
It is politicians – not regulators – who must make sense of the supreme court's gender ruling
It's almost two months now since the UK supreme court ruling on what makes a woman in the eyes of the law, which was hailed as a turning point in the battle over transgender rights.
Not long enough for wounds to heal, in other words, but long enough surely to hope for a bit more clarity about what this means for everyday life: which toilets trans people can use, what this means for your local women's running club or gym, how employers can handle sensitive situations at work without outing or humiliating trans staff in front of colleagues and customers. But instead, the waters are getting muddier with every passing week.
On Wednesday, Kishwer Falkner, now in the final five months of her term as chair of the Equality and Human Rights Commission (EHRC) watchdog, was grilled by the women and equalities select committee about the detailed code of practice she is due to submit to ministers next month, translating the ruling into everyday life. Since years of turning this issue into a political football haven't helped anyone, in an ideal world MPs could now leave it all in the hands of a trusted neutral arbiter, and resist the urge to meddle. Unfortunately, by the end of the hearing it was clear meddling may be urgently required.
Within hours of the original supreme court ruling in April that 'woman' means 'biological woman' for the purpose of the Equality Act, and to the surprise of some lawyers, Lady Falkner had effectively pronounced inclusiveness dead. The EHRC issued interim guidance saying that trans people should stop using the toilets, changing rooms or NHS wards of their preferred gender – though for trans men who look male enough to be potentially frightening to women in female spaces, that's not straightforward – and only play on the grassroots sports teams of their birth sex. But is that really what the court intended? The former supreme court judge Jonathan Sumption has already warned of the risks of overinterpreting the ruling, arguing that he took it to confirm that single-sex services are entitled to exclude trans people, but not obliged to if they don't want to. Falkner, however, is sticking to her guns.
Suppose you wanted to start a women's walking group, the Labour MP Rachel Taylor asked her, but you actively wanted to include trans women. Is that allowed? No, was the eventual answer: of course you can let your trans friend join, but then you'd be a mixed not single-sex group, and would have to also accept any man asking to join or risk getting sued. What the biological women in this group actually want – where they'd draw their own boundaries, or what feels right to them – is irrelevant on this reading, a position that may yet end up being tested in the courts.
How any of this might be enforced in real life, meanwhile, seems vague at best. Asked how this imaginary walking group should check that every new member was definitely biologically female, Falkner suggested they might make a judgment on sight, but that nobody was going to be walking around with badges on policing it. Similarly on toilets, EHRC chief executive John Kirkpatrick told the committee that employers would need to provide facilities securing women's privacy and dignity, but that what that meant would vary locally and could be worked out 'on the basis of trust and openness and honesty'. With a large dollop of goodwill and forbearance on all sides, you can see how that might wash – except on this issue, there's vanishingly little of either to be found.
The most awkward question, meanwhile, is whether a battle-scarred veteran of the culture wars such as Falkner is now sufficiently trusted to write the peace settlement. Originally appointed by Liz Truss to shake up an organisation seen by the Tories as too close to Stonewall, Falkner survived both attempted mutiny inside her organisation and vicious personal abuse from outside, as she dragged it into line with what would later end up being the supreme court's settled position: that trans women are not, in law, quite the same as biological women. She wouldn't be human if she didn't feel vindicated, and she was visibly emotional when the gender-critical MP Rosie Duffield (who has been through something similar) reminded her about the placards reading 'the only good Terf [trans-exclusionary radical feminist] is a dead Terf' or when protesters in 2022 dumped 60 bottles of urine on her office doorstep.
But the legacy of those brutal years is that, fairly or unfairly, many trans people no longer trust the EHRC to defend their rights (as it's mandated to do for all protected groups). Falkner brushed off the committee's questions about that, saying she didn't see why people 'should become so fearful' when they haven't lost any rights (technically speaking, the court merely defined what the limits of those rights were). Yet where people do and don't feel welcome in society is determined by social norms as well as rights, and the former have swung from one extreme to the other in recent years; you don't have to disagree with the supreme court's ruling to see how that could be wildly disorienting.
Though Falkner suggested it would be 'wise for space to be given to the regulator' to handle this – in other words, that parliament should back off – some Labour MPs are rapidly reaching the opposite view.
A law that doesn't work in real-life scenarios is a law that doesn't work, full stop. On this evidence, parliament should prepare to roll up its sleeves.
