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Sky News AU
30 minutes ago
- Sky News AU
Australia's inflation numbers are ‘very good'
AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver says the dropping inflation numbers are a 'relief' for Australians. The headline inflation figure has fallen to 2.1 per cent, down from 2.4 per cent in the March quarter. Mr Oliver told Sky News Australia that the inflation numbers are 'very good'.


Courier-Mail
2 hours ago
- Courier-Mail
Shock as lenders slash rates to lowest level in 2 years off cycle
Aussie homeowners are in for a treat as variable interest rates plunge to their lowest level in two years, a full two weeks ahead of the next Reserve Bank meeting. The dramatic milestone came even before the Wednesday quarterly consumer price index release – data that will determine which way the RBA rolls come its monetary policy meeting on August 12. MORE: Millennial's secret $200k discounts revealed Unexpected suburbs lead home lending The Police Credit Union threw the cat among the pigeons by slashing variables to 4.99 per cent for owner-occupiers with a 20 per cent deposit – a significant milestone that hasn't been hit since July 2023, according to Canstar research. 'The lowest variable rate is now a fraction above the lowest fixed rates in the market, despite the high possibility of further cash rate cuts from the RBA,' according to Canstar data insights director Sally Tindall. Pressure is building for other providers to match that level out of the RBA cycle, with Horizon Bank and Pacific Mortgage Group offering rates of 5.24pc and 5.34pc respectively, while others like Homestar Finance, Australian Mutual Bank and RACQ are at 5.39pc. 'Variable home loan rates starting with a '4' are finally back on the table after a two-year hiatus,' Ms Tindall said. MORE: 'Creepy': Family splurges millions on haunted Aus house 'Rotten egg' mystery grips coast, and it's not sewers 'Police Credit Union might not be a big name brand, but with this move, it's dialled up the competition in the variable mortgage market by at least a couple of notches.' 'The fact that the lowest variable rate is already below the 5 per cent barrier before an RBA cut, will put pressure on other low-cost lenders to drop rates below this mark.' She said 'banks are sharpening their pencils to attract new customers. For anyone still sitting on a rate well into the 6's, it's a wake‑up call to get on the phone to your bank.' The rate cutting frenzy extended into fixed rates, which have tumbled in the past fortnight, with 13 lenders slashing at least one, including Australia's fifth-largest lender Macquarie by up to 0.20 percentage points, while Greater Bank's lowest 2- and 3-year fixed rates are at just 4.94pc. MORE: All the tax write offs Aussies can claim ATO's dragnet: Millions of side hustles face shock tax bill Canstar figures show 17 lenders now have at least one fixed rate under 5pc, but Ms Tindall warned those who were thinking about fixing now needed to 'understand the trade‑offs – you might be buying peace of mind, but it could come at a cost if rates fall faster than expected'. She said 'fixed rates continue to tumble as banks jostle for pole position, but that doesn't mean everyone should rush to lock in'. 'Banks are dangling sharp fixed rates in front of borrowers chasing short‑term certainty, but with RBA cash rate cuts still on the table, potentially as early as 12 August, fixing could be a gamble.' MORE: Cash-strap student turns $40k to 38 homes Govt pays $3.3m for unliveable derelict house

Sky News AU
3 hours ago
- Sky News AU
August interest rate cut almost certain after fresh ABS data shows trimmed mean inflation drops to 2.7 per cent in June
Mortgage holders are likely in store for more rate relief after next month's RBA meeting as fresh inflation data shows price rises continued to settle. Australian Bureau of Statistics revealed on Wednesday that inflation came in at 2.1 per cent for the 12 months to June and is the lowest level since March 2021. Meanwhile, trimmed mean inflation - the RBA's preferred measure which analyses the middle 70 per cent of price changes - was 2.7 per cent as it continues to fall within the central bank's 2-3 per cent target band. Prior to the release of the data, economists expected trimmed mean inflation to come in at 2.7 per cent on Wednesday while money market said there was an 82 per cent chance of a rate cut next month. After the data was released, the chances of a rate cut jumped to 85 per cent. The latest inflation data will be a major factor in whether the RBA cuts rates next month. After subverting widespread expectations of a cut earlier this month, RBA governor Michele Bullock said the central bank's call was due to "timing" as the central bank awaited more details about how inflation was continuing to ease. "By our next meeting in five weeks, we will have the June quarter consumer price index, another labour market reading, further information about international developments and an updated set of forecasts," Ms Bullock said. "So the board decided to wait a few weeks to confirm that we're still on track to meet our inflation and employment objectives." Trimmed mean inflation was 2.9 per cent in the March quarter, marking the first time it fell into the RBA's target band since 2021. This followed trimmed mean inflation soaring up to 6.8 per cent by late 2022 when post-pandemic supply constraints caused prices to surge. Australians faced a litany of interest rate hikes throughout this period to stamp out the price surges. Mortgage holders began experiencing relief this year as the RBA has delivered two rate cuts, bringing the cash rate down 0.5 per cent to 3.85 per cent. The RBA could deliver quicker rate cuts from later this year as the ABS will begin publishing a full monthly consumer price index – which measures household inflation. Currently, the ABS only publishes a monthly CPI indicator which examines about two thirds of the goods and services in the quarterly inflation figures. A frequent full CPI would allow the RBA to make more informed cash rate calls - which was a sticking point for the central bank when it controversially held rates earlier this month.