Latest news with #SilverBulletin
Yahoo
02-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Trump approval rating net positive on immigration only: Nate Silver
President Trump has a net positive approval rating only on the issue of immigration, according to the latest polling averages released by Nate Silver's 'Silver Bulletin.' The latest averages, updated Monday, show Trump with a net positive 2.5 percentage point approval rating on the issue of immigration, with an average of 49.6 percent approving of his handling of the issue and 47.2 percent disapproving. Trump began this term with a net positive 7-point approval on immigration, which has remained his best issue for most of the term so far. His approval on the issue peaked at net positive 11.1 percentage point approval in early March, and he only dipped into net negative territory in mid-April to early May. Trump's approval rating averages net negative on the three other issues the 'Silver Bulletin' tracks: the economy, trade and inflation. Trump began strong on the issue of economy. At the start of his term, he had a net 6-point approval rating there, and his average approval on the issue even eclipsed immigration for a brief period in late January and early February, when it was net positive 8.3 percentage points on the economy and net positive 8.1 percentage points on immigration. As June begins, however, Trump's average approval on the economy is net negative 11.3 percentage points, with 53.4 percent disapproving and 42.1 percent approving. Average approval of Trump's handling of the economy dipped into the net negative territory in mid-February. Trump's average approval on trade is net negative 9.6 percentage points, while his approval on inflation is net negative 17.5 percentage points. On both issues, Trump began his term with single-digit net negative approval but briefly managed to garner low net-positive approval averages in the first month of his term, before dipping back into negative territory. Overall, the latest polling average shows Trump with a net negative 5.4 percentage point approval rating, with 45.9 percent approving and 51.3 percent disapproving. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
The Hill
02-06-2025
- Business
- The Hill
Trump approval rating net positive on immigration only: Nate Silver
President Trump has a net positive approval rating only on the issue of immigration, according to the latest polling averages released by Nate Silver's 'Silver Bulletin.' The latest averages, updated on Monday, show Trump with a net positive 2.5 percentage point approval rating on the issue of immigration, with an average of 49.6 percent approving of his handling of the issue and 47.2 percent disapproving. Trump began this term with a net positive 7-point approval on immigration, which has remained his best issue for most of the term so far. His approval on the issue peaked at net positive 11.1 percentage point approval in early March, and he only dipped into net negative territory in mid-April to early May. Trump's approval rating averages net negative on the three other issues that the 'Silver Bulletin' tracks: the economy, trade and inflation. Trump began strong on the issue of economy. At the start of his term, he had a net 6-point approval rating on the economy, and his average approval on the issue even eclipsed immigration for a brief period in late January and early February, when it was net positive 8.3 percentage points on the economy and net positive 8.1 percentage points on immigration. As June begins, however, Trump's average approval on the economy is net negative 11.3 percentage points, with 53.4 percent disapproving and 42.1 percent approving of his handling of the issue. Average approval of Trump's handling of the economy dipped into the net negative territory in mid-February. Trump's average approval on trade is net negative 9.6 percentage points, while his approval on inflation is net negative 17.5 percentage points. On both issues, Trump began his term with single-digit net negative approval but briefly managed to garner low net-positive approval averages in the first month of his term, before dipping back into negative territory. Overall, the latest polling average shows Trump with a net negative 5.4 percentage point approval rating, with 45.9 percent approving and 51.3 percent disapproving.
