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SEC coaches talk scheduling agreement with Big Ten. What UGA AD Josh Brooks thinks of it
SEC coaches talk scheduling agreement with Big Ten. What UGA AD Josh Brooks thinks of it

Yahoo

time2 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

SEC coaches talk scheduling agreement with Big Ten. What UGA AD Josh Brooks thinks of it

MIRAMAR BEACH, Fla.—Georgia football fans have savored memorable playoff victories against Big Ten teams Michigan in 2021 and Ohio State in 2022 en route to national titles. Could similar matchups happen in the regular season under a proposed scheduling agreement between the conferences? Advertisement Some SEC coaches emerged from the conference spring meetings on Wednesday May 28 at the Sandestin Hilton saying they would support that. For that to happen, the SEC may need to go to a nine-game schedule, play a Big Ten team and then have two other nonconference opponents. 'I think we'd be open to it in the right scenario,' Georgia athletic director Josh Brooks said. The SEC and Big Ten talked about a scheduling agreement, but SEC commissioner Greg Sankey Wednesday night said called a mandate to play 'incredibly difficult….That's a long road to hoe to get to the end of that.' One issue is some SEC schools have in-state rivalries played annually including Georgia-Georgia Tech, South Carolina-Clemson, Florida-Florida State and Kentucky-Louisville, but other SEC teams don't have an in-state rivalry outside the SEC. Advertisement Georgia in some seasons already plays two power conference schools outside of SEC schedule. 'While I say I'd be open to it, I then take a look at what we have on our schedule and see how it affects it,' Brooks said. 'We do have Florida State, Louisville and other teams lined up. All of that fits into that puzzle.' Some of those nonconference games could have to fall off the schedule if a Big Ten partnership were added. The SEC won four straight national titles from 2019-2022, but hasn't had a team in the last two championship games. 'They've won the last two, and you can't deny that,' South Carolina coach Shane Beamer said. Advertisement Arkansas coach Sam Pittman said an SEC-Big Ten alliance would excite TV executives and fan bases. Pittman said another option besides playing nine SEC games would be to play the Big Ten opponent instead of a ninth SEC game. 'I think the league wants us to go to nine,' he said. 'How are we going to do it? Are we going to go to nine playing ourselves or are we going to go to nine and maybe invite another conference to play?' Said Beamer: 'I'm all for it, but it would be like the Kansas City Chiefs playing the Green Bay Packers for our 18th regular season game and the other teams aren't.' (This story was updated to add new quotes.) This article originally appeared on Athens Banner-Herald: SEC-Big Ten scheduling agreement possible? What UGA's Josh Brooks said

Why Big Ten provides an answer to SEC's scheduling question
Why Big Ten provides an answer to SEC's scheduling question

Yahoo

time16-05-2025

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Why Big Ten provides an answer to SEC's scheduling question

The SEC's scheduling debate will renew when the conference's spring meetings begin later this month. It's that age-old question of whether to stick with eight conference games or bump up to nine. Advertisement Maybe, that's the wrong question, though, and the SEC should be asking: Would a Big Ten-SEC challenge be better than a ninth conference game? On this edition of "SEC Football Unfiltered," a podcast from the USA TODAY Network, hosts Blake Toppmeyer and John Adams debate the merit of adding a ninth SEC game versus sticking with the status quo. Retaining the eight-game format would sacrifice the annual nature of some secondary rivalries. But, could containing the SEC schedule to eight games encourage the conference to pursue more bold non-conference scheduling? Subscribe to SEC Football Unfiltered iTunes | Google Play | Spotify Advertisement Is that worth it? Well, that depends. TOPPMEYER: College football fans, donors drove the clown car in NIL era, but was that so bad? ADAMS: Kentucky and Vanderbilt should stop wasting money on football SEC football schedule format Toppmeyer and Adams are intrigued by the idea of an SEC-Big Ten football challenge – so intrigued, that they like the concept of an interconference clash better than a ninth SEC game. Toppmeyer: I've long supported the idea of the SEC increasing to nine conference games, which would put it in line with the Big Ten and Big 12. Also, a ninth conference game would work in tandem of my other wish-list item: that every SEC team would play a minimum of 10 games against power-conference opponents. Advertisement Nine SEC games + one non-conference games = 10 real games and only two cupcakes. But, if the SEC collectively would consider eight SEC games + one challenge game against a Big Ten opponent + one additional non-conference game for a total of 10 real games, I might go for that idea. In fact, I'm picturing four of these SEC-B1G challenge games unfolding on each of the first four Saturdays of the season, spicying up the September schedule. Adams: If the SEC wants to prove its supremacy, what better way than to put it on the line throughout 16 non-conference games against the Big Ten? Consider what happened in basketball. The SEC skunked the ACC in the SEC-ACC challenge. That sent a loud signal that the SEC was legit, and it charted the course for the SEC to qualify 14 teams for the NCAA Tournament. Advertisement For football, I usually tend to think the more conference games, the better. But, the more I think about this blue-sky idea of an SEC-B1G challenge, the more I think I'd rather see Vanderbilt put it on the line against Northwestern than play Missouri in a ninth SEC game. Where to listen to SEC Football Unfiltered Apple Spotify iHeart Google Blake Toppmeyer is the USA TODAY Network's national college football columnist. John Adams is the senior sports columnist for the Knoxville News Sentinel. Subscribe to the SEC Football Unfiltered podcast, and check out the SEC Unfiltered newsletter, delivered straight to your inbox. This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Why Big Ten provides an answer to SEC's scheduling question

