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For the first time in 25 years, California has a snowpack trifecta

For the first time in 25 years, California has a snowpack trifecta

Yahoo02-04-2025

The year may have started with a dry spell, but the end of California's storm season has brought more fresh snow to the Sierra Nevada, pushing the state's snowpack to 96% of average on April 1, when the snow season typically reaches its peak.
The near-average snowpack has given the state a third straight year of ample water supplies in the mountains — something that hasn't happened in a quarter of a century.
"Earlier on, there were some indicators that we might have a dry year, but fortunately, the storm windows have stayed open and given us a good boost in February and March to be where we are today," said Andy Reising, manager of snow surveys and water supply forecasting for the California Department of Water Resources.
This near-average winter followed an extremely wet and snowy 2023 and a wet 2024. This time last year, the snowpack measured 111% of average.
The dominance of wet weather has brought a reprieve from the severe drought Californians endured from 2020 through 2022, the state's driest three-year period on record.
The last time California had three consecutive years of average or above-average snow was from 1998 to 2000, Reising said. At that point, it had been 20 years since a similar pattern occurred, from 1978 to 1980.
This year's storms have brought ample rains at lower elevations, and statewide precipitation since Oct. 1 measures 103% of average for this time of year.
The last two wet years have also left California's reservoirs in good shape. The state's major reservoirs are now at 117% of average levels.
The Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, which delivers water for 19 million people in six counties, has a record amount of water banked in reservoirs and underground storage areas.
"The reservoirs are above average for this time of year, and so that's a great sign for this year moving forward," Reising told reporters during a briefing Tuesday.
California's snowpack typically provides nearly a third of the state's water supply.
The latest storms and increased snowpack prompted state water officials last week to increase their forecast of water deliveries this year from the aqueducts of the State Water Project, which transports supplies from the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta to Southern California. The allocation was increased to 40% of requested supplies, up from 35% a month earlier.
Read more: Trump administration dramatically cuts staff at water agency in California
The Trump administration also announced last week that it increased water allocations this year for the Central Valley Project, or CVP, the federally managed system of dams and reservoirs that delivers supplies from the Delta to farmlands and communities in the San Joaquin Valley.
Many agencies that receive water from the CVP were already set to receive 100% of their allotments, and the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation announced that agricultural irrigation districts south of the Delta will now receive 40% allocations, up from an initial 35%, while those that receive water from the Friant-Kern and Madera canals will get 100% of their allotments.
The federal agency said in a written statement that it was seeking to "maximize" water deliveries as President Trump recently directed in an executive order. Large agricultural water districts in the Central Valley have supported Trump's order, while environmental advocates have raised concerns that federal efforts to increase pumping in the Delta could threaten vulnerable fish species that have already suffered declines in recent years.
The Bureau of Reclamation said that, acting under Trump's executive order, it would "continue to maximize pumping whenever possible at the federal pumping facility to move water to parts of California where it is needed most."
Read more: New desalination technology being tested in California could lower costs of tapping seawater
Although the ample snowpack and nearly full reservoirs mean stable water supplies for California for the time being, officials and experts caution that the next dry spell could come at any time.
Scientific research has shown that droughts are growing more intense in the western United States because of global warming and that average snow lines have been creeping higher in the mountains as temperatures rise, altering runoff patterns.
In February, scientists noted that the snowpack was significantly smaller at many lower-elevation monitoring sites in the mountains after months of warmer-than-average temperatures.
This year also brought a pattern of more snow and wetter conditions in Northern California, with less snow and drier conditions in Southern California. As of Tuesday, the snowpack measured 118% of average in the northern Sierra Nevada, 91% of average in the central Sierra and 84% of average in the southern Sierra.
Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA, said in a social media post that after Tuesday's cold weather system departs, "spring will begin in earnest across California," with much drier and warmer conditions in the coming days.
This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

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California tsunami: Here's where damage and casualties could be the worst
California tsunami: Here's where damage and casualties could be the worst

