logo
At the edge of the ocean, a dazzling ecosystem is changing fast

At the edge of the ocean, a dazzling ecosystem is changing fast

Vox01-04-2025
is a senior producer and reporter on Unexplainable, Vox's science podcast. She covers everything scientists don't yet know but are trying to figure out, so her work explores everything from the inner workings of the human body to the distant edges of the universe
In just a few hours, the world I'm walking into will disappear beneath the waves.
I'm at Pillar Point Harbor, a 40-minute drive from San Francisco, near low tide. And because this is one of the lowest tides this August, the water has drawn back like a curtain to expose an ecosystem that's normally hidden away — a place called the rocky intertidal, or, because the receding water leaves little pools behind in the rocks, 'the tidepools.'
Dawn has just broken, pods of pelicans fly overhead, and sea lions bark from the nearby harbor. But I'm more focused on following my guide, a zoologist named Rebecca Johnson, as she picks her way out into these seaweed-covered rocks, pointing out species as she goes. These smooth green strands are surfgrass. Those fat bladders of air that look kind of like puffed-up gloves are called 'seasack.' This dark brown frond Johnson is draping over her shoulders is the aptly named 'feather boa kelp.'
' They're like wildflowers,' Johnson says, 'But it's seaweed.'
Rebecca Johnson wears a feather boa kelp like a feather boa. Byrd Pinkerton/Vox
As we make our way deeper, she points out odd creatures that only the ocean could dream up. A boring clam (which is far from boring, but does bore into rock) puffs itself up like a fierce fleshy ball before squirting a jet of water directly into the air to fend off our threatening vibes. A pale white brittle star, like a flexible daddy longlegs, dances for us across some algae. And rows of fat green anemones wear bits of shells like tiny hats.
' The theory is that…they're protecting themselves from the sun, like a sunscreen,' Johnson tells me.
We crouch together at the edge of a deep pool and see first one, then two — then three, four, five, six! — species of nudibranchs, the sea slugs that Johnson specializes in. One is hot pink and spiky. Another is an aggressive shade of orange. There's a pale lemon one, a ghostly white one. Johnson even finds one covered in orange polka dots, like a marine clown. Some of these species, she tells me, bubbling with enthusiasm, eat anemones and steal their stinging cells, repurposing them as their own defenses.
An orange polka-dotted nudibranch, known as a 'sea clown.' Byrd Pinkerton/Vox
This kind of diversity is wild to witness, but it isn't unusual for these tidepools.
'It's one of the places in the world that you can see species of invertebrates all really, really concentrated,' Johnson told me.
We wander further out, exploring this alien landscape together, until the tide begins to come back in and cover it over, bit by bit, hiding this weird world away again in a slow disappearing act.
' It's extra magical that you can only see it at certain times,' Johnson told me before we came out here, 'You get this little peek, this little window. And that's one of the things I love the most about it.'
Johnson has been coming to this exact spot off Pillar Point for almost three decades now, and in her role as director for the Center for Biodiversity and Community Science for the California Academy of Sciences, she spends time with volunteers monitoring tidepools up and down the California coasts. But she's still enchanted with them.
I'm not surprised. I fell in love with tidepools myself 20 years ago, when I first got to explore them as a kid at a summer camp in Mendocino. The odd, colorful creatures in them made me feel like magic was a little bit real, that science could feel like fantasy. It's part of the reason I'm a science reporter today.
But Johnson is worried about the future of these tidepools she loves so much. She's worried that, like so many ecosystems around the world, they may be heading toward a much more dramatic, much more permanent disappearing act.
So she, along with many, many collaborators all across the state of California and beyond, is doing what many scientists are trying to do for the ecosystems they study: to figure out — first, what's actually happening to them, and second, what, if anything, we can do to save them.
The sun rises over tide pools in Fort Bragg, California. Byrd Pinkerton/Vox
How did we get here?
For Rebecca Johnson, the troubles really began around the arrival of 'The Blob': a marine heatwave. By 2014, it had warmed waters significantly along the West Coast of the United States. Johnson was hearing concerning things from participants in the programs she organized through Cal Academy to get people to go into the tidepools and make observations.
'They started seeing an increase in this really beautiful pink nudibranch called the Hopkins Rose nudibranch,' she says.
Ruby Ash for Vox
Historically, the Hopkins Rose nudibranch has lived in Southern California — and ventured up to Johnson's more northern tidepools mostly during El Niño years. But as the temperatures shifted for the Blob, the spiky pink balls were showing up in huge numbers.
'It became the most common thing,' Johnson remembers.
She was also hearing disturbing reports about another animal — the sea star, known more colloquially as the starfish.
As early as 2013, before The Blob really hit, divers and researchers had started noticing that sea stars were, quite literally, wasting away.
'They were seeing white lesions on starfishes. And they were seeing the starfish kind of disintegrate in front of them,' she says, '[They would] see it one day with these lesions. They'd come back the next day and it was like almost dissolved and then almost gone.'
