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Here's Why Investors Should Avoid ZTO Express Stock Now
Here's Why Investors Should Avoid ZTO Express Stock Now

Yahoo

time29-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Here's Why Investors Should Avoid ZTO Express Stock Now

ZTO Express Cayman Inc. ZTO is facing significant challenges from rising operating expenses and a deteriorating liquidity position, which are adversely affecting its bottom line and making it an unattractive choice for investors' portfolios. Let's delve deeper. Southward Earnings Estimate Revision: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has been revised 5.2% downward over the past 60 days and is pegged at $1.65 per share. Meanwhile, the consensus estimate for 2026 earnings is pegged at $1.78 per share, declining 6.8% over the past 60 days. The unfavorable estimate revision indicates brokers' lack of confidence in the stock. Dim Price Performance: ZTO Express shares have lost 26.5% in the past year compared with the industry's 16.6% decline. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Weak Zacks Rank: ZTO currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). Unimpressive Earnings Surprise History: ZTO has a discouraging earnings surprise history, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the trailing four quarters and missing twice. The average negative surprise is 2.9%. Bearish Industry Rank: The industry to which ZTO Express belongs currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 195 (out of 245). Such an unfavorable rank places it in the bottom 20% of Zacks show that 50% of a stock price movement is directly related to the performance of the industry group it belongs to. A mediocre stock within a strong group is likely to outperform a robust stock in a weak industry. Reckoning the industry's performance becomes imperative in this case. Headwinds: ZTO Express is under increasing pressure on its bottom line due to rising expenses, which are challenging its financial stability. In the first quarter of 2025, the company experienced a 17.9% year-over-year increase in total operating expenses. This rise was largely due to higher sorting hub operating costs and other related expenses. The operating costs of the sorting center were $319 million, an increase of 6.8% year over year. Trunk transportation costs were $480.0 million, an increase of 3.3% year over year. The company is now grappling with the impact of these escalating costs, which are putting additional strain on its profitability and overall financial health. Moreover, the company's financial stability is under pressure, as reflected by a declining current ratio (a measure of liquidity). ZTO's current ratio fell from 1.49 in 2022 to 1.34 in 2023 and dropped further to 1.07 in 2024. In the first quarter of 2025, the current ratio was pegged at 1.05. This consistent downward trend is concerning, as it raises questions about the company's ability to meet its short-term debt obligations. Investors interested in the Transportation sector may consider Copa Holdings CPA and Ryanair RYAAY. CPA currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. CPA has an expected earnings growth rate of 14.3% for the current year. The company has an impressive earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average beat of 5.5%. Shares of CPA have risen 24.7% year to date. RYAAY currently sports a Zacks Rank of 1. RYAAY has an expected earnings growth rate of 30.5% for the current year. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the trailing four quarters and missed twice, delivering an average beat of 46.6%. Shares of RYAAY have rallied 29.9% year to date. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY) : Free Stock Analysis Report Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) : Free Stock Analysis Report ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Alibaba weighs options to reduce stake in ZTO Express
Alibaba weighs options to reduce stake in ZTO Express

Malaysian Reserve

time27-05-2025

  • Business
  • Malaysian Reserve

Alibaba weighs options to reduce stake in ZTO Express

ALIBABA Group Holding Ltd. is considering options to pare down its minority stake in express delivery firm ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., according to people familiar with the matter. Alibaba has held talks with investment banks to evaluate a potential sale of bonds exchangeable into the shares of ZTO Express, the people said, asking not to be identified because the deliberations are private. Considerations are ongoing and Alibaba may still decide against selling exchangeable bonds, the people said. Representatives for Alibaba and ZTO didn't immediately respond to requests seeking comment. Alibaba led a group of investors in buying 10% of ZTO for $1.38 billion in 2018 to boost its global shipping services. The investor group included Alibaba's logistics arm Cainiao, it said at the time, without identifying other buyers. ZTO Express raised $1.4 billion in an initial public offering in New York in 2016, and then a second listing in Hong Kong raised a similar amount in 2020. ZTO's shares are down about 13% in the US this year. The Shanghai-based company has a market value of around $13.6 billion. A sale of exchangeable bonds by Alibaba would echo a similar move by fellow Chinese tech company Baidu Inc., which in March raised $2 billion by selling bonds exchangeable into the Hong Kong shares of online-travel agency Group Ltd. –BLOOMBERG

ZTO Express Q1 Earnings Flat Y/Y, Revenues Miss Estimates
ZTO Express Q1 Earnings Flat Y/Y, Revenues Miss Estimates

