Millions of Germans undecided: dpa's election campaign brief
Even though polls have barely budged during the German election campaign, millions of voters remain undecided, pollsters say, even with just two days before the country casts ballots in a highly consequential election.
That's raised hopes among candidates and party campaigners that they can find some last-minute traction with the German public. The Forsa polling outfit says 22% haven't picked a party yet, while a new YouGov survey put that figure at 20%.
For one last time before German voters cast their ballots on February 23, dpa is bringing you the highlights - and lowlights - from the campaign trail.
Los geht's!
Conservatives firmly in first place
But whatever hopes undecided voters might stir, polls have shown a very clear - and barely shifting - picture at the top of the race.
Friedrich Merz's Christian Democrats (CDU) and their Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), have held a commanding lead for months. That's why other world leaders have already been treating Merz, the clear front-runner, as the chancellor-in-waiting even before the ballots have been cast.
The latest Forsa poll on Friday for private broadcasters RTL/ntv showed the centre-right bloc down a point at 29%, but still well ahead of the second-place far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 21%.
Chancellor Olaf Scholz's centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), meanwhile, had hoped for a comeback over the course of the campaign but have been stuck at 14% to 17%, leading to fading hopes that Scholz could somehow hang on for another term.
As the latest Forsa poll puts the SPD down a point at 15%, Scholz is headed to Dortmund for a final Friday evening rally, after which he'll presumably pray for an election day miracle.
Dortmund is the biggest city in the Ruhr region, Germany's old coal-and-steel industrial heartland, and the legions of trade union workers there long provided the Social Democrats with their electoral might.
Polls have been wrong before, of course, but there's been remarkably little variation in Germany's truncated campaign.
Russia behind fake videos?
Made-up videos purporting to show voting problems have been circulating online, usually casting the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the victim.
A fake video set in the eastern city of Leipzig shows a paper ballot without the AfD listed as an option, while another fabricated video claiming to be filmed in Hamburg shows ballots marked for the AfD tossed into the shredder.
German security authorities have indications that both fake videos are part of a disinformation campaign by the Russian outfit "Storm 1516," according to Maximilian Kall, spokesman for the German Interior Ministry.
That would hardly be the first time Russian propagandists have tried to sow chaos in a Western election.
'It's about democracy'
You know things must be serious when athletes chime in on politics.
Coach Niko Kovac from ailing Borussia Dortmund, who as a Berlin-based Croatian national is not eligible to vote on Sunday, urged Germans to exercise their democratic right and cast their ballots.
"It's about democracy," said the 53-year-old, adding he hoped that "every single person" casts their vote.
Quote of the day: Bodo Ramelow
"We are the hit of this federal election. Nobody had us on their radar."
- Bodo Ramelow, the top candidate for The Left, is all praise after the far-left fringe party surged within just a few weeks from below the 5% threshold usually needed to take seats to up to 8% in the latest polls.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


San Francisco Chronicle
an hour ago
- San Francisco Chronicle
Music streaming service Deezer adds AI song tags in fight against fraud
LONDON (AP) — Music streaming service Deezer said Friday that it will start flagging albums with AI-generated songs, part of its fight against streaming fraudsters. Deezer, based in Paris, is grappling with a surge in music on its platform created using artificial intelligence tools it says are being wielded to earn royalties fraudulently. The app will display an on-screen label warning about 'AI-generated content" and notify listeners that some tracks on an album were created with song generators. The company said AI-generated music is an 'industry-wide issue.' It's committed to 'safeguarding the rights of artists and songwriters at a time where copyright law is being put into question in favor of training AI models," CEO Alexis Lanternier said in a press release. Deezer's move underscores the disruption caused by generative AI systems, which are trained on the contents of the internet including text, images and audio available online. AI companies are facing a slew of lawsuits challenging their practice of scraping the web for such training data without paying for it. According to an AI song detection tool that Deezer rolled out this year, 18% of songs uploaded to its platform each day, or about 20,000 tracks, are now completely AI generated. Just three months earlier, that number was 10%, Lanternier said in a recent interview. AI has many benefits but it also "creates a lot of questions" for the music industry, Lanternier told The Associated Press. Using AI to make music is fine as long as there's an artist behind it but the problem arises when anyone, or even a bot, can use it to make music, he said. Music fraudsters 'create tons of songs. They upload, they try to get on playlists or recommendations, and as a result they gather royalties,' he said. Musicians can't upload music directly to Deezer or rival platforms like Spotify or Apple Music. Music labels or digital distribution platforms can do it for artists they have contracts with, while anyone else can use a 'self service' distribution company. Fully AI-generated music still accounts for only about 0.5% of total streams on Deezer. But the company said it's 'evident" that fraud is 'the primary purpose" for these songs because it suspects that as many as seven in 10 listens of an AI song are done by streaming "farms" or bots, instead of humans. Any AI songs used for 'stream manipulation' will be cut off from royalty payments, Deezer said. AI has been a hot topic in the music industry, with debates swirling around its creative possibilities as well as concerns about its legality. Two of the most popular AI song generators, Suno and Udio, are being sued by record companies for copyright infringement, and face allegations they exploited recorded works of artists from Chuck Berry to Mariah Carey. Gema, a German royalty-collection group, is suing Suno in a similar case filed in Munich, accusing the service of generating songs that are 'confusingly similar' to original versions by artists it represents, including 'Forever Young' by Alphaville, 'Daddy Cool' by Boney M and Lou Bega's 'Mambo No. 5.' Major record labels are reportedly negotiating with Suno and Udio for compensation, according to news reports earlier this month. To detect songs for tagging, Lanternier says Deezer uses the same generators used to create songs to analyze their output. 'We identify patterns because the song creates such a complex signal. There is lots of information in the song,' Lanternier said. The AI music generators seem to be unable to produce songs without subtle but recognizable patterns, which change constantly. Fraudsters can earn big money through streaming. Lanternier pointed to a criminal case last year in the U.S., which authorities said was the first ever involving artificially inflated music streaming. Prosecutors charged a man with wire fraud conspiracy, accusing him of generating hundreds of thousands of AI songs and using bots to automatically stream them billions of times, earning at least $10 million.