Sea star wasting also isn't unheard of, but in this instance, the wasting hit species after species of sea stars — at least 20 species in all. Also, as an evolutionary ecologist who studied this outbreak, Lauren Schiebelhut, told me, wasting normally happens on a more local scale — isolated to a single bay, for example.
'For it to spread across the entire West Coast here, that was something we had not seen before,' Schiebelhut says.
'[The Blob] certainly seemed to exacerbate it,' Schiebelhut says.
At one point, Johnson went down to her favorite tidepooling spot, Pillar Point, with a colleague, just to 'see what they could see,' and they saw almost no sea stars.
'It was just like the most bizarre feeling,' she remembers, 'I was still at this place that was spectacularly beautiful, covered with algae. All these other invertebrates are there. But there's just something kind of off about it.'
Byrd Pinkerton/Vox
It was like, she says, going into your room, only to realize that someone has moved all your stuff very slightly.
'And you're like, 'What's wrong with this room?' It had that disconcerting, unsettling feeling.'
This place Johnson knew so well — had been documenting and sharing with people for decades — suddenly felt unfamiliar. And at that moment, she felt a deep, deep uncertainty about its future.
'Like, there might not be starfish, like ever,' she remembers thinking, 'What does that mean?'
What it would mean to lose so many sea stars
The reason that Johnson was so worried about sea stars was not just that the tidepools at Pillar Point looked different. She was worried about the role sea stars play in the tidepools ecosystem. To us, they might seem like pretty creatures that come in a fun shape, but to many of the ocean animals they interact with, they are voracious predators that help keep their ecosystems in balance — chowing down on everything from mussels and barnacles to snails.
To understand why this is so important, let's journey a little beyond the tidepools, a little further offshore, into the California kelp forests. These are underwater forests of algae that are home to a huge diversity of animals, from fish and octopi to abalone. Kelp forests also provide a buffer for the coast against erosion, and they absorb and store large amounts of carbon dioxide, which benefits all of us as we try to stave off climate change. So they're amazing ecosystems.
But, like any forest, California's coastal kelp forest has grazers — basically the marine equivalent of deer. In this case, these are animals like the purple sea urchin, a spiky purple pincushion that chows down enthusiastically on kelp.
Ruby Ash for Vox
Normally, Peter Roopnarine, a paleontologist at the California Academy of Sciences who has studied kelp forests tells me, sea urchins are content to eat the bits of detritus that the kelp shed naturally. But if there isn't enough kelp detritus to go around, urchins can start feeding on the living kelp itself.
' That will happen if, for example, there are not enough predators around to keep their population in control, to keep them hiding,' Roopnarine says, ' Pretty soon they kill the kelp, and what you're left with is what we call an urchin barren, which are these stretches of seafloor that are covered with urchins. And nothing else.'
Sea otters are one of the predators — one of the wolves, to continue the metaphor, to our urchin deer — keeping urchins in check along some parts of the coast. Sea otters were hunted aggressively by European settlers, and have not returned along the northern part of the coast, but have made a comeback in central California.
Another important wolf for these kelp forests, though, is a sea star known as Pycnopodia helianthoides, or the 'sunflower sea star.' Sunflower sea stars are beautiful, often purple or pink, and kind of squishy. But they are also, at least as sea stars go, big. They can have twenty arms, and grow to the size of a dinner plate or larger. (As a kid, when we found them in the tidepools, we used to have to hold them in two hands.) And researchers have increasingly found that they, too, did a lot of work to keep urchins in check.
This is why it was such a big deal when the sea star wasting syndrome hit and wiped out so many sea stars, sunflower sea stars very much included.
After the sickness, a lot of sea star species did start to come back. You can find sea stars like ochre stars, leather stars, and bat stars in California tidepools, for example. But while sunflower sea stars can still be found in the wild further north, in places like Washington state, they have not bounced back along the coast of California. And that, scientists suggest, may have contributed to the issues they're now seeing in kelp forests.
Satellite surveys from a few years ago showed that the kelp forests off of Northern California have shrunk by 95%. Once again, this is probably due to a combination of factors. High water temperatures may have weakened the kelp, for example. But another factor was the explosion of urchin populations.
'This lack of the sunflower star in the kelp forest, especially in Northern California,' Johnson says, 'led to the increase of urchins. And the urchins then ate all the kelp.'
What does this mean for the future of these tidepools?
The tidepools haven't been hit as hard as the kelp forests. Clearly, as our visit last August showed, a place like Pillar Point has not turned into the equivalent of an urchin barren and is instead still home to a diversity of creatures.
