
Shares rise, oil plummets with market sentiment buoyed by Iran-Israel truce
NEW YORK :Global shares were on track for a second straight day of gains on Tuesday with oil prices plummeting further as market sentiment was lifted by the easing of Middle East tensions, after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire.
U.S. President Donald Trump had announced on Monday that Israel and Iran had reached a ceasefire to end their 12-day-old war. But both sides accused each other of violating the truce on Tuesday, sparking an extraordinary outburst from Trump.
On Wall Street, the three main indexes were trading higher, with the biggest gains in financials, technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks. Energy shares were the main drag.
European shares were up 1 per cent, while MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan jumped 2.4 per cent overnight. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 1.11 per cent to 899.97, trading near a record high reached on June 11.
"Markets are cheering what is looking to be a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, which means no major impact to supply of oil to global markets," said Talley Leger, chief market strategist at the Wealth Consulting Group. "Risk assets, including equities in general and cyclical pro-economy sectors of the market more specifically, have been rallying. Defensives and safe-haven assets have also been ebbing, which is consistent with what we've been saying and what we know historically."
Brent Crude futures were down 4.87 per cent at $67.99 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 4.89 per cent to $65.17. Both contracts had settled down more than 7 per cent in the previous session, having rallied to five-month highs after the U.S. attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend.
The U.S. dollar declined against major currencies including safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc following the truce. The euro gained.
The dollar weakened 1.07 per cent to 144.57 against the Japanese yen and dropped 0.97 per cent to 0.805 against the Swiss franc. The euro was up 0.45 per cent at $1.1628.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.45 per cent to 97.80.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank needs more time to see if rising tariffs drive inflation higher before considering interest rate cuts. Powell spoke in testimony prepared for delivery on Tuesday at a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 1.6 basis points to 4.306 per cent. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, fell 1 basis point to 3.819 per cent.
Germany's long-term government bond yields rose after the cabinet passed a draft budget for 2025. The yield on the benchmark German 10-year Bunds rose 2.4 basis points to 2.53 per cent.
Gold prices fell. Spot gold fell 1.8 per cent to $3,307.87 an ounce. U.S. gold futures fell 2.27 per cent to $3,301.00 an ounce.
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CNA
2 hours ago
- CNA
Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool
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CNA
3 hours ago
- CNA
Dollar drops on Middle East optimism, euro highest since 2021
NEW YORK :The dollar fell on Tuesday and the euro rose to its highest level since October 2021 after a ceasefire between Iran and Israel was announced, even as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell repeated that he expects inflation to begin rising this summer. The ceasefire began to take hold on Tuesday under pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump, raising hopes for an end to the biggest ever military confrontation between the Middle East arch-foes. "The market right now is unwinding the Middle East trade," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive in Toronto. The euro and yen gained as oil prices tumbled. The European Union and Japan rely heavily on imports of oil and liquefied natural gas, while the U.S. is a net exporter. The single currency was last up 0.38 per cent at $1.162 after earlier reaching $1.1641. The dollar weakened 1 per cent to 144.68 Japanese yen. Risk sensitive assets including the Australian dollar also gained on improving risk sentiment. The Aussie was last up 0.68 per cent versus the greenback at $0.6503. Sterling rose 0.77 per cent to $1.3626 and reached $1.3648, the highest since January 2022. The U.S. currency fell even after Powell said in testimony before U.S. Congress that he and many at the Fed expect inflation to start rising soon, and that the central bank was in no rush to ease borrowing costs in the meantime. Traders were particularly attuned to his remarks after two other Fed policymakers indicated they support near-term rate cuts, citing concerns over the labor market and falling expectations about a resurgence in inflation. "The market was looking for a strong pushback regarding the possibility of a rate cut but Powell continues to sit on the fence," said Button. "The big debate at the Fed right now is in the jobs market. Waller and Bowman are saying they're seeing signs of softness, whereas Powell said we don't see weakness in the labor market," Button said. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said Monday the time to cut interest rates appears imminent while Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Friday that the Fed should consider cutting interest rates at its next meeting. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that interest rates in the country should be lowered by at least two to three percentage points. Fed funds futures traders are pricing in 60 basis points of cuts this year, up from around 46 basis points before Waller's comments on Friday. That indicates expectations that two 25-basis-points in cuts are certain, with a rising chance of a third reduction. A cut at the Fed's July 29-30 meeting continues to be seen as very unlikely, with the first cut expected in September. If the economy deteriorates and the Fed cuts interest rates faster than currently expected that could be very negative for the dollar, said Vassili Serebriakov, an FX strategist at UBS in New York. However, "if it doesn't, if the Fed doesn't cut until September and then delivers just two cuts this year, we're probably looking at some dollar weakness, but it's unlikely to be very significant, especially for pairs like dollar/yen, because the dollar still just benefits from carry quite a bit." Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly deteriorated in June as households worried about business conditions and employment prospects over the next six months.


CNA
3 hours ago
- CNA
US Fed chair signals no rush for rate cuts despite Trump pressure
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