Globe and Mail

time22-05-2025

  • Business
  • Globe and Mail

ZTO Express Q1 Earnings Flat Y/Y, Revenues Miss Estimates

ZTO Express ZTO reported first-quarter 2025 earnings of 37 cents per share, which came in line with the year-ago quarter. Total revenues of $1.50 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.67 billion and improved year over year. Mr. Meisong Lai, founder, chairman and chief executive officer at ZTO, stated, "During the first quarter, ZTO maintained leading service quality and achieved 8.5 billion of parcel volume and 2.3 billion of adjusted net income. Retail volume increased by 46% year over year for the quarter as we penetrated deeper into reverse logistics, and we continued to work closely with various e-commerce platform and enterprise customers to develop differentiated products and services which include time-definite delivery and customized KA consumer services." Detailed Operational Statistics Revenue from the core express delivery business increased 9.8% year over year, owing to 19.1% growth in parcel volume and a 7.8% decrease in parcel unit price. KA revenues, generated by direct sales organizations, increased 129.3%, driven by an increase in e-commerce return parcels. Revenue from freight forwarding services fell 11.6% year over year, owing to declining cross-border e-commerce pricing. Revenue from sales of accessories, which largely consisted of sales of thermal paper used for digital waybills' printing, rose 15.5% year over year. Other revenues were derived mainly from financing services. Gross profit decreased 10.4% from the year-ago reported quarter. Gross margin rate fell to 24.7% from 30.1% in the year-ago period. Total operating expenses were RMB283.8 million ($39.1 million) compared with RMB735.4 million in the year-ago period. ZTO Express exited the first quarter of 2025 with cash and cash equivalents of $1.71 billion compared with $1.84 billion at the end of the prior quarter. ZTO's board approved its share repurchase program in November 2018 and has made subsequent changes so far. The latest announcement includes an increase in the aggregate value of shares to be repurchased to $2 billion and extends the effective period through June 30, 2025. As of March 31, 2025, ZTO had purchased an aggregate of 50,899,498 ADSs for $1,228.3 million on the open market, including repurchase commissions. The remaining funds available under the share repurchase program are $771.7 million. On May 20, 2025, ZTO announced that it would extend the current share repurchase program to June 30, 2026. ZTO's 2025 Guidance Based on current market and operating conditions, ZTO Express reaffirms its 2025 parcel volume guidance of 40.8 billion to 42.2 billion, reflecting 20-24% year-over-year growth. ZTO's Zacks Rank Currently, ZTO Express carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Q1 Performances of Other Transportation Companies United Airlines United Airlines ' UAL first-quarter 2025 earnings per share (excluding 25 cents from non-recurring items) of 91 cents surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 75 cents. In the year-ago quarter, the Chicago-based airline reported a loss of 15 cents per share. Operating revenues of $13.21 billion fell marginally short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.22 billion. The top line increased 5.4% year over year despite the tariff-induced slowdown in domestic air travel demand. Passenger revenues (which accounted for 89.7% of the top line) rose 4.8% year over year to $11.9 billion. UAL flights transported 40,806 passengers in the first quarter, up 3.8% year over year. Delta Air Lines Delta Air Lines DAL reported first-quarter 2025 earnings (excluding 9 cents from non-recurring items) of 46 cents per share, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 40 cents. Earnings increased 2.2% on a year-over-year basis due to low fuel costs. Revenues in the March-end quarter were $14.04 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.81 billion and increasing 2.1% on a year-over-year basis. Adjusted operating revenues (excluding third-party refinery sales) rose 3.3% year over year to $13 billion. C.H. Robinson C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. ( CHRW ) reported mixed first-quarter 2025 results, wherein earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate while revenues missed the same. Quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $1.17 outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02 and improved 36% year over year. Total revenues of $4.04 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.31 billion and declined 8.2% year over year, owing to the divestiture of CHRW's Europe Surface Transportation business, lower volume in its North America truckload services, and lower pricing in the ocean services. Only $1 to See All Zacks' Buys and Sells We're not kidding. Several years ago, we shocked our members by offering them 30-day access to all our picks for the total sum of only $1. No obligation to spend another cent. Thousands have taken advantage of this opportunity. Thousands did not - they thought there must be a catch. Yes, we do have a reason. We want you to get acquainted with our portfolio services like Surprise Trader, Stocks Under $10, Technology Innovators, and more, that closed 256 positions with double- and triple-digit gains in 2024 alone. See Stocks Now >> Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL): Free Stock Analysis Report United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL): Free Stock Analysis Report C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW): Free Stock Analysis Report ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO): Free Stock Analysis Report

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth Amidst ...
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth Amidst ...

Yahoo

time22-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth Amidst ...

