logo
Wall Street Today: Dow Drops, Nasdaq Rises as Investors Eye Fed Caution and Geopolitical Ease

Wall Street Today: Dow Drops, Nasdaq Rises as Investors Eye Fed Caution and Geopolitical Ease

The US markets took a breather on Wednesday, closing mixed after two days of strong gains. The Nasdaq gained 61 points, the S&P 500 was mostly flat, and the Dow fell 106 points.
As investors monitored the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and paid attention to testimony from the Federal Reserve's chairman, economic data and corporate results showed signs of caution.
Markets Pause After a Two-Day Rally
Wall Street showed restraint on Wednesday after two days of strong gains. The Nasdaq Composite added 61.02 points, or 0.31%, to settle at 19,973.55. The S&P 500 was flat,falling only 0.02 of a point to close at 6,092.16. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 106.59 points, or 0.25%, to end at 42,982.43.
Tech stocks lifted the Nasdaq, but the Dow trailed. Investors also monitored the unstable cease-fire between Israel and Iran. President Trump declared success, but the situation between the United States and Iran remained uncertain. Oil prices were steady, and a cautious tone characterized the overall market.
Powell Echoes Fed Patience, Cut Odds Unchanged
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, on the second day of his testimony, told the Senate that the Federal Reserve can be patient in considering rates. He told Congress more time was required to gauge the inflationary effects of tariffs. Markets are still pricing in roughly a 25% chance of a rate cut at the July 30 meeting and a 67% chance by September.
New home sales fell 13.7% earlier in the day, according to housing data.Mortgage applications were also down as rates moved higher. Investors are now in wait-and-see mode ahead of Thursday's Q1 GDP update and Friday's PCE report, both of which are likely to provide additional clarity about inflation and consumer spending.
Corporate Moves and Stock Trends
Among the biggest stocks, Nvidia reached a record high and became the world's most valuable company by market value, at $3.75 trillion. Tesla dropped 3.8%, as European sales dropped for the fifth month. FedEx dropped 3.3% after it issued a weak profit forecast, and UPS shed 1.2%. General Mills fell 5.1% after its outlook for profits disappointed investors. But shares of BlackBerry surged 12.5% on better revenue forecasts. Micron jumped more than 5% in after-hours trading on robust Q4 guidance.
Stock trends showed weakness. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by almost 2 to 1. The Nasdaq had 2,859 stocks falling and 1,566 rising. On the NYSE, there were 174 new highs and 69 lows, and on the Nasdaq, 86 highs and 65 lows. Volume on U.S. exchanges reached 16.02 billion shares, slightly below the 20-day average of 18.08 billion.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Poland says arms race could lead to Putin's fall
Poland says arms race could lead to Putin's fall

