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'War is coming': Canadian, other G7 leaders need to grapple with imminent threats, say experts
'War is coming': Canadian, other G7 leaders need to grapple with imminent threats, say experts

The Province

time13-06-2025

  • Politics
  • The Province

'War is coming': Canadian, other G7 leaders need to grapple with imminent threats, say experts

'If you're not prepared for conflict, conflict will find you and you won't have the time or resources to catch up,' said retired vice-admiral Mark Norman University of Calgary Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies political science professors Ian Brodie, left, and Rob Huebert, centre, and retired Royal Canadian Navy vice-admiral Mark Norman, right, take part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia G7 countries face an existential threat and their gathering at Kananaskis could be decisive in facing up to those, a University of Calgary conference on the upcoming summit heard Thursday. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Exclusive articles by top sports columnists Patrick Johnston, Ben Kuzma, J.J. Abrams and others. Plus, Canucks Report, Sports and Headline News newsletters and events. Unlimited online access to The Province and 15 news sites with one account. The Province ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on. Daily puzzles and comics, including the New York Times Crossword. Support local journalism. SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Exclusive articles by top sports columnists Patrick Johnston, Ben Kuzma, J.J. Abrams and others. Plus, Canucks Report, Sports and Headline News newsletters and events. Unlimited online access to The Province and 15 news sites with one account. The Province ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on. Daily puzzles and comics, including the New York Times Crossword. Support local journalism. REGISTER / SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account. Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments. Enjoy additional articles per month. Get email updates from your favourite authors. THIS ARTICLE IS FREE TO READ REGISTER TO UNLOCK. Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments Enjoy additional articles per month Get email updates from your favourite authors Prime Minister Mark Carney's vow to increase military spending to two per cent of Canada's GDP will certainly fall short of what's needed, said a panel of experts that included a retired Canadian vice-admiral. 'The G7 has the potential of being transformational in the context of security,' said U of C political scientist Rob Huebert. 'War is coming, the question is what kind of shape is Canada in? We do need to think the unthinkable because things are changing.' Much of that pessimism comes from Russia's invasion of Ukraine and its threats to use nuclear weapons against Kyiv's allies, said those on a panel discussion — but it's not confined to Russia and the threat is not solely confronted by Ukraine, they said. 'Our entire global wealth and well-being, our values that make us Canadian, is under attack from a number of different vectors,' said retired vice-admiral Mark Norman. Essential reading for hockey fans who eat, sleep, Canucks, repeat. By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. Please try again This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. 'This is not an academic problem, we must plan in the world we're in, not the one want to be in . . . If you're not prepared for conflict, conflict will find you and you won't have the time or resources to catch up.' Retired Royal Canadian Navy vice-admiral Mark Norman takes part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia The threat of nuclear war is currently at its highest since the Cuban missile crisis of 1962, said Huebert, but he said deterrence now includes the possession of hypersonic missiles that have been used against Ukraine. 'It's about convincing your enemies you have those, too, and that you're willing to fight,' he said. Read More 'We do need much more robust capabilities' When G7 leaders meet June 15-17 at Kananaskis, their agenda will include global security and the war in Ukraine. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. The panelists didn't address the dramatic shift in U.S. sympathies toward Russia, but Norman said the threat has been evolving and growing for decades, well before the Trump administration. Russia has said they consider themselves at war with NATO, given the West's support of Ukraine that only falls short of sending troops. University of Calgary Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies political science professor Rob Huebert takes part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia While the panelists didn't expect Canada to adopt nuclear weapons, it does have to considerably step up its investment in conventional forces. 'We naively assumed we could become consumers of other people's (military capability) but we have to take much more interest in the resilience of our national industries and defence is part of that,' said Norman. That two per cent number for military spending isn't definitive or entirely essential, said Dave Angell, prime ministerial foreign and defence policy advisor. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. 'But we do need much more robust capabilities than we've had for some period of time,' said Angell. 'We do need to have a much greater and sustained investment.' Angell said the upcoming G7 will be 'exceptionally timely' in discussing developments in Gaza, Iran, Haiti and Ukraine, adding he's heartened by strong, united wording in final communiques coming from G7 finance and foreign affairs meetings in the past few months. 'It's going to be incredibly costly' But the panelists said a political willingness to boost military spending is required and making those investments won't be without a price. 'It's going to come at a cost to the rest of the Canadian economy, it's going to be incredibly costly,' said Ian Brodie, a political science professor at the Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies. University of Calgary Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies political science professor Ian Brodie takes part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia The U of C's Huebert said Canada has proven a reliable NATO member and has answered many calls for troops, noting the country is currently deploying a battle group in Latvia to deter Russian aggression in the Baltic states. One of the targets for protesters who will gather in Calgary for the G7 is military spending, which they contend invites more conflict and detracts from investment on social needs. They also criticize the G7 and other Western nations of immorally arming countries they say commit war crimes, such as Israel. BKaufmann@ X: @BillKaufmannjrn News Vancouver Canucks Soccer Vancouver Canucks Local News

