
50,000 migrants have crossed Channel on small boats since Labour took power
Labour former home secretary Baroness Smith of Malvern had said earlier on Tuesday that reaching the milestone is 'unacceptable'.
Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said Labour's promise to 'smash the criminal boat gangs' in its manifesto last year was 'just a slogan', with crossings now 'so much worse' than they were before the vote.
There have been 27,029 arrivals so far this year, which is 47% higher than at the same point of 2024 when the figure stood at 18,342, and 67% higher than at the same time in 2023 (16,170).
Baroness Smith, who is now an education and women and equalities minister, warned: 'Criminal gangs have got an absolute foothold in the tragic trafficking of people across the Channel.'
She told BBC Breakfast: 'It is an unacceptable number of people.'
The minister also told Times Radio: 'We have taken a lot of important action already, but what we're facing is a criminal endeavour which has got long roots into the ground, I'm afraid, because it hasn't been tackled by the last government over recent years.
'That's why we need the action we've already taken to increase the speed with which we make asylum decisions, to remove more people from this country, the groundbreaking deal that we now have with the French, and we've already detained people who've come to the country.'
Earlier this month, the Government began detaining migrants under a new 'one in, one out' deal with France.
UK officials aim to make referrals for returns to France within three days of a migrant's arrival by small boat, while French authorities will respond within 14 days.
An approved asylum seeker in France will be brought to the UK under a safe route as part of the exchange.
Speaking on the Isle of Wight, Mrs Badenoch said: 'Labour's plan to smash the gangs was just a slogan. Things are so much worse since Labour came into office, they have no plans.
'Their one in, one out scheme isn't going to work, and what we're seeing is a lot of local communities having to pay the price and bear the brunt of the Government's incompetence.'
Asked if the Conservatives could reduce the number of crossings from five figures to zero, Mrs Badenoch replied that 'it wouldn't happen straight away, but it would happen quickly'.
Mrs Badenoch said: 'My team are now looking at what we can do in terms of detention centres, but stopping people from coming here in the first place – if they think they're going to be sent to Rwanda and not get here, get a free hotel, get benefits, then they won't come here.'
Reacting to the milestone being reached, Conservative shadow home secretary Chris Philp said: 'Labour has surrendered our borders, and the consequences are being felt in our communities, from rising crime to shocking cases of rape and sexual assault by recent arrivals.'
He accused the Government of having 'scrapped Conservative deterrents and created the conditions for chaos' and added: 'This is an invasion Labour are too cowardly to confront.'
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer entered No 10 on July 5 last year, having secured a Labour victory with 412 Commons seats, ending 14 years in government for the Conservatives, who won 121.

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Scotsman
14 minutes ago
- Scotsman
Readers' letters: Scottish Government's reaction to Gers figures stretches credulity
A reader criticises the SNP for blaming the UK Government for Scotland's soaring public spending deficit Sign up to our daily newsletter – Regular news stories and round-ups from around Scotland direct to your inbox Sign up Thank you for signing up! Did you know with a Digital Subscription to The Scotsman, you can get unlimited access to the website including our premium content, as well as benefiting from fewer ads, loyalty rewards and much more. Learn More Sorry, there seem to be some issues. Please try again later. Submitting... Shona Robison states: 'Gers reflects the fact that the current UK Government has continued with the economic mismanagement of its predecessors.' She also blames the reduction in revenues from the North Sea. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad After 18 years of utter fiscal incompetence from the SNP, perhaps some of the dosh which has disappeared down the plug-hole needs stating. Stop all exploration in the North sea, destroying revenues, massive redundancies and huge losses in tax revenue. Free prescriptions, free university for the limited number of Scottish students allowed to enroll, free baby boxes, £400 million overspend on two ferries, free bus passes for under-22-year-olds, free school meals – the list is never ending. It would appear that the magic money tree (£2,699 of additional public spending compared to the UK average) is losing its leaves. The time has come to get rid of this SNP government. We have another nine months of financial incompetence to endure before the 2026 elections – what state will the nation's finances be in by then? I dread to think. When our pre-eminent national newspaper states with regard to Ms Robisons comments, 'In other words, the magic wand of independence will make our problems disappear', it is nothing short of a huge indictment of this government's ineptitude and utterly deluded means of governing. