26-05-2025
Where Do Chinese Cars in Russia Stand Today?
Once seen as the saviors of Russia's auto sector after Western brands pulled out, Chinese cars in Russia are now encountering serious headwinds. What was a booming expansion built on affordability and market opportunity has shifted into a phase of sharp contraction—putting the long-term future of Chinese automakers in Russia at risk.
Between January and May 2025, 213 dealerships selling Chinese cars in Russia closed their doors, surpassing the total number of closures for all of 2024. The affected showrooms include those of major brands such as Haval, Chery, Geely, and Changan—the top names in Chinese automotive exports to the country. With this trend accelerating, industry observers warn of a potential reshaping of the Russian car market.
Russia Drops in Chinese Export Rankings
According to official Chinese customs data, Russia fell to sixth place among global importers of Chinese vehicles as of April 2025. Exports of Chinese cars to Russia dropped by 47.2% in the first four months of the year, totaling just $1.9 billion. From March to April alone, the decline reached 16.2%.
This sharp drop follows a two-year surge during which Chinese cars in Russia flourished, filling the void left by departing Western manufacturers. With competitive pricing and a broad selection—from budget-friendly sedans to luxurious SUVs—Chinese brands quickly captured Russian consumer interest.
Safety and Quality Issues Undermine Trust
However, the rapid rise of Chinese cars in Russia has not come without complications. Changan, in particular, faced public backlash after seat cushion defects were linked to spinal injuries in crash scenarios. Although the company denied official complaints, Russia's National Automobile Federation opened a safety review and issued a recall.
This incident has fueled wider concerns over the overall reliability of Chinese cars in Russia. Reports suggest that some models begin to corrode after just two years—a stark contrast to European and American vehicles that often offer structural durability for over a decade.
Market Withdrawals and Economic Pressures
Some Chinese manufacturers are already retreating. Brands like Skywell and Lifan have exited the Russian market, and projections suggest that over ten others may follow suit by the end of the year. Combined with a weakening ruble, high-interest loans, and falling consumer purchasing power, Chinese cars in Russia are facing their toughest test yet.
Nikolai Dmitriev, commercial director at AvtoLogo, explained that Chinese brands overestimated the Russian market's capacity, opening far more showrooms than demand could support. He also cited rising prices for vehicles and spare parts as further barriers to sales.
Expert View: A Storm to Weather
Despite these challenges, not everyone is convinced that the presence of Chinese cars in Russia is nearing its end. Anatoly Bagin of Avtostat, a well-known automotive research agency, considers the current slump a temporary correction rather than a permanent retreat.
He believes that if Chinese automakers can address product quality concerns, improve corrosion resistance, and offer attractive financing, they could regain momentum. Many dealerships are already responding—offering discounts, extended payment plans, and even free insurance packages.
While rumors continue about the return of German brands like BMW and Mercedes-Benz, Bagin views this as unlikely due to ongoing European sanctions. For now, Chinese cars in Russia will continue to share the market with domestic models—though with a closer eye on quality, durability, and value.