The Hill
an hour ago
- The Hill
Music streaming service Deezer adds AI song tags in fight against fraud
LONDON (AP) — Music streaming service Deezer said Friday that it will start flagging albums with AI-generated songs, part of its fight against streaming fraudsters. Deezer, based in Paris, is grappling with a surge in music on its platform created using artificial intelligence tools it says are being wielded to earn royalties fraudulently. The app will display an on-screen label warning about 'AI-generated content' and notify listeners that some tracks on an album were created with song generators. The company said AI-generated music is an 'industry-wide issue.' It's committed to 'safeguarding the rights of artists and songwriters at a time where copyright law is being put into question in favor of training AI models,' CEO Alexis Lanternier said in a press release. Deezer's move underscores the disruption caused by generative AI systems, which are trained on the contents of the internet including text, images and audio available online. AI companies are facing a slew of lawsuits challenging their practice of scraping the web for such training data without paying for it. According to an AI song detection tool that Deezer rolled out this year, 18% of songs uploaded to its platform each day, or about 20,000 tracks, are now completely AI generated. Just three months earlier, that number was 10%, Lanternier said in a recent interview. AI has many benefits but it also 'creates a lot of questions' for the music industry, Lanternier told The Associated Press. Using AI to make music is fine as long as there's an artist behind it but the problem arises when anyone, or even a bot, can use it to make music, he said. Music fraudsters 'create tons of songs. They upload, they try to get on playlists or recommendations, and as a result they gather royalties,' he said. Musicians can't upload music directly to Deezer or rival platforms like Spotify or Apple Music. Music labels or digital distribution platforms can do it for artists they have contracts with, while anyone else can use a 'self service' distribution company. Fully AI-generated music still accounts for only about 0.5% of total streams on Deezer. But the company said it's 'evident' that fraud is 'the primary purpose' for these songs because it suspects that as many as seven in 10 listens of an AI song are done by streaming 'farms' or bots, instead of humans. Any AI songs used for 'stream manipulation' will be cut off from royalty payments, Deezer said. AI has been a hot topic in the music industry, with debates swirling around its creative possibilities as well as concerns about its legality. Two of the most popular AI song generators, Suno and Udio, are being sued by record companies for copyright infringement, and face allegations they exploited recorded works of artists from Chuck Berry to Mariah Carey. Gema, a German royalty-collection group, is suing Suno in a similar case filed in Munich, accusing the service of generating songs that are 'confusingly similar' to original versions by artists it represents, including 'Forever Young' by Alphaville, 'Daddy Cool' by Boney M and Lou Bega's 'Mambo No. 5.' Major record labels are reportedly negotiating with Suno and Udio for compensation, according to news reports earlier this month. To detect songs for tagging, Lanternier says Deezer uses the same generators used to create songs to analyze their output. 'We identify patterns because the song creates such a complex signal. There is lots of information in the song,' Lanternier said. The AI music generators seem to be unable to produce songs without subtle but recognizable patterns, which change constantly. 'So you have to update your tool every day,' Lanternier said. 'So we keep generating songs to learn, to teach our algorithm. So we're fighting AI with AI.' Fraudsters can earn big money through streaming. Lanternier pointed to a criminal case last year in the U.S., which authorities said was the first ever involving artificially inflated music streaming. Prosecutors charged a man with wire fraud conspiracy, accusing him of generating hundreds of thousands of AI songs and using bots to automatically stream them billions of times, earning at least $10 million.