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad No wonder Nicola Sturgeon is thinking of jumping Hadrian's Wall – she won't be the only one should these indie zealots get their way. David Millar, Lauder, Scottish Borders Business as usual The publication of the latest GERS (Government Expenditure and Revenue for Scotland) figures has triggered a now traditional feeding frenzy. A black hole in Scotland's finances is heralded by unionist politicians as validating the continuation of the Union. The killer phrase for me from the GERS report is: 'The report is designed to allow users to understand and analyse Scotland's fiscal position under different scenarios within the current constitutional framework.' GERS is therefore a measure of the public finances under the current Union, hardly the greatest endorsement for how the economy has been managed on the UK's watch. Indeed, major economic levers required to stimulate economic growth are still currently reserved to Westminster. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Contrast this with our near neighbour, the Republic of Ireland, which has run budget surpluses totalling over £34 billion since 2022, with another forecast this year. Despite having considerably less in the way of natural resources than Scotland, the government there has announced a 'transformational' plan to spend over £183bn over the next decade on infrastructure. The point of independence is not to do everything in the same way as it has been done within the current constitutional framework, but to move away from this one-size-fits-all fiscal straitjacket to a tailored approach that prioritises stimulating economic growth. Alex Orr, Edinburgh Service sector The closing of churches (Letters, 14 August) is the business equivalent of sacking the sales force because business is bad. In both cases the answer is an updating of the product to make it more attractive to the customer. Malcolm Parkin, Kinnesswood, Perth & Kinross Covid claims I have to disagree with Martin O'Gorman's suggestion (Letters, 13 August) that Nicola Sturgeon 'weaponised Covid'. He gives no justification and for many she did the opposite. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Evidence suggests that she went out of her way to keep Scotland informed in her clear communicative style with press conferences daily to hold her and her government to account. This is a far cry from Boris Johnson, who flagrantly breached his own rules on several occasions and blustered through occasional press conferences with lies and, it transpired, put the economy before human life on occasion. In her candid interview with Julie Etchingham she covered at least as many misjudgments as successes. While there were the eight election victories, Sturgeon chose to talk about the dark and difficult realities in her troubled political life. The usual political answers were replaced by a frank admission that she had got things wrong in four key areas. Misjudging the mood of the nation in 2017 when 'caught off guard' by the scrutiny of a second referendum, feeling partly responsible for Covid deaths, losing her friendship with Alex Salmond and gender reform. Her reluctance to mark her performance out of ten may be because it is not for her to judge. Often we are quick to praise ourselves before others. I agree with Mr O'Gorman about a lack of political progress, Sturgeon cited only the child payment along with election successes as achievements. Ultimately she failed to deliver independence and that is how many will judge her. Neil Anderson, Edinburgh Stalinist tendencies Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Joanna Cherry accuses Nicola Sturgeon of having a Stalinist leadership style (Scotsman, 14 August).There seems little doubt that the SNP was run in an authoritarian style under Nicola, but to be fair, she inherited this from the previous leader Alex Salmond, in his drive for independence. William Ballantine, Bo'ness, West Lothian Orwell's critique In his defence of Nicola Sturgeon, Robert Menzies uses the term Orwellian (Letters, 14 August). I suggest that he reads Orwell's 'Notes on Nationalism', written in 1945. Orwell's wide-ranging critique starts by saying that nationalism assumes that human beings can be classified like insects, that whole blocks of millions or tens of millions of people can be confidently labelled 'good' or 'bad', and that the nationalist habit of identifying oneself with a single nation and placing it beyond good or evil