Straits Times

time24 minutes ago

  • Straits Times

Poland says arms race could lead to Putin's fall

Russian President Vladimir Putin is "waging a very expensive war" in Ukraine, said Poland's foreign minister. PHOTO: AFP WARSAW - Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski said June 26 that a new arms race could lead to the fall of Russian President Vladimir Putin's 'regime', just like it toppled the Soviet Union. The Nato member's top diplomat spoke after the Western defence alliance agreed to massively ramp up defence spending, seen as vital to counter the threat from Russia. 'Putin should understand that he is on the path of (Soviet leader Leonid) Brezhnev. He himself once said that the Soviet Union collapsed because it spent too much on armament, and now he is doing exactly the same thing,' Mr Sikorski said, in an interview with AFP, the Polish news agency PAP and German agency DPA. 'He is waging a very expensive war... scared the whole West into reinforcing its defence spending,' Mr Sikorski said, adding: 'We are doing it because Putin is threatening us'. 'This means that from an economy the size of Texas, Putin will have to squeeze out even more defence funds. Hopefully with a similar result for the regime (to that of the Soviet Union), but faster.' Nato's 32 countries agreed to US President Donald Trump's headline target of 5 per cent of GDP on defence spending following two days of talks in The Hague. The compromise hatched by Nato sees countries promise to dedicate 3.5 per cent of GDP to core military spending by 2035, and a further 1.5 per cent to broader security-related areas such as infrastructure. Underpinning the leaders' discussions on defence was Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, with the summit's final statement referring to the 'long-term threat posed by Russia to Euro-Atlantic security'. Mr Trump also signed off on a final declaration confirming an 'ironclad commitment' to Nato's collective defence pledge that an attack on one is an attack on all – a reassuring move for European countries worried about Russia. 'Trump understands' Fearing threats from neighbouring Russia, Poland has for several years rapidly modernised its military, with a string of arms contracts, mainly with the United States and South Korea. It has already earmarked 4.7 per cent of its GDP for military expenditure this year, and in 2026 it aims to raise it further. Mr Sikorski said 'Trump understands now that it is Russia that does not want an end to the war' in Ukraine, which began with Russia's invasion in February 2022. He said that at the Nato summit, 'I drew attention to the fact that this shows a lack of respect on the part of Vladimir Putin towards the peace initiatives of President Trump'. Poland's foreign affairs minister, Mr Radoslaw Sikorski, said US President Donald Trump understands that Russia does not want an end to its war in Ukraine. PHOTO: AFP Mr Sikorski also hailed Germany – Europe's biggest economy – for its efforts to boost its military. This week Germany revealed plans to reach the 3.5 per cent level for core spending six years early, in 2029, with the vast extra outlays necessary made possible after the country eased its rules on taking on debt. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has vowed to build Europe's 'strongest conventional army' to counter the growing threat from Moscow. Mr Sikorski said 'we are good allies and we need to build a kind of force that will not scare anybody but that will deter Putin'. 'And I would see the need to counter the Russian missile threat from the Kaliningrad exclave as an urgent Polish-German challenge,' he added. Poland shares a border with Russia's heavily militarised Kaliningrad exclave. AFP Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

Wall Street forecasts windfall for big US banks from Fed plan to ease leverage rule
Wall Street forecasts windfall for big US banks from Fed plan to ease leverage rule

Business Times

time2 hours ago

  • Business Times

Wall Street forecasts windfall for big US banks from Fed plan to ease leverage rule

[BENGALURU] Large US global banks can expect as much as US$6 trillion in additional balance sheet capacity and billions in freed up capital under a Federal Reserve plan to relax leverage rules, Wall Street brokerages estimated on Thursday (Jun 26). The US Fed unveiled a proposal on Wednesday that would overhaul how much capital large global banks must hold against relatively low-risk assets, as part of a bid to boost participation in US Treasury markets. Shares of JPMorgan Chase advanced 1.3 per cent, Morgan Stanley 1.2 per cent and Goldman Sachs 1.6 per cent, while Bank of America added 1 per cent and Citigroup 1.5 per cent. The S&P 500 Banks Index, which tracks large-cap US lenders, rose 1.4 per cent. The plan, approved by a 5-2 Fed vote, marks the first in a possible series of deregulatory moves led by the central bank's new vice-chair for supervision, Michelle Bowman. The proposal would reform the so-called 'enhanced supplementary leverage ratio' so that the amount of capital banks must set aside is directly tied to how large a role each firm plays in the global financial system. 'SLR reform is the first of many capital proposals we expect over Michelle Bowman's tenure,' Morgan Stanley analysts led by Betsy Graseck wrote in a note. It forecast that the proposal could free up US$185 billion for banks under its coverage. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up Treasury market boost? The supplementary leverage ratio requires banks to hold capital against all assets equally, including low-risk US Treasuries – an approach critics said could discourage banks from holding government debt and limit their role in key funding markets. Goldman Sachs analysts expects the rule change to free bank balance sheets by up to US$5.5 trillion. 'The changes to the SLR calculation should increase the availability (and potentially lower the cost) of short-term, secured financing for market participants, improving liquidity in financial markets and the US treasury market in particular.' Fed officials described the changes as a necessary fix to a rule introduced after the 2008 crisis, saying the leverage requirement had grown over time to occasionally limit bank activity, especially as government debt surged in recent years. 'The Fed's proposal to calibrate eSLR should give the banking system meaningful capacity to expand its balance sheet in low-risk assets,' analysts at brokerage Barclays said. 'It makes sense for banks to utilise the theoretical leverage capacity as long as the return from investing in low-risk assets/activity is sufficient,' they said. REUTERS

