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Associated Press
14-05-2025
- Business
- Associated Press
Global Times: China-US trade talks, market resilience boost confidence in Chinese assets
BEIJING, May 14, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- China's capital market is witnessing a wave of positive developments. Just days after Chinese policymakers issued major policy measures to stabilize the market, China and the US announced on Monday that the two countries have reached what has been described by some as a better-than-expected breakthrough to ease tariff tension. With the growing positive headlines come greater confidence in Chinese assets. Some global financial institutions have moved swiftly to raise their outlooks for Chinese stocks, while others are making adjustments to their investment strategies to focus on Chinese high-tech stocks. While the outcome of the China-US trade talks offered a significant boost, China's policy orientation, market resilience and technological breakthroughs in areas such as artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductors are underpinning the long-term growth potential of Chinese assets, according to analysts and reports from several major global financial institutions. Near-term catalyst 'We see this development as a solid near-term catalyst for the China market,' Laura Wang, chief China equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in a research note shared with the Global Times on Monday, referring to the agreement reached between China and the US. Following two days of talks in Switzerland, China and the US released a joint statement on Monday, announcing several key agreements, most notably a significant reduction in tariffs on both sides. Specifically, the US will remove a total of 91-percent additional tariffs on Chinese products and China will accordingly cut 91-percent countermeasure additional tariffs against US imports. In addition, the US will suspend a 24-percent 'reciprocal tariff' for 90 days, and China likewise will suspend a 24-percent countermeasure tariff for the same period, according to the Ministry of Commerce. 'This news greatly boosted the confidence of the global capital market,' Yang Delong, chief economist at Shenzhen-based First Seafront Fund, told the Global Times on Tuesday, noting global markets have responded positively to the news. Wang Tao, head of Asia economics and chief China economist at UBS Investment Bank, said in a statement sent to the Global Times on Tuesday that 'the trade war de-escalation improves growth outlook.' The closely watched US-China trade talks concluded with 'substantial progress' on reducing bilateral reciprocal tariffs significantly, which is more positive than many had expected, Wang said. Song Yu, chief China economist at BlackRock, told the Securities Times that the recent progress in China-US trade relations is a significant boost to the macroeconomic environment. This, combined with the stronger-than-expected April export data and intensified domestic economic policy support, as evidenced by the comprehensive package of policies rolled out by three major Chinese government departments last week, is expected to 'bolster the confidence of both domestic and international investors in Chinese assets, acting as a powerful catalyst for the Chinese market,' Song said. Strong resilience Even before China and the US reached major progress in the trade talks, global investors had already become increasingly bullish on the investment prospects of China's capital market, expressing strong confidence in its strong resilience and long-term growth potential. Some major financial institutions have been quick to adjust their investment strategies. UBS Global Wealth Management issued its investment views on Monday, expressing preference for leading internet companies driving AI development in China and attractive opportunities across the broader semiconductor supply chain. 'We believe the continued breakthroughs in China's AI space should help drive the tech sector higher amid signs of a potential de-escalation in the US-China trade war. We now rate Chinese tech stocks as 'Attractive,' and expect the sector to post an earnings growth of 30 percent this year,' the wealth management firm said. In the research note on Monday, Wang from Morgan Stanley also noted 'structural investment opportunities in tech/artificial intelligence and new consumption related areas.' In a May 8 report, Goldman Sachs maintained its 'overweight' rating on Chinese equities and raised its 12-month index targets for MSCI China and CSI300 to 78 and 4,400, implying 7 percent and 15 percent potential returns. The report noted that Chinese financial assets have remained resilient, supported by factors such as broad US dollar weakness, signs of easing US-China trade tensions, robust activity growth as shown in hard data, and effective domestic policy easing. Last