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Newsweek
24-05-2025
- Business
- Newsweek
Donald Trump's Approval Rating Goes Negative With Republican Pollster
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. President Donald Trump's approval rating has dipped into negative territory, according to a poll conducted by a Republican-leaning pollster. The latest RMG Research/Napolitan News poll, conducted between May 14-21 among 3,000 registered voters, shows Trump's approval rating at 48 percent, while 50 percent disapprove. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percentage points. That is down from a 52 percent approval rating and a 48 percent disapproval rating in early May. All but one RMG Research poll has shown Trump's approval rating above water since his second term began, varying between 55 and 49 percent. The only survey to show Trump with a net negative approval rating was a mid-April poll, taken just weeks after he unveiled his "Liberation Day" tariffs. The move triggered a temporary Dow Jones crash and stoked fears of rising inflation and an impending recession, causing his approval numbers to sink across the board. According to that poll, 48 percent approved of Trump's performance, while 51 percent disapproved. Other polls conducted between then and the beginning of May saw his approval and disapproval ratings fluctuating between 48 and 49 percent, suggesting that Trump's approval rating is stabilizing again. Why It Matters Recent polls had shown Trump's approval rating creeping back up after a period of decline following the introduction of his "Liberation Day" tariffs in April, which saw the stock market fall. But polls published in recent days show a more complicated picture of Trump's support. President Donald Trump silences his mobile phone which rang two times as he was speaking to reporters after signing executive orders regarding nuclear energy in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington on... President Donald Trump silences his mobile phone which rang two times as he was speaking to reporters after signing executive orders regarding nuclear energy in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington on May 23, 2025. More Evan Vucci/AP What To Know The majority of polls published in recent days have shown Trump's net approval ratings deep underwater, but they paint a mixed picture. Some polls have shown his approval ratings ticking up in recent days. That includes Newsweek's tracker, which shows that Trump's approval rating currently stands at 46 percent, while 51 percent disapprove of the president. Earlier this month, his approval rating stood at 44 percent, while his disapproval rate was firmly in the 50s. The latest Insider Advantage poll, conducted between May 17 and 19 among 1,000 likely voters, gave Trump a net approval rating of +11 points, with 55 percent approving and 44 percent disapproving. That was up from a net approval rating of +2 points in early May, when 46 percent approved and 44 percent disapproved. And the latest Morning Consult poll also showed a surge in Trump's approval rating, with 48 percent approving and 50 percent disapproving, giving the president a net approval rating of -2 points, his highest approval rating since mid-March. This is up from -7 in early May, when he had a 45 percent approval rating and 52 percent disapproved. Meanwhile, the latest J.L. Partners/Daily Mail poll conducted between May 13 and 14 among 1,003 registered voters put Trump's approval rating at 50 percent, up 5 points from 45 percent in April. Poll Date Approve Disapprove Quantus May 18-20 48 48 Civiqs May 17-20 47 52 American Research Group May 17-20 41 55 Insider Advantage May 17-19 55 44 Morning Consult May 16-19 48 50 YouGov/Economist May 16-19 43 51 Reuters/Ipsos May 16-18 42 52 Navigator Research May 15-18 44 54 RMG Research May 14-21 48 50 Gallup May 1-18 43 53 The overarching trend in the polls is one of stability, with some showing that his ratings have not substantially changed beyond a 1- or 2-point dip—within the margin of error—or have not changed at all. That includes the most recent Navigator Research poll, conducted between May 15-18 among 1,376 registered voters, which showed Trump's approval rating stands at 44 percent, while 54 percent disapprove. That is unchanged from April. Similarly, in Quantus' latest poll, conducted between May 18-20, Trump's approval rating stood at 48 percent, while 48 percent disapproved. That is unchanged from a poll conducted earlier in May, and an April poll also showed his approval rating stood at 48 percent, while his disapproval rating was 2 points higher at 50 percent. Marquette's most recent poll also showed his approval rating unchanged from March, while an American Research Group poll, conducted between March 17 and 20 among 1,100 adults, put Trump's approval rating at 41 percent, down just 2 points from 43 percent in April. His disapproval grew from 53 percent to 55 percent. A YouGov/Economist poll conducted from May 16 to 19 pegged Trump's approval at 43 percent, up 1 point from 42 percent the previous week, while disapproval ticked down slightly from 52 percent to 51 percent. The same pattern occurred in the latest Civiqs poll, conducted between May 17 and 20 among 1,018 registered voters. And in Gallup's latest poll, conducted between May 1 and May 18 among 1,003 adults, Trump's approval rating fell by 1 point to 43 percent, while his disapproval rating remained unchanged since April at 53 percent. Thomas Gift, an associate professor of political science and director of the Centre on U.S. Politics at University College London, told Newsweek that the stability in Trump's polling numbers is "emblematic of a deeply polarized electorate." "His floor of support has proven incredibly durable over time, even amid huge major controversies and unflattering media coverage," he added. How Trump's Approval Rating Compares To First Term The RealClearPolitics tracker shows that on May 24, 2017, Trump's approval rating was 40 percent, while his disapproval