logo
Rich Dad Poor Dad author makes surprising silver, gold price forecast

Rich Dad Poor Dad author makes surprising silver, gold price forecast

Yahoo28-04-2025

Gold has been one of the best places for investors to make money in 2025. While a weak economy and trade war have taken a sledgehammer to stocks, bonds, and the U.S. Dollar, the yellow metal has delivered gold bugs double-digit returns.
Since the start of the year, gold has surged 25%, including a roughly 15% gain in April. The move in the precious metal has been so significant that gold traded at record highs this week because of strong demand from central banks and Main Street investors.
💵💰 Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter 💵💰
The move in gold may have surprised many people, but not Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the best-selling book "Rich Dad, Poor Dad." Kiyosaki, a long-time bull on gold and silver, has been recommending it regularly over the past year.
Now that his bullishness has paid off, Kiyosaki updated his gold and silver outlook this week. Given his success so far, it may be worth paying attention to what he thinks happens to gold and silver next.
Gold stocks have surged in 2025 amid recession worries and a falling U.S. dollar.Image source: Costaseca/Lucas/AFP via Getty Images
Gold rocks higher as Fed falls behind curve
Sticky inflation, rising unemployment, and trade war headwinds could mean the U.S. economy is headed for stagflation or, worse, a recession.
While inflation has declined from above 8% in the summer of 2022, it remains troublesome. In March, the Consumer Price Index showed inflation of 2.4%, which is still north of the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target.
Related: Veteran analyst sends blunt 11-word message on gold stocks
Worse, tariffs imposed by the White House this month suggest prices could soon be heading higher, further crimping consumers and derailing business spending.
The so-called "Liberation Day" tariff announcement included import taxes much higher than economists expected. While most tariffs have been paused for 90 days, key taxes remain.
For example, a 10% tariff is in place on all imports, and Mexico and Canada face 25% tariffs. Autos are similarly subject to a 25% import tax. Even more striking, the U.S. has slapped a 145% tariff on Chinese imports that's likely to cause surging inflation on everything from clothing to electronics.
The prospect of inflation chipping further away at budgets isn't lost on consumers, given that sentiment has fallen off a cliff.
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Survey results plummeted 8% in April from March to 52.2. That's the fourth-worst reading in the month of April since 1952. The all-important expectations component of the survey has retreated 32% since January, the worst three-month drop since the 1990 recession. Americans now expect inflation in the year ahead to hit 6.5%, up from 5% last month, and the highest reading since 1981.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

China appears to downplay US trade deal Trump said was 'done'

time25 minutes ago

China appears to downplay US trade deal Trump said was 'done'

HONG KONG and LONDON -- A spokesperson for China 's Ministry of Commerce on Thursday appeared to downplay what President Donald Trump said Wednesday was a "done" trade deal addressing export restrictions on rare earths and semiconductors. Speaking at a press conference, the spokesperson characterized the outcome of this week's trade negotiations in London as a "framework" to consolidate what was agreed to at negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland, in May. This week's talks in the U.K. represented the "first meeting," the spokesperson said. The spokesperson did not offer further details on what was agreed this week, telling reporters, "New progress was also made in addressing each side's trade concerns." On rare earths, the spokesperson said China would issue export licenses based on "reasonable needs" and noted that "compliant applications have already been approved." Trump on Wednesday framed the talks as having reached a deal. "Our deal with China is done, subject to final approval with President Xi and me," Trump said on Truth Social, adding that the relationship between the world's two leading economic powerhouses was "excellent." Trump said that the U.S. would get "a total of 55% tariffs" with China's tariffs set at 10%. Trump added, "Full magnets and any necessary rare earths, will be supplied, up front, by China. Likewise, we will provide to China what was agreed to, including Chinese students using our colleges and universities (which has always been good with me!)." Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick referred to the agreement as a "handshake for a framework." Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping will now have to approve the framework, Lutnick said. That step would appear to mean there were some concessions that both leaders did not give their negotiating teams authority to negotiate away. "Once that's done, we will be back on the phone together and we will begin to implement this agreement," Lutnick said. "The two largest economies in the world have reached a handshake for framework."

Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, June 12, 2025: Decreases following favorable inflation report
Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, June 12, 2025: Decreases following favorable inflation report

Yahoo

time38 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, June 12, 2025: Decreases following favorable inflation report