Still, Johnson says, they have been affected. She has, anecdotally, noticed grazing species like abalone that normally spend more of their time in the kelp forests moving over to tidepools, probably in search of kelp to eat. And as temperatures continue warming over time, tidepool ecosystems are changing in other ways. A recent paper showed that a species of nudibranch range has moved northward. Another study showed that a whole bunch of different marine species, including nudibranchs, but also species of snail, lobster, and crab were spotted further north than their usual range during a heat wave. Some of these species are predators that might shake up the dynamics and the ecosystems they're coming into.
'We don't actually know what happens when they move north,' Johnson says, ' We don't really know the impact.'
And then, as Lauren Schiebelhut, the geneticist who studies sea stars, told me, there are other stressors like pollution and runoff from wildfires. This January, more than 57,000 acres burned from a series of wildfires in the greater Los Angeles area — a disaster whose scope of damage on intertidal ecosystems is not yet clear, researchers told me.
'The disturbances are becoming more frequent, more intense,' says Schiebelhut, 'It is a challenge to the system.'
Johnson admits that it's hard to know exactly how to interpret all these changes and stressors and use them to predict the future of the tidepools. After all, the California coastal ecosystems have survived the loss of important species before, and survived big natural disasters too.
A brittle star dances across the algae. Byrd Pinkerton
Byrd Pinkerton
My favorite sea slug: an opalescent nudibranch. Byrd Pinkerton/Vox
So I turned to Peter Roopnarine, the paleontologist. He studies how ancient ecosystems weathered — or didn't weather — things like climate change, and what we might learn from them to apply to ecosystems facing challenges today. I hoped he would have a sense of how the current moment fits into the bigger patterns of history.
'If you look in the fossil record,' he told me, 'one of the things that's really remarkable is that ecosystems can last a very long time. Millions of years. Species will come and go in those ecosystems, but what they do, who they do it to, and so on? That doesn't change.'
Ecosystems are a little like, say, a baseball team. You'll always need certain players in certain roles — pitchers and catchers and shortstops and outfielders. Different players can retire and be replaced by other players — if one predator disappears, another predator might be able to take over some of the role that it plays, for example.
But Roopnarine's research into the fossil record also shows that no ecosystem baseball team is endlessly flexible.
'They do eventually come to an end,' he says. Usually, that's when really extreme changes occur. And when he looks at the moments in the past when the climate changed dramatically, and he looks at forecasts for our future, he's very worried.
'We have to be realistic that if we do nothing, the future is extremely grim,' he tells me, 'There is no sugarcoating it.'
What can we do?
When it comes to safeguarding the future health of California's coastal ecosystems, there are lots of people doing lots of things.
Johnson is working with colleagues on a system that uses the community science app iNaturalist to better monitor the health of coastal tidepools.
The Steinhart Aquarium is one of several institutions where researchers are raising and studying baby sunflower stars. This tiny star has two new arms growing. Byrd Pinkerton
Anyone who goes to the tide pools can upload photos of all the species that they see. Those photos, geotagged with locations and timestamps, will hopefully help researchers figure out how populations are changing, to model the future of this ecosystem. They could also potentially serve as a warning system if there are big die-offs again, so scientists can try and intervene earlier.
Lauren Schiebelhut has studied the genomes of sea stars that did recover, to see what can be learned about what made them so resilient to wasting.
The California state government has partnered with nonprofits and commercial fishermen to clear urchins and restore kelp.
And then there's the consortium of institutions up and down the coast, all working on an initiative to try to breed sunflower sea stars in captivity so that they might, eventually, be released back into the wild and resume their role as key predators.
' There is no one person that can do all the things,' says Ashley Kidd, a project manager at the Sunflower Star Lab, one of the many groups working together to bring sunflower sea stars back. What gives her hope is that so many different people, from so many institutions, are working together toward solutions.
' You can't have all the knowledge of disease ecology, behavioral ecology, aquaculture by yourself,' Kidd says, 'It is a much bigger, wonderful group of people that you get to work with and then be connected with. … You're not alone.'
When I first heard that these tidepools might be in trouble, I felt an overwhelming sense of loss.
This ecosystem made me believe that the real world had its own magic — because sure, fairies might not be real, but opalescent nudibranchs come pretty close. It hurts to think that that magic might dim, or even disappear. But walking through these pools with Johnson and watching her walk over to a mother and her daughter to show them nudibranchs, eagerly sharing this world with strangers, I felt delight, and a wonderful sense of present-ness. I felt part of that community. A sense that, whatever the future of these tidepools might look like, they were here, now, and as magical as ever.
'In the midst of climate change and a future that is going to be hotter and harder and more difficult for people, you have to have joy,' Johnson told me, 'I struggle with it. I feel like marine systems especially are pretty complicated to think about restoring. What do you actually do out here? How do you protect things? … But you can't stop doing it, because then you've kind of lost everything.'
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

