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Dehorning rhinos cuts poaching by 78%, landmark study finds

Dehorning rhinos cuts poaching by 78%, landmark study finds

Mail & Guardian21 hours ago

Dehorning must not be seen as a silver bullet, according to experts. (Photo supplied)
The research, published in the prestigious journal
Science
, focused on 11 reserves in South Africa's Greater Kruger region from 2017 to 2023 — a critical global stronghold that conserves about a quarter of all Africa's rhinos.
The Greater Kruger, spanning Mpumalanga and Limpopo, includes the Kruger National Park and the private nature reserves around it, and is an umbrella for the various private game reserves that make up the unfenced protected wilderness that lies adjacent to the Kruger Park.
'Kruger National Park had a rhino population of about 12 000 back in 2012,' said the study's lead author,
'Today, we're sitting at around probably below 2 000, so there's been a
The project was a 'mammoth effort' involving wide collaboration between reserve managers under the banner of the
They documented the poaching of 1 985 rhinos (about 6.5% of the population annually).
'The stakeholders got together to ask the question, 'Why have rhinos declined so rapidly and what can we do about it and have the things we've been doing been working or not, and why,'' Kuiper said.
The GKEPF gathered seven years of data on rhino poaching levels, as well as on the various anti-poaching interventions — tracker dogs; air support, including helicopters and planes; detection cameras equipped with artificial intelligence; anti-poaching patrols and rapid-response teams.
'Then there were the more alternative approaches like dehorning to make the rhino less attractive to poachers. What we found across seven years in 11 reserves, including one reserve in Mozambique, was that dehorning was the single most effective intervention. Wherever it was implemented, it resulted in a drastic decline in poaching,' Kuiper said.
'Statistically-speaking, we had eight different sites and were able to isolate these massive reductions in poaching and link them to the wide-scale dehorning of rhinos.'
Dehorning rhinos to reduce incentives for poaching – with 2 284 rhinos dehorned across eight reserves – was found to achieve a 78% reduction in poaching, using just 1.2% of the overall rhino protection budget. This was based on a comparison between sites with and without dehorning as well as changes in poaching before and after dehorning.
Reserves under the study invested R1 billion in anti-poaching interventions from 2017 to 2021. Most of the investment focused on reactive law enforcement — rangers, tracker dogs, helicopters, access controls and detection cameras — helping to achieve over 700 poacher arrests. It costs R10 200 per dehorning operation.
'But we failed to find evidence that those arrests translated into less future poaching,' he pointed out. 'So, on one level these interventions were successful but they did not result in the same level of reduction in poaching as dehorning did.'
There are key reasons for this, including
'The internal involvement of reserve staff with the criminal syndicates who are driving poaching means that these syndicates and the poachers can get around the interventions because they have information on where the rangers are going to be, where the rhinos are, where the cameras are [and] where the dogs are,' Kuiper said.
The region, too, suffers from a 'great deal of
'And, the criminal syndicates take advantage of these community members, for example by offering to give them loans, and when they can't pay back the loans, they say, 'Well, here's a gun. Help me with this rhino poaching operation.'
'It's not often as simple as that but these criminal syndicates take advantage of the socio-economic vulnerability of both rangers and others in order to get that internal information.'
Finally, an ineffective criminal justice system means that arrested offenders often escape
punishment, according to evidence from studies on
'The criminal justice system, the internal corruption and the
'In the worst case, these interventions may also isolate the people living around these reserves in terms of their involvement in conservation,' he said.
Kuiper cautioned that dehorning must not be seen as a silver bullet. 'We did document over 100 dehorned rhinos being poached. The horn regrows, so in many of these cases, the horn had regrown quite a lot and the rhino was poached.
'This points to the need for regular dehorning but also points to the fact that syndicates are adapting and seem still to be willing to poach a rhino, even if there's only 5cm to 10cm of horn left on the rhino. But, of all of the interventions, we analysed it [dehorning] led to drastic reductions in poaching.'
More recent evidence has emerged since the study concluded in 2023 suggesting that the poaching of dehorned rhinos is a growing challenge. Dehorning may also shift the focus of poachers to horned populations elsewhere, Kuiper noted.
A multi-faceted approach is necessary. 'We need to look at wider systematic solutions addressing poverty, addressing socio-economic inequality, addressing the demand for rhino horn in consumer rates.'
Sharon Hausmann, the chief executive of the GKEPF, which led the initiative by convening manager workshops and gathering data for the evaluation, said: 'The true value of this innovative study, conceived by GKEPF operational managers, lies in its collective critical thinking. Ensuring not only that operations are guided by science, but also that science is grounded in real experience from the frontline.'
Markus Hofmeyr of the Rhino Recovery Fund, said: 'From a donor perspective, this study
has given excellent insight where conservation donor funding can be spent and where to avoid funding.'

