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How Mexico's Vote on Nearly 2,700 Judges Could Empower One Party
How Mexico's Vote on Nearly 2,700 Judges Could Empower One Party

New York Times

time3 days ago

  • General
  • New York Times

How Mexico's Vote on Nearly 2,700 Judges Could Empower One Party

Over the past seven years, a leftist political party called Morena has accomplished a remarkable takeover of the Mexican political landscape. It has elected two consecutive presidents, secured supermajorities in Congress, made sweeping political moves that cemented its authority and left the opposition so badly beaten that it is clinging to life. Now, Morena could take one of the most important steps yet in its consolidation of power. On Sunday, Mexicans will head to the polls to elect every federal judge in the nation and many local ones — 2,682 justices, judges and magistrates in all — a first-in-the-nation vote to overhaul the judiciary. Morena leaders said they decided on the election to fix a justice system rife with corrupt judges who served the elite, rather than everyone, and who kept frustrating the party's plans. In the process, they could eliminate the final major check on Morena's power. Many legal and political analysts in Mexico expect candidates aligned with Morena to dominate the election, filling judgeships from local courthouses to the Supreme Court and giving the party effective control over the third branch of government. Want all of The Times? Subscribe.

Perils of 'The Precautionary Principle' in Environmental Law
Perils of 'The Precautionary Principle' in Environmental Law