New pretzel-shaped device cured 82% of bladder cancer patients — most in just 3 months
New pretzel-shaped device cured 82% of bladder cancer patients — most in just 3 months

New York Post

time7 hours ago

  • New York Post

New pretzel-shaped device cured 82% of bladder cancer patients — most in just 3 months

There's a new twist in the fight against bladder cancer — and it's delivering game-changing results. In a recent clinical trial, a pretzel-shaped device that slowly releases chemotherapy drugs directly into the bladder eliminated tumors in 82% of patients whose cancer had resisted standard treatment. For most, the cancer vanished within three months, and nearly half remained disease-free a year later. Advertisement 3 Johnson & Johnson is the manufacture of TAR-200, an experimental device for the treatment of bladder cancer. MIT Koch Institute / Instagram Dr. Sia Daneshmand, director of urologic oncology with Keck Medicine of USC and lead author of a study, said called the finding a 'breakthrough' in how certain types of bladder cancer might be treated. Each year, more than 80,000 people in the US are diagnosed with bladder cancer. The most common type is non-muscle-invasive, where the disease remains in the bladder's lining and hasn't reached the muscle layer. When features like high-grade tumors increase the chances of recurrence or progression, it's classified as high-risk. Advertisement For these patients, treatment often involves the immunotherapy drug Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG). Delivered through a catheter into the bladder, it typically stays in place for a few hours, stimulating the body's immune system to attack cancer cells. But BCG isn't effective for everyone. Studies show that up to 40% of patients either don't respond initially or see their cancer return. That's meant treatment progressed to removing the bladder and surrounding tissue and organs. To offer a less invasive alternative, researchers developed the TAR-200. Advertisement Like BCG, this small, pretzel-shaped device is inserted into the bladder via catheter, where it slowly releases the chemotherapy drug gemcitabine over three weeks per treatment cycle. 3 Bladder cancer affects an organ in the lower abdomen that stores urine. shidlovski – 'The theory behind this study was that the longer the medicine sits inside the bladder, the more deeply it would penetrate the bladder and the more cancer it would destroy,' said Daneshmand, who has been researching the treatment since 2016. Advertisement It worked. Daneshmand's team treated 85 patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer who had relapsed after BCG therapy. In 70 of the 85 patients, the cancer disappeared. For almost half the participants, was still gone a year later. That's significant, because patients often relapse within a year of standard treatment, and many become unresponsive to further therapies. The most common side effects were mild urinary symptoms — like frequent urination, burning, urgency and urinary tract infections — which usually resolved within weeks. 3 TAR-200 delivers a targeted, slow release of gemcitabine directly into the bladder. Bernard Chantal – 'This new therapy is the most effective one reported to date for the most common form of bladder cancer,' said Daneshmand. Several clinical trials are currently underway exploring TAR-200, made by Johnson & Johnson, and its slow-release delivery of chemotherapy into the bladder. In July, the FDA granted it priority review status, aiming to complete the review within six months instead of the usual 10. Advertisement 'TAR-200 represents an innovation in drug delivery that has not been seen in decades,' Dr. Yusri Elsayed, global therapeutic area head of oncology at Johnson & Johnson Innovative Medicine, said earlier this summer. 'The FDA Priority Review for TAR-200 underscores our mission to fundamentally change the way urologists treat certain types of bladder cancer.' Bladder cancer ranks as the 10th leading cause of death in the US, with an estimated 17,420 deaths expected in 2025, according to the American Cancer Society. The disease is more common in men than women, though incidence rates have declined by about 1% annually for both sexes in recent years. This drop is likely linked to decreased smoking rates, the leading risk factor for bladder cancer.