recognises no other duty than advancing its interests. He goes on to say that the abiding interest of every nationalist is to secure more power, not for himself, but for the nation in which he has chosen to sink his own individuality. Of course Orwell's binary phraseology was written long before the gender wars had broken out, but I am sure that he would have fulminated against censorship and no-platforming with great vigour as matters of principle. Hugh Pennington, Aberdeen Never too late Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Murdo Fraser's throwaway sentence towards the end of his article about the 2025 Highers examinations (Scotsman, 13 August) stated that 'Young people get only one chance at education'. As one who spent 32 years in various further education colleges this does seem rather disrespectful to the sector. My favourite class over the years was a group of, mainly, 35-45-year-old housewives responding to an urgent invitation to train as teachers. I do not think that the school system had failed them; rather they were probably too immature at that time to gain full benefit. Often I was told by them that they had never understood Hamlet until they were given this second chance. Not my teaching, but their greater maturity and experience of life was what made the difference. Their lack of ego about their own ability was touching but led to my being asked frequently: 'Do you think I'll scrape a C pass?' There was never any doubt. And that's what those of us working in the sector always saw as its main priority – giving people a second chance. I even saw this in my own family when one my daughters, who had been pursuing City and Guilds qualifications in catering, took a government-sponsored basic computing course in my own college and progressed from there to a degree in computing at university and a very successful career. Bill Greenock, Netherlee, East Renfrewshire Forgotten Fleet National events are being held to mark the 80th anniversary of VJ Day today. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad For VJ Day 80, the government's website mentions the Fourteenth Army – the Forgotten Army – but not the British Pacific Fleet (BPF), the Forgotten Fleet. By VJ Day in 1945, the BPF consisted of 190,000 men and women, some 273 ships, more than 750 naval aircraft and bases ashore. The largest ever British fleet, it was supported by peoples of the Commonwealth in Australia, New Zealand, India and Ceylon. Sailors from many more nations served in Merchant Navy ships in the 'Fleet Train', and some foreign nationals were at sea with the Royal Navy and Royal Marines, all supporting America's huge Pacific naval forces. After Japan's surrender, the BPF was the only force immediately available to safeguard British and Commonwealth interests in the Pacific, carrying out humanitarian work, particularly with prisoners of war. My father's destroyer, HMS Wager, returned home after 18 months away in January 1946. In All Hell Let Loose, Sir Max Hastings suggests that 'the Royal Navy and the United States Navy were their countries' outstanding fighting services' of the war. Indeed, the Royal Navy was the only service in the world engaged from the first to the last day of the Second World War. Not just the Forgotten Fleet, today's sea-blind Britain has forgotten the importance of the sea and ships to our nation's livelihood. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Lester May (Lieutenant Commander, Royal Navy – retired), London Write to The Scotsman


New Statesman
15 minutes ago
- New Statesman
VJ Day: the forgotten war
General Arthur Percival (bottom, middle), British defender of Singapore in 1942, recently released from a Japanese prison camp, salutes as the US general Douglas MacArthur (bottom, right; facing camera) prepares to sign the document of Japan's surrender aboard the battleship Missouri. Photo by Dave Davis/Getty It's interesting to see how countries choose to remember their wars. It's even more revealing to reflect on the wars they have tried to forget. Earlier this year, Donald Trump delivered a brisk history lesson on social media. 'We did more than any other Country, by far, in producing a victorious result on World War II,' the president declared on his Truth Social platform. 'I am hereby renaming May 8th as Victory Day for World War II and November 11th as Victory Day for World War I. We won both Wars, nobody was close to us in terms of strength, bravery, or military brilliance… We are going to start celebrating our victories again!' Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, the British government was quietly trying to roll up its 80th anniversary events for VE Day (Victory in Europe Day, 8 May) and for VJ Day (Victory over Japan Day, 15 August) into one week in May, with commemorations built around the early May bank holiday. That way, cynics observed, the productivity-conscious Labour cabinet could avoid conceding Britain's workers another day off. The relegation of the Asian half of Britain's Second World War to virtually a postscript was perhaps understandable. The struggle against Japan was not Winston Churchill's finest hour. On the contrary, it signalled the end of the empire to which he had devoted his life. More than that: it heralded the end of all the European empires in Asia over the following decade. It also marked the onset of a cold war in Asia that was very different in shape and intensity from bipolar Europe, creating geopolitical tensions that still wrack our world today. The story defies a simple 'we won, they lost' dichotomy. Britain's Asian debacle was the almost inevitable flipside of its European finest hour. By the 1930s the British empire rested precariously on a mixture of sea power and bluff, and in 1940-41 the bluff was called, first in Europe and then in Asia. In May 1940 Nazi Germany attacked France, Britain's main continental ally, not through Belgium but by sending almost all its armoured divisions through the supposedly impenetrable Ardennes Forest and around the French army's southern flank. They then drove straight for the Channel coast, encircling the bulk of the French and British armies. The French high command lost its nerve and, within a month, France had surrendered. Mussolini's Italy seized its opportunity and jumped into the war on Germany's side – tying down Britain in the Mediterranean. Such is the myth of the irresistible Nazi Blitzkrieg that the sheer audacity of Hitler's Ardennes gamble is now often ignored. Even less appreciated is the strategic magnitude and technical brilliance of the operations mounted by imperial Japan across a vast arc of the Pacific and south-east Asia on 7-8 December 1941. Most notorious is the devastating surprise air raid on the US Pacific Fleet at Pearl Harbor, but this was only one of a series of attacks from Hong Kong to the Philippines, Thailand to Korea, Guam to Malaya – at the same time as Japan was fighting a major war in China. What now seems arrant folly was deemed strategic necessity by the militarists controlling Japan in 1941. In order to continue the struggle for China they needed the strategic raw materials, especially oil and rubber, controlled by the Western colonial powers – the US, Britain and the Dutch. Japan's campaign in Malaya began the endgame of British power across India and south-east Asia. On 7 December an expeditionary force of some 60,000 men led by General Tomoyuki Yamashita landed at Kota Bharu on the north-east coast of Malaya. The British assumed the region was an impenetrable jungle, but it had some good roads, and the Japanese troops – many of them hardy coalminers – had been issued with bikes, shorts, light shirts and plimsolls. They cycled and fought their way south towards Singapore, averaging 20 kilometres a day for 55 days. Not quite the bravura of Hitler's Panzers, but the same mind-blowing mobility. Subscribe to The New Statesman today from only £8.99 per month Subscribe Malaya and Singapore had been starved of troops and aircraft because of Churchill's preoccupation with the Mediterranean. In any case, he did not take the Japanese threat very seriously, dismissing them as 'the wops of the Pacific'. At the end of October 1941 he had sent a token fleet of two battleships and a supporting aircraft carrier to Singapore, hoping this could serve as a 'decisive deterrent'. But the carrier was delayed for essential repairs, and the HMS Prince of Wales and HMS Repulse were sunk on 10 December by Japanese torpedo bombers – a sensational blow to British prestige. Worse followed. The 'great fortress' of Singapore had immense heavy guns, but they faced seawards – Churchill was shocked to discover this late in the day – and British defences against an attack from the Malayan side were minimal. In a telegram from London on 10 February 1942, the prime minister demanded heroics: 'The battle must be fought to the bitter end and at all costs… Commanders and senior officers should die with their troops.' But shelling and air raids were relentless, the streets became piled high with corpses, and the military authorities were out of their depth. One joker in the garrison summed up the mood in mock Churchillian verse: 'Never before have so many/Been fucked around by so few/And neither the few nor the many/Have fuck all idea what to do.' With the Japanese controlling the reservoirs, further resistance seemed suicidal, and General Arthur Percival was given discretion to cease resistance. Yet Yamashita's troops had sustained heavy losses in crossing from Malaya to Singapore, and his artillery men were down to their last hundred rounds. In the words of the historians Christopher Bayly and Tim Harper, 'the Japanese invasion of Singapore island was a gigantic and wholly successful piece of bluff'. The bluff worked superbly: photos and film of Percival and his