Forbes

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Forbes

Perils of 'The Precautionary Principle' in Environmental Law

Risk management prism - Getty Creative getty In a rare show of unity on May 29, 2025, The U.S. Supreme Court justices ruled 8-0 in favor of limiting the scope of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) The court recognized that despite many noble intentions, the law has been misapplied as an ideological stalling tool against not only resource extraction projects but also renewable energy projects. All court justices appeared to acknowledge that there is a big difference between responsible environmentalism and environmental obstructionism. This case is particularly notable since it involved a fossil fuels pipeline project in Utah and the three liberal justices could have used this as a way to make a statement on the salience of climate change. Yet, all justices rightly recognized that the law has been misapplied, albeit there was a less strident concurrence submitted by the three liberal justices in the case. While at its surface this decision may be about 'process' but there is an underlying realization by the justices that modern environmentalism has become risk averse beyond a 'broad zone of reasonableness.' The court has indirectly taken a swipe at the 'precautionary principle' which emphasizes taking proactive measures to protect the environment in the face of uncertainty. The origins of this principle can be found in the German concept of Vorsorgeprinzip, which by some measures is better translated as the 'foresight principle.' Such a translation suggests a positive anticipatory action rather than a negative status quo decision, but the essential element is social risk aversion in the context of environmental harm. Yet it is important to note that the absence of evidence of harm is not the same thing as evidence of the absence of harm. The United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (Rio Summit), in 1992, put forward an 'Agenda for the 21st Century' (called Agenda 21) where 'Principle 15,' enshrined this precaution as follows: 'In order to protect the environment the Precautionary Approach shall be widely applied by States according to their capabilities. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost- effective measures to prevent environmental degradation.' Although this principle has normative value as an ethical aspiration, operationalizing it in the context of maintaining social order in a complex environment of competing goals is next to impossible. For example, if we followed this principle to its core, there would be no process of clinical trials for drug development. Nevertheless, the precautionary principle provides an alternative to reactive decision-making, which might cause irreversible harm to Earth's ecosystems and the communities who rely on those natural resources. Ecological concerns such as climate change might also fall into this category. However, communicating risks to the public in such circumstances of fear and activism can lead to 'social amplification' as was argued by geographer Roger Kasperson in his seminal work on this topic. Uncertainty and doubt become a defining excuse for inaction or a 'precautionary pause,' as has been argued in cases for moratoria for various technologies (which I have argued elsewhere need to be considered on a case-by-case basis). Lack of 'enough' data, and hence the need for more research or expertise, has often been used as a stalling tool. Such interventions span the full spectrum of views around our ecological predicament. On the one hand, uncertainty arguments on impacts are used by the fossil fuel industry to perpetuate the status quo around carbon emissions. On the other hand, many environmentalists have used uncertainty about the safety of nuclear technology to call for its phase- out. If we keep unpacking arguments for and against a particular technology, the conversation spirals into a battle of uncertainties. Precaution operates on a spectrum, as with any human endeavor, and the 'precautionary principle' cannot be used as an excuse for indefinite inertia in a world with competing challenges. Caution is in order, but indeterminate precaution is an untenable postulate that can lead to 'paralysis by analysis.' In their landmark book the 1983, Risk and Culture, Mary Douglas and Aaron Wildavsky alerted us to the deceptive objectification of risk. Ultimately, risk in a complex world of competing and intersecting phenomena is a socially constructed phenomenon. Going back to the Bible, they note that the dietary laws of Leviticus may have stemmed from some degree of medical materialism but were ultimately about a cultural delineation of boundaries and the social construction of risk. Another curious insight from Douglas and Wildavsky's work is how 'dirt' is a form of disruption to socially constructed order and, even when it is harmless— or perhaps even helpful in the case of nutrient transfer to arable land— it is deemed impure and repugnant. The authors of this classic collaboration between an anthropologist (Douglas) and a political scientist (Wildavsky) maintained that, strategically, keeping a balance between anticipating harm and trusting resilience is the essence of managing risk. The law of diminishing returns can be applied to this process, whereby each marginal risk prevention effort does not reap concomitant rewards. Douglas and Wildavsky showed that excessive safety targeted at a particular technology like nuclear power implementation could undermine overall systems' safety because alternatives can appear more attractive than they actually are when considering the full scale and scope of return on investment. The economic marginalization of nuclear power is an intriguing case in point. Massive safety upgrade requirements to existing nuclear power plants have rendered them uneconomical, thereby making the climate mitigation targets more challenging to reach in the short- term as other low carbon sources are up- scaled. For functional purposes, a systems science approach is needed to consider the way forward for evaluating risks. For a certain narrow class of outcomes that could lead to system-wide 'ruin,' even in low probabilities, risk analyst Nassem Taleb (author of the bestselling Incerto series of books including The Black Swan) has argued that the precautionary principle can be applied for decisions. However, defining 'ruin' remains subjective as apocalyptic narratives can too easily be used in environmental activism for this purpose in areas like GMOs or nuclear energy. Instead of such subjectivity which would again take us down the paralysis path, what is more appropriate is to have an incrementalist approach to adaptive decision-making that can quickly act on specific contingencies emerging. The Australian researcher Jayden Hayman has suggested such an adaptive management approach to environmental regulatory decisions on controversial developments such as deep-sea mining. Coming back to the implications of the Supreme Court verdict, regulatory agencies will now be able to have more effective rulemaking without the constant shadow of cascading lawsuits that are predicated on a misapplication of the precautionary principle. One of my mentors from graduate school days, law professor Daniel Esty argued for such 'optimal environmental governance' approach to improving regulatory performance in a seminal paper many years back. Indeed, even environmental organizations recognized the challenge of operationalizing precaution, particularly around biodiversity conservation. The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) recognized that inevitably there would be a 'value-based balancing' of tradeoffs involved in operationalizing the precautionary principle. Paradoxically, precaution when applied with specious slippery slope arguments, itself can lead to perilous outcomes for societal innovation and sustainability.

Supreme Court justices recuse from case involving book publisher
Supreme Court justices recuse from case involving book publisher

Washington Post

time19-05-2025

  • Business
  • Washington Post

Supreme Court justices recuse from case involving book publisher

Four Supreme Court justices recused themselves from a decision over whether to hear a case involving the parent company of their book publisher Monday, the most significant action of its kind since the court adopted a new ethics code in 2023. As is customary with recusals, the justices did not explain their reasoning. But a longtime expert in court ethics said it was probably because a German conglomerate that is a party in the case owns Penguin Random House, which has paid the justices millions in advances and royalties for their published works.

