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IOL News
28-05-2025
- Business
- IOL News
Property group urges SARB to cut interest rates for economic growth and job creation
Lower interest rates will reduce the cost of financing homes, thus enabling a higher affordability at a given monthly financing payment. Image: Simphiwe Mbokazi / Independent Newspapers. A South African property group has reiterated its call for the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to step in with an interest rate cut as a vital stimulus for economic growth and job creation. National year-on-year house price inflation has maintained a modest pace of 2.8%, according to the latest figures from Lightstone's Property Index. This steady, albeit sluggish, trend is echoed in the RE/MAX National Housing Report for the first quarter of this year, which reveals a 2.1% increase in average house prices compared to the same period in 2024. With Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) sitting close by at 2.7% as of March, these figures paint a nuanced picture of South Africa's residential property landscape. As the economy stands at a pivotal juncture, a robust cut of at least 25 to 50 basis points is not just desirable but a critical imperative, according to Samuel Seeff, chairman of the Seeff Property Group. He said the country simply can no longer bear keeping the interest rate so high for so long. As it is, he said the overly cautious approach by the bank has missed at least two opportunities to provide relief to consumers and the economy. 'The pressing challenge of unemployment simply can no longer wait. A decisive move by the SARB now would signal a commitment to revitalising economic activity. It would also provide much-needed support to businesses and consumers, and facilitate an environment conducive to investment and job creation,' Seeff said. The property group said the case for such monetary easing is strongly supported by the current inflation landscape. It said despite the recent benign increase in inflation to 2.8%, it remains comfortably below the Reserve Bank's 3-6% target range. Despite headwinds out of Washington, it said the rand has also strengthened to below R18 to the US dollar. Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Advertisement Next Stay Close ✕ Ad Loading At the time of the open yesterday, the USDZAR traded at R17.88, according to Reezwana Sumad, research analyst at Nedbank CIB. 'The USDZAR traded steadily weaker over the course of the session to close the session at R17.92. Since the close last night, it has traded incrementally weaker, and the USDZAR is trading at R17.98 currently this morning. "The major currency pairs have also lost ground to the USD, with the EURUSD trading at 1,1305 this morning and the GBPUSD at 1,3470. Possible trading range for the USDZAR today(Wednesday) is R17,80 to R18.15,' Sumad said. She added that the local markets have traded cautiously over the week thus far and are likely to remain so ahead of the SARB's MPC. On the international front, she said headlines from the US continue to provide the catalyst for market activity. Seeff said the prevailing remarkably low inflation level indicated that demand-side pressures are relatively subdued and the risks of igniting an inflationary spiral through a rate cut are minimal at this stage. He said the stability of the currency provides further mitigation, thus providing a valuable window for the SARB to implement a more accommodative monetary policy stance that directly benefits the domestic economy. According to data analysed by Lightstone, which evaluated property bought by a natural person and where the transaction was for a single property, young homeowners are entering the market later than they did in the past, and are opting for bonded, secure living. In 2024, people aged between 20-35 (youth) accounted for 30% of residential property purchases, down from 36% in 2019 and 41% in 2014, with tough economic conditions and changing lifestyles cited as the likely reasons behind the shift. While youth accounted for 30% (52 500) of residential property transactions in 2024, it was the second largest group behind the Settled category (36-50) at 43% (76 000). The Mature category (51-64) (38 000) accounted for 21%, while the Pension category (65 and older) accounted for 6% (10 000). While the recent rate cuts have provided some relief, Seeff said the benefits have now been eroded by keeping the interest rate at least 100 basis points above the pre-Covid rate. He said time is ticking and the country simply can no longer wait. Seeff said there is now a golden opportunity for the bank to act boldly within the available monetary policy space to address the urgent needs of economic recovery and expansion without jeopardising its price stability mandate. A rate cut would inject much-needed momentum into the economy by lowering borrowing costs for businesses and stimulating investment while adding more money into the pockets of consumers to spend in the economy, he said. The property group said while a 25bps cut would be most welcome, they urged the Bank to provide a more robust cut of at least 50bps as an immediate injection of economic confidence to kickstart the economy. 'Naturally, the property market, which currently lags the pre-Covid volumes, will also benefit from a more pronounced rate cut. Aside from enabling more first-time property buyers to get into the market, it is an important economic contributor with a significant economic multiplier benefit,' Seeff said. Independent Media Property
IOL News
24-04-2025
- Business
- IOL News
Navigating South Africa's commercial real estate amidst political and global challenges
Between March 2017 and March 2020, SA REITs lost more than 70% of their value, and while it had clawed back nearly 68% in value excluding dividends, it remained 50% below March 2017 levels. Image: Supplied The commercial real estate sector in South Africa is being tested by a mix of local political uncertainty and mounting global trade pressure, but the market is holding up with investors adopting a wait-and-see approach. Earlier this month, the rand approached a historic low of R19.93 against the US dollar before recovering to R18.97 by April 14. Simultaneously, the JSE All Share Index saw significant volatility, dropping from 89 950.79 on March 31 to 82 485.81 on April 9, before rebounding to 88 162.30 by April 14. Meanwhile, the FTSE/JSE listed Property Index was down by only 1.34% year-to-date on Tuesday, while it was up 21.93% over a 12-month period. Over three months it was up 0.55%. The catalyst for the currency and volatility on the JSE? A 31% reciprocal trade tariff from the US (effective April 9), that's sent shockwaves across emerging markets. It's a sharp departure from South Africa's average 7.6% tariff and effectively sidelines the benefits previously granted to Sub-Saharan African economies under AGOA (African Growth and Opportunity Act). "South Africa's commercial real estate market has been through its fair share of storms. It's proven resilient, especially in the face of structural constraints. Yes, short-term volatility might slow certain deals or make tenants a bit more cautious, but the fundamentals are there—particularly in logistics, repurposed office space, and tourism-driven assets,' said Galetti Corporate Real Estate CEO John Jack in a statement. The local commercial real estate market came back strongly in late 2024, vacancies fell, net operating incomes improved, and there was an uptick in investor appetite. This was helped by rate cuts, easing inflation, more consistent energy supply, and the formation of the GNU. 'Not everyone is pulling their capital offshore; many investors are now simply re-evaluating—and that creates opportunity,' he said. 'South Africa kicked off 2025 on a high note, driven by lower interest rates, a stronger rand, reduced loadshedding, and a boost in investor confidence. By mid-January, we saw solid traction, especially in the resources sector, which bolstered activity on the JSE. Fast-forward to now and we're seeing capital flow back into safe havens as risk-off behaviour takes hold,' he said. "In periods like this, the smart money tends to chase yield and stability—and that's exactly what the right property assets offer. They're long-term, income-generating and tend to outperform when the broader market feels uncertain,' he said. The SA Reit Association's online publication said improving fundamentals in South Africa continue to point towards a return to net property income and dividend growth for the sector over the next 2 to 3 years, and the sector is better positioned to weather uncertainty that lies ahead. Jack said South Africa's real estate market continues to offer compelling yields—particularly in sectors with tight fundamentals. Bricks-and-mortar assets offered predictability and protection, and the sector was increasingly being seen as a strategic hedge. The association said SA REITs (real estate investment trusts) had rebounded 68% since the Covid-19 crash, and properties were still trading at significant discounts to net asset value, with many offering long-term upside despite short-term global market volatility.