week, China's monetary and financial authorities unveiled a raft of supportive measures, including policy rate and reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts, as the country stepped up efforts to stabilize markets and sustain economic recovery amid external headwinds, according to Xinhua. In one of its key policy actions, the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, announced an RRR cut of 0.5 percentage points for eligible financial institutions from May 15. Notably, the RRR for auto financing and financial leasing companies will be slashed from 5 percent to 0 percent, Xinhua reported. The timing of the announcement, in particular RRR and policy rate cuts, was seen as a positive surprise by some investors. Goldman Sachs noted that the encouraging aspect of the latest easing package lies in its targeted and increasingly demand-driven approach, which supports the government's goal of fostering a healthy stock market anchored by stable capital. During a press conference announcing the policy measures last week, Wu Qing, chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, highlighted the resilience of the A-share market and emphasized the net profits growth of listed companies achieved in the first quarter. A-share listed companies are resilient, supported by strong domestic demand, diversified export markets, and rising competitiveness. In Q1 2025, their net profits rose 3.6 percent year-on-year, with real-economy firms seeing a 4.3 percent increase, Wu said, while pledging efforts to keep capital markets stable and active. View original content: SOURCE Global Times
South China Morning Post
13-05-2025
- Business
- South China Morning Post
Nomura upgrades China stocks to ‘tactical overweight' after tentative trade breakthrough
Advertisement In a research note on Tuesday, Chetan Seth, a strategist at the Japanese firm, upgraded Chinese stocks to a 'tactical overweight' rating from 'neutral.' 'While there are still some uncertainties on the medium-term US-China outlook, we think these developments should reduce the US-China geopolitical risk premium that has been associated with China stocks,' the report said. 'Recent concerns about potentially more hawkish actions from the US aimed at delisting of Chinese ADRs should also dissipate.' According to a recent Nomura survey, fewer than 10 per cent of respondents expected the tariff rates to drop below 34 per cent on both sides. In a 90-day reprieve, China reduced its levies on US imports to 10 per cent, while the US cut its tariffs to 30 per cent, according to a joint statement from the two countries. 'The US-China agreement on Monday where tariffs were reduced came as a significant surprise for markets,' the report said. 'This reduction is much larger than expected and will bring a major relief for global stocks.' Advertisement In the wake of the trade deal's announcement, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Asset Management also struck a positive tone on Chinese equities. Morgan Stanley hailed the ceasefire as a catalyst that would attract inflows and ease concerns about earnings shocks, while JPMorgan said the news would allow for a more risk-oriented attitude.
Bloomberg
13-05-2025
- Business
- Bloomberg
Nomura Turns Bullish on China's Stocks After Trade Truce With US
Nomura Holdings Inc. strategists upgraded Chinese stocks to a 'tactical overweight,' saying the trade truce between the US and China is a significant positive for the Asian nation's equities. The agreement to temporarily lower tariffs 'came as a significant surprise for markets, and will likely support risk positivity in the near term,' strategists led by Chetan Seth wrote in a note Tuesday. That would extend a relief rally seen in Chinese stocks in the past month, they added.
Reuters
12-05-2025
- Business
- Reuters
JPMorgan lifts China growth forecasts after 'surprisingly positive' US deal
LONDON, May 12 (Reuters) - Investment bank JPMorgan lifted its forecasts for China's economic growth on Monday following what it called a "surprisingly positive" deal with the United States to dial down the two countries' trade war. The U.S. will cut extra tariffs it imposed on Chinese imports in April to 30% from 145%, while Chinese duties on U.S. imports will fall to 10% from 125%. The new measures are effective for 90 days. "The magnitude of the temporary tariff reduction is larger than expected," analysts at the U.S. bank said in a note which singled out the replacement of the 34% "reciprocal" U.S. tariff on China with the 10% "universal" tariff that other countries also face as "surprisingly positive". They estimated that as long as the new lower tariff rates are maintained for the rest of the year, China's full-year GDP growth rate would hit 4.8% compared to the bank's previous forecast of 4.1%. "We no longer expect the (Chinese) government to introduce additional fiscal stimulus later this year," they also added.
