12-02-2025
Cal at Duke odds, picks and predictions
Cal at Duke odds, picks and predictions
The Cal Golden Bears (12-12, 5-8 ACC) and No. 5 Duke Blue Devils (20-3, 12-1) face off Wednesday. Tip-off from Cameron Indoor Stadium is set for 9 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's college basketball odds around the Cal vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Cal lost 76-66 to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons Saturday, failing to cover as a 2-point underdog with the Under (142.5) hitting. Wake Forest shot 57.7% from the field, while Cal shot 35.8%.
Duke snapped a 16-game win streak with a 77-71 loss as a 6-point favorite vs. the Clemson Tigers Saturday as the Over (135.5) hit. Clemson outrebounded Duke 36-23.
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Cal at Duke odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:37 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Cal +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200) | Duke -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
: Cal +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200) | Duke -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100) Against the spread (ATS) : Cal +23.5 (-110) | Duke -23.5 (-110)
: Cal +23.5 (-110) | Duke -23.5 (-110) Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Cal at Duke picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 77, Cal 52
PASS.
Duke (-10000) is the much better team and will easily be able to win and cover, but a favorite set this heavily is never worth the risk of betting on. PASS, and bet the spread and/or O/U instead.
BET DUKE -23.5 (-110).
The Blue Devils have covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 games and are 14-9 ATS this season. Duke is also 2-0 ATS in the last 2 head-to-head meetings.
Cal is just 2-3 ATS in its last 5 games and 12-11-1 ATS this year.
Duke scores 80 points per game (PPG), while Cal allows 75 PPG, good for bottom five in the ACC. So, Duke will be able to score at will against this Golden Bears defense.
Be aware that betting on this heavy of a favorite to cover is always a risk, especially with Cal's offense averaging a respectable 74.8 PPG.
LEAN UNDER 142.5 (-110).
The Under has hit in Cal's last 4 games and is 8-2 in its last 10. The Under has also been safer for both programs this year, going 13-11 for Cal and 13-10 for Duke.
Duke has a great offense and Cal has a terrible defense, so the Blue Devils will be able to pile on here. However, I expect Duke's defense, which holds teams to an ACC-best 60.5 PPG, to stifle the Bears and help the Under hit.
This is a lean because the Over has been hitting for Duke recently, sitting at 3-1 in its last 4 games.
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