Celtic vs. Bayern Munich odds, picks and predictions
Nathan Beighle
USA TODAY Sports
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Celtic welcomes Bayern Munich to Celtic Park Wednesday for the first match of a 2-leg knockout stage. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's soccer odds around the Celtics vs. Bayern Munich odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Celtic sits first in the Scottish Premiership, the top league in Scotland. It has dominated at home in league play, going 11-1-0, and against tougher competition in the Champions League it went 3-1-0. Through 8 league phase matches, Celtic went 3-3-2. Its most challenging games were a 7-1 road loss to Borussia Dortmund and a 4-2 road loss to Aston Villa.
Bayern Munich, which sits first in the Bundesliga, has gone 7-2-1 on the road in league play. Overall, it is averaging 3.10 goals per game while allowing 0.90 per game. Munich finished the league phase with a 5-0-3 record, going 1-0-3 in away matches. Among those 3 losses were a 1-0 loss to Aston Villa and 4-1 loss to Barcelona.
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Celtic vs. Bayern Munich odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:44 p.m. ET.
Moneyline: Celtic +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Bayern Munich -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Draw +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
Celtic +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Bayern Munich -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Draw +425 (bet $100 to win $425) Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -102 | U: -135)
Celtic vs. Bayern Munich picks and predictions
Prediction
Bayern Munich 3, Celtic 1
PASS.
Unfortunately, there's no great moneyline play here. Bayern Munich should have its best team taking the pitch to avoid a first-leg deficit as it will return home the following week. Munich throttled weaker sides in the league phase and had 2.4 or more expected goals in 5 of 8 matches.
Against stronger sides, Celtic, which is a major underdog despite being at home, struggled. It only faced a handful of quality sides in its 8 matches and had 3.1 fewer expected goals against Aston Villa, 2.1 fewer against Atalanta, and 0.5 fewer against Dortmund. It shouldn't be expected to keep pace with a juggernaut like Bayern here.
Avoid a moneyline play as Munich is just too expensive to take to win outright.
BET OVER 3.5 (-102).
While Celtic may defend at a high level in league play, Bayern should be a different beast. Offensively, Celtic is averaging 2.92 goals per game in league play and scored in 6 of 8 UEFA league phase matches. It had at least 1.0 expected goals in 5 of 8 matches as well. Celtic struggled against quality sides as well, allowing a combined 11 goals to Aston Villa and Dortmund.
Bayern Munich, which is led by star F Harry Kane, went Over this total in 4 of 8 league phase matches, scoring 3 or more goals in 3 of those 8 matches while allowing at least 1 goal in 6 of those 8 contests. It is averaging 3.10 goals per game in Bundesliga play. Considering the aggressive offenses taking the pitch, back OVER 3.5 (-102).
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