
2025 SEC Title Odds: 'There's Not A Real Standout Team'
Then, two more teams are knocking on the door of the top 10, and there might be a sleeper or two in the mix, as well.
So it's no surprise that, for SEC championship odds, bookmakers expect quite a battle to see who takes home the league crown and presumably a first-round bye in the CFP.
"The SEC feels more competitive than in past years. It used to be just Georgia and Alabama," Caesars Sports head of football trading Joey Feazel said. "There's not a real standout team, so maybe we will get some variance this year."
Feazel serves up his insights into how bettors are playing SEC championship odds.
Texas' Time?
Texas has been in the SEC all of one season, but it was a pretty good one. The Longhorns reached the SEC title game, losing to Georgia 22-19, though still earning an at-large berth into the College Football Playoff.
From there, Texas knocked off Clemson and Arizona State to reach the CFP semifinals, where the Longhorns' season ended in a 28-14 setback to eventual national champion Ohio State.
For this season, Caesars opened Texas as the +280 favorite to win the SEC, and the Longhorns are now +260. That said, Feazel remains a little wary.
"The Texas Longhorns are still new to this conference, but right now, they're controlling most of the money," Feazel said.
Quarterback Quinn Ewers moved on to the NFL, which fully swings open the door for Arch Manning to start. That has early bettors quite enthusiastic.
"They're banking on Arch Manning. He's the Heisman Trophy favorite. But is he gonna be that guy this year?" Feazel said. "He does have a high ceiling, but we don't know how low his floor is."
Manning got two starts last year, when Ewers was out with an oblique injury. Those starts came against two overmatched teams: Louisiana-Monroe, in a 51-3 blowout, and Mississippi State, in a 35-13 victory.
Close Behind
Georgia is the +375 second choice in SEC championship odds. As noted above, the Bulldogs won the conference title last year, getting a bye to the CFP quarterfinals.
That's where the season ended, in a 23-10 loss to Notre Dame.
Georgia has played in the last four SEC title games and won back-to-back national crowns in 2021-22 and 2022-23. With that success, though, comes a higher calling for many players: the NFL.
"Every year, Georgia loses a lot to the draft," Feazel said. "There are question marks around this team, whether it will have its dominant form."
Alabama is the +400 third choice to win the SEC. But as the post-Saban era hits Year 2, bettors aren't quite as intrigued by the Crimson Tide, who didn't reach the SEC final or the CFP last season.
"Alabama still has its betting faithful, but there's less action than they were getting in the Saban years," Feazel said.
LSU is expected to be in the conference championship mix, as well, and in fact has seen its odds notably improve in the offseason. Caesars opened the Tigers at +1100, and they're now +650.
"We have a big Louisiana betting base. That's the case every year," Feazel said, adding there's plenty of belief in QB Garrett Nussmeier. "He will be one of the top quarterbacks drafted next year. The LSU faithful are coming in."
Major Mover
Oklahoma is a +2500 long shot in odds to win the SEC, but that's significantly better than where the Sooners opened months ago, at +6000.
Feazel and oddsmakers at other books feel Brent Venables' squad could be an SEC dark horse.
"Oklahoma has one of the hardest schedules, but is getting really good action. More action than you'd expect on Oklahoma," Feazel said. "The Sooners are not the dominant offensive team we've seen in past years. They're trying to get that back.
"They seem to be a value play in the SEC, driving a lot of money."
Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. He's based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on X: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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Fox Sports
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- Fox Sports
Defining Success For Ohio State, Michigan and Other Top Programs in 2025
College Football Defining Success For Ohio State, Michigan and Other Top Programs in 2025 Published Aug. 8, 2025 5:57 p.m. ET share facebook x reddit link Let's face it, your team likely isn't going to win the national championship this season, and that's probably OK for many programs. Success can be defined in a multitude of ways for each team entering the 2025 college football season. Obviously, some teams have higher expectations than others, with a nine-win season at one place bringing a lot more joy than a 10-win season somewhere else. For some other places, the expectation might be to play in the final game of the college football season. So, let's define what a successful season will be for a handful of teams in 2025. Alabama: Make College Football Playoff, inch toward semifinal The Crimson Tide have never missed the CFP in back-to-back seasons, and I'm sure Kalen DeBoer doesn't want that on his record. This team has to go to the CFP. Not only that, but I think Alabama probably has to win a game in the CFP, too. Ryan Grubb reuniting with DeBoer is huge. DeBoer has had plenty of success with Grubb on his staff in the past, including when he was at Washington. This is a program that was at the pinnacle of the sport. We've never seen anyone do what Nick Saban did at Alabama, putting up sustained success that we'll never see again. We all think DeBoer is a very good coach, but the pressure is mounting. ADVERTISEMENT Michigan: In the College Football Playoff mix Last year was clearly a bump in the road in Ann Arbor. In Year 2 under Sherrone Moore, expectations will be higher. Maybe not as high as they are in Alabama, but this fan base is used to being in the top echelon. You can't be a top program and not expect to be in the CFP mix. If Michigan is in the CFP mix, I think many would agree that Moore would be building toward something in Ann Arbor. He has a young quarterback in Bryce Underwood to build around, which is promising. If Michigan is 9-3 or 10-2 at the end of the regular season, that would be a good sign and last year will be quickly forgotten. Ohio State: Reach College Football Playoff semis, beat Michigan It's very simple, and I've talked about this with Ryan Day a lot: You need to win every game if you're a part of the Ohio State program. But let's also be honest here, after getting over that hump last year and having to replace 14 NFL Draft picks, the bar