ave. SE Owensboro, Kentucky: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 2911 W Parrish Ave. Baton Rouge, Louisiana 1:30 p.m. on May 4 at 900 N 3rd St. Machias, Maine: 12 p.m. on May 3 at 16 O'Brien Ave. Owings Mills, Maryland: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 9428 Reisterstown Rd. Worcester, Massachusetts: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 43 Belmont Street 290 Overpass Troy, Michigan: 1 p.m. on May 3 at 43 Belmont Street 290 Overpass Duluth, Minnesota: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 1242 88th Ave W. Helena, Montana: 12 p.m. on May 3 at 1301 E 6th Ave. Reno, Nevada: 10:30 a.m. on May 3 Plaistow, New Hampshire: 1 p.m. on May 3 at 145 Main St. Jersey City, New Jersey: 10 a.m. on May 3 at Grove Street Plaza Alamogordo, New Mexico: 10 a.m. on May 3 at 1001 N White Sands Blvd. Mamaroneck, New York: 4 p.m. on May 3 at 60-98 Harbor Island Park Charlotte, North Carolina: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 4938 Central Ave. Bismark, North Dakota: 12 p.m. on May 3 at 600 E Boulevard Ave. Cleveland: 11 a.m. on May 3 at East 9th Street & Lakeside Avenue East Oklahoma City: 1 p.m. on May 4 at 300 SW 7th St. Portland, Oregon: 12 p.m. on May 3 at 1403 S Harbor Way Pittsburgh: 12:30 p.m. on May 3 at 414 Grant St. Providence, Rhode Island: 12 p.m. on May 3 at 82 Smith St. West Columbia, South Carolina: 12 p.m. on May 3 at 2999 Sunset Blvd. Nashville, Tennessee: 12 p.m. on May 3 at Union St. & 3rd Ave. North Allen, Texas: 11 a.m. on May 3 at 970 Garden Park Dr. Provo, Utah: 1 p.m. on May 3 at 445 W Center St. South Burlington, Vermont: 11:30 a.m. on May 3 at 1001 Shelburne Rd. Fredericksburg, Virginia: 10 a.m. on May 3 at 1516 William St. Washington, D.C.: 2 p.m. on May 3 at 1700 G St. NW Seattle: 1:30 p.m. on May 3 at 305 Harrison St. Charleston, West Virginia: 11 a.m. on May 3 La Crosse, Wisconsin: 12 p.m. on May 3 at State Rd. and Losey Blvd. What People Are Saying 50501 posted on its Instagram account: "May Day has always belonged to the people. It was born out of the struggle for an eight-hour workday—and today, we continue that legacy by fighting for dignity, justice, and freedom for ALL." Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social this week: "The Radical Left Democrats are paying a fortune to have people infiltrate the Town Halls of Republican Congressmen/women and Senators. "These Great Patriot Politicians should not treat them nicely. Have them immediately ejected from the room—They are disruptors and troublemakers. You must allow your audience to know what you are up against, or else they will think they are Republicans, and that there is dissension in the Party." What Happens Next? Protests against the Trump administration are likely to continue over the coming years as Democrats continue opposing his administration. Organizers with 50501 have said they plan to keep up momentum through the summer.
Yahoo
27-03-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
How to start saving money from scratch
Adults in the U.S. struggle with saving money. Thirty-five percent of respondents in a recent survey by Yahoo Finance/Marist Poll said they are 'very' or 'completely dissatisfied' with how much they saved in 2024. And one-third (33%) said they couldn't cover bills for even one month if they lost their income. But it's not just bad financial habits that are to blame. Whether money is tight, you have a habit of overspending, or you simply don't know how to get started with saving money, there are ways to turn things around. Here are some simple tips for jump-starting your savings. Let go of the idea that there's a certain amount of money you have to save — and just start. There really is no amount too small to make a difference in your finances, even if it's just a few dollars a week or month. For example, if you save $20 a week, you'll have $1,040 in savings in a year, plus any interest you earn. That's certainly much better than saving $0. Read more: How the 52-week savings challenge can help you save $1,300 in one year The easiest way to build a life-long savings habit is to put your contributions on auto-pilot. Reach out to your human resources or payroll representative — or to your bank — to set up an automatic contribution to your savings from each paycheck. When you do, you'll ensure you always save some of the money you earn. It's a strategy known as 'paying yourself first.' This method also helps you save far more than you would if you only made a one-time contribution. Sure, you can deposit the random $100 to your savings on a whim, but if you contribute $20 from each paycheck (assuming you're paid bi-weekly), you'll have more than five times that amount saved at the end of a year ($520) plus interest. Read more: How much of your paycheck should you save? Look for a bank account that gives you incentives to put your money into savings with no monthly fees. For example, the best high-yield savings accounts currently offer upwards of 4% APY. That's significantly higher than the national average savings account rate of 0.41%. If you had $5,000 sitting in an account earning 4% APY, you'd earn about $200 in interest over the course of a year with no extra work on your part. You can also look into Individual Development Accounts (IDAs), which are accounts that help people with low incomes save for specific goals, such as paying for school. The main benefit? Part of your contribution is matched, meaning you get free money to help you reach your goal. Plus, when you put your cash into a savings account at a bank or credit union, your deposits are federally insured up to $250,000 in the rare instance the financial institution fails. Look through your recent bank and credit card statements and highlight all of the unnecessary expenses, such as subscriptions you don't use. Then, choose spending categories you can eliminate or swap out for cheaper alternatives, even if it's just temporarily. For example: Go without streaming services for a few months and check out books or other media from the library instead. Pack sandwiches instead of buying lunch at work or on the go. Delete retail apps from your phone and buy clothing items you need at second-hand stores or on sale. You might also take some time to repair old clothing items. How long should you cut back for? The answer is up to you. If you want a specific target to aim for, start by saving an amount equal to one month's rent or mortgage. Then, work your way up to an emergency fund equal to at least three months' worth of your living expenses. That way, you can rely on your savings instead of taking on debt if a surprise expense comes up. Read more: 5 psychological money hacks to cut spending and increase savings When your financial situation improves, it's natural to start spending more money. But if you do, you may never be able to save enough for emergencies or retirement. This phenomenon — also known as lifestyle creep or lifestyle inflation — is one reason nearly 30% of people who earn over $100,000 say they don't have enough money saved for emergencies. How can you avoid lifestyle creep? When you get a pay raise or pay off debt, increase your savings instead of your spending. For example, if your credit card payment is $150 a month and you pay off the card, increase your automatic savings contribution by $150 a month. If you get a raise that increases your take-home pay by $200 per paycheck, increase your savings contribution by $200 per pay period. And if you get a one-time financial boost, such as a tax refund or an end-of-year bonus, add that money to your savings too. Read more: How to save money in 2025: 50 tips to grow your wealth