Predicting the Big Ten's 2025 Friday football schedule: Which games will move off Saturdays?
Predicting the Big Ten's 2025 Friday football schedule: Which games will move off Saturdays?

New York Times

time21-02-2025

  • Sport
  • New York Times

Predicting the Big Ten's 2025 Friday football schedule: Which games will move off Saturdays?

In its first season as an 18-school conference, the Big Ten shifted nine games to Friday nights. This fall, the league is looking to place games on every Friday of the regular season, starting on Aug. 29 and concluding on Black Friday. But deciding which games should shift from Saturday to Friday is hardly simple. It's a delicate balancing act for the league, its three media partners and the universities. Each school has on-campus concerns the conference must consider before moving a home game off of Saturday. A sampling: Then there's the league's trio of media partners: Fox, CBS and NBC. Outside of Thanksgiving weekend, the Big Ten's Friday kickoffs appear on the Fox family of networks (Fox, FS1, BTN). But the league doesn't want to move an upper-level game that NBC or CBS might want to draft for its showcase Saturday broadcast. Advertisement 'In our mind, we're looking for maybe the fourth-, fifth- or sixth-best game of the week to try and make sure that at least on paper, going into a season, the top three games are going to be available for selection by those three broadcast partners,' Big Ten chief operating officer Kerry Kenny told The Athletic last year. With those variables in mind, filling out a Friday night schedule is akin to completing a football sudoku puzzle. In attempting one myself, nearly a dozen versions went into the fireplace. I'd reach the season's final week, and somehow a team ended up with a second home Friday game or a significant competitive disadvantage. Eventually, one made it through with the principles intact. The Big Ten's final version — last year's Friday schedule was set in May at the league's spring meetings — might not look anything like this, but here's an attempt to project which Big Ten games could shift to Friday (and other days) and why, starting on Labor Day weekend. GO DEEPER More SEC-Big Ten matchups could be on the way Thursday: Nebraska vs. Cincinnati (in Kansas City); Buffalo at Minnesota Friday: Western Michigan at Michigan State; Miami (Ohio) at Wisconsin Labor Day Sunday: Colorado State at Washington The Thursday games above are already set. Minnesota traditionally opens the season on a Thursday because the state fair commands a major presence in the Twin Cities that weekend. Nebraska faces Cincinnati at Arrowhead Stadium, but that will count as a Big 12 home game and could appear on Fox, ESPN or TNT. It's possible Illinois also could shift its season opener against Western Illinois to Thursday. Michigan State has opened its season on a Friday every year but one since 2011 (setting aside the COVID-19-altered 2020 schedule). It seems reasonable to expect the Spartans to do the same this year against Western Michigan. Wisconsin also has kicked off its season on a Friday in five of the last eight years. It's likely those games would incorporate staggered start times on different networks. Advertisement The Big Ten plans to schedule a game on Labor Day Sunday starting this season, but there's not much inventory left over after Texas at Ohio State and Utah at UCLA. Perhaps the best choice featuring a Group of 5 opponent includes Colorado State at Washington. The logistics make sense in part because the Huskies play at home the following Saturday against a Football Championship Subdivision opponent. This is the Big Ten's weakest week for its network partners, with its three best games — Michigan at Oklahoma, Iowa at Iowa State, Illinois at Duke — controlled by other leagues' media contracts. The Big Ten's two power-conference home games (Oklahoma State at Oregon, Boston College at Michigan State) will likely be Saturday selections by the linear networks, with ratings drivers Ohio State and Penn State hosting Grambling and Florida International, respectively. Of the remaining contenders for Friday, Georgia Southern and former Trojans coach Clay Helton at USC is the best option. The Trojans open the season against Missouri State, which makes the jump to the Football Bowl Subdivision this year. Playing on Friday before traveling to Purdue in Week 3 would allow USC an extra day of rest. As with Week 2, the Big Ten slate is light on games within its control. There are two conference games, but it makes sense to keep them available on Saturday for media partners, although NBC is likely to air Texas A&M at Notre