Yahoo
23-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
President Trump's approval rating: Here's what latest opinion polls show
President Donald Trump's average approval rating largely held steady this week, with polling placing him between three and five points underwater. A Friday, May 23 average of recent polls from the New York Times gives the second-term president a 45% approval rating, with 51% disapproving of his performance. The outlet's approval rating average has held steady between 44%-45% over the last 30 days, but it does show a downward trend for the president since early March. Pollster Nate Silver's "Silver Bulletin" newsletter showed the president reached his best approval figures since early April this week, settling in with a 46% approval and 50% disapproval on May 23. RealClearPolitics' average was more than a percentage point higher, calculating a 47.7% approval and 49.3% disapproval rating. Polling: More Americans oppose Trump's tax plan than support it, survey says Trump began his term with a 47% approval rating, according to Gallup, and saw his popularity dip through his 100th day in office, when his job approval numbers reached historic lows not seen by any other president over the past several decades. While his lowest average approval numbers sank to the low-40s, the Republican leader has seen a slight uptick in approval rating metrics since late April. His highest average, Gallup's analysis says, is 49%, just shy of that benchmark. A historical analysis by Gallup shows Trump's approval ratings in April 2017 and April 2025 − roughly marking his first 100 days in office − reached lows unseen by any other modern president. In the past week, Trump told Walmart to "eat the tariffs" after the company said it would increase prices due to the president's higher import duties, and he signed a law aimed at combatting revenge porn and deep fakes. The Republican leader also presented disinformation to South African President Cyril Ramaphosa to further a right-wing conspiracy that the country is committing genocide against White farmers, and the U.S. House of Representatives passed a piece of mega-legislation dubbed the "Big Beautiful Bill" by the president for its Republican-backed legislative priorities. Here are the latest polls on Trump's approval rating. 43% approve 51% disapprove The survey of 1,710 U.S. adults was conducted May 16-20 and has a margin of error of ±3.2 percentage points. 48% approve 50% disapprove The survey of 2,208 registered voters was conducted May 16-19 and has a margin of error of ±2 percentage points. 43% approve 53% disapprove The survey of 1,003 U.S. adults was conducted May 1-18 and has a margin of error of ±4 percentage points. 42% approve 52% disapprove The survey of 1,024 U.S. adults was conducted May 16-18 and has a margin of error of ±3.3 percentage points. 46% approve 54% disapprove The survey of 1,004 U.S. adults was conducted May 5-15 and has a margin of error of ±3.6 percentage points. Kathryn Palmer is a trending news reporter for USA TODAY. You can reach her at kapalmer@ and on X @KathrynPlmr. This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: President Trump approval ratings hold steady in latest May 2025 polls
Yahoo
23-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
President Trump's approval rating: Here's what latest polls show
President Donald Trump's average approval rating largely held steady this week, with polling placing him between three and five points underwater. A Friday, May 23 average of recent polls from the New York Times gives the second-term president a 45% approval rating, with 51% disapproving of his performance. The outlet's approval rating average has held steady between 44%-45% over the last 30 days, but it does show a downward trend for the president since early March. Pollster Nate Silver's "Silver Bulletin" newsletter showed the president reached his best approval figures since early April this week, settling in with a 46% approval and 50% disapproval on May 23. RealClearPolitics' average was more than a percentage point higher, calculating a 47.7% approval and 49.3% disapproval rating. Polling: More Americans oppose Trump's tax plan than support it, survey says Trump began his term with a 47% approval rating, according to Gallup, and saw his popularity dip through his 100th day in office, when his job approval numbers reached historic lows not seen by any other president over the past several decades. While his lowest average approval numbers sank to the low-40s, the Republican leader has seen a slight uptick in approval rating metrics since late April. His highest average, Gallup's analysis says, is 49%, just shy of that benchmark. A historical analysis by Gallup shows Trump's approval ratings in April 2017 and April 2025 − roughly marking his first 100 days in office − reached lows unseen by any other modern president. In the past week, Trump told Walmart to "eat the tariffs" after the company said it would increase prices due to the president's higher import duties, and he signed a law aimed at combatting revenge porn and deep fakes. The Republican leader also presented disinformation to South African President Cyril Ramaphosa to further a right-wing conspiracy that the country is committing genocide against White farmers, and the U.S. House of Representatives passed a piece of mega-legislation dubbed the "Big Beautiful Bill" by the president for its Republican-backed legislative priorities. Here are the latest polls on Trump's approval rating. 