Rudolph and all of the other reindeer are probably dying from climate change
Rudolph and all of the other reindeer are probably dying from climate change

Vox

timea day ago

  • Vox

Rudolph and all of the other reindeer are probably dying from climate change

is an environmental correspondent at Vox, covering biodiversity loss and climate change. Before joining Vox, he was a senior energy reporter at Business Insider. Benji previously worked as a wildlife researcher. It's bad enough that climate change is ruining the dream of a white Christmas for many people, as warming makes snow in some regions less likely. Now, apparently, it's coming for reindeer, too. Reindeer aren't just creatures of Christmas myth; they're real animals — a kind of deer that live in the Arctic, from northern Europe and Russia to North America, where they're commonly known as caribou. These animals are remarkably adapted to cold weather, sporting thick fur, a snout that warms the air they take in, and uniquely structured hooves that help them shovel snow to find food, such as lichen. But they've also survived bouts of Arctic warming that occurred thousands of years ago, thanks to their ability to travel long distances in search of colder habitats. These adaptations are, however, no match for modern climate change. The Arctic is warming quickly from a higher baseline temperature compared to natural fluctuations in the distant past. Wild reindeer search for food under the midnight sun on the Svalbard archipelago in the Arctic Circle. Ben Birchall/PA Wire Over the last few decades, wild Arctic reindeer populations have declined by about two-thirds, from 5.5 million to around 1.9 million, largely due to warming, according to previous research. Rising temperatures can affect reindeer health directly — causing the animals to overheat and get sick — and indirectly by limiting their supply of food. Now, it's clear those declines will likely continue. A new study in the journal Science Advances found that if the world doesn't quickly rein in greenhouse gas emissions, the global wild reindeer population could plummet by nearly 60 percent by the end of the century. Those declines will be far more severe in North America, where they could exceed 80 percent, according to the study's models, which reconstructed 21,000 years of reindeer population data using fossil records, DNA, and other data sources. That's because North America is expected to lose more habitat that can support reindeer to warming than elsewhere, said Damien Fordham, a study author and researcher at the University of Adelaide. Even under a more modest emissions scenario — in which countries cut back what they spew into the atmosphere — the study projects steep population declines. You can see these results in the chart below, which shows projected declines based on a high and moderate emissions scenario, respectively. 'These results are absolutely concerning,' said Jennifer Watts — Arctic program director at the Woodwell Climate Research Center, a nonprofit research organization — who was not involved in the new study. 'Given how quickly and severely the Arctic is warming at present, the results from this study are not overly surprising, and should serve as yet another wake-up call for humans to curtail anthropogenic drivers of climate warming.' The study offers yet another example of how climate change is threatening biodiversity and how those threats in turn affect humans. Reindeer are not only a critical food source for some Arctic Indigenous communities — like Alaskan Natives and the Inuit people of North America — but also a cornerstone of their culture, similar to salmon or wolves for some tribal nations in other parts of the US. If major polluting nations, like the US, China, and India don't curtail their emissions, it could further endanger the food sovereignty of those communities. Beyond their direct impact on human well-being, reindeer also shape the tundra ecosystems — quite literally making them what they are — by limiting the growth of trees and shrubs, spreading seeds, and fertilizing the soil. 'We should care about the fate of reindeer and caribou with the same concern we give to the fate of polar bears and other Arctic animals,' Watts told Vox. 'The well-being of entire ecosystems and humans living across the Arctic depend on their survival.'