Dame in primetime. Both nonconference games against power-conference teams are on the road, so that limits the overall supply, especially with Michigan, Ohio State and Penn State all hosting lower-level opponents. Although this doesn't figure to be a competitive matchup, Indiana has an awkward home schedule that might prevent it from hosting a Big Ten opponent on a Friday. Advertisement There are games this weekend with higher profiles, but a mid-September Friday in Madison for a Big Ten opponent has some appeal. If schools agreed to host a second conference game on Friday, that might bring Michigan State at USC or even Oregon State at Oregon into play. There's a theme with many of these potential Friday games: There are some good matchups available, but they often don't fit for a variety of reasons. USC at Illinois and Ohio State at Washington are stronger on paper, but UCLA-Northwestern has appeal. Both have second-year coaches, and it's the Wildcats' second and final year at their makeshift stadium along Lake Michigan. Four of the seven Big Ten games on this weekend are homecoming dates, so that limits Friday availability. Without regard to circumstances, Penn State at UCLA would be the choice. However, the Nittany Lions play Oregon the previous week in a likely night game. Due to the short airport runway in University Park, Penn State must bus the team nearly two hours to Harrisburg just to fly to the West Coast. The logistical hurdles make a short week just a little more difficult for Penn State than for Washington. This choice might invite double-takes. Both teams enter the season CFP contenders, which typically would vault this into Fox's noon window. So why is it here? This week's slate has two West Coast games Fox cannot air in that time slot: Michigan at USC and Indiana at Oregon. Iowa at Wisconsin would fit in perfectly on Friday night, but it's one of three homecoming games throughout the Big Ten. So, Fox could maximize its choices by drafting the 104th edition of Ohio State-Illinois into Friday prime time and then air the 99th installment of the Iowa-Wisconsin rivalry on Big Noon. Ohio State-Illinois would have the potential to set a Friday ratings record for Fox; last year's high was 4.21 million viewers for Illinois-Nebraska. Six days after beating Ohio State last fall, Oregon traveled to Purdue for a Friday game, a blowout that finished No. 3 in Fox's Big Ten Friday night viewership for the 2024 season. It's a similar scenario here, with the Ducks hosting Indiana the previous week. Nebraska at Minnesota was my preference, but it didn't work out with the other options. Last year, Rutgers traveled to USC for a late-night game that served as shoulder programming for Game 1 of the World Series. This is the perfect opportunity to do it again. Although the 11 p.m. ET kickoff was challenging for Rutgers, there was perfect symmetry with the New York Yankees playing the Los Angeles Dodgers. (A Chicago Cubs-Seattle Mariners World Series, anyone?) Illinois is idle the previous week, so the late kickoff would not be too disruptive, and the Illini would get an extra day of recovery. The Spartans-Gophers matchup has some sneaky elements that put it in competition for the week's No. 2 game behind Penn State at Ohio State. Plus, Huntington Bank Stadium's Dinkytown location could make for quite the atmosphere on Halloween. Advertisement The Bruins upset the Huskers in Lincoln last year, and the return trip promises two iconic uniforms that mix well together. Nebraska fans may take over the Rose Bowl and turn this into a virtual home game. There are several contenders for this spot, including Penn State at Michigan State, Wisconsin at Indiana and Minnesota at Oregon. The Hawkeyes have yet to play on Friday night in this predicted slate, so they're the choice here against USC. It would mark the second straight season Iowa would play in Los Angeles on a Friday. The Big Ten is keeping the West Coast teams in their home region for the final two weeks, which opens the door for a pair of old Pac-12 rivalries. To land this game, Fox might have to draft it high. But it's only fair considering the network cannot broadcast high-quality games on the West Coast in its noon window. The Huskers and Hawkeyes will square off on Black Friday for the 15th consecutive year. Outside of Ohio State-Michigan, there are plenty of options for the league's other Friday game. Indiana and Purdue have an off week leading into Thanksgiving, but will the Boilermakers be competitive enough for that highly visible window? In this case, Penn State could be playing for a CFP spot, and that has value to the networks.