officers in their baggy shorts being marched off to Japanese prison camps were shown around the world. Among the prisoners of war were troops of the 18th Infantry Division – mostly from East Anglia – who had landed in Singapore only a few days before. More than a third would die in captivity. Churchill declared in his memoirs that the surrender of Singapore on 15 February 1942 was 'the worst disaster and largest capitulation in British history' – adding caustically that 'defeat is one thing; disgrace is another'. [See also: The warning of VE Day] The rest of the Asian war was a huge and bloody effort to reverse Japan's dramatic victories of the winter of 1941-42 – an effort that is often overlooked because of the American preoccupation with the Pacific war, running from Pearl Harbor to Hiroshima and Nagasaki. But the 'Great Asian War' claimed around 24 million lives in countries occupied by Japan, plus three million Japanese and three-and-a-half million in India through war-related famine. Japan's victories shredded polities and societies. The colonial powers' reconquests after 1945 created new turbulence, as did the wars of national liberation that eventually overthrew colonial rule. This three-stage pattern was common across the region, but the timings varied enormously. Speediest was the transition in the vast archipelago of the Dutch East Indies (encompassing much of modern Indonesia), which the Japanese occupied from March 1942 until the end of the war. The Dutch tried to re-establish domination after 1945 but were confronted by an organised national movement under President Sukarno, who won independence for Indonesia in 1949. Similar events in French Indochina were longer, more tortuous and appallingly bloody – stretching out over 30 years. After Japan's wartime occupation of the colony, the French returned in 1945 and were confronted with the communist leader Ho Chi Minh's declaration of independence. After a decade, the French abandoned the struggle and in 1955 Vietnam was partitioned, leaving the communist party in control of the north. That was unacceptable to Cold War America, which increasingly propped up South Vietnam with economic and military aid, and then later, by vast bombing campaigns and US combat troops. But the Vietnam War and the Watergate scandal destroyed Richard Nixon's presidency, and during 1975 US forces were driven ignominiously from all of Indochina. The lurid backdrop of Indonesia and Indochina allows us to see the British withdrawal from south Asia more clearly. Although Britain fought a protracted counterinsurgency before conceding independence to Malaya in 1957 and then similarly to the enlarged Malaysia, it generally managed to avoid the travails of the Dutch and the French. Crucially, the Indian Raj was never invaded and occupied by Japan. Equally significant, Labour's victory in the July 1945 general election replaced the diehard Churchill with Clement Attlee. Whereas Churchill's experience of India ended in 1899, Attlee paid extended visits there in 1928 and 1929 with a parliamentary delegation. He had no doubt that India – a chequerboard of princely states and areas under direct British rule – should eventually follow Australia and New Zealand down the path to self-government and then full independence. He saw this as part of a shift in global power that had been accelerated by the Asian war, telling the cabinet in 1942 that 'the East is now asserting itself against the long dominance of the West'. But trying to surf the tides of history was a perilous business in a polity as vast and volatile as India. Attlee and Labour placed too much faith in the Hindu-led Congress Party, which dominated the interim government formed by Britain in September 1946. Mohammad Ali Jinnah and the All-India Muslim League demanded a greater role, and the escalating communal violence cost thousands of lives. Attlee was also grimly aware of the financial costs of victory, including debts priced at £4.7bn, the sale of £1.1bn worth of overseas assets, and exports down to a third of their 1938 level – no basis for an assertive foreign policy. Over cabinet opposition, he announced a firm date of 30 June 1948 for the end of British rule in India and was then obliged to abandon hopes of a unified country – fabricating instead the states of West and East Pakistan, a thousand miles (1,600km) apart. (The latter broke away in 1971 to form Bangladesh.) The human cost of partition was terrible – scholars estimate one million died and 15 million were displaced. But the Conservatives privately agreed that there was no alternative and even Churchill, despite fulminating about 'socialist scuttle', did not turn India into a political crusade, as he had done in the 1930s. The endgame was briefer and less bloody than Indochina, and the new rulers of India decided to keep their country in the Commonwealth – preserving the fiction of a 'transfer of power'. [See