Los Angeles Times

time6 hours ago

  • Los Angeles Times

California tsunami: Here's where damage and casualties could be the worst

Tsunamis pose a risk to the entire California coast. But should a major one strike, how bad could it be? A single tsunami likely won't cause the worst-case scenario for every region. But in total, more than 680,000 Californians are in a tsunami hazard area during the daytime. And in all, $12.6 billion in damage is possible across California's 20 coastal and bayside counties — a figure that doesn't include damage to ports, harbors, roads, essential facilities or other infrastructure. There are two main types of scenarios for a tsunami. The first, a 'distant-source' tsunami, comes from far away, like one spawned by a major earthquake in Alaska. That would provide an extensive warning — six hours for L.A. and five hours for San Francisco — but could produce the highest level of inundation for large swaths of the state. Then there are 'near-source' tsunamis, which can wash ashore in as little as 10 minutes following a nearby earthquake — leaving little time for a notice or evacuation. Here are some scenarios for different parts of California. Unless otherwise mentioned, figures are from the California Tsunami Program, which is run by the California Governor's Office of Emergency Services and the California Geological Survey. Distant-source tsunami: More than 350 people could die or be injured along the Southern California coast if people wait to evacuate half an hour after an official evacuation warning is given. That includes about 200 casualties in Los Angeles County, roughly 80 in San Diego County, 60 in Orange County and about a dozen in Ventura County. A hypothetical magnitude 9.3 earthquake from Alaska — similar in scale to the monstrous 1964 tsunami-generating temblor — would offer six hours of warning; large temblors from Chile could provide 13 hours of warning. The maximum projected distant-source tsunami could bring waves of 15 feet above the mean sea level to Marina del Rey, the Santa Monica Pier, Naples and Alamitos Bay; 14 feet elsewhere in other parts of Long Beach; 10 feet at Manhattan Beach, San Pedro and the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach; 9 feet in Malibu, Redondo Beach and Palos Verdes Hills; and 8 feet at Leo Carrillo State Beach. Those estimates were issued by the California Geological Survey and published in the city of Los Angeles' hazard mitigation plan. Damage estimate from distant-source tsunami: More than $1.4 billion. Near-source tsunami: Los Angeles could see a tsunami move from its source to coastal areas in as few as 10 or 15 minutes, the city's tsunami plan warns. According to public documents, depending on the fault that ruptures, or where an underwater landslide is triggered, there could be locally generated tsunami heights of 30 feet in Avalon on Catalina Island; 24 feet at Palos Verdes Hills; 18 feet in Two Harbors; 11 feet in Redondo Beach; 9 feet in Malibu; 8 feet in Long Beach and the Santa Monica Pier; 7 feet in Manhattan Beach and San Pedro; 5 feet in Marina del Rey; and 4 feet at Leo Carrillo State Beach. In the city of Los Angeles, officials say that the most catastrophic scenario would involve an underwater landslide triggered by an earthquake, because 'we wouldn't know that that landslide would occur until the wave arrives,' said Jon Brown, assistant general manager for the city's Emergency Management Department. Other L.A. County areas with considerable vulnerability include the ports, as well as San Pedro and Long Beach. The city of Los Angeles has an estimated 23,000 residents in the tsunami hazard area. In Long Beach, the number is 31,000. Distant-source tsunami: More than 230 people could die or be injured if people wait half an hour to evacuate after an official warning is given. Santa Cruz County could see more than 130 casualties; San Luis Obispo County, about 80. The estimated potential casualty tolls could be 16 in Monterey County and seven in Santa Barbara County. Damage estimate from distant-source tsunami: More than $3.5 billion. Near-source tsunami: Santa Cruz and Monterey counties could see a tsunami within minutes following quake-triggered underwater landslides, documents from both counties say. 'Even a moderate earthquake could cause a local-source tsunami from submarine landsliding in Monterey Bay,' public documents say. A near-source tsunami could bring waves of up to 15 feet above the mean sea level in the city of Marina, 9 feet at the Salinas River; 8 feet at the Pajaro River and Sand City, just northeast of Monterey, and 6 feet at Moss Landing, according to data published in Monterey County's hazard mitigation plan. Such devastation would not be unprecedented. A large earthquake in the Santa Barbara area in 1812 resulted in a tsunami 'that wiped out many coastal villages and destroyed ships in the harbor,' according to the U.S. Geological Survey. And 7-foot waves resulted from a tsunami in 1927, generated by an earthquake about 5 miles west of the Santa Barbara County coast, according to the California Geological Survey. The USGS said there's evidence of deposits from underwater landslides offshore of Santa Barbara dating back over 160,000 years, which suggests that 'future earthquakes could cause large submarine landslides and devastating tsunamis.' Distant-source tsunami: More than 1,300 people could die or be injured if people wait half an hour to evacuate after an official warning is given. About 500 of them could be in San Francisco; about 300 apiece in San Mateo and Marin counties; nearly 200 in Alameda County and 33 in Contra Costa County. Just north of the region, in Mendocino County, five people could die or be injured in that scenario. A hypothetical tsunami-generating earthquake in Alaska could provide 5 hours of warning; one from Chile could provide 13 hours of warning. The maximum projected distant-source tsunami could result in tsunami of 32 feet above mean sea level in San Francisco's Ocean Beach; 31 feet in Pacifica in San Mateo County; 27 feet in Bolinas in Marin County; 18 feet in Alameda; 14 feet in Sausalito and San Francisco's Aquatic Park; 13 feet on Alcatraz Island; and 11 feet in Richmond and Treasure Island, according to the California Geological Survey. Damage estimate from distant-source tsunami: More than $6.5 billion. Near-source tsunami: In Northern California, a near-source tsunami could generate a tsunami of 9 feet above sea level in Bolinas; 8 feet in Pacifica; 7 feet in Sausalito; 6 feet at Ocean Beach; 5 feet in Alameda; and 4 feet at Alcatraz Island, Treasure Island, Aquatic Park, Redwood City and Richmond. Cascadia scenario: Given its proximity to the Cascadia subduction zone, Del Norte County — the state's northernmost coastal region — is perhaps more exposed to tsunami risk than any other part of California. If people wait 10 minutes after an earthquake to evacuate — the shaking itself would be the warning to flee — more than 3,150 are at risk of being killed or injured by tsunami in Del Norte County, and more than 720 would be at risk in neighboring Humboldt County. Flooding could reach up to 30 feet above the average high tide along the outer coast of Humboldt Bay and the Eureka area, and up to 50 feet toward Crescent City. 'A large quake generated by the Cascadia subduction zone could create waves twice as large as the 1964 event, especially in Crescent City,' Rick Wilson, a former head of the California Geological Survey tsunami program, said in a statement. Damage estimates: Del Norte County, which is home to Crescent City, could see more than $1 billion in damage. Humboldt County, home to Eureka, could see $22 million.

Questions about tornado warnings, Republican supermajority and "beautiful" bill
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Yahoo

timea day ago

  • Yahoo

Questions about tornado warnings, Republican supermajority and "beautiful" bill

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Summer starts in Mississippi soon. What AccuWeather says about possible heat, severe storms
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Summer starts in Mississippi soon. What AccuWeather says about possible heat, severe storms

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