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Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish Trend

Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish Trend

Globe and Mail4 days ago

Gold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure.
In the 4-hour chart, it's possibly already on the way higher after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
For a detailed view and more analysis like this, you may want to watch below our latest recording of a live webinar streamed on May 26 2025:

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Gold is part of India's social fabric. As prices soar, customers watch, wait but, ultimately, still buy
Gold is part of India's social fabric. As prices soar, customers watch, wait but, ultimately, still buy

CBC

time2 days ago

  • CBC

Gold is part of India's social fabric. As prices soar, customers watch, wait but, ultimately, still buy

Social Sharing Sidheshwar Shirsath, who lives in the suburbs of India's financial capital, Mumbai, first started buying gold when he got married nine years ago. Shirsath, 35, works as a driver and earns about 55,000 rupees ($889 Cdn) a month. He decided that gold might be a good way to build a nest egg for his family's future. Whenever he had some cash to spend, he purchased gold jewelry, including rings and bangles, and he now has about 130 grams of gold, worth more than one million rupees ($16,000 Cdn). "Sometime after I first bought gold, the rates started increasing, so my interest in investing in it also grew," Shirsath said. In recent months — to his delight — the price has skyrocketed. Gold globally was trading at $3,298 US an ounce on Friday morning, up more than 25 per cent since the start of the year, and up 42 per cent compared with a year ago. Gold's value globally has surged amid global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, including concerns about the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policy. The precious metal is often seen as a "safe haven" asset that investors flock to during periods of economic turbulence. 'Gold is a part of the social fabric' In India, the price has risen even more sharply and is up 30 per cent since the beginning of the year — with the additional increase driven by the rupee's depreciation against the American dollar. But for many Indians, like Shirsath, gold is more than an investment. "Gold is very close to Indian women," he said, his wife, Manisha, sitting next to him in their modest home, adorned with a heavy gold choker and gleaming bangles. "They need gold — especially for festivals and weddings." In India, gold is primarily purchased it in the form of jewelry because it can be a way of showing off one's wealth and status. The precious metal also holds enormous religious and cultural significance. It is part of the dowry in weddings, for example, and it is considered to be auspicious to buy gold during certain Hindu festivals. "India is a very unique market for gold ," said Sachin Jain, regional CEO, India, for the World Gold Council, a global industry association. "Gold is a part of the social fabric, and you don't need to be in any particular economic strata to consume gold. "We all in India have a family doctor, so to say, and we have a family jeweller." India among world's largest gold consumers In rural India, where most of the country's 1.4 billion people still live — and with many not having easy access to bank accounts — gold is a popular way of storing savings, Jain said. All of this means that India is one of the world's largest consumers of gold, with the country's demand for the precious metal hitting about 800 tonnes a year. The steep price, however, is having an impact on the quantity of the metal that people are buying. "With jewelry consumption, whenever the price of gold goes up, the consumer waits and watches," Jain said. "The moment it gets a bit settled, we see consumers come back." The World Gold Council's data shows that demand for gold in India in the first three months of this year stood at 118.1 tonnes, down by 15 per cent compared with the first quarter of last year. But because the price is up, the value of the country's gold demand — which is the quantity of gold that is bought or invested — in the first quarter of this year actually rose by 22 per cent, to reach 940 billion rupees ($15.1 billion Cdn). "People are buying lower quantities," said Colin Shah, managing director of Kama Jewelry, a Mumbai-based manufacturer. "They all have budgets. If someone has $2,000 to spend, they'll spend that and buy a lower volume." But, he said, that gold has by no means lost its shine, despite its high price. "In India, there is a culture of gold, and nobody is going to stop buying gold because of pricing," Shah said. "Actually, they'll have more confidence in the category due to the return they are making on their money." Investing in gold digitally is on the rise With Indians' appetite to own gold showing no signs of easing, the government in recent years has taken a series of steps to try to ensure that gold is brought into the formal economy. These include lowering the import duty on gold last year to six per cent from 15 per cent, partly as a way of making it less attractive for people to smuggle gold into the country to avoid paying high taxes. The government also offers sovereign gold bonds as an alternative to physical gold. The World Gold Council's Jain said that Indians are increasingly investing in gold digitally, for example, through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) — and the price surge has only encouraged people to look at these options. "The young generation is getting more and more savvy, and with the ease of technology, we believe that investment into gold and gold assets is going to get a little more digital," he said. Gold investment demand, including ETFs, rose by seven per cent in India to 46.7 tonnes in the first quarter, according to the World Gold Council. JPMorgan forecasts that the price of gold could hit $4,000 US an ounce next year. Shirsath said that he and his family have more than enough jewelry now, but he still wants to keep buying gold. "My next plan is to buy gold coins or go for bonds."