also: How China is reclaiming history] The long denouement of the Great Asian War is only part of the story of Japan's defeat. The central drama of capitulation is beyond the scope of this essay, except to note the continuing debate about the relative importance of the two American atomic bombs, dropped on 6 and 9 August 1945, compared with the shock of the Soviet declaration of war on Japan on the 9th. The answer might seem obvious now, but in Rain of Ruin: Tokyo, Hiroshima and the Surrender of Japan (2025), the historian Richard Overy notes that Japan had never previously been conquered by a foreign power and that the threat of invasion by a communist state seemed particularly horrendous to the Japanese ruling class – opening up fears of a domestic revolution as in Russia or Germany in 1917-18. Regardless of which superpower claimed credit for Japan's defeat, the actual occupation of the country (1945-52) was dominated by the US – unlike the endgame in Germany. Stalin's attempt to grab Hokkaido, one of the four main islands, was blocked by President Harry Truman. American administrators in league with Japanese civil servants pushed through demilitarisation, democratisation, land reform, labour laws and also women's rights beyond anything sanctioned in the US. Galvanised by these radical but peaceful reforms, and sheltering under America's defence umbrella, Japan's economy grew exponentially until the country boasted the highest per capita GDP in the world by the 1980s – not bad as the price of defeat. But the Japanese bubble burst in 1990, and it was followed by two decades of stagnation. Talk of 'Japan as number one' evaporated, and the focus of international attention shifted to China after its Communist Party's brutal suppression of the pro-democracy movement in 1989. This brings us back to the roots of Japan's militarist expansion in the 1930s and 1940s. Its conquest of Chinese Manchuria in 1931-32 escalated into full-scale war with China from 1937 to 1945, costing perhaps 15-20 million lives. The War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression, as it is known in China, was entangled with the longer on-off civil war between nationalists and communists for control of China itself, which resumed in 1946 and led to the eventual triumph of Mao Zedong in 1949 and the nationalists' retreat to the island of Taiwan. For Xi Jinping, appointed leader of the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 2012 and now president for life, these historical issues are of central importance in his sustained challenge to the hegemonial position of the US. He has insisted since 2015 on the need to 'reconsider the great path of the Chinese people's War of Resistance' by taking account of the nationalists' war effort and thereby underlining 'the great contribution that the war [of resistance] made to the victory in the world anti-fascist war', which he also referred to as 'the Second World War'. (This was an attempt to move the Sino-Japanese conflict from the margins to the centre of historiographical discourse.) Speaking in this voice, Xi implied common ground with the nationalists. But that could not override the intolerable fact that their successors still controlled the island of Taiwan – centre of the world's semiconductor production, flanking one of the major global trading arteries, the Taiwan Straits, and a standing affront to the PRC's claim to rule a unified and sovereign state. The possibility that Xi might resolve this dispute by force makes Taiwan one of the world's most sensitive hot spots. Another of Japan's former wartime conquests falls into the same category. Korea has been divided since the war in 1950-53. North Korea is a totalitarian state with nuclear weapons; South Korea is dependent on US military support. Both claim to be the rightful ruler of the whole Korean peninsula, and they are separated only by the armistice line from 1953. Taiwan and Korea are sobering reminders that the legacies of the devastating wars unleashed by imperial Japan are still shaping the 21st-century world. VJ Day should not be treated as a mere postscript to VE Day. As for the Trumpian issue of which country won the Second World War, it should be clear by now that a world war is a lot more complex than winning the World Series. David Reynolds' most recent book is 'Mirrors of Greatness: Churchill and the Leaders Who Shaped Him'. He co-hosts the 'Creating History' podcasts. [See also: North Korea's guide to going nuclear] Related


New Statesman
15 minutes ago
- New Statesman
Rachel Reeves was right about non-doms