Alito and Roberts take stock as they near their third decade on the bench
Alito and Roberts take stock as they near their third decade on the bench

Yahoo

time19-05-2025

  • Politics
  • Yahoo

Alito and Roberts take stock as they near their third decade on the bench

As Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito approach their two-decade milestones on the Supreme Court, they appear to be taking personal stock. Twice in the past two weeks, Roberts, 70, has mused before audiences about retirement. The 75-year-old Alito wrote wistfully about Justice David Souter's early retirement choice. 'I was happy that he was able to spend the last 16 years of his life in the surroundings he cherished living the kind of private life he preferred,' Alito said as the court announced the May 8 death of Souter, who left the bench in 2009 at the relatively young (for a justice) age of 69. Roberts, at a Georgetown University Law Center appearance, recalled the 2009 day that Souter told him he was going to retire. Souter told Roberts he wanted to return to his native New Hampshire, to trade, as Roberts put it, 'white marble for White Mountains.' An avid reader, Souter also sought a more contemplative life. 'There aren't many people who would have that kind of perspective,' Roberts said, 'including myself.' The end of the court's annual session has traditionally been the season for Supreme Court retirement announcements and speculation. Thursday's oral arguments involving Trump's plan to end birthright citizenship marked the final public arguments of the current term; rulings will be issued through the end of June. When CNN asked Alito last week about his own retirement plans, he declined to comment. In November, amid predictions from conservative activists about an impending Alito departure, the Wall Street Journal reported that people close to the justice said he had no plans to leave. Since then, friends of Alito have told CNN his intentions do not appear to have changed. Factors he would weigh, they say, include the usual dynamic of personal health as well as his confidence in who the president might choose as a successor. If Alito, Roberts or Justice Clarence Thomas, who will turn 77 next month, retire in the next four years, it would give President Donald Trump an opportunity to seal a deeper generational legacy on the Supreme Court. At an appearance in Buffalo, New York, this month, Roberts dismissed questions about any imminent retirement but also referred to natural concerns an older justice has of becoming 'a burden to the court.' US District Judge Lawrence Vilardo, a friend of Roberts' from their shared time at Harvard Law School, began the exchange by asking the chief justice, also a Buffalo native, if he ever thought about retiring. 'No,' Roberts said firmly. 'I'm going out feet first.' But then Roberts acknowledged that 'if your health declines at all … if you recognize that you're a burden to the court,' the answer could be different. (Roberts was hospitalized in 2020 after falling at a country club near his home. He had previously experienced seizures, and a court spokeswoman said at the time that his doctors ruled out seizure as the cause of the fall and a forehead injury.) Roberts, who has looked healthy at recent public appearances, related to Vilardo a precautionary step he'd taken to avoid staying on the bench if he lost his faculties. 'I have very good friends,' he said, 'and I sat down with them, and said, I want at the appropriate time – because you don't always notice that you're slipping – I want the two of you to tell me that it's time to go.' Roberts then quipped that there was a long pause, 'and the two of them at once said, 'It's time.'' Responding to a question about whether he enjoys the job, Roberts said, 'It's exciting to get up every morning and go into work.' Roberts and Alito were selected in 2005 within a few months of each other by then-President George W. Bush. The appointments were made during a series of dramatic national events that included one of the most destructive hurricanes in history (Katrina) and the sudden death of a chief justice (William Rehnquist). Since then, Roberts and Alito have transformed the modern Supreme Court. Chief Justice Roberts led the bench on a rightward path, bolstering presidential powers and diminishing individual rights. Alito is likely best known for writing the court's 2022 opinion that reversed Roe v. Wade and ended nearly half a century of abortion rights. Signing onto that opinion were Thomas and the three Trump appointees from his first term: Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett. At the recent Georgetown Law event, Roberts recalled his 2003 confirmation to a US appellate court and the 2005 high-court elevation, but not before he reminded Dean William Treanor of a 1992 episode. Then-President George H.W. Bush had nominated him to the US appellate court, but Roberts was blocked in the Senate. 