Unlimited transfers should be core issue for college athletics leaders. Why aren't they fixing it?
Unlimited transfers should be core issue for college athletics leaders. Why aren't they fixing it?

New York Times

time20-02-2025

  • Politics
  • New York Times

Unlimited transfers should be core issue for college athletics leaders. Why aren't they fixing it?

NEW ORLEANS — They gathered here, leaders of the two most powerful conferences in college sports, and talked about the future. There was a newfound optimism that they were starting to wrangle all the changes in college athletics to figure things out. 'We've got a chance to hopefully build a new model here and get it right,' Ole Miss athletic director Keith Carter said. Advertisement And yet they didn't, by all accounts, talk about the real solution. They didn't seem to talk about what is the one core problem and the way to solve it. This meeting of the SEC and Big Ten commissioners and athletic directors was conducted a block away from a casino, and the way they're approaching the future, whether they realize it or not, is a giant gamble. There is only one serious, overarching issue that negatively impacts everyone, from teams to coaches to fans to even players: unlimited transfers. And there is one sure way to get back to a sensible system: collective bargaining with some entity that represents athletes. It may not have to be a union, per se, and the players may not have to be officially employees. Just some entity that negotiates rules that may not be great for both sides but have enough give and take to benefit the overall sport. And, more importantly, hold up in court. GO DEEPER More SEC-Big Ten matchups could be on the way Instead, everyone involved is going in the opposite direction. They're pushing for and hoping for federal legislation that they think will protect them. They're banking on the coming finalization of the NCAA vs. House settlement, which will bring revenue sharing with athletes but also ways they think they can combat out-of-control payments for name, image and likeness. They're exchanging ideas on creative ways to discourage players from leveraging the portal every year — sometimes twice a year — whether it with contract clauses or going from two to one transfer windows. The actual transfer rules, the ability to leave at any time and not sit a season, are no longer a discussion point, having been ravaged by the courts. 'We're pretty clearly not going to be back to where things were before, and that's period,' SEC commissioner Greg Sankey said. 'We've said that. I've said that to the coaches. Now that doesn't mean that that results in a warm embrace.' Advertisement So the discussion is about working on the margins, essentially, rather than an overall fix. Or they see that fix — employment and collective bargaining — as a bigger problem than unlimited transferring. That's misguided. The ability to leverage the portal for a better deal — at any time — is the core issue from which all other real problems ensue. It hurts the fan experience, not knowing who your favorite team will have year to year. It's a headache for the coaches. Even for the players, it can stunt development or lead to short-term decisions that have long-term hurt. It's not good to play for four different teams in four years. For a brief time, the right rule was in place: players get one free transfer, one chance to go to a new school without having to sit a year. But transfer a second time, and they have to sit. They could have mulligans in the event of coaching changes. All in all a fair rule, better than the old days, but stopping the constant movement that isn't good for anyone. GO DEEPER SEC, Big Ten discussing changes to championship weekend So what happened? It was struck down by the courts, which said such rules were an unfair restraint on the ability of athletes to capitalize on their NIL rights. The NCAA fought initially but since then has given up. At least on part of that. Now it's banking on federal legislation and internal options: claw-back clauses in NIL contracts that require athletes to pay back the school they're leaving. Multi-year NIL contracts. Maybe it will work. Maybe it will settle everything down. But it's a long-term gamble. Federal legislation is still subject to court challenges. You can see it playing out already: Congress passes a law that allows the NCAA to make its own eligibility rules and to prevent athletes from being employees. It's no sure thing, given it will take enough bipartisan support to avoid a Senate filibuster, but let's say it happens. Even then it may be a temporary victory until a good lawyer challenges the law as a restraint of trade, the same reason courts already have struck down these rules in the first place. Advertisement As for the NIL contracts, will players and their agents push more for one-year deals so they retain the annual leverage? We may see the portal movement stabilize for a year or two, but ultimately as long as the unlimited transfer rule exists, the issue will loom. Free movement is what impacts the market the most. Contracts and collective bargaining, give and take between teams and players, are the great stabilizers, as the pros know. But college leaders are putting it off. Collective bargaining is a last resort. The very idea of athletes as employees is a third rail, what they're lobbying Congress to legislate against. Maybe it will work, especially in the current political climate. Maybe they will get short-term relief. More likely, that's delaying the inevitable. College leaders don't have a great track record in reading the landscape. They think they're getting it right this time. Let's see how that works out.

