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The Tories face trouble in London

The Tories face trouble in London

Spectator2 days ago
Friday morning brings with it the usual raft of council by-election results. It has been another good night for Reform UK, who polled a very strong second in the centre of Cardiff, despite only running a limited campaign. But the most striking result was in Bromley, where Nigel Farage's party won their first London ward with 34 per cent of the vote. That is despite the Tories fielding a strong candidate and canvassing the area hard, with Kemi Badenoch out door-knocking on polling day.
Reform ran a good campaign here, with their candidate Alan Cook, well-versed on the issues and the party's messaging. But the party believe that something more fundamental is going on than simply the electorate's disdain for the Tories. Reform's proven ability to win wards, and not merely serve as a protest vote, is encouraging switchers who might have stayed with the Conservatives when they were seen as the most viable option. 'Vote Reform, get Reform' is the message now.
That bodes well for Reform in next year's London council elections. Farage's team is targeting the so-called 'doughnut' of outer boroughs on the capital's fringe. These have traditionally been areas of strong Conservative support and were the basis for Boris Johnson's mayoral victories in 2008 and 2012. Kemi Badenoch's party currently control five boroughs here – Bexley, Bromley, Croydon, Harrow and Hillingdon – compared to just one – Kensington and Chelsea – in inner London.
Farage-led parties have always struggled to do well in London. But within Milbank Tower, staff are currently working out which subjects play well in the 'doughnut'. Just as how Johnson ran against the expansion of the congestion charge in 2008, they are looking for a single issues which they can on next May. The ongoing six-week campaign on crime plays nicely into that. As I wrote about on Tuesday, Farage is going after the 'Mums' vote' of middle-aged women concerned about community safety and their family's life chances.
For the Tories, this could well spell trouble. Around of the party's 120,000 members are believed to be based in the capital. But the campaign infrastructure looks to be rusting around them. Less than a decade ago, CCHQ boasted a campaign manager in all 32 London boroughs; now this number has fallen by around 75 per cent. For the past decade, the national party has embraced a strategy which lent into the post-Brexit 'realignment.' This paid dividends in 2019, when the Conservatives could afford to lose Richmond and Putney as they were winning Wakefield and Workington. But now the red wall has gone – and there are few signs that wealthy metropolitans are flocking back now either.
Next May, the main focus of election night will be Scotland and Wales. But the story in London could make for grim reading for the Conservatives too.
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Doctors strikes will be banned under the Tories like police and prison officers, vows Kemi Badenoch
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Doctors strikes will be banned under the Tories like police and prison officers, vows Kemi Badenoch

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Conservatives vow to ban doctor strikes - as Kemi Badenoch hits out at 'militant' union
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time3 hours ago

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The Conservatives would ban strikes for doctors, Kemi Badenoch has said. The Tory leader said she would treat doctors the same as the army and police in order to bring the walkouts to an end. Under UK law, police officers, members of the armed forces and some prison officers are banned from striking. Resident doctors - previously known as junior doctors - began their five-day strike across England on Friday as part of an escalating row between NHS bosses and the British Medical Association (BMA) over pay. Last July, they were awarded a raise of 22% over two years, the highest public sector award in recent years. But the BMA has argued that pay has declined significantly since 2008 when adjusting for inflation and is calling for a pay rise of 29.2% to reverse "pay erosion". The latest deal saw doctors given a 4% increase, plus £750 "on a consolidated basis" - which comes to an average rise of 5.4%. Speaking to reporters, MS Badenoch said it was now Tory policy to ban strikes for resident doctors, arguing the BMA had become "too militant". "We have seen 11 strikes in the last sort of 18 months, two years," she said. "People are dying and it's costing the NHS billions. We need to bring these strikes to an end." She said she would also introduce minimum service levels for strikes - something that was brought in under Liz Truss's short tenure as prime minister before being repealed by the current government. The Conservatives argue their proposals would bring the UK in line with other nations across the world, including Australia and Canada, where restrictions on doctors striking are tighter. Meanwhile, Greece, Italy and Portugal have laws ensuring minimum service levels are in place across their health services. Speaking to Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips, Dr Tom Dolphin, the chair of the BMA, said doctors "don't want to be on strike" but felt they had no choice. "The reason that we are worried about the NHS and we're worried about the workforce in the NHS, is because doctors are being undervalued," he said. "They're leaving the NHS in large numbers, and what we're trying to do is make sure that the offer that's there from the NHS, the pay, the total reward package, is enough to recruit and retain the best doctors that the patients deserve in the NHS."

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