rating was 54 percent. This gave him a net approval rating of -14 points, making Trump more popular now than at the same point in his first stint in the Oval Office. How Trump's Approval Rating Compares To Biden's Trump's 46 percent approval rating is lower than that of former President Joe Biden at the same point in his presidency. On May 24, 2021, Biden stood at 54 percent, with a disapproval rating of 42 percent, according to RealClearPolitics. While Trump began his second term with his highest approval rating, according to Gallup's first poll of Trump's second term, conducted between January 21 and 27, he was still less popular than any president since 1953 at the start of a term and the only one to begin with a sub-50 percent approval rating. Gallup said Biden started his first term with a 57 percent approval rating. According to data compiled from Gallup by The American Presidency Project, Trump ranks far below other recently elected presidents after 100 days, dating to Dwight Eisenhower, who had an approval rating of 73 percent. Other recently elected presidents with higher approval ratings at the 100-day mark include John F. Kennedy, 83 percent; Richard Nixon, 62 percent; Jimmy Carter, 63 percent; Ronald Reagan, 68 percent; George H.W. Bush, 56 percent; Bill Clinton, 55 percent; George W. Bush, 62 percent; and Barack Obama, 65 percent. What Happens Next Trump's approval rating could fluctuate in the coming weeks, depending on the outcome of key events, including critical negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine war, the evolving tariff situation and concerns about a recession.
Newsweek
17-05-2025
- Health
- Newsweek
Californians Back Cutting Health Care For Illegal Migrants: Poll
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. A majority of California voters support ending taxpayer-funded health care for undocumented immigrants, according to a new poll. Why It Matters The results come just weeks after California Governor Gavin Newsom announced plans to roll back state-funded health coverage for undocumented residents after promising universal health care for all, regardless of immigration status. California has been offering Medi-Cal, the state's Medicaid program, to everyone who qualifies in the state — regardless of immigration status — since January 2024. What To Know On Wednesday, Newsom announced a new budget plan that seeks to cut back on health care benefits for undocumented immigrants. The move sparked backlash from other members of his party, with one Democrat calling the decision "harmful and shortsighted," but the latest data suggests that Newsom's U-turn appears to align with voter sentiment. A new Napolitan News/RMG Research poll, conducted between February 10–12 among 800 registered California voters, found that 60 percent of Californians think illegal immigrants living in America should not be provided with taxpayer funded health care. The poll also found that 72 percent believe illegal immigration is harmful to the country. The poll had a margin of error of ±3.5 percentage Research is a a Republican-leaning pollster. Calif. Gov. Gavin Newsom presents his revised 2025-2026 state budget during a news conference in Sacramento, Calif., Wednesday, May 14, 2025. Calif. Gov. Gavin Newsom presents his revised 2025-2026 state budget during a news conference in Sacramento, Calif., Wednesday, May 14, 2025. Rich Pedroncelli/AP It comes after a POLITICO-UC Berkeley Citrin Center survey, conducted April 1–14 among 1,025 registered voters and 718 influencers, found that only 21 percent of California voters support continuing Medicaid coverage for undocumented immigrants even if it means cutting other programs. Another 32 percent back the program but want legal residents prioritized if cuts are needed. Meanwhile, 31 percent say the state should never have extended Medicaid to undocumented immigrants, and 17 percent support partially or fully reversing the policy. Newsom said his new proposal is aimed at helping close California's budget gap, which has ballooned to a multibillion-dollar shortfall. He attributed the deficit to President Donald Trump's tariff policies and rising costs tied to increased enrollment in Medi-Cal, the state's Medicaid program. According to fact sheets released by Newsom's office ahead of the proposal's formal presentation, his 2025-26 budget would freeze enrollment in full-scope Medi-Cal for undocumented adults starting in 2026. The freeze would apply only to new applicants age 19 and older. Current enrollees would remain covered, and the freeze would not affect those on limited-benefit plans, such as those covering emergency or pregnancy-related services. In addition, the proposal includes a new $100 monthly premium for adults 19 and older with what the state calls "unsatisfactory immigration status"—a category that includes undocumented immigrants as well as some with legal status who are ineligible for federally funded Medicaid. These premiums would begin in 2027. Newsom's office described the changes as "corrective action" in response to a projected $16 billion revenue shortfall, again pointing to Trump's "pendulum swings on tariffs" and the surging cost of the Medi-Cal expansion. "California is under assault," Newsom said, blaming Trump for undermining economic growth. "The United States of America, in many respects, is under assault because we have a president that's been reckless in terms of assaulting growth engines." But the proposal has come under fire. Carlos Alarcon, a health and public benefits analyst with the California Immigrant Policy Center, told CBS: "The governor should keep his commitment — we'll be very disappointed if we see cuts and rollbacks. When times get hard, it's always our marginalized and underserved communities that lose out." And in a statement, state Senator María Elena Durazo said, "Rolling back this progress would be a harmful and shortsighted decision." Newsom denied this week that his administration was "cutting or rolling back" the program, saying that, "We're just capping