Invest 93L: See spaghetti models for system near Florida
Invest 93L is expected to move west across Florida over the next day and into the Gulf by late Tuesday, July 15.
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As of 2 p.m. on July 14, environmental conditions appear favorable and some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of this week, according to the NHC's advisory.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of this week.
Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 20 percent.
Formation chance through 7 days: low, 30 percent.
The next named storm will be Dexter.
Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
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Forecasters have been predicting an above-normal season in the Atlantic basin, which consists of the northern Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of America and Caribbean Sea.
NOAA is predicting there is a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance for a below-normal season.
Forecasters predict:
Named storms: 13-19
Hurricanes: 6-10
Major hurricanes: 3-5
That's above the 30-year average from 1991 to 2020, with 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes, according to NOAA.
We will update our tropical weather coverage daily.
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This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Invest 93L: See latest spaghetti models, path
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