Spanish Grand Prix 2025: Biggest odds movers (Carlos Sainz) after qualifying
Spanish Grand Prix 2025: Biggest odds movers (Carlos Sainz) after qualifying
For the first time since 1998, McLaren have secured a front row lock-out in Spain, and it sure seems like Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris will be able to finish 1-2 just liked Mika Hakkinen and David Coulthard did nearly 30 years ago.
Despite new front wing regulations taking effect this week, McLaren were still far superior — Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton called the rule change a waste of money that "changed nothing" as McLaren remain "almost untouchable" following qualifying — with Piastri finishing 0.209 seconds ahead of Norris.
That was certainly easy to spot looking at the odds before and immediately after Saturday's session. Piastri moved from a +140 co-favorite with Norris to win the Spanish Grand Prix before qualifying to -175 after securing P1. Norris wasn't far behind, but fell slightly from +140 to +175.
Yet they weren't the drivers oddsmakers were most moved by. These were the most notable risers and fallers.
Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
Pre-Qualifying Odds: 28-1
Post-Qualifying Odds: 66-1
Hamilton will start in P5, sandwiched between his former Mercedes teammate George Russell and his Mercedes replacement Kimi Antonelli. Despite posting a better qualifying than Ferrari teammate Charles LeClerc for only the second time this year, Hamilton saw his odds plummet after McLaren's performance.
Charles LeClerc (Ferarri)
Pre-Qualifying Odds: 25-1
Post-Qualifying Odds: 100-1
See above if you're confused how LeClerc began the day with better odds than Hamilton to win in Spain only to tumble far below his teammate.
Isack Hadjar (VCARB)
Pre-Qualifying Odds: 500-1
Post-Qualifying Odds: 300-1
A notable improvement in the odds for Hadjar on Sunday after qualifying P9 — ahead of Racing Bulls teammate Liam Lawson (P13) and Red Bull's Yuki Tsunoda (P20). Hadjar has scored points in four of the seven races he's started this year but has yet to finish on the podium.
Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
Pre-Qualifying Odds: 300-1
Post-Qualifying Odds: 500-1
The two-time winner of the Spanish Grand Prix in 2006 and 2013 doesn't seem destined for the podium this year, but he's proven many wrong with his driving before. It's more a matter of whether he has a car that can give him a chance or not.
Carlos Sainz (Williams)
Pre-Qualifying Odds: 400-1
Post-Qualifying Odds: 2000-1
A brutal qualifying session leaves the race's other Spaniard a thoroughly disappointing P18 and in danger of missing out on points at his home track for the first time in his career. Sainz has yet to finish on the podium in 10 tries at the Grand Prix of Spain, and after getting caught in traffic during Q1, it seems that streak is set to continue.
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