Latest news with #SimeonMcMillan
Yahoo
14 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Pinterest, Inc. (PINS): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on Pinterest, Inc. on Accrued Interest's Substack by Simeon McMillan. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on PINS. Pinterest, Inc.'s share was trading at $34.00 as of June 23rd. PINS's trailing and forward P/E were 12.50 and 19.01 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Photo by Szabo Viktor on Unsplash Pinterest (PINS) is gaining attention as a potential standout in the social media space, offering compelling upside despite investor skepticism. While its revenue of $3.7 billion in 2024 is smaller than expected, Pinterest's niche positioning and unique user base provide an avenue for advertisers seeking alternatives to Meta and Google. Analysts project ~15% annual revenue growth, though there are questions around the platform's ability to scale meaningfully beyond its current user ceiling. Pinterest reported $1 billion in EBITDA at a 28% margin in 2024, and analysts forecast moderate expansion to 33% by 2027. The stock's standout trait is its robust free cash flow profile—$1.2 billion is projected for 2025, reflecting over 90% conversion of EBITDA to FCF, a key metric for long-term compounding. Valuation appears attractive, with Pinterest trading at 16x 2026E EPS and just 13x 2027E, despite a net-cash balance sheet. On an EV/FCF basis, the multiple is even lower—14x and under 12x for 2026 and 2027, respectively, suggesting discounted investor expectations. The prevailing market view seems to be that Pinterest has carved out a viable niche but lacks the product strength to materially gain share in the competitive ad tech space. Yet if Pinterest meets its estimates and trades at a reasonable 19x multiple in 2027, the stock could reach $49, offering ~44% upside. The case hinges on its ability to deliver 15%+ revenue growth and 30%+ EBITDA margins, which would validate its position as a high-quality compounder overlooked by the market. Previously, we covered a on Pinterest, Inc. by Dan in September 2024, which highlighted Gen Z-led user growth, its Amazon partnership, and intent-driven ad monetization. The company's stock price has appreciated by approximately 11.6% since our coverage. The thesis still stands as fundamentals remain strong. Simeon McMillan shares a similar view but emphasizes Pinterest's free cash flow strength and valuation discount. Pinterest, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 86 hedge fund portfolios held PINS at the end of the first quarter, which was 73 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of PINS as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an extremely cheap AI stock that is also a major beneficiary of Trump tariffs and onshoring, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None.
Yahoo
14 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
fuboTV Inc. (FUBO): A Bear Case Theory
We came across a bearish thesis on FuboTV Inc. on Accrued Interest's Substack by Simeon McMillan. In this article, we will summarize the Bears' thesis on FUBO. fuboTV Inc.'s share was trading at $3.1800 as of June 23rd. FUBO's trailing P/E were 15.90 according to Yahoo Finance. A modern TV monitor showcasing a variety of exciting video content for viewers of all ages. FuboTV (NYSE: FUBO) is facing growing pressure as its core business model falters. Despite management's emphasis on meeting Q1 2025 revenue targets, deeper fundamentals tell a more troubling story. The company's North American subscriber base declined by 3% year-over-year, reversing previous growth trends, while international subscribers dropped 11%. Notably, the so-called "international" segment only includes Canada and parts of Spain—hardly global in scale. Revenue growth stemmed entirely from price hikes, not user expansion, which signals low-quality growth and an unsustainable model in a fixed-cost business like streaming. Advertising revenue also fell 17% YoY, attributed to the loss of Televisa Univision content, yet management failed to backfill this revenue shortfall. With Q2 revenue guidance projecting a 14% decline, there's little optimism on the horizon. Although bulls point to upcoming content cost savings, the reality is that shrinking revenue overshadows any cost-cutting initiatives. The merger with part of Hulu hasn't sparked a turnaround; investors increasingly view it as cosmetic rather than strategic. Despite its decade-long existence, Fubo has failed to achieve broad user adoption. Even bullish cases, based on aggressive forecasts, suggest a best-case valuation of just over $3 per share—far below recent highs. Notably, both the CEO and CFO sold shares in the $4–5 range, raising questions about internal confidence. With subscriber attrition, evaporating ad revenue, weak international presence, and unconvincing growth catalysts, Fubo appears structurally challenged. The stock has dropped nearly 20% recently, and with no strong drivers in sight, further underperformance versus the S&P 500 is expected over the next 18 months. Previously we covered a bearish thesis on Gray Television, Inc. (GTN) by Tyler Moody in November 2024, which highlighted its high debt, political ad dependency, and structural decline. The stock has depreciated by ~7.8% since. The thesis still stands as key risks persist. Simeon McMillan shares a similar view on fuboTV but emphasizes subscriber losses and weak revenue quality. fuboTV Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 17 hedge fund portfolios held FUBO at the end of the first quarter, which was 13 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of FUBO as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an extremely cheap AI stock that is also a major beneficiary of Trump tariffs and onshoring, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. Sign in to access your portfolio