The health risks from climate change that almost no one talks about
The health risks from climate change that almost no one talks about

Vox

time2 days ago

  • Vox

The health risks from climate change that almost no one talks about

is a staff writer at Grist covering climate change and its effects on human health. Her work can also be found in Wired, Rolling Stone, the Associated Press, and other outlets. A woman and her child on the Panbari tea estate in Assam, India. Over years, pregnant women working on the plantations have been subjected to long hours with little to no accommodation of their basic needs for food, hygiene, latrines, and lesser work story is a collaboration between Vox and Grist and builds on Expecting worse: Giving birth on a planet in crisis, a project by Vox, Grist, and The19th that examines how climate change impacts reproductive health — from menstruation to conception to birth. Explore the full series here. Climate change poses unique threats to some of the most foundational human experiences: giving birth and growing up. That's the conclusion of a recent summary report compiled by researchers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, which shows that climate change is exposing tens of millions of women and children to a worsening slate of physical, mental, and social risks — particularly if they live in the poorest reaches of the globe. Extreme heat, malnutrition linked to crop failures, and air pollution caused by the burning of fossil fuels are driving higher rates of preterm birth and infant and maternal death, undermining many countries' efforts to improve public health. Already, 1 billion children experience a level of risk that the report characterizes as extreme. 'We're still just beginning to understand the dangers,' the authors wrote in their review of the limited existing scientific literature on the subject, 'but the problem is clearly enormous.' Here are the 5 biggest takeaways: Extreme heat is particularly dangerous for pregnant women and newborns. High temperatures are linked to premature births, stillbirths, low birth weight, and congenital defects, the report said, pulling from a study conducted by Drexel University researchers in Philadelphia who found that, for every 1.8 degrees that the city's daily minimum temperature rose above 75 degrees Fahrenheit, the risk of infant death grew about 22 percent. 'Whatever associations we're seeing in the U.S. are much, much greater in other areas, particularly the areas of the world that are most impacted by heat and then also already impacted by adverse birth outcomes,' said Rupa Basu, chief science advisor for the Center for Climate Health and Equity at the University of California, San Francisco. 'This is the tip of the iceberg,' added Basu, who was not involved in the new report. Heat waves also raise the odds of early birth by 16 to 26 percent, according to the report, and women who conceive during the hottest months of the year are at higher risk of developing preeclampsia, a pregnancy complication that can become dangerous if left untreated. In The Gambia, where 70 percent of the agricultural workforce is female, a survey of pregnant farmers conducted by London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine researchers found that women were being exposed to conditions that overwhelmed their capacity to regulate their internal temperatures 30 percent of the time. Up to 60 percent of women exhibited at least one symptom of heat stress and heat-related illness, such as vomiting and dizziness. Diagnostic tests showed that a third of pregnant farmers showed signs of acute fetal strain. Air pollution is a silent killer. The burning of fossil fuels — and a related surge in wildfires burning over the earth's surface — are likely linked to a staggering proportion of low birth weight cases globally: 16 percent, according to the report. That's because the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and gas produces tiny toxic molecules, and wildfire smoke contains fine particulate matter that is infamous for causing a slew of adverse health effects. At least 7 million children in the U.S. are exposed to wildfire smoke every year, and that number is rising quickly as rising temperatures have driven a doubling of extreme wildfire activity around the globe over the past 20-some years. In 2010, researchers linked 2.7 to 3.4 million preterm births around the world to air pollution exposure. 