CNBC
an hour ago
- CNBC
Japan is better prepared than the West for China's rare-earth mineral squeeze
Japan has been quietly blazing a trail for supply chain resilience. Long before China in early April imposed an export ban on several rare earth elements and magnets widely used in the automotive, robotics and defense sectors, Japan became something of a canary in the coal mine for Beijing's mineral dominance. The East Asian country was thrust into panic mode in 2010 when China implemented an export ban on rare earths that specifically targeted Tokyo following a heated territorial dispute. The embargo only lasted for around two months, but it was enough to incentivize the world's fourth-largest economy to change its approach to supply chain security. Alongside stockpiling, recycling and promoting alternative technologies, Japan has since invested heavily into non-China rare-earth projects — notably Australia's Lynas, the world's largest rare earth producer outside of China. As a result, Japan's overall dependence on Chinese rare earths has dropped to below 60% from more than 90% at the time of the incident, according to data provided by Argus Media. Jonathan Rowntree — CEO of Niron Magnetics, which produces rare earth-free permanent magnets — said the U.S.-based company was born a decade ago following the world's first rare earth crisis that "had a particularly significant impact on Japan, albeit less so on the rest of the world." "Because of that, Japan's actually much more prepared this time around than most other countries," Rowntree told CNBC by email. "They've stockpiled more, invested in Lynas, and secured Western rare earth supply to meet some of that demand through a combination of Lynas, the Australian mines, and their Malaysian processing facility," he added. Japan reportedly plans to further reduce its reliance on Chinese rare earth imports to below 50% this year. CNBC has reached out to the Japanese government for comment. China is the undisputed leader of the critical minerals supply chain, producing nearly 70% of the world's supply of rare earths from mines and processing almost 90%, which means it is importing these materials from other countries and refining them. Western officials have repeatedly flagged Beijing's supply chain dominance as a strategic challenge, particularly given that critical mineral demand is expected to grow exponentially, as the clean energy transition picks up pace. Japan's supply chain transformation is seen as both a template for Western nations — and a stark reminder of just how difficult it is to escape China's critical mineral orbit. Japan has enjoyed success through Lynas and its international supply chains by not only investing in rare earth mining but also in the facilities needed to process and refine the materials into usable goods, according to Nils Backeberg, founder and director at consultancy Project Blue. Still, the country has a long way to go to cut its dependency on China in some key areas, Backeberg told CNBC. This is especially true for heavy rare earth elements, which are generally less abundant in the Earth's crust, elevating their value. "Not a lot of heavy rare earths come out of Lynas, and most of the ones that do actually get sent to China for further refinement," Backeberg said, adding that China's latest export ban underscores Beijing's importance in heavy rare earths. But Lynas has continued to make progress in this area. Over the past month or so, the company has announced breakthroughs in two heavy rare earths, claiming to have produced them outside China for the first time. China's latest rare earth export curbs were implemented as part of a response to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff increase on Beijing's products. "When the tariff war started and tariffs were put on China, the first thing that China did was say 'we're going to stop exporting rare earths.' A few weeks later, we couldn't manufacture a car in America or in Europe, so it is a real problem," Eldur Olafsson, CEO of Greenland-focused mining company Amaroq, told CNBC's "Europe Early Edition" on Thursday. "No country in the Western world wants one country to corner the market," Olafsson said. Western auto industry groups have been hit particularly hard by the export curbs, with many increasingly concerned about production outages. The disruption also extended to Japanese automakers. Suzuki Motor suspended production of its popular Swift car model earlier this month, with local media attributing the step to China's rare earth export restrictions. A Suzuki Motor spokesperson did not respond to a CNBC request for comment. Meanwhile, Japanese car giant Nissan said it was exploring ways to minimize the impact of China's export controls by working with Japan's government and the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association. "We need to continue finding alternatives for the future, keeping flexibility and keeping our options open," Nissan CEO Ivan Espinosa told CNBC earlier this month. Looking ahead, Niron Magnetics's Rowntree said an all-encompassing government and industry approach would be needed to tackle China's mineral dominance, from accelerating permits for domestic mines to investing in new alternatives to provide sufficient magnet supplies. "Everyone has seen that this supply bottleneck is an issue. We've all known for a long time that this could happen, but now it has actually happened," Rowntree said. "I think many customers share my view — that this issue is unlikely to disappear and that we need to have alternatives in the West to address it." Europe's domestic production of rare earths is limited. Just like the U.S., the region heavily relies on imports, particularly from China, although plans are underway to develop domestic resources and processing capabilities. For instance, Belgian chemical group Solvay, which operates the largest rare earths processing plant outside of China in La Rochelle, France, aims to supply 30% of Europe's processed rare earths demand for permanent magnets by 2030. Gracelin Baskaran, director of the critical minerals security program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a Washington-based think tank, said the U.S. and European Union will need to work together to create a market for non-Chinese rare earths. "The West is creating a nascent rare earths industry outside of China at a time when prices are low and companies are grappling with profitability," Baskaran told CNBC by email. Tax credits and subsidies will be "essential" to ensure that non-Chinese projects can build and scale up, Baskaran said, noting that rare earths go into nearly every modern industry.