can be lowered just a little bit. I don't know if the Buckeyes have to make the national championship game this year. Now, Day would disagree with me and say that he still expects to win every game. But if Ohio State reaches the final four or plays for a Big Ten title, it would show that it's not going anywhere after last season. If it can do that, and Julian Sayin potentially develops at quarterback, Ohio State would be building toward plenty of positive momentum going into 2026, when it will still have Jeremiah Smith. Oh, and Ohio State has to beat Michigan. You can't take another loss to the Team Up North. I've watched last year's game back plenty of times and I'm still in disbelief. Texas: Play in national championship game We no longer have to ask if Texas is back. The Longhorns are back and I think they're the best team in the SEC. It's great for them that they've made the semis in back-to-back years, but that means they can't lose in a round earlier than that or even lose in the semis for a third straight year. They have to go play for the title. When Arch Manning committed to Texas, the goal and expectation were to eventually win a title. Manning is just one of the many reasons, though, why I'm bullish on Texas entering the year. Texas has an incredible defense, with stars at all three levels. Steve Sarkisian has a team that can win a national championship. It's time for him to play for one, at the very least. LSU: Make the College Football Playoff, have a better season than Notre Dame There's not just a bar that LSU has to measure itself against, but it also has to compare its success to Notre Dame's. The fact that the team Brian Kelly left just played for a national championship only ratchets up the pressure for him in Baton Rouge. Let's go back in time. Dan Hawkins did an incredible job at Boise State, but he struggled at Colorado. At the same time, Chris Peterson helped Boise State continue to have success, even elevating the program. It made everyone think that Peterson was the one responsible for Boise State's climb. I'm not saying it's the same thing with Kelly and Marcus Freeman, but people will think that way. It didn't help that Kelly got $100 million and felt LSU had a higher ceiling than Notre Dame. 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If you do that, then you can win the national championship. Those are spots reserved for elite programs. This is a big year for Kirby Smart. He's trying to replace a veteran quarterback and other spots on the roster, but the schedule is favorable for Georgia. Penn State: Play in national championship game In a lot of ways, last season was a breakout year for James Franklin's program. Yet, it still failed to do the things we want to see Penn State do. We want to see this team win a matchup game, where it beats a team that has similar or superior talent. Penn State has majored in beating the teams it's supposed to beat. Now, it's time to get over the hump. Penn State played in the semis last year. This year, it needs to reach the national championship game. Whether Penn State wins that game or not is obviously anyone's guess, but it needs to beat a blue blood or win a matchup game in order to get there. 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Take that for what it's worth, obviously, but it had a bunch of close losses last year and it's building momentum toward 2026 with the No. 1 recruiting class (via 247 Sports) for next year. So, Riley might not need to have a tremendous season for us to think USC is trending in the right direction. Still, USC needs to take a step forward. If you gave me USC winning nine games in 2025, I would be buying its stock moving forward, all things considered. And maybe if USC reaches nine wins, it's playing in a game with CFP implications. Oregon: Reach CFP semis Oregon is starting to feel like a perennial power in the sport. But to really be a perennial power, it needs to make the final four. That means taking a step forward from last year, regardless of whether it gets a bye in the CFP. It feels like this is where Oregon belongs. Dan Lanning is an elite coach and it feels like the Ducks are a program that's going to recruit the players that put them in this position. We want to see progress, though. Miami (Fla.): Reach College Football Playoff I think people would say the Hurricanes had a successful year last year until the very end. That Syracuse game had to feel like a kick in the teeth after their 9-0 start. Miami lost Cam Ward, but it had an impressive offseason. The Hurricanes brought in Carson Beck, built a good offensive line and hired a defensive coordinator I really like. So, Miami has to go to the CFP. Mario Cristobal has put Miami in the conversation for almost every elite recruit in the country. However, many of those recruits pick other places because those places have proven they can go further than Miami. The Hurricanes have never made the CFP and that needs to change. Miami also plays in a relatively weak ACC. It should get to 10 or 11 wins because of that. If it doesn't get there, then you have to call into question if it's going to work with Cristobal. Eventually, he has to build some sort of track record. Texas Tech: Be in the College Football Playoff mix We don't usually talk about Texas Tech, but Joey McGuire has a fascinating season in front of him. The Red Raiders infused a ton of talent onto this roster with a lot of cash over the offseason, getting the second-best transfer portal class in the nation (per 247 Sports). Behren Morton returns at quarterback for Texas Tech, and it's in a conference where if you improve just a little bit, you'll take a substantial step forward. That's what happened with Colorado last season, going from four to nine wins. Texas Tech can do something similar if it can just get a little better defensively. If it can, it'll probably be in the mix to win the Big 12 title, thus putting it in the mix for the CFP. When you consider how many resources have been put into the program and how wide open the Big 12 is, Texas Tech needs to be in the CFP mix. If you can't be in the mix this year, then when is it going to happen? I think Texas Tech can be in that mix, though. Joel Klatt is FOX Sports' lead college football game analyst and the host of the podcast " The Joel Klatt Show. " Follow him at @joelklatt and subscribe to the "Joel Klatt Show" on YouTube . Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily. share


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