'Risky, sublethal effects of air pollution are also coming into focus,' the report continues. One study conducted using data on 400,000 births in southern California found that a woman's exposure to fine particulate matter during pregnancy may increase her odds of spontaneous preterm birth by 15 percent, especially if that exposure happens during the second trimester. Mothers may face mental health burdens as a result of air pollution, too: The odds of postpartum depression rose 25 percent in women exposed to a range of different types of air pollution in their second trimester. Pregnant people march during a rally for climate action in Sydney, change is already causing serious and measurable harm to children. One billion children worldwide are at 'extremely high risk' from the effects of climate change — meaning they live in areas prone to sudden, disruptive environmental shocks and already experience high levels of poverty, food insecurity, and lack of access to medical infrastructure. The African continent, which is home to countries with some of the highest mortality rates for children under 5 years old in the world, saw a 180 percent increase in flooding between 2002 and 2021. And a study of 37 African countries published last year identified a steep rise in infant mortality due to drowning and waterborne diseases caused by flooding in the past five years. (Exposure to repeated flooding can overwhelm sewage systems and contaminate drinking water supplies with fecal matter and other pollutants that can lead to disease.) Climate-driven drought in Africa is contributing to another adverse health outcome: malnutrition. Since 1961, climate change has led to a 34 percent decrease in agricultural productivity across the continent, according to the report. A deadly cycle of drought and flooding has wiped out crop yields, contributing to stubbornly high rates of infant malnutrition in many sub-Saharan African countries. These problems will get worse, but how much worse depends on how much global emissions continue to rise. The report modeled what different emissions scenarios would mean for maternal and child health in two countries: South Africa and Kenya. In a low emissions scenario, in which average warming is limited to 1.5 degrees Celsius — or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit — globally, childhood mortality in both countries would decline between 2040 and 2059, thanks in large part to projected gains in safeguarding public health that are already in the works. Those gains, however, are predicated on sustained aid from developed countries like the U.S., which have produced the lion's share of emissions driving the climate crisis. The Trump administration has made seismic changes to America's international funding infrastructure in recent months, including effectively eliminating the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) and its related aid programs. A medium emissions scenario, where average global temperatures increase by 2.5 degrees to 3 degrees Celsius, would override that expected progress, leading to a 20 percent increase in child mortality rates in South Africa and stable rates in Kenya, where there has been much investment in protecting child health. Preterm birth rates in both countries would also rise substantially even with low rates of planetary warming. Worldwide, climate-driven malnutrition could lead to an additional 28 million underweight children over the next 25 years. Regardless of which emissions path the world ends up following, a shift toward a more isolationist approach among the world's richest countries threatens to exacerbate the risks pregnant women and children already face. As the planet continues to warm, those risks will keep multiplying. We don't have to wait for global warming to stop to save lives. Much can be done to prevent suffering right now. Solutions range from the straightforward to the complex: City planners can plant more trees in urban areas to keep pregnant people and children, whose internal systems are prone to overheating, cool. Organizations can identify ways to get public health data from the most underresourced parts of the globe. And nations can take steps to incorporate maternal and child health into their climate plans. Both sets of solutions are achievable, and there are precedents. Since 2013, for example, local air pollution strategies in Chinese megacities have been forcing rates of respiratory illness down dramatically, an echo of what happened in the U.S. after the passage of Clean Air Act amendments in 1970. To combat climate-driven harm today, nations can direct resources to maternal health wards, cooling technologies for buildings, and flood-resistant infrastructure. They can also update building codes to make sure hospitals and other health facilities are keeping their patients safe from extreme weather events. Getting nutritional supplements to pregnant people in countries dealing with high rates of food insecurity can offset some of the dangers of malnutrition; researchers have found that reducing vitamin deficiency in pregnant mothers slashed neonatal mortality by nearly 30 percent. In Philadelphia, city leaders implemented a $210,000 early warning system for extreme heat in 1995. It saved the city nearly $500 million in diverted costs over its first three years of operation. The new report argues that more cities in the U.S. and around the world should implement similar measures.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store