'Some guy named Biden said, 'Nah, let's not give him a hearing,'' Roberts said, with a touch of the lingering sting. Joe Biden, who would later become president, was chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee at the time. In his public appearances, Roberts typically skips over that disappointment at age 37. But he used it last week as a lesson for the Georgetown students nearing graduation. 'Looking back on it – this is in terms of advice – you want your bad luck to be good,' Roberts said. 'I think if I had been confirmed at that early age, when a vacancy came up on the (Supreme) Court, I probably would have had far too much baggage to be considered for it.' As it was, Roberts had a slim record of decisions from only two years on the appellate bench court before his Supreme Court nomination. President George W. Bush's selection of Roberts to be chief justice ultimately led to Bush's choice of Alito for an associate justice post. The sequence of events and shifting nominations of 2005 was triggered by Justice Sandra Day O'Connor's July retirement announcement as the annual session ended. Bush announced that he would nominate Roberts for O'Connor's associate justice seat. But before the Senate could hold its scheduled confirmation hearings for Roberts, Rehnquist died on September 3 and created a new opening. Bush, struggling with the federal response to the devastating Hurricane Katrina at the time, quickly decided to switch Roberts to the new vacancy. Once Roberts was confirmed as chief justice, the president decided to replace O'Connor with his White House counsel, Harriet Miers. But Miers, who had little constitutional law experience or record, withdrew her name a few weeks later, after being roundly criticized by conservative leaders, including former US appellate court Judge Robert Bork, who declared her nomination 'a disaster on every level.' Bush then settled on Alito, a federal appellate court judge whose conservative credentials were well-established. In their early years in the Supreme Court, Alito and Roberts, with similar backgrounds and regard for the executive branch, regularly voted together. But in time, Alito moved further to the right, and Roberts, keeping an eye on the institutional standing of the court, tried to stake out the center. Alito has been the subject of much of the speculation since the 2024 election regarding a new Trump opportunity for replace a justice. (Justices typically seek to retire when the sitting president shares their political party and would appoint a likeminded successor.) Yet Alito, and even eldest justice Thomas, are younger than the usual Supreme Court retiree. Of the last dozen justices who left the bench since 1990, most were at least 80 years old. And more than half of the departures over the past 35 years were caused by death or illness. Two of the last four justices to leave the bench died while serving, Antonin Scalia in 2016 and Ruth Bader Ginsburg in 2020. Alito remains an actively engaged, if aggravated jurist. During oral arguments, his questions can be as derisive as they are penetrating. In Thursday's dispute over judge-imposed 'nationwide injunctions' blocking Trump's order to change birthright citizenship, Alito grumbled about those judges on the first rung of the three-tiered US judiciary. 'The practical problem is that there are 680 district court judges, and they are dedicated, and they are scholarly, and I'm not impugning their motives in any way. But, you know, sometimes they're wrong, and all Article III judges are vulnerable to an occupational disease, which is the disease of thinking that I am right, and I can do whatever I want.' Alito contended judges on multimember appellate courts, such as the Supreme Court, are 'restrained by one's colleagues, but the trial judge sitting in the trial judge's courtroom is the monarch of that realm.' With his own colleagues, Alito's regular fuming appears a fact of court life, mainly accepted, sometimes even the source of amusement. During one oral argument session last term, Alito raised a hypothetical scenario that apparently rang too true. 'Let's say I'm complaining about my workplace. It's cold. It's set at 63 degrees. There isn't any coffee machine. The boss is unfriendly. All my co-workers are obnoxious.' Fellow justices begin chuckling. Thomas' laughter was especially hearty. 'I'm not …' Alito interjected, then stopped and declared, 'Any resemblance to any living character is purely, purely accidental.' Alito's more recent remarks about Souter's retreat to privacy recalls how Alito has bristled at public criticism of his rulings and certain off-bench activities. Most recently, he drew scrutiny for taking a call from Trump in early January when a former law clerk was seeking a job in the new administration. They talked just as the high court was about to consider a Trump effort to delay his sentencing in the New York 'hush money' case that dated to Trump's 2016 presidential campaign. Alito said in January that he did not discuss the case with Trump. The bonus of another round of Supreme Court appointments would not be lost on Trump. 'I totally transformed the federal judiciary,' Trump said in 2023 as he was beginning his reelection bid. Referring to his Supreme Court appointments, he added, 'I had three, and they're gold.'