Photo byLast spring, Britain's newspapers and money-watchers promised a mass exodus of wealth. Labour's plan to scrap the 'non-dom' tax status, Henley & Partners warned, would drive high-net-worth individuals from Britain in droves. Henley, who make money selling passports to the globally mobile rich, said the scale would be historic, a fiscal catastrophe in the making. Within days, the spectre of a millionaire migration was front-page fact. Rachel Reeves's first fiscal move as chancellor would unravel before it began. HMRC's new payroll data has proven otherwise. The number of top earners on PAYE, the best real-time proxy for high-income residents, has not collapsed. In fact, receipts from that group are holding up. There is no sign of the disproportionate departures Henley forecast, or the domino effect of rich following rich out of the UK. Crisis averted. It is a small but pointed vindication for Reeves. The non-dom reform is still forecast to raise billions over the next five years. For once, the 'wealth will flee' mantra collided with hard numbers and lost. Henley has now softened its claims, dropping 'exodus' from its vocabulary. Yet the moment passed months ago; the initial campaign did its work, and it is much easier to plant a headline than to uproot it. That asymmetry between how fast a narrative moves and how slowly facts arrive should worry Reeves more than any yacht in Monaco. The Treasury got lucky. On income, HMRC can produce monthly PAYE data, which means she had facts to fight fiction. On wealth, no such armour exists: we govern wealth in a data desert. The UK does not have a live, comprehensive picture of who owns what. The Land Registry records transactions, but overseas owners can be hidden behind shell companies or trusts, and beneficial ownership filings are riddled with gaps. Companies House has only just begun to verify directors' identities. Offshore holdings sit beyond the line of sight. Even the Office for National Statistics must rely on household surveys that the very wealthy rarely complete – meaning the top tail of the Sunday Times Rich List is easier to read than any official distributional table. If income taxation is conducted with spreadsheets, wealth taxation is based on back-of-envelope estimates. This matters because income is not the only, or even the primary, source of economic power. A salaried professional in London pays income tax and National Insurance on almost all of their earnings. A landlord, by contrast, pays capital gains tax at lower rates when they sell a property, and can hold appreciated assets untaxed for decades. The gap endures because the political will to close it is as absent as the data needed to do so. HMRC knows every inch of your payslip, but they know very little about a millionaire's investment portfolio. It should be obvious that the ultra-rich are not maintaining their lifestyle through their 9-5 wage. Without better data, these imbalances are easier to ignore, and harder to challenge. The gains in wealth are real – property wealth has risen by £1.6 trillion in a decade, and the top 1 per cent hold a third of UK net wealth – but we lack the infrastructure to say, with authority, where that wealth sits and in what form. In the absence of clarity, those statistics can be disputed, delayed, or dismissed. That leaves any move to tax wealth on a more equal footing with work exposed to the same lobbying tactics that failed over non-doms, but without PAYE receipts to fight back. Subscribe to The New Statesman today from only £8.99 per month Subscribe The political opportunity here is unignorable. The non-dom episode showed that a robust policy, grounded in plausible revenue estimates and implemented without theatrics, can survive scare stories. Extending that logic to wealth would mean two things: first, investing in the infrastructure to know what we are taxing; and second, closing the gap between how we treat earnings from work and earnings from assets. This is an argument for an investment in information. Without it, ministers are left defending abstractions against fiction. With it, they can decide whether taxing capital gains like income is worth the political capital, or whether tightening inheritance tax loopholes is worth risking a few seats in the South East. The lesson Reeves will take from the HMRC release is that the rich did not run. But it should also be that knowing what the rich are doing with their wealth is politically useful. Imagine having that same clarity over who owns £10m townhouses through shell companies, or who holds vast portfolios via offshore trusts. Labour's second full budget in office will set the tone for the rest of its term. Governing by myth – about investment strikes, welfare fraud, or rich flight, invites those myths to govern you in return. Governing by data wonkery, on the other hand, does not guarantee a better day for Labour's press office, but it at least allows policy to survive its first contact with reality. As the Treasury gears up for an Autumn of tax rises, this is a political lifeline worth investing in. Reeves should treat the non-dom figures as a prompt to build the institutional arsenal she will need for bigger battles ahead. [See also: Let the non-doms leave] Related