3 Different Ways to Add Gold to Your Portfolio
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Gold has been on a tremendously strong run since 2024. That momentum has accelerated in 2025 with the yellow metal cracking the $3,000 per troy ounce level. It hasn't stopped there. Recently, the price of gold touched $3,500 before falling back. Many investors may wonder if they should buy gold at these prices. The short answer is yes, and it's because of the reason why the price of gold is rising so sharply. Even though consumers can buy gold bars at Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST), retail investors haven't turned into wide-eyed gold bugs. The driving force behind gold's strong move is central banks around the world. They're gobbling up as much gold as they can. Demand is down from its peak levels between 2022 and 2024, but it's still at historically high levels. This modern-day gold rush started as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty brought on by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. However, in 2025, the move to gold is a calculated move by central banks against a devalued U.S. dollar. In fact, some governments may be hedging for a world in which the dollar may not be the world's reserve currency. Many technical signals show that the spot price of gold may be in a consolidation phase. That could be setting the stage for a jump higher. That's leaving some investors in a quandary. They may want exposure to gold, but they don't want to own the physical metal. Here are three ways to capture some upside in gold without dealing with the logistics of owning physical gold. Gold Miners Still Look Undervalued [content-module:CompanyOverview|NYSEARCA:GDX] Gold prices have gone up, but prior to 2025, gold mining stocks have lagged behind other basic materials stocks. That's because, much like oil companies, gold miners need gold to be at a certain price to make extracting it a profitable activity. This is showing up in the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDX), which is up 46.7% year-to-date. That's one way to play mining stocks. Another approach is to buy the best, which can lead investors to Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM). Newmont is one of the world's largest gold miners. In fact, it's a top holding of the GDX fund with a weighting of 11.5%. In its most recent earnings report in April 2025, Newmont's revenue came in 24% higher year-over-year (YoY). However, it was the earnings growth that really got investors' attention. Newmont beat analysts' estimates by 37% and the $1.25 in earnings per share (EPS) was 127% higher YoY. As of this writing, NEM stock was within 5% of the analysts' consensus price. However, at least two analysts have raised their price target on NEM stock with a price target of over $60 per share. Own Gold and Trade It Like a Stock [content-module:CompanyOverview|NYSEARCA:IAU] Fund investors have several options that give them exposure to gold. The GDX fund is one way. Another is the iShares Gold Trust (NYSEARCA: IAU). The fund owns gold that is transferred to the Trust in exchange for shares issued by the Trust. It's a way to own the right to physical gold without any of the logistics that come from owning the metal (i.e., storage and insurance). Another obstacle to owning physical gold is what happens when investors want to sell. Owning shares of the IAU makes accessing your 'gold' as easy as selling shares. As you might expect, the performance of the IAU fund closely approximates the performance of gold (it's up about 25% in 2025 as of May 28). Investors also benefit from an expense ratio of just 0.25%. That means less money taken out by fees and a better total return over time. A Strategic Way to Make Gold Even More of an Inflation Hedge [content-module:CompanyOverview|NYSEARCA:GOLY] One of the most cited reasons to own gold is that it works as an inflation hedge. If you believe that, the Strategy Shares Gold-Hedged Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: GOLY) deserves close attention. This is a fund that tracks an index that provides broad exposure to investment-grade corporate bonds (in U.S. dollars) while using near-term gold futures to hedge inflation risk. The mix is about 90% investment-grade corporate bonds with 10% in Treasury bills. Fund manager David Miller explains the benefit of the fund in this way: "The idea behind this is we think we could make gold better by adding a yield, or we think we can make bonds better by making them inflation protected." The GOLY fund is up about 18.75% in 2025, which lags gold slightly. Still, the fund is up 27.75% in the last 12 months and could be headed much higher if inflation does ratchet higher. Where Should You Invest $1,000 Right Now? Before you make your next trade, you'll want to hear this. MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. Our team has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and none of the big name stocks were on the list.

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