'War is coming': Canadian, other G7 leaders need to grapple with imminent threats, say experts
'War is coming': Canadian, other G7 leaders need to grapple with imminent threats, say experts

Edmonton Journal

time13-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Edmonton Journal

'War is coming': Canadian, other G7 leaders need to grapple with imminent threats, say experts

'If you're not prepared for conflict, conflict will find you and you won't have the time or resources to catch up,' said retired vice-admiral Mark Norman University of Calgary Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies political science professors Ian Brodie, left, and Rob Huebert, centre, and retired Royal Canadian Navy vice-admiral Mark Norman, right, take part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia G7 countries face an existential threat and their gathering at Kananaskis could be decisive in facing up to those, a University of Calgary conference on the upcoming summit heard Thursday. Prime Minister Mark Carney's vow to increase military spending to two per cent of Canada's GDP will certainly fall short of what's needed, said a panel of experts that included a retired Canadian vice-admiral. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Exclusive articles by David Staples, Keith Gerein and others, Oilers news from Cult of Hockey, Ask EJ Anything features, the Noon News Roundup and Under the Dome newsletters. Unlimited online access to Edmonton Journal and 15 news sites with one account. Edmonton Journal ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on. Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword. Support local journalism. SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Exclusive articles by David Staples, Keith Gerein and others, Oilers news from Cult of Hockey, Ask EJ Anything features, the Noon News Roundup and Under the Dome newsletters. Unlimited online access to Edmonton Journal and 15 news sites with one account. Edmonton Journal ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on. Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword. Support local journalism. REGISTER / SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account. Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments. Enjoy additional articles per month. Get email updates from your favourite authors. THIS ARTICLE IS FREE TO READ REGISTER TO UNLOCK. Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments Enjoy additional articles per month Get email updates from your favourite authors 'The G7 has the potential of being transformational in the context of security,' said U of C political scientist Rob Huebert. 'War is coming, the question is what kind of shape is Canada in? We do need to think the unthinkable because things are changing.' Much of that pessimism comes from Russia's invasion of Ukraine and its threats to use nuclear weapons against Kyiv's allies, said those on a panel discussion — but it's not confined to Russia and the threat is not solely confronted by Ukraine, they said. 'Our entire global wealth and well-being, our values that make us Canadian, is under attack from a number of different vectors,' said retired vice-admiral Mark Norman. 'This is not an academic problem, we must plan in the world we're in, not the one want to be in . . . If you're not prepared for conflict, conflict will find you and you won't have the time or resources to catch up.' Get the latest headlines, breaking news and columns. By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. Please try again This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Retired Royal Canadian Navy vice-admiral Mark Norman takes part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia The threat of nuclear war is currently at its highest since the Cuban missile crisis of 1962, said Huebert, but he said deterrence now includes the possession of hypersonic missiles that have been used against Ukraine. 'It's about convincing your enemies you have those, too, and that you're willing to fight,' he said. Read More 'We do need much more robust capabilities' When G7 leaders meet June 15-17 at Kananaskis, their agenda will include global security and the war in Ukraine. The panelists didn't address the dramatic shift in U.S. sympathies toward Russia, but Norman said the threat has been evolving and growing for decades, well before the Trump administration. Russia has said they consider themselves at war with NATO, given the West's support of Ukraine that only falls short of sending troops. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. University of Calgary Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies political science professor Rob Huebert takes part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia While the panelists didn't expect Canada to adopt nuclear weapons, it does have to considerably step up its investment in conventional forces. 'We naively assumed we could become consumers of other people's (military capability) but we have to take much more interest in the resilience of our national industries and defence is part of that,' said Norman. That two per cent number for military spending isn't definitive or entirely essential, said Dave Angell, prime ministerial foreign and defence policy advisor. 'But we do need much more robust capabilities than we've had for some period of time,' said Angell. 'We do need to have a much greater and sustained investment.' Angell said the upcoming G7 will be 'exceptionally timely' in discussing developments in Gaza, Iran, Haiti and Ukraine, adding he's heartened by strong, united wording in final communiques coming from G7 finance and foreign affairs meetings in the past few months. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. But the panelists said a political willingness to boost military spending is required and making those investments won't be without a price. 'It's going to come at a cost to the rest of the Canadian economy, it's going to be incredibly costly,' said Ian Brodie, a political science professor at the Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies. University of Calgary Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies political science professor Ian Brodie takes part in a conference on prospects for the upcoming G7 Kananaskis summit. The conference was presented by the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy on Thursday, June 12, 2025. Gavin Young/Postmedia The U of C's Huebert said Canada has proven a reliable NATO member and has answered many calls for troops, noting the country is currently deploying a battle group in Latvia to deter Russian aggression in the Baltic states. One of the targets for protesters who will gather in Calgary for the G7 is military spending, which they contend invites more conflict and detracts from investment on social needs. They also criticize the G7 and other Western nations of immorally arming countries they say commit war crimes, such as Israel. BKaufmann@ X: @BillKaufmannjrn News Cult of Hockey Local News Cult of Hockey Crime

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