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Yahoo
14-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Despite red ink at Heartland, Morgan Stanley report relatively upbeat
With Heartland Express holding no conference call with analysts and recording a series of unprofitable quarters, outside reviews of the truckload carrier's performance can be infrequent. But the transportation team at Morgan Stanley led by Ravi Shanker has done so for Heartland's first quarter. And despite another quarter of both operating and net losses at Heartland, the Wall Street investment firm, in a report released Tuesday, kept its rating of equal weight – EW – on the truckload carrier's stock, which is down about 20.5% in the past three months and 22.5% in the past year. The stability in Morgan Stanley's outlook was driven in part by statements Heartland CEO Mike Gerdin made in the release of the earnings. Gerdin said Heartland (NASDAQ: HTLD) would 'strategically shrink the fleet in order to right size to freight demand along with evaluating all cost measures for opportunity for efficiency.'''It is encouraging to see Heartland outline fleet size and cost actions following 7 quarters without an operating profit,' Morgan Stanley wrote. But the analysis also questioned whether such a decision should have been made earlier. 'The decision to rightsize the fleet begs the question of whether this may be a little too late, as we suspect the second half to likely see a strong rebound as a 1H drawdown of inventory leads to a back half restock,' Morgan Stanley wrote. However, the 'caveat' to that statement, the analyst team wrote, is assuming a 'favorable tariff resolution and no material step back from the consumer.' Morgan Stanley used a recently popular term to describe the phenomenon of a sudden disappearance of imported freight from China due to tariffs: the 'air pocket,' in which supply suddenly plunges. 'We hope that 1Q becomes the inflection point; however, a 2Q air pocket presents some further risk of deterioration,' it wrote. If that air pocket is limited and there is a restocking-driven trucking market, Morgan Stanley sees an opportunity for Heartland, 'depending on how well [it] is able to capture the cyclical upside as it materializes.'That situation creates the possibility of 'cyclical torque' at a level greater than usual for Heartland, Morgan Stanley wrote, with the 'current starting point and cost actions acting as a coiled spring.' Even though the equal weight rating wasn't changed, Morgan Stanley did reduce its earnings forecast for Heartland. The new per-share forecast over the next three years is minus 12 cents in 2025, 59 cents in 2026 and $1.16 in 2027. The earlier forecast was plus 12 cents per share this year, 78 cents in 2026 and $1.25 in 2027. Its price target remains $12; Heartland closed Tuesday at $8.91. The diluted loss per share at Heartland last year was 38 cents. By 2027, Morgan Stanley is predicting an OR for Heartland of 90.1%. Heartland's adjusted OR in 2024 was 101.7%. A year earlier, it was 95.4%. In spelling out its 'thesis' as to why Heartland is considered equal weight, Morgan Stanley said the market already has priced in the company's cyclical risks as well as what it called its 'idiosyncratic risks.' 'Heartland has historically been defensive in cycle downturns and the stock has been countercyclical since 2014, both of which should hold it in good stead,' Morgan Stanley wrote. It also said any risks to the financial impact from a decline in used truck pricing is 'more than priced in and risk-reward looks balanced here.' That price target is the base case. Morgan Stanley said the bear case for the stock would be $6, if a 'recession outweighs restock.'' A bull case of $17 would be if 'macro growth accelerates.' A request for comment left by FreightWaves to Heartland had not been responded to by publication articles by John Kingston California deal with 16 states would end key parts of Advanced Clean Fleets rule 2 markets in 1 quarter: Auto-hauling demand volatile for Proficient New Jersey, feds take opposite paths on independent contractor rules The post Despite red ink at Heartland, Morgan Stanley report relatively upbeat appeared first on FreightWaves. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data


News18
03-05-2025
- Politics
- News18
Hyderabad Reels Under Severe Water Shortage, Locals Spend Rs 2,500 Per Week
Last Updated: As the demand for water increases with summer, the suppliers of tankers are sending at least five to six tankers daily in different shifts to the western and central regions. With the arrival of summer, Hyderabad is reeling under a severe water crisis. Taps are running dry and the price of water is also on a massive rise. While the Hyderabad Metropolitan Water Supply and Sewerage Board (HMWS&SB) have already deployed more than 10,000 water tankers, the demand, mostly in the western and central areas of the city, continues to increase. Regions including Madhapur and Kondapur are witnessing a sharp rise in the demand for water tanks. According to a report by the Times Of India, several tanker operators are sending at least five to six tankers daily in different shifts to the western and central regions. The tanker operators have been supplying nearly 80 to 90 kilolitres of water daily to several residential societies for the past two weeks. Several locals also took to the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to express concern over the rising water prices and the crisis being faced by the city. One netizen with the username @gbsiva93 called for action by the government and wrote, 'Central govt should take over all river controls and connect each other. Should provide water to all cities without shortage. India has lot of water resources but poor water management system making water scarcity in major cities. Now its #Hyderabad." 'When u got elected as MLA , u were so active. U tried to change lot of things. Whether its achieved or not doesn't matter but u tried. But after became DCM u got lot of power , but u seemed inactive. Use opportunity @Udhaystalin," he said in a second tweet. When u got elected as MLA , u were so active. U tried to change lot of things. Whether its achieved or not doesn't matter but u tried. But after became DCM u got lot of power , but u seemed inactive. Use opportunity @Udhaystalin — Siva kumar (@gbsiva93) May 2, 2025 Reportedly, the price charged for a 25 KL tanker by a private operator is around Rs 3,500 to 4,000. Meanwhile, for a 10 KL water tanker, the suppliers charge around Rs 1,500 to 2,000. Ravi Shanker, a resident of a gated society in Kondapur, said that each family is paying Rs 2,500 per week to buy water. 'Last year, we hardly booked any tankers. But this year supply from the board has been very erratic. We are getting water only for three to four hours instead of the usual seven to eight hours a day. Moreover, borewells in our locality have dried up despite digging up to 1,200 metres. Earlier, even a 600-metre-deep borewell would draw water from the ground," he was quoted as saying by TOI. First Published: May 03, 2025, 08:22 IST