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UK weather: Hotter than normal summer more likely says Met Office
UK weather: Hotter than normal summer more likely says Met Office

BBC News

time12 hours ago

  • Climate
  • BBC News

UK weather: Hotter than normal summer more likely says Met Office

The UK is more likely to experience a hotter-than-normal summer with an increased chance for heatwaves, according to the Met its most recent three month outlook, it has predicted that meteorological summer - which runs from 1 June to 31 August - is twice as likely to be hotter than normal in prediction follows an unprecedented spring which was the sunniest, as well as one of the driest and warmest, on record. High chance of a hot summer Seasonal, or long-range forecasts look at the expected general weather patterns over a three month period and are run by most major weather agencies separately to the detailed daily to the time frames and model resolution involved they are not able to tell if it will rain on a particular day or place in say seven weeks' time, but offer insights into how temperature, rainfall and wind strengths may compare to conditions normally expected over the entire period. These sorts of forecasts are helpful planning tools for government, local authorities and looked at forecasts from a number of different global forecast centres there appears to be one common message, that the UK is likely to experience a summer that is "hotter than normal", with the Met Office saying there is more than double the normal chance of this., external This may not come as a huge surprise as it is very much in line with previous summers. In fact the last time the UK experienced one that could be classed as "cool" was back in does not necessarily mean that we will experience hot weather or heatwaves this summer, only that the risk of them occurring, and the health and infrastructure impacts they bring is greater. Variations within the summer period are still likely what is set to drive the expected warmth? With no strong signal for any particular weather pattern evident, the Met Office says that the warming is being largely brought about by human-induced climate a more local level, the ongoing marine heatwave in the seas around the UK may also help to boost the temperatures. The added warmth and moisture they may bring could potentially lead to more intense summer storms. Will rain ease drought fears? Low reservoir levels and reduced river flows have become commonplace across the UK due to a spring deficient in water companies will be hoping for a wet summer to redress the balance and help avoid the need to introduce restrictions to water usage in the months the seasonal forecasts are a lot less clear in how much rain we are likely to point to near-average rainfall for the UK as a whole, with the Met Office hinting at the possibility it will be wetter than average, especially in the first half of June. Agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and DTN, the BBC's data suppliers, side more towards a slightly drier than normal season overall. Whatever the eventual outcome for the UK as a whole the often showery nature of summer rain means there can still be huge variations from one week to the next and from one region to another. A marked example of this was in 2021 when some parts of southern England had around double their normal summer rainfall while much of western Scotland had barely half.A consequence of a potentially hotter summer is that when rain does occur it will be more intense, in line with climate scientists' predictions, and potentially have bigger localised impacts. Influence of Atlantic storms Met Office seasonal forecasts also look at the probability of wind strengths across the the moment there is no strong signal one way or another to whether it will be a windy season or not. This may indicate that the likelihood of deep low pressure systems regularly crossing the UK is active Atlantic hurricane season is forecast but it remains to be seen what impact that will have on us, especially later in the summer when decaying tropical storms can come closer to our shores.

Winter arrives with cold rainy weather in Queensland
Winter arrives with cold rainy weather in Queensland

ABC News

time4 days ago

  • Climate
  • ABC News

Winter arrives with cold rainy weather in Queensland

Queenslanders are waking up to wintry conditions as temperatures in parts of the Granite Belt in the state's south-west drop below 10 degrees Celsius. The temperature in Applethorpe went as low as 6C overnight and the mercury dipped below 10C in Goondiwindi, Oakey and Toowoomba. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) said there would be scattered showers across the state that would ease at the start of next week. "A cloud band has been travelling across Central Australia and is now pushing into western Queensland," meteorologist Shane Kennedy said. "It's likely to bring scattered to widespread showers and periods of rain through parts of central [and] western Queensland. "Looking further ahead, it will expand to parts of northern and southern Queensland." The BOM said the most significant rainfall total would be in central Queensland and surrounding areas. "We may see some moderate rainfall between Charters Towers to Emerald and then on Friday between Bowen and Bundaberg, and then on Saturday rainfall should shift a bit closer to the east coast," Mr Kennedy said. "Friday will be the wettest day particularity around the Rockhampton area where we're more likely to see that rainfall pushing into 50, even up to 100 millimetres." After a slight reprieve, cooler temperatures are expected to return to the south-east in the coming days. "Lots of cool, dry air is pushing across southern Queensland at the moment and pushing up into central Queensland," Mr Kennedy said. "We'll get quite cool temperatures through much of western and central Queensland." Mr Kennedy said while the lower temperatures would not break any records, they could be up to 4–10C below average for inland Queensland. "That'll be roughly south of about Charters Towers to Birdsville and Taroom where it will be particularly cold and rainy," he said. Mr Kennedy said high tides would also peak on the state's south-east coast in the coming days. "In the south-east, high tides will be fairly close to their highest astronomical tide level for the next few days," he said. "So we may see some minor inundation of some of those low-lying areas."

Hot and sunny weather expected in Calgary for the rest of May
Hot and sunny weather expected in Calgary for the rest of May

CTV News

time5 days ago

  • Climate
  • CTV News

Hot and sunny weather expected in Calgary for the rest of May

The rest of May is going to feel more like July as we kick off a stretch of sunshine and temperatures in the mid to high 20's for the rest of the month. In fact, by Thursday, Calgary could experience its first 30 C high of the year! A ridge of high pressure is starting to move in and will really pump in a lot of warm air on Wednesday, with winds out of the south at 20 – 40 km/h. By Thursday, two significant factors could set the stage for our next possible thunderstorm event. Calgary weather Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 2 The first is all the sunshine that's warmed up our ground over the last few days, causing air to rise and creating low pressure at the surface. The second is an expected shift in our jet stream, which will cause the high-pressure ridge to move east. These two events working in tandem have the potential to create enough instability for thunderstorms to develop in southern Alberta on Thursday evening. Models so far suggest areas in southeast Alberta are the most likely to get storm development, but Calgary could see some action as well. It will be short lived though, as another mini ridge of high pressure starts to move back in on Friday, which will stabilize the atmosphere once again. When it comes to wet weather, some of the long-range models are in agreement that the start of June will be cool and rainy which will be a nice reprieve after this stretch of heat. Calgary weather Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 3 For those planning to be outside over the next couple of days, keep in mind the UV Index is at an eight for Tuesday, which is very high. Sun burn can happen very quickly to unprotected skin. Make sure to have the sunscreen handy, along with a hat, sunglasses and plenty of water!

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