08-05-2025
UFC 315 Fight Card Odds And Predictions: Shevchenko Vs. Fiorot
UFC: UFC 315 - Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot UFC
Valentina Shevchenko regained the UFC women's flyweight title in September 2024 with a unanimous decision victory over Alexa Grasso at UFC 306. On Saturday, May 10, the defending champ makes the first defense of her second title reign against the No. 2 ranked contender, Manon Fiorot. Shevchenko and Fiorot meet in the co-main event of the UFC 315 pay-per-view card. We look at betting odds, line movement, preview, picks, and predictions for the Shevchenko vs. Fiorot matchup on the UFC 315 fight card.
The main event of the ESPN+ streaming PPV card finds UFC welterweight champion Belal Muhammad making his first defense of his title. Muhammad faces the No. 5 ranked Jack Della Maddalena in that contest.
UFC 315 takes place on Saturday, May 10, from Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The main card streams on ESPN+ pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on ESPN+. Forbes UFC 315 Fight Card Odds And Predictions: Jose Aldo Vs. Aiemann Zahabi By Trent Reinsmith
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 14: Valentina Shevchenko of Kyrgyzstan reacts following her fight ... More against Alexa Grasso of Mexico for the Women's Flyweight title during UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche at Sphere on September 14, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by) Getty Images
Valentina Shevchenko (24-4-1) has been with the UFC since December 2015, when the promotion signed her as a short-notice replacement for Germaine de Randamie against Sarah Kaufman on a UFC on FOX card. Shevchenko won that bantamweight fight by split decision.
Shevchenko stayed at 135 for her next four fights, going 2-2. Her wins came against former UFC champ Holly Holm and future titleholder Julianna Pena. Her losses, both by decision, came against Amanda Nunes, including a September 2017 split decision setback against then-champ Nunes.
Following her loss to Nunes, Shevchenko dropped to 125 pounds and went on one of the most impressive runs in the history of the UFC women's divisions.
She put an absolute beating on Priscila Cachoeira in her UFC 125-pound debut. In her next fight, Shevchenko faced ex-women's strawweight champ Joanna Jedrzejczyk for the vacant flyweight title. Shevchenko won that scrap via decision.
She then defended her title seven times before falling to Grasso at UFC 285. The two then fought to a split draw in a September 2023 scrap. The trilogy fight between the two saw Shevchenko walk away from UFC 306 with the title back in her hands.
Shevchenko holds the following records in the UFC women's flyweight division:
Most wins: 10
Most KO/TKO wins: 4
Longest winning streak: 9
Most title fight wins: 9
Most fight time: 3:42:47
Most control time: 1:25:33
Most top position time: 1:14:08
Fewest strikes absorbed per minute: 1.75
Total strikes landed: 1,790
Takedowns landed: 47
ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY - MARCH 30: Manon Fiorot of France reacts after her unanimous-decision ... More victory against Erin Blanchfield in a flyweight bout during the UFC Fight Night event at Boardwalk Hall Arena on March 30, 2024 in Atlantic City, New Jersey. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images) Zuffa LLC via Getty Images
Manon Fiorot (12-1) enters her second UFC main event with a perfect 7-0 record with the promotion. The 35-year-old is the No. 2 ranked fighter in the official UFC women's 125-pound rankings.
Fiorot, a former UAE Warrior's flyweight champ, joined the UFC in 2021. In her first fight with the promotion, Fiorot defeated Victoria Leonardo via knockout. Since then, she has steadily climbed the rankings.
In her past two bouts, Fiorot has defeated former UFC champion Rose Namajunas and rising Erin Blanchfield, who was on a nine-fight winning streak heading into their UFC Fight Night main event in March 2024. Fiorot has not competed since she topped Blanchfield by decision in that five-round scrap. Forbes UFC 315 Odds And Predictions: Alexa Grasso Vs. Natalia Silva By Trent Reinsmith UFC 315 Fight Card: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Manon Fiorot Betting Odds And Line Movement
ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY - MARCH 30: Manon Fiorot of France reacts after her unanimous-decision ... More victory against Erin Blanchfield in a flyweight bout during the UFC Fight Night event at Boardwalk Hall Arena on March 30, 2024 in Atlantic City, New Jersey. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images) Zuffa LLC via Getty Images
When BetOnline first announced the opening odds for this matchup, Fiorot was the -120 favorite over the +100 Shevchenko. The betting line has moved slightly, but the challenger remains the favorite at -138 over the champion, who is the +118 betting underdog heading into the UFC 315 co-main event. Forbes UFC 315 Fight Card: Prelims Odds, Picks And Predictions By Trent Reinsmith UFC 315 Fight Card Co-Main Event Tale Of The Tape: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Manon Fiorot
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 14: Valentina Shevchenko of Kyrgyzstan reacts after her five-round ... More battle against Alexa Grasso of Mexico in the UFC flyweight championship fight during the UFC 306 at Riyadh Season Noche UFC event at Sphere on September 14, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC) Zuffa LLC Valentina Shevchenko
Age: 37 Height: 5' 5' Reach: 66'
Stance: Southpaw Manon Fiorot
Age: 35 Height: 5' 7' Reach: 65'
Stance: Orthodox UFC 315 Fight Card Fight Card Predictions and Picks: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Manon Fiorot Co-Main Event
ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY - MARCH 30: Manon Fiorot stares down Erin Blanchfield during UFC Fight ... More Night at Boardwalk Hall Arena on March 30, 2024 in Atlantic City, New Jersey. (Photo by) Getty Images
UFC 315 is a tough assignment for Valentina Shevchenko's first fight with someone other than Alexa Grasso since 2023. Manon Fiorot is a powerful striker, with a lot of strength. If Shevchenko finds herself outmatched in the striking department in this matchup, she will struggle to get takedowns. If the champ then finds herself on defense on the feet, she will likely have a rough go of things as Fiorot hits hard and has decent output, which will allow her to rack up damage.
The betting pick is for Fiorot to walk out of Bell Centre on Saturday night as the UFC women's flyweight champion. Forbes UFC 315 Fight Card: Early Prelims Odds, Picks And Predictions By Trent Reinsmith
We will have more on the UFC 315 Shevchenko vs. Fiorot scrap as fight night nears, as well as live results, reactions, highlights and more for the UFC 315 pay-per-view card on fight night.