Parcel Volume: RMB8.5 billion, up 19.1% year over year. Adjusted Net Income: RMB2.3 billion, increased 1.6% year over year. Total Revenue: RMB10.9 billion, up 9.4% year over year. ASP for Core Express Delivery: Decreased 7.8% or RMB0.11. Total Cost of Revenue: RMB8.2 billion, increased 17.9%. Gross Profit: RMB2.7 billion, decreased 10.4%. Gross Profit Margin: 24.7%, decreased 5.4%. Income from Operations: RMB2.4 billion, increased 6.1%. Operating Cash Flow: RMB2.4 billion, increased 16.3%. Capital Expenditure: RMB2 billion for Q1. 2025 Full-Year Parcel Volume Guidance: RMB40.8 billion to RMB42.2 billion, a 20% to 24% increase year over year. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 1 Warning Sign with ZTO. Release Date: May 21, 2025 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (NYSE:ZTO) achieved a 19.1% year-over-year increase in parcel volume, reaching RMB8.5 billion in the first quarter of 2025. The company reported an adjusted net income of RMB2.3 billion, marking a 1.6% increase year over year. Retail parcel volume increased by 46% year over year, with reverse logistics volumes surging over 150%, indicating strong growth in these segments. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (NYSE:ZTO) successfully decreased unit transportation and sorting costs by RMB0.09 year over year through digitization and accountability metrics. The company maintained strong corporate cost efficiency, with SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue decreasing to 4.7%. The ASP for core express delivery business decreased by 7.8% due to intensified competition, impacting revenue. Gross profit decreased by 10.4% to RMB2.7 billion, and the gross profit margin rate decreased by 5.4% to 24.7%. Price competition in the express delivery industry intensified, putting pressure on profit margins. The proportion of lower value parcels increased, further intensifying price competition and impacting revenue growth. Despite efforts to narrow the gap, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (NYSE:ZTO) was slightly slower than the industry in volume growth during the first quarter. Q: How does ZTO plan to achieve its volume growth target despite intense competition, and what are the implications for profit? A: (Huiping Yan, CFO) ZTO aims to maintain service quality while focusing on volume leadership and reasonable profit. The company has narrowed the gap between its volume growth and the industry average by incentivizing network partners. ZTO continues to focus on upgrading its revenue structure, particularly in retail and reverse logistics, which saw significant growth. The company plans to deepen cooperation with e-commerce platforms to sustain this growth. Q: What are the expectations for unit revenue and cost, and how is AI being integrated into ZTO's operations? A: (Huiping Yan, CFO) The decline in unit revenue is due to intense competition and an increase in lower-weight parcels. ZTO is focusing on cost efficiency, with significant reductions in transportation and sorting costs. AI is being used in sorting operations, route planning, and order allocation to improve efficiency and reduce errors. ZTO plans to further explore AI applications in last-mile delivery and other areas. Q: What progress has been made in direct linkage and cost optimization, and what are the expectations for the upcoming shopping festival? A: (Huiping Yan, CFO) ZTO is optimizing outlet layouts and promoting direct sorting and delivery to reduce last-mile costs and increase outlet earnings. The company expects significant cost savings and improved network partner earnings. For the upcoming shopping festival, ZTO anticipates high parcel volumes and plans to maintain competitive pricing while supporting network stability. Q: How does ZTO plan to handle the intensified price competition and its impact on ASP? A: (Huiping Yan, CFO) ZTO is focusing on maintaining high service quality and strategically adjusting pricing based on market conditions. The company is leveraging its cost efficiency initiatives to offset pricing pressures and plans to continue optimizing its revenue mix to sustain profitability. Q: What are ZTO's strategic priorities in response to current market challenges? A: (Meisong Lai, CEO) ZTO's strategic priority is to solidify its leadership in quality and scale while achieving reasonable profit levels. The company is committed to sustainable growth, reinforcing its network stability, and leveraging technology to enhance operational efficiency. ZTO aims to build an enduring enterprise that can adapt to changing market dynamics. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

ZTO Express reports Q1 EPS RMB2.71 vs. RMB2.68 last year
ZTO Express reports Q1 EPS RMB2.71 vs. RMB2.68 last year

Business Insider

time21-05-2025

  • Business
  • Business Insider

ZTO Express reports Q1 EPS RMB2.71 vs. RMB2.68 last year

Reports Q1 revenue RMB10.891B vs. RMB9.960B. Meisong Lai, Founder, Chairman and CEO of ZTO, commented, 'During the Q1, ZTO maintained leading service quality and achieved 8.5B of parcel volume and 2.3B of adjusted net income. Retail volume increased by 46% year over year for the quarter as we penetrated deeper into reverse logistics, and we continued to work closely with various e-commerce platform and enterprise customers to develop differentiated products and services which include time-definite delivery and customized KA consumer services.' Lai added, 'We believe competition in China's express delivery industry has reached the 'white-hot' stage, and it is further exacerbated by a greater portion of volume being either low value or loss-making for the logistic service providers. Our approach to network policies has been on maintaining consistency and cultivating long-term stability. At times of fierce competition, we are learning to better leverage our existing competitive advantage and at the same time, stay focused on initiatives that can bring about long-term prospects of profitable growth.'

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