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South African rand gains even as ties with US plumb new lows

South African rand gains even as ties with US plumb new lows

Reuters17-03-2025

JOHANNESBURG, March 17 (Reuters) - The rand firmed on Monday against a weaker dollar, as market participants appeared to shrug off the United States' decision late last week to expel South Africa's ambassador in yet another sign of the two countries' rapidly souring relations.
At 1501 GMT, the rand traded at 18.11 against the dollar , about 0.4% stronger than its previous close.
The dollar last traded about 0.3% weaker against a basket of currencies as markets await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday amid uncertainty over President Donald Trump's tariff policies and muted economic data.
U.S.-South Africa ties have deteriorated since Trump's return to the White House in January.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced Ambassador Ebrahim Rasool's expulsion in a post on X on Friday, citing an article in which Rasool was quoted as saying that Trump was leading a white supremacist movement.
South Africa called Rasool's expulsion regrettable and said it was committed to building mutually beneficial relations.
Analysts, however, said interactions with the Trump administration were already tense before the latest spat and expressed confidence the sides would mend ties due to the strategic value of their trade.
South Africa supplies many critical minerals to the U.S. while it benefits from preferential access to U.S. markets under the U.S. African Growth and Opportunity Act.
"The U.S. still relies on SA's key minerals (chrome, platinum, manganese, vanadium), which means a total breakdown is unlikely," said Andre Cilliers, currency strategist at TreasuryONE.
"Instead, the Trump administration is expected to favour bilateral negotiations for new trade terms."
Later this week, investors' focus will shift to local inflation data (ZACPIY=ECI), opens new tab due to be released on Wednesday and an interest rate decision (ZAREPO=ECI), opens new tab on Thursday.
Negotiations between political parties over this year's deadlocked budget could also move markets.
The Johannesburg Stock Exchange's Top-40 index (.JTOPI), opens new tab closed about 0.7% higher. The benchmark 2030 government bond was marginally stronger, with the yield down 0.5 basis points at 9.16%.

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