it, particularly for those without documentation." In recent weeks, Newsom, who is believed to be a contender for the 2028 Democratic presidential election, has shifted his rhetoric toward the political center—and in some cases, to the right. In a recent interview, Newsom expressed ambivalence about a presidential bid, telling the Los Angeles Times: "I have to have a burning why, and I have to have a compelling vision that distinguishes myself from anybody else. Without that, without both...I don't deserve to even be in the conversation." What People Are Saying Democratic strategist Christy Setzer told Newsweek: "Few people have blown through goodwill with Democrats like Gavin Newsom." Representative Pramila Jayapal of Washington, a Democrat, this week wrote on X: "Immigrants aren't making health care more expensive – Republicans are. Trans people aren't making health care more expensive – Republicans are. Poor people aren't making health care more expensive – Republicans are." Gerald Posner, an investigative journalist, this week wrote on X: "Wasn't this always simply math? How was it possible that California didn't know that giving free health care to all low income residents - regardless of immigration status - would bust the budget? Newsom belatedly is trying to fix it. Good luck with that" What Happens Next Newsom has proposed freezing Medi-Cal for undocumented adults starting in 2026
Yahoo
14-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Opinion: America needs real fiscal reform
A thin majority (52%) of Americans believe it is possible to both balance the federal budget and cut taxes at the same time, while slightly less (48%) believe the budget could be fixed simply by reducing the growth of spending in Washington. An optimist would take comfort that at least a good portion of the public believes fiscal sanity is within reach. Without at least a belief, the nation doesn't stand a chance. But others may say those figures, part of a poll conducted by RMG Research for Napolitan News, demonstrate how few people grasp the challenge of closing an annual deficit that hovers around $2 trillion, let alone what it would take to chip away at a national debt that is nearing $37 trillion. I will always lean toward the optimists, especially when I consider how dire the opposite — total fiscal collapse — would be. But I'm also a realist. Donald Trump's proposed budget doesn't get us there. Oh, it would do a lot of things you might like. You could deduct the interest you pay on car loans. Every baby your family brings into the world would receive a $1,000 savings account as a start on life, with parents or others allowed to add up to $5,000 per year to the account, tax free, until the child is 31. Taxes on tips and overtime earnings would disappear, within limits, and people 65 or older would see an extra $4,000 added to their standard deduction, meaning they would pay less in taxes. Lower taxes will spur economic growth. It would make some deep cuts, including to bureaucracies and redundant programs. But it also chips away at Medicaid, an entitlement program for which states pay about 30%, by pushing more costs onto states, much of which they can't afford. Many poor people would lose services, as was made clear in an analysis sent to two members of Congress earlier this month by the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office. It may be easier to pick on low-income, needy people than the more well-heeled recipients of Social Security and Medicare. It may be tough to say no to the military. But you can't fix the budget without fixing them first. The proposed budget is 'more rhetorical than revolutionary,' wrote Veronique de Rugy, the George Gibbs Chair in Political Economy and Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center. In a piece published both by Reason magazine and the Cato Institute, she said the cuts may look impressive, but they 'lose luster' when compared to the added spending for the military and border security and the continuation of the 2017 tax cuts. 'And for all its fiery declarations, the budget fails to truly confront the drivers of our fiscal crisis,' she said. Any genuine discussion about fiscal sanity should begin with the University of Pennsylvania's Penn Wharton Budget Model brief that was released nearly two years ago. It estimated that disaster will come when the nation's total debt equals about 200% of its economic output, or GDP. And, at the time, the scholars there estimated the nation had 20 years, probably less, until that point. Disaster will be triggered when investors believe the U.S. is no longer capable of paying its debts. When that happens, according to the brief authored by Jagadeesh Gokhale and Kent Smetters, 'no amount of future tax increases or spending cuts could avoid the government defaulting on its debt whether explicitly or implicitly.' The U.S. would have little choice but to inflate the dollar in an attempt to pay off the debt at interest rates that would have to rise in order to attract skittish investors. That would lead to the destruction of wealth and increased unemployment. Viewed against those predictions, both the Trump administration and those who decry his proposed cuts miss the point. Yes, politicians should be more surgical and smart than they are now in cutting. But no one should turn a blind eye to what's at stake. Fifteen years ago, former Wyoming Sen. Alan Simpson, a Republican, and Bill Clinton's former chief of staff, Democrat Erskine Bowles, got together and devised a credible plan to save the nation fiscally through strategic tax hikes and budget cuts. No one in Washington wanted to touch it. That was when the national debt totaled only $12 trillion. As de Rugy put it: 'We don't need more of the same; we need evidence of a serious turnaround. Until that happens, we have little choice but to assume that Trump's budget is another big-government blueprint in small-government clothing.' Instead of just believing, maybe Americans should start demanding action while there is still time.
