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Can this railway stock manage the risks while chasing long-term growth?

Can this railway stock manage the risks while chasing long-term growth?

Mint4 days ago

Indian railway makeover is no longer a dream; it's a full-blown mission. And right at the heart of this infrastructure push is Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd (RVNL), the government arm for the mega rail projects.
From electrification and track doubling to station revamps and even metro rail expansions, RVNL is quietly doing the heavy lifting for the Indian Railway's future.
But here's the real question: Is RVNL just riding the PSU hype train, or does it genuinely have the steam to compound wealth long-term?
In this piece, we decode the RVNL business model, its financials and much more.
About RVNL
Incorporated in 2003 under the ministry of railways (MoR), RVNL was set up with a clear mandate to accelerate the implementation of critical railway infrastructure projects.
Acting as the MoR's primary construction arm, RVNL today is responsible for building new railway lines, electrification, major bridges, workshops, and even metro and urban transport systems.
The company has mastered leveraging extra-budgetary resources, especially through the formation of Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs), reinforcing its ability to mobilise capital beyond traditional government allocations.
Its consistent performance earned it Miniratna Category-I status, a recognition that conferred greater operational autonomy. But the real game-changer came in April 2023, when RVNL was awarded the Navratna status.
This recognition has not only boosted its financial independence but has strategically positioned the company to compete for larger, more complex infrastructure projects.
What has RVNL built?
Here's a quick overview of what makes the company a silent force in India's infrastructure story:
Revenue Model of RVNL
RVNL primarily earns through EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) contracts, but what's interesting is its evolving model.
While EPC accounted for more than 80% of revenue, the rest comes from the project management consultancy (PMC) and other high-margin services.
Fees typically range from 8.5-10%, depending on the project type, and the company is actively transitioning from nomination-based to competitive bidding models. RVNL is intricately tied to India's macro-infra goals, particularly the PM Gati Shakti National Master Plan.
Competitive Landscape: Key Peers
RVNL operates in a competitive environment, with key peers including:
From multi-modal logistics parks (MMLPs) to streamlining freight corridors, RVNL's contributions go far beyond laying tracks, it's building India's next-gen logistics and trade infrastructure.
Over the last five years, the company has demonstrated a strong and consistent growth trajectory. Turnover has grown steadily, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.6%. Net profit has also expanded impressively to ₹14,630 million (m) in FY24, nearly doubling in five years. It is supported by stable operating margins and a controlled cost structure. The operating profit margin has remained steady at 6%, indicating consistency in operational efficiency despite scaling up.
The growing earnings per share (EPS) highlights the company's growing profitability on a per-share basis. This improvement in share also reflects management's effective capital deployment.
The balanced dividend payout suggests how the company rewards its shareholders while also retaining profits for future growth.
Apart from the strong financials, RVNL will significantly benefit from powerful structural drivers shaping the Indian infrastructure landscape.
Sectoral Tailwinds: Railway Infrastructure Boom in India
Key Growth Drivers of RVNL
Risks Investors Should Know
While RVNL presents a compelling growth story, investors must consider several inherent risks associated with it.
Conclusion
RVNL isn't laying tracks anymore, it's laying the groundwork for a bigger infra story. With strong PSU roots and expanding beyond railways, the potential is real. But new sectors bring new challenges. The real game is balancing smart diversification.
Before taking any financial decision, investors should check if the stock aligns with their investment objectives or not. Match the opportunity with the risks.
Happy Investing.
Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only. It is not a stock recommendation and should not be treated as such.
This article is syndicated from Equitymaster.com

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