Alito and Roberts take stock as they near their third decade on the bench
Alito and Roberts take stock as they near their third decade on the bench

CNN

time19-05-2025

  • Politics
  • CNN

Alito and Roberts take stock as they near their third decade on the bench

As Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito approach their two-decade milestones on the Supreme Court, they appear to be taking personal stock. Twice in the past two weeks, Roberts, 70, has mused before audiences about retirement. The 75-year-old Alito wrote wistfully about Justice David Souter's early retirement choice. 'I was happy that he was able to spend the last 16 years of his life in the surroundings he cherished living the kind of private life he preferred,' Alito said as the court announced the May 8 death of Souter, who left the bench in 2009 at the relatively young (for a justice) age of 69. Roberts, at a Georgetown University Law Center appearance, recalled the 2009 day that Souter told him he was going to retire. Souter told Roberts he wanted to return to his native New Hampshire, to trade, as Roberts put it, 'white marble for White Mountains.' An avid reader, Souter also sought a more contemplative life. 'There aren't many people who would have that kind of perspective,' Roberts said, 'including myself.' The end of the court's annual session has traditionally been the season for Supreme Court retirement announcements and speculation. Thursday's oral arguments involving Trump's plan to end birthright citizenship marked the final public arguments of the current term; rulings will be issued through the end of June. When CNN asked Alito last week about his own retirement plans, he declined to comment. In November, amid predictions from conservative activists about an impending Alito departure, the Wall Street Journal reported that people close to the justice said he had no plans to leave. Since then, friends of Alito have told CNN his intentions do not appear to have changed. Factors he would weigh, they say, include the usual dynamic of personal health as well as his confidence in who the president might choose as a successor. If Alito, Roberts or Justice Clarence Thomas, who will turn 77 next month, retire in the next four years, it would give President Donald Trump an opportunity to seal a deeper generational legacy on the Supreme Court. At an appearance in Buffalo, New York, this month, Roberts dismissed questions about any imminent retirement but also referred to natural concerns an older justice has of becoming 'a burden to the court.' US District Judge Lawrence Vilardo, a friend of Roberts' from their shared time at Harvard Law School, began the exchange by asking the chief justice, also a Buffalo native, if he ever thought about retiring. 'No,' Roberts said firmly. 'I'm going out feet first.' But then Roberts acknowledged that 'if your health declines at all … if you recognize that you're a burden to the court,' the answer could be different. (Roberts was hospitalized in 2020 after falling at a country club near his home. He had previously experienced seizures, and a court spokeswoman said at the time that his doctors ruled out seizure as the cause of the fall and a forehead injury.) Roberts, who has looked healthy at recent public appearances, related to Vilardo a precautionary step he'd taken to avoid staying on the bench if he lost his faculties. 'I have very good friends,' he said, 'and I sat down with them, and said, I want at the appropriate time – because you don't always notice that you're slipping – I want the two of you to tell me that it's time to go.' Roberts then quipped that there was a long pause, 'and the two of them at once said, 'It's time.'' Responding to a question about whether he enjoys the job, Roberts said, 'It's exciting to get up every morning and go into work.' Roberts and Alito were selected in 2005 within a few months of each other by then-President George W. Bush. The appointments were made during a series of dramatic national events that included one of the most destructive hurricanes in history (Katrina) and the sudden death of a chief justice (William Rehnquist). Since then, Roberts and Alito have transformed the modern Supreme Court. Chief Justice Roberts led the bench on a rightward path, bolstering presidential powers and diminishing individual rights. Alito is likely best known for writing the court's 2022 opinion that reversed Roe v. Wade and ended nearly half a century of abortion rights. Signing onto that opinion were Thomas and the three Trump appointees from his first term: Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett. At the recent Georgetown Law event, Roberts recalled his 2003 confirmation to a US appellate court and the 2005 high-court elevation, but not before he reminded Dean William Treanor of a 1992 episode. Then-President George H.W. Bush had nominated him to the US appellate court, but Roberts was blocked in the Senate. 'Some guy named Biden said, 'Nah, let's not give him a hearing,'' Roberts said, with a touch of the lingering sting. Joe Biden, who would later become president, was chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee at the time. In his public appearances, Roberts typically skips over that disappointment at age 37. But he used it last week as a lesson for the Georgetown students nearing graduation. 