Would SEC football bring back divisions? When will schedule format be set? Mailbag
Would SEC football bring back divisions? When will schedule format be set? Mailbag

New York Times

time13-02-2025

  • Sport
  • New York Times

Would SEC football bring back divisions? When will schedule format be set? Mailbag

Football season is officially over, and it's hard not to laugh at the dichotomy. When the NFL season ends, the attention turns to roster building: the draft, free agency, basically what will rosters look like. You know, normal stuff. When the college season ends, on the other hand, the attention turns to, essentially: What will the future of the sport look like? Advertisement As we sit here now, we don't know what the format for the College Football Playoff will be this year. It's very much up in the air beyond that. The SEC doesn't have a set schedule format beyond this year. And next week comes an SEC-Big Ten summit where maybe they will divide the world … or just eat a bunch of jambalaya and agree to meet again later. So with that, let's get to a few questions: Note: Submitted questions have been lightly edited for length and clarity. Is there any chance the SEC will return to divisions? Does not having divisions increase the odds of the SEC Championship Game going away as debating College Football Playoff eligibility increasingly sucks all the air out of the room? — Bo H. When SEC athletic directors meet next week in New Orleans and then meet with their Big Ten counterparts, there may be a lot of out-of-the-box thinking. I've heard several of those ideas, but going back to divisions hasn't been one of them. This past season saw a lot of great games, and a variety of matchups, that were happening on a much lesser scale when there were divisions. Divisions were a constraint on scheduling, especially as conferences got bigger, and that resulted in a lot of stale annual 'rivalries.' Yes, getting rid of divisions created unequal scheduling, but some of that already existed in division play, where teams had different cross-division opponents. And yes, no divisions meant tiebreaker headaches, but that's a small price to pay for better matchups, and there's a way to mitigate the tiebreaker issue. Championship games aren't going anywhere, at least in the SEC, given how lucrative they are for the television networks and the conferences. This past year's SEC championship was the most-watched college football game to that point of the season. But there is a fun idea out there that could solve a few problems at once. My colleagues Ralph Russo and Stewart Mandel floated it last month, and it could get more discussion in New Orleans: Rivalry weekend is moved up a week, and championship weekend becomes Thanksgiving weekend. Generally, television networks don't want this because they love having college football inventory for Thursday through Saturday of a holiday weekend. So a way to satisfy the demand would be to create more games: The championship games are still held between the top two seeds, but then the conferences hold additional CFP play-in games: third in the standings versus sixth for one spot, fourth versus fifth for another. Advertisement This, of course, would be if the SEC and Big Ten end up having four permanent spots in the CFP. The question is how much the two conferences want to push for that; the Big Ten is more eager while the SEC has reservations. Television may still resist because it would ultimately be less inventory. Moving up the games is a fun idea, and it allows CFP games to be moved up. The underwhelming ratings for this year's semifinals and championship surely had something to do with the season going too far into January when the NFL playoffs take so much attention. Of course, the 2027 national championship, to follow the 2026 season, the first in the format-to-be-decided, already has been announced as Jan. 25. That can always move, but my guess is a drastic change in the regular-season calendar will take a while. Speaking of taking a while … When will the SEC decide on a permanent scheduling format? It obviously will be only eight games. — Gene W. That's not obvious, especially if the SEC gets into a scheduling agreement with the Big Ten, which plays nine conference games. This almost certainly will be a discussion point in New Orleans, although I'm not sure there will be anything definitive on a scheduling agreement coming from next week. But it wouldn't be surprising if we get something on the SEC format. Nothing is set for 2026, so the conference needs to resolve that. My sense has been it will do another two-year, eight-game format, continuing to punt until it gets more money from ESPN. But if things with the Big Ten move quickly enough, who knows, maybe the nine-game schedule will come sooner than we thought. Or maybe the Big Ten contracts to an eight-game schedule. If you could build a program around one of the following QBs, which would it be and why: DJ Lagway, LaNorris Sellers, Arch Manning, Nico Iamaleava, Gunner Stockton? — Chuck G. Well, these days you don't build a program around a quarterback; you only can build one season around them and hope they stick around more than one, which all of the above are doing. I'd be curious why you picked those five, rather than including Garrett Nussmeier, Diego Pavia, Marcel Reed