Hope in fraught times: Trump-Xi bond could shift ties for the better, say US experts
Hope in fraught times: Trump-Xi bond could shift ties for the better, say US experts

Straits Times

time2 hours ago

  • Straits Times

Hope in fraught times: Trump-Xi bond could shift ties for the better, say US experts

Hope in fraught times: Trump-Xi bond could shift ties for the better, say US experts - US President Donald Trump's free hand domestically and open admiration for Chinese President Xi Jinping could make him the wild card capable of shifting the relationship between the world's two largest powers from rivalry to cooperation, American scholars have said. Speaking at a session developed in collaboration with The Straits Times at a World Economic Forum event in Tianjin on June 26, Harvard professor Graham Allison pointed out that Mr Trump is not a China hawk. 'If you look at the campaign last year, there were a thousand people running for office in the country in which 80 per cent of the people have a negative view of China,' he said, referring to the US general election in 2024. 'Only one person had positive things to say about China. This was Donald Trump.' Prof Allison noted that Mr Trump had said to Mr Xi that when China and the United States work together, they can solve most of the world's problems. He said he believed that Mr Trump is determined to be a 'great deal maker' and a 'great peacemaker'. 'If he is going to succeed in that mission, the opportunity for Trump and Xi to surprise us on the upside, I think, is enough to be hopeful,' said the national security analyst who has served under former US presidents Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan. Prof Allison's optimism stands out in the current climate. Since Mr Trump began his second term in January, the US-China rivalry has intensified – most notably with the US' imposition of unprecedentedly high tariffs on Chinese goods – leading many observers to take a pessimistic view of the world's most consequential relationship. His optimism is also striking, given that he is famous for popularising the 'Thucydides Trap' – a concept that draws upon historical pattern to suggest that conflict becomes likely when an established power feels threatened by a rising power. Another American scholar at the same session shared his optimism. Professor Monica Toft of The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy said Mr Trump has significant leeway to take a softer approach on China, given that most Americans are not interested in foreign policy and that Congress and the courts are unlikely to challenge him. 'If President Trump decided he could align US interests more closely with China – without giving away the store – he has both the prerogative and the opportunity to do that,' she said. Prof Toft noted that global politics today is shaped by two strongmen – Mr Trump and Mr Xi – who share a personal rapport. 'They talk to one another, they respect one another, they admire one another,' she said. 'It could be an extraordinary period for humanity if they can find a way to collaborate and coordinate on certain issues.' Speaking at the same session, Professor Jin Keyu from the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology also saw bright spots in an otherwise gloomy picture of the US-China rivalry. 'I do not agree with the view that they are in a new Cold War,' she said. She said while China and the US may be politically opposite and economically competitive, there is a need for them to cooperate to provide global public goods. 'There is space to collaborate, whether it's on the risk of artificial intelligence, climate, data transparency, and so forth,' she said. (Clockwise from left) ST Foreign Editor Li Xueying moderating a session with Professor Graham Allison, Professor Jin Keyu, Professor Monica Toft and Professor Happymon Jacob at a World Economic Forum event in Tianjin on June 26. PHOTO: WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM At the session titled 'Geopolitics: An Unfolding Story', moderated by ST Foreign Editor Li Xueying, the panel also discussed the erosion of the 'nuclear taboo', a normative belief that the use of nuclear weapons is unacceptable, even in situations where it might be strategically advantageous. This concept was brought into sharp focus by recent conflicts. In June, the US and Israel attacked Iran to destroy its nuclear weapons development programme. In 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, which found itself less able to defend itself because it had given up its nuclear capabilities decades ago. Professor Happymon Jacob, who teaches nuclear disarmament at the Jawaharlal Nehru University in India, pointed out that while the taboo against the use of nuclear weapons remains, the taboo against the possession of nuclear weapons appears to be collapsing. 'Ukrainians would say we made a mistake in giving up our nuclear weapons,' he said at the same panel. 'The Russians will tell you that we have nuclear weapons, thousands of them. There is no way we are going to be defeated in this war.' He noted how South Korea, faced with the threat of nuclear-armed North Korea, is also thinking about developing nuclear weapons. Yew Lun Tian is a senior foreign correspondent who covers China for The Straits Times. Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store