Gaby Hinsliff is a Guardian columnist
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Should the UK's Public Benefit Test focus solely on fiscal contributions, or should it, like Denmark's model, also include integration criteria, such as English language proficiency? A PBT implemented by Whitehall civil servants risks becoming an ambiguous requirement to learn English. To avoid this, the PBT should initially be a clear, objective assessment of an individual's tax contributions minus their welfare costs. 2. Restricting Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR) ILR grants non-citizens full benefit access, currently conferred after 5 years' residency. The ILR rules will be amended to: Require a PBT pass for ILR eligibility. Extend the ILR qualifying period to 10 years, with PBT assessments at 5 and 10 years. Deny visa extensions or grant limited leave (e.g., 12 months) for PBT failures, facilitating departure. Given the extent to which non EEA immigrants have tended overwhelmingly to be a net burden, this measure is likely to reduce the number of people granted ILR very substantially. 3. Prohibiting Non-Citizen Access to Welfare and Social Housing Despite existing eligibility rules (e.g., Housing Act 1996), non-citizens access benefits and social housing post-ILR. Two laws are needed to address this: Welfare Access Restriction Act: Bar non-UK citizens from Universal Credit, Child Benefit, PIP, and social housing unless they hold PBT-passed ILR or British citizenship. This expands the 'no recourse to public funds' list under the Immigration Act 2014, removing exceptions like Child Benefit for maintenance undertakings. Social Housing Eligibility Act: Amend the Housing Act 1996 and Housing (Wales) Act 2014 to prioritize UK citizens and PBT-passed ILR holders, barring foreign-born, non-UK nationals from social housing except in rare cases (e.g., imminent risk to life, approved by the Secretary of State or Welsh Ministers). 4. Mandatory Public Benefit Test for Non-Citizens The Immigration and Fiscal Contribution Act will introduce a mandatory PBT for all working-age non-citizens receiving non-pension welfare benefits or residing in social housing. This is to target the existing cohort of non-citizens who are a long-term fiscal burden. Those that have been a net burden, without any exonerating circumstances such as chronic health conditions, will be subject to deportation proceedings. Non-compliance will trigger deportation proceedings. 5. Deporting Those That Are A Persistent Fiscal Drain Non-citizens without ILR who fail the PBT will face remigration under ordinary circumstances. The proposed Remigration of Non-UK Nationals Act will amend the existing legislation to: Make PBT failure grounds for residency revocation for non-EEA nationals. Establish a process with notification, a 3-month appeal period via an independent panel, and Home Office-led remigration. Prioritise remigrations for those with negative PBT scores exceeding £10,000 annually, using an integrated DWP-HMRC-Home Office database. What if countries refuse to take back their nationals? In April 2025, South Sudan declined to repatriate a migrant from the United States. The US promptly cancelled all visas for South Sudanese passport holders and restricted future visas. Although there was a question about the migrant's true nationality, South Sudan eventually accepted the individual, and the migrant was deported from the US. The UK should adopt a similar no-nonsense approach. Beyond cancelling visas for their citizens, the UK can leverage its significant foreign aid contributions to countries like Pakistan and Nigeria, which have substantial numbers of their nationals living in the UK. The main barrier to removing non-UK nationals from the UK is not that other countries might not accept them; it is that activist judges will prevent their removal. UK judges have consistently acted to block deportation policies. Judicial Activists: how courts have tried to block efforts to remove illegal immigrants UK judges have long sought to frustrate deportation efforts, citing human rights and international law, particularly the ECHR and Refugee Convention. Faced with tens of thousands of immigrants crossing the English Channel, the UK government attempted to introduce the Rwanda scheme, whereby those entering the UK, but entitled to claim refuge, would be flown to Rwanda to have their case heard. In June 2022, judicial activists issued an injunction to stop the first Rwanda flight, citing risks of 'irreversible harm.' The 2023 Court of Appeal and Supreme Court rulings declared the scheme unlawful due to Rwanda's unsafe asylum system and risk of refoulement (returning refugees to persecution). The 2024 Northern Ireland High Court further limited the Illegal Migration Act's application, citing breaches of human rights laws and the Windsor Framework. These rulings prevented mass deportations, with only four voluntary relocations to Rwanda occurring at a cost of £700 million. This is one reason the cross Channel migrants keep coming. In 2017, the UK Supreme Court ruled (R (Kiarie and Byndloss) v Secretary of State for the Home Department) plans to have appeals against removal heard in third countries to be a violation of Article 8 limiting the Home Office's ability to expedite deportations without appeal opportunities. In 2020, the European Court of Human Rights ruled that a Nigerian man with a criminal record but whose children lived in the UK, could not be deported, effectively making having a family life grounds not to remove someone. In the wake of that ruling, immigration tribunals now routinely rule against removal on the basis of the foreign national having a family life in the UK. 6. Countering Judicial Activism The UK judiciary will challenge this framework, citing the Human Rights Act 1998 (e.g., Article 8, Article 14, Article 3 of the ECHR) or granting judicial review of the proposed acts. To ensure implementation, the following measures will neutralise judicial overreach: Legislative Clarity and Ouster Clauses: Define terms precisely (e.g., 'net fiscal burden' as a £5,000+ annual deficit) and include clauses barring judicial review of PBT, ILR, benefit, and remigration decisions, except for procedural fraud. Parliamentary Supremacy Clause: Embed a provision in the proposed Immigration and Fiscal Contribution Act affirming Parliament's ultimate authority over judicial interpretation. Human Rights Act Amendment: Allow ministers to disapply ECHR provisions (e.g., Article 8) for PBT-related decisions via Statutory Instruments. ECHR Derogation Clause: Permit the Home Secretary to derogate from ECHR obligations for 'national economic security,' encompassing fiscal and immigration control. Even with the most carefully drafted legislation, and even if the ECHR was either disapplied in part, or in full by leaving it, activist judges would almost certainly continue to rule against deportation. Recent history suggests judges are ruling not on the basis of a valid interpretation of the law, but as an expression of their personal subjective policy preferences. In light of this, the following sanctions against judges are almost certainly needed: Judicial Accountability Act: Empower the Lord Chancellor to review and discipline judges who defy statutory intent, with sanctions including dismissal. This should be done as emergency legislation in the first few hours of a new administration being formed. Judicial Appointment Reform: Amend the Constitutional Reform Act 2005 to enhance the Lord Chancellor's role in appointing judges who uphold parliamentary sovereignty, reducing the Judicial Appointments Commission's influence. With over a million foreign citizens living at public expense and immigration surging, these measures are critical to safeguard the UK's economic stability. This paper is part of a series by Douglas Carswell to offer an incoming government the policies needed to restore Britain. The first, Milestones, which provides an overarching blueprint, was published by The Telegraph in April.