and Taylen Green, who are also returning SEC quarterbacks. But those are the five you listed so I'll play along. Advertisement Manning looks like the most sure thing, as boring an answer as that may be, mainly based on pedigree and a couple of starts. But I would be tempted to take Sellers, who is as dynamic as any returning quarterback in the country. Lagway and Iamaleava have pedigree too, and nobody would be shocked if one of them ends up being named to the All-SEC first team. Stockton is the outlier. I'm not down on him: If he can combine the way he ran in the SEC championship with the way he passed in the Sugar Bowl and improve his pocket awareness, he can be very good. You're talking about someone who was a five-star recruit before settling in as a solid four-star prospect. But Stockton isn't guaranteed to start and will get a push from Ryan Puglisi. Let me return to the original question and have some fun with it. If every SEC quarterback was made a free agent tomorrow, here's the order in which the Emerson Collective would throw name, image and likeness money at them based just on what they could do for Emerson University this year: Will Josh Heupel prove he can win on the road in the SEC and revive his passing game this year? Will Iamaleava flourish or flounder? — Bradford B., UT fan in Arlington, Va. This ultimately is one of the questions about Heupel: Does his offense have a ceiling? It did its first job, which was to get Tennessee back to relevance, and that can't be dismissed. Remember how many years Tennessee spent in the wilderness, then Heupel got it to a No. 1 ranking during his second year, then the CFP in his fourth year. (And yes the defense deserves most of the credit, as the offense was only eighth in the SEC in yards per play, although Tennessee was second in scoring offense, so it was doing something right.) It should also be remembered that Tennessee exceeded expectations last season, picked seventh in the SEC preseason media poll, then getting conference's the third CFP bid. So consider that disclaimer when I say Tennessee will again be picked in the fifth-to-eighth area. The Vols lose their best players on both sides of the ball, and while Iamaleava taking a big step forward would help, he loses his top three receivers. The good news is the schedule. If 10-2 is what it will take to get back to the CFP, it will be a matter of getting three wins out of these games: Syracuse (in Charlotte), at Alabama, at Florida and home against Georgia and Oklahoma. (And avoiding upsets at Kentucky or Mississippi State and home against Arkansas and Vanderbilt.) The schedule may have helped the Vols get to last year's CFP and could help them get back. How many games does Hugh Freeze have to win to keep his job? — Davis S. There's a wide disparity of possibilities. Auburn has some cause for optimism next year, especially if Arnold flourishes in Freeze's system. The schedule is helpful, with Alabama and Georgia traveling to Jordan-Hare Stadium. There's a world where Auburn contends for a Playoff spot, and if it happens while Kalen DeBoer has a rough second season at Alabama, the feelings along the Plains will be very high. Advertisement But this program lost at home to Cal, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Vanderbilt and went 5-7 in Freeze's second year, which is supposed to be the big leap for coaches. So how optimistic should Auburn fans be for Year 3? While going 7-5 would be a reason for Freeze to point at improvement, it won't feel very strong, unless that 7-5 includes wins over Georgia or Alabama. Billy Napier pulled off the late-season goodwill credit/momentum. But the Gators have a daunting 2025 schedule facing four ranked Top-25 teams in the first six weeks. If Napier has a carbon copy 2024 season start, could he survive? — Moe J. This could be very off, but it feels like by riding it out last year, Napier has some runway, unless a new school president comes in antsy to make a change. After two home guarantee games to open the season, Florida goes to LSU and Miami, then after the bye hosts Texas and goes to Texas A&M. Can Napier lose all four? It depends on how competitive those four games are. Remember that Florida athletic director Scott Stricklin announced last year that Napier was returning after the Georgia game when the Gators kept it close, just as they did a few weeks before at Tennessee. If the Gators are again competitive early this season, you would think the administration will want to give the team a chance in the second half of the season, when it faces Georgia, goes to Ole Miss and hosts Tennessee. Then you make a call, potentially in November if the wheels start to come off. Then again, what's happening elsewhere will dictate a lot of this. It could be a busy year in the SEC hiring cycle, and schools may want to jump in early, especially with the transfer portal looming. At this point next year, which SEC team(s) do you think will have a new coach? — Joe B. I'm not going to outright predict firings and changes because that could be aggregated by some AI-generated website. I will say that this gave me an idea for a story to come, hopefully later this month. And if I had to put an over-under on changes, I'd put it at 3.5. And probably would bet the over.

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