'Looking back on it – this is in terms of advice – you want your bad luck to be good,' Roberts said. 'I think if I had been confirmed at that early age, when a vacancy came up on the (Supreme) Court, I probably would have had far too much baggage to be considered for it.' As it was, Roberts had a slim record of decisions from only two years on the appellate bench court before his Supreme Court nomination. President George W. Bush's selection of Roberts to be chief justice ultimately led to Bush's choice of Alito for an associate justice post. The sequence of events and shifting nominations of 2005 was triggered by Justice Sandra Day O'Connor's July retirement announcement as the annual session ended. Bush announced that he would nominate Roberts for O'Connor's associate justice seat. But before the Senate could hold its scheduled confirmation hearings for Roberts, Rehnquist died on September 3 and created a new opening. Bush, struggling with the federal response to the devastating Hurricane Katrina at the time, quickly decided to switch Roberts to the new vacancy. Once Roberts was confirmed as chief justice, the president decided to replace O'Connor with his White House counsel, Harriet Miers. But Miers, who had little constitutional law experience or record, withdrew her name a few weeks later, after being roundly criticized by conservative leaders, including former US appellate court Judge Robert Bork, who declared her nomination 'a disaster on every level.' Bush then settled on Alito, a federal appellate court judge whose conservative credentials were well-established. In their early years in the Supreme Court, Alito and Roberts, with similar backgrounds and regard for the executive branch, regularly voted together. But in time, Alito moved further to the right, and Roberts, keeping an eye on the institutional standing of the court, tried to stake out the center. Alito has been the subject of much of the speculation since the 2024 election regarding a new Trump opportunity for replace a justice. (Justices typically seek to retire when the sitting president shares their political party and would appoint a likeminded successor.) Yet Alito, and even eldest justice Thomas, are younger than the usual Supreme Court retiree. Of the last dozen justices who left the bench since 1990, most were at least 80 years old. And more than half of the departures over the past 35 years were caused by death or illness. Two of the last four justices to leave the bench died while serving, Antonin Scalia in 2016 and Ruth Bader Ginsburg in 2020. Alito remains an actively engaged, if aggravated jurist. During oral arguments, his questions can be as derisive as they are penetrating. In Thursday's dispute over judge-imposed 'nationwide injunctions' blocking Trump's order to change birthright citizenship, Alito grumbled about those judges on the first rung of the three-tiered US judiciary. 'The practical problem is that there are 680 district court judges, and they are dedicated, and they are scholarly, and I'm not impugning their motives in any way. But, you know, sometimes they're wrong, and all Article III judges are vulnerable to an occupational disease, which is the disease of thinking that I am right, and I can do whatever I want.' Alito contended judges on multimember appellate courts, such as the Supreme Court, are 'restrained by one's colleagues, but the trial judge sitting in the trial judge's courtroom is the monarch of that realm.' With his own colleagues, Alito's regular fuming appears a fact of court life, mainly accepted, sometimes even the source of amusement. During one oral argument session last term, Alito raised a hypothetical scenario that apparently rang too true. 'Let's say I'm complaining about my workplace. It's cold. It's set at 63 degrees. There isn't any coffee machine. The boss is unfriendly. All my co-workers are obnoxious.' Fellow justices begin chuckling. Thomas' laughter was especially hearty. 'I'm not …' Alito interjected, then stopped and declared, 'Any resemblance to any living character is purely, purely accidental.' Alito's more recent remarks about Souter's retreat to privacy recalls how Alito has bristled at public criticism of his rulings and certain off-bench activities. Most recently, he drew scrutiny for taking a call from Trump in early January when a former law clerk was seeking a job in the new administration. They talked just as the high court was about to consider a Trump effort to delay his sentencing in the New York 'hush money' case that dated to Trump's 2016 presidential campaign. Alito said in January that he did not discuss the case with Trump. The bonus of another round of Supreme Court appointments would not be lost on Trump. 'I totally transformed the federal judiciary,' Trump said in 2023 as he was beginning his reelection bid. Referring to his Supreme Court appointments, he added, 'I had three, and they're gold.'

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