Mortgage interest rates are lower this morning, following a better-than-expected inflation report on Wednesday. According to Zillow, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell five basis points to 6.76%, while the 15-year fixed rate moved three basis points lower, to 5.96%. The latest Consumer Price Index showed inflation notching a slight 0.1% increase, with any tariff-related impact not yet affecting the public's pocketbooks. While that's good news for consumers, it means any rate cut by the Federal Reserve will likely be delayed until September. For mortgage rates, it remains business as usual: waiting for a reason to make a substantial move up or down. Dig deeper: What the latest CPI report means for mortgage rates Here are the current mortgage rates, according to the latest Zillow data: 30-year fixed: 6.76% 20-year fixed: 6.34% 15-year fixed: 5.96% 5/1 ARM: 6.84% 7/1 ARM: 6.46% 30-year VA: 6.28% 15-year VA: 5.65% 5/1 VA: 6.20% Remember, these are the national averages and rounded to the nearest hundredth. Learn more: How to get the lowest mortgage rate possible Here are today's mortgage refinance interest rates, according to the latest Zillow data: 30-year fixed: 6.83% 20-year fixed: 6.35% 15-year fixed: 5.95% 5/1 ARM: 7.13% 7/1 ARM: 6.59% 30-year VA: 6.31% 15-year VA: 6.04% 5/1 VA: 6.08% As with the purchase mortgage rates, these are national averages we've rounded to the nearest hundredth. Refinance rates can be higher than purchase mortgage rates, but that isn't always the case. Use the mortgage calculator below to see how various mortgage rates will impact your monthly payments. The free Yahoo Finance mortgage payment calculator goes even deeper by including factors like homeowners insurance and property taxes in your calculation. You can even add private mortgage insurance costs and HOA dues if they apply to you. These monthly expenses, along with your mortgage principal and interest rate, will give you a realistic idea of what your monthly payment could be. A mortgage interest rate is a fee for borrowing money from your lender, expressed as a percentage. There are two basic types of mortgage rates: fixed and adjustable rates. A fixed-rate mortgage locks in your rate for the entire life of your loan. For example, if you get a 30-year mortgage with a 6% interest rate, your rate will stay at 6% for the entire 30 years. (Unless you refinance or sell the home.) An adjustable-rate mortgage keeps your rate the same for the first few years, then changes it periodically. Let's say you get a 5/1 ARM with an introductory rate of 6%. Your rate would be 6% for the first five years and then the rate would increase or decrease once per year for the last 25 years of your term. Whether your rate goes up or down depends on several factors, such as the economy and U.S. housing market. At the beginning of your mortgage term, most of your monthly payment goes toward interest. As time passes, less of your payment goes toward interest, and more goes toward the mortgage principal or the amount you originally borrowed. Dig deeper: Adjustable-rate vs. fixed-rate mortgage — Which should you choose? Two categories determine mortgage rates: ones you can control and ones you cannot control. What factors can you control? First, you can compare the best mortgage lenders to find the one that gives you the lowest rate and fees. Second, lenders typically extend lower rates to people with higher credit scores, lower debt-to-income (DTI) ratios, and considerable down payments. If you can save more or pay down debt before securing a mortgage, a lender will probably give you a better interest rate. What factors can you not control? In short, the economy. The list of ways the economy impacts mortgage rates is long, but here are the basic details. If the economy — think employment rates, for example — is struggling, mortgage rates go down to encourage borrowing, which helps boost the economy. If the economy is strong, mortgage rates go up to temper spending. With all other things being equal, mortgage refinance rates are usually a little higher than purchase rates. So don't be surprised if your refinance rate is higher than you may have expected. Two of the most common mortgage terms are 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages. Both lock in your rate for the entire loan term. A 30-year mortgage is popular because it has relatively low monthly payments. But it comes with a higher interest rate than shorter terms, and because you're accumulating interest for three decades, you'll pay a lot of interest in the long run. A 15-year mortgage can be great because it has a lower rate than you'll get with longer terms, so you'll pay less in interest over the years. You'll also pay off your mortgage much faster. But your monthly payments will be higher because you're paying off the same loan amount in half the time. Basically, 30-year mortgages are more affordable from month to month, while 15-year mortgages are cheaper in the long run. According to 2024 Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data, some of the banks with the lowest median mortgage rates are Bank of America and Citibank. However, it's a good idea to shop around for the best rate with not just banks, but also credit unions and companies specializing in mortgage lending. Yes, 2.75% is a fantastic mortgage rate. You're unlikely to get a 2.75% rate in today's market unless you take on an assumable mortgage from a seller who locked in this rate in 2020 or 2021, when rates were at all-time lows. According to Freddie Mac, the lowest-ever 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 2.65%. This was the national average in January 2021. It is extremely unlikely that rates will dip below 3% again anytime soon. Some experts say it's worth refinancing when you can lock in a rate that's 2% less than your current mortgage rate. Others say 1% is the magic number. It all depends on what your financial goals are when refinancing and when your break-even point would be after paying refinance closing costs.

India's headline inflation eases to cooler-than-expected 2.82% in May as food prices slide
India's headline inflation eases to cooler-than-expected 2.82% in May as food prices slide

CNBC

time39 minutes ago

  • CNBC

India's headline inflation eases to cooler-than-expected 2.82% in May as food prices slide

India's consumer inflation eased to a cooler-than-expected 2.82% in May, the country's Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation reported Thursday. The year-on-year headline inflation came in below a Reuters' median poll estimate of a 3% increase. It had risen by 3.16% in April. Food inflation, a key inflation metric, hit 0.99% in May, sharply below the 1.78% of April. late cut, slashing the benchmark repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.50%, a level unseen since August 2022. The move, spurred by easing inflation, underscores policymakers' shift toward more aggressive monetary easing to bolster economic growth. The RBI has cut interest rates for three consecutive meetings since February. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra attributed the latest cut to softening inflation, and growth that has been "lower than our aspirations amidst a challenging global environment and heightened uncertainty." Nomura economists peg India's headline CPI at a "subdued 3.3%" for the fiscal year 2026, undershooting the RBI's 3.7% target, citing softened commodity prices amid weakened economic activity and an influx of cheap Chinese goods into the market. The investment bank expects two additional cuts of 25 basis points in October and December, taking the terminal rate to 5%. India's economy expanded at a faster-than-expected annual rate of 7.4% in the quarter ended March, higher than the 6.7% growth estimates by economists in a Reuters poll. For the full fiscal year 2025, the economy expanded by 6.5%, in line with the government estimates. The RBI has maintained its growth projection for the current fiscal year, ending in March 2026, at 6.5%. Facing a potential 26% tariff on its goods, India has been in talks with the U.S., aiming to secure a deal before the July deadline. Indian and U.S. trade negotiators were close to signing an "interim" bilateral trade deal, Reuters reported earlier this week. The initial agreement will likely center around market access for industrial and some agricultural goods, lower tariffs and other non-tariff barriers, according to Reuters.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store