43% approve 51% disapprove The survey of 1,710 U.S. adults was conducted May 16-20 and has a margin of error of ±3.2 percentage points. 48% approve 50% disapprove The survey of 2,208 registered voters was conducted May 16-19 and has a margin of error of ±2 percentage points. 43% approve 53% disapprove The survey of 1,003 U.S. adults was conducted May 1-18 and has a margin of error of ±4 percentage points. 42% approve 52% disapprove The survey of 1,024 U.S. adults was conducted May 16-18 and has a margin of error of ±3.3 percentage points. 46% approve 54% disapprove The survey of 1,004 U.S. adults was conducted May 5-15 and has a margin of error of ±3.6 percentage points. Kathryn Palmer is a trending news reporter for USA TODAY. You can reach her at kapalmer@ and on X @KathrynPlmr. This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: President Trump approval ratings hold steady in May 2025 polls
Newsweek
19-05-2025
- Business
- Newsweek
Donald Trump Getting Good News in Approval Rating Polls: Nate Silver
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. President Donald Trump has enjoyed a slight uptick in favorability, according to a series of mid-May polls compiled by political analyst and statistician Nate Silver. In a recent post to his Substack, Silver Bulletin, the analyst said Trump's net approval rating had risen to -5.8 as of Friday, up nearly four points from his second-term low of -9.7 on April 29, and the highest level since April 22. Why It Matters Trump returned to the Oval Office in January, after winning the popular vote and the Electoral College in last year's election, with the Republican Party flipping the Senate and maintaining its majority in the House of Representatives. However, despite beginning his second term with significant support—and a net approval rating of +11.7 percent, according to Silver Bulletin—the president's favorability in the eyes of the American public has been shaky in recent weeks, with surveys highlighting their concerns over the economy, tariffs and inflation in particular. Silver's report follows a détente in the U.S.-China trade war and a lucrative tour of several countries in the Middle East by the president, signaling that Trump's support may have mounted a rebound amid improving economic sentiment. What To Know Silver's analysis—based on aggregated results from dozens of polls, weighted according to recency, sample size as well as the pollsters' historic accuracy—found that 50.9 percent of Americans disapprove of Trump, compared to 45.5 percent who approve. Silver noted that there is significant disparity between the polls included in his average, owing to both statistical variation and the historic difficulty pollsters have encountered when attempting to measure Trump's favorability. Trump enjoys a 48.7 percent approval rating on immigration and 47.3 percent disapproval. However, this +1.4 percent net rating is the only positive among the issues included in Silver's analysis. The president is in the red when it comes to trade (-11.9 percent), the economy (-13 percent) and inflation (-26 percent). While the latest Consumer Price Index reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed the 12-month inflation rate slowing to 2.3 percent, its lowest level since February 2021, consumers have still expressed anxiety over rising prices largely due to the anticipated impact of tariffs. According to the University of Michigan's latest consumer sentiment survey, year-ahead inflation expectations have risen from 6.5 percent in April to 7.3 percent in May, with many citing tariffs in their response. However, the University of Michigan noted that the majority of responses were gathered prior to the May 12 announcement of a temporary reduction in tariffs by the U.S. and China, adding that this may lead consumers to reassess their views of current economic conditions. President Donald Trump gestures on stage as he tours the Al Udeid Air Base on May 15 in Doha, Qatar. President Donald Trump gestures on stage as he tours the Al Udeid Air Base on May 15 in Doha, People Are Saying Silver Bulletin's Eli McKown-Dawson wrote: "This could just be noise driven by a dearth of new polls, or it could be a reversal of the downward trend we've seen since the start of Trump's term. We'll have to wait for more data to find out." Rebecca Homkes, economic consultant and lecturer at the London Business School, said that the enthusiasm which met last week's announcement of a tariff pause should be moderated, telling Newsweek: "Media shouldn't get distracted by the posturing of the news of who won or struck a better deal: chaos has a cost, and the focus should be instead on the more nuanced points around the next steps for negotiating a longer-term agreement." What Happens Next? Sean Metcalfe, associate director at Oxford Economics, said a "future escalation" between the U.S. and China remains possible "as tariffs will likely continue to be used as a negotiating tactic." "This will keep trade policy uncertainty uncomfortably high and create the potential for future, and significant, disruptions in supply chains," he told Newsweek. Last week, the U.S. and China agreed to lower their "reciprocal" tariffs for 90 days as negotiations continue.