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Dehorning rhinos cuts poaching by 78%, landmark study finds
Dehorning rhinos cuts poaching by 78%, landmark study finds

Mail & Guardian

time21 hours ago

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Dehorning rhinos cuts poaching by 78%, landmark study finds

Dehorning must not be seen as a silver bullet, according to experts. (Photo supplied) The research, published in the prestigious journal Science , focused on 11 reserves in South Africa's Greater Kruger region from 2017 to 2023 — a critical global stronghold that conserves about a quarter of all Africa's rhinos. The Greater Kruger, spanning Mpumalanga and Limpopo, includes the Kruger National Park and the private nature reserves around it, and is an umbrella for the various private game reserves that make up the unfenced protected wilderness that lies adjacent to the Kruger Park. 'Kruger National Park had a rhino population of about 12 000 back in 2012,' said the study's lead author, 'Today, we're sitting at around probably below 2 000, so there's been a The project was a 'mammoth effort' involving wide collaboration between reserve managers under the banner of the They documented the poaching of 1 985 rhinos (about 6.5% of the population annually). 'The stakeholders got together to ask the question, 'Why have rhinos declined so rapidly and what can we do about it and have the things we've been doing been working or not, and why,'' Kuiper said. The GKEPF gathered seven years of data on rhino poaching levels, as well as on the various anti-poaching interventions — tracker dogs; air support, including helicopters and planes; detection cameras equipped with artificial intelligence; anti-poaching patrols and rapid-response teams. 'Then there were the more alternative approaches like dehorning to make the rhino less attractive to poachers. What we found across seven years in 11 reserves, including one reserve in Mozambique, was that dehorning was the single most effective intervention. Wherever it was implemented, it resulted in a drastic decline in poaching,' Kuiper said. 'Statistically-speaking, we had eight different sites and were able to isolate these massive reductions in poaching and link them to the wide-scale dehorning of rhinos.' Dehorning rhinos to reduce incentives for poaching – with 2 284 rhinos dehorned across eight reserves – was found to achieve a 78% reduction in poaching, using just 1.2% of the overall rhino protection budget. This was based on a comparison between sites with and without dehorning as well as changes in poaching before and after dehorning. Reserves under the study invested R1 billion in anti-poaching interventions from 2017 to 2021. Most of the investment focused on reactive law enforcement — rangers, tracker dogs, helicopters, access controls and detection cameras — helping to achieve over 700 poacher arrests. It costs R10 200 per dehorning operation. 'But we failed to find evidence that those arrests translated into less future poaching,' he pointed out. 'So, on one level these interventions were successful but they did not result in the same level of reduction in poaching as dehorning did.' There are key reasons for this, including 'The internal involvement of reserve staff with the criminal syndicates who are driving poaching means that these syndicates and the poachers can get around the interventions because they have information on where the rangers are going to be, where the rhinos are, where the cameras are [and] where the dogs are,' Kuiper said. The region, too, suffers from a 'great deal of 'And, the criminal syndicates take advantage of these community members, for example by offering to give them loans, and when they can't pay back the loans, they say, 'Well, here's a gun. Help me with this rhino poaching operation.' 'It's not often as simple as that but these criminal syndicates take advantage of the socio-economic vulnerability of both rangers and others in order to get that internal information.' Finally, an ineffective criminal justice system means that arrested offenders often escape punishment, according to evidence from studies on 'The criminal justice system, the internal corruption and the 'In the worst case, these interventions may also isolate the people living around these reserves in terms of their involvement in conservation,' he said. Kuiper cautioned that dehorning must not be seen as a silver bullet. 'We did document over 100 dehorned rhinos being poached. The horn regrows, so in many of these cases, the horn had regrown quite a lot and the rhino was poached. 'This points to the need for regular dehorning but also points to the fact that syndicates are adapting and seem still to be willing to poach a rhino, even if there's only 5cm to 10cm of horn left on the rhino. But, of all of the interventions, we analysed it [dehorning] led to drastic reductions in poaching.' More recent evidence has emerged since the study concluded in 2023 suggesting that the poaching of dehorned rhinos is a growing challenge. Dehorning may also shift the focus of poachers to horned populations elsewhere, Kuiper noted. A multi-faceted approach is necessary. 'We need to look at wider systematic solutions addressing poverty, addressing socio-economic inequality, addressing the demand for rhino horn in consumer rates.' Sharon Hausmann, the chief executive of the GKEPF, which led the initiative by convening manager workshops and gathering data for the evaluation, said: 'The true value of this innovative study, conceived by GKEPF operational managers, lies in its collective critical thinking. Ensuring not only that operations are guided by science, but also that science is grounded in real experience from the frontline.' Markus Hofmeyr of the Rhino Recovery Fund, said: 'From a donor perspective, this study has given excellent insight where conservation donor funding can be spent and where to avoid funding.'

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We shouldn't have to dehorn rhinos to keep them safe. The ideal is to let rhinos live as they should — horns and all. That's the message from a Nelson Mandela University scientist who led a landmark seven-year study showing that while dehorning can significantly reduce poaching, it's not a long-term solution. To truly protect rhinos, he says, we must dismantle the criminal syndicates. A major study published on 5 June in the prestigious journal Science shows that dehorning rhinos — while controversial — is highly effective at reducing poaching in one of the most critical strongholds for these animals. The seven-year study, 'Dehorning reduces rhino poaching', was led by biodiversity scientist Dr Tim Kuiper of Nelson Mandela University, and tracked poaching incidents across 11 reserves in the Greater Kruger region between 2017 and 2023. 'We documented the poaching of 1,985 rhinos — about 6.5% of the population annually — across 11 Greater Kruger reserves over seven years. This landscape is a critical global stronghold that conserves about 25% of all Africa's rhinos,' said Kuiper. Poaching dropped significantly Over the course of the study, 2,284 rhinos were dehorned across eight of the reserves. The results were clear: poaching dropped by 78%, despite the fact that dehorning made up just 1.2% of the overall rhino protection budget. But it wasn't a silver bullet. Some poaching of dehorned rhinos still took place — and new data from 2024–2025 suggests that horn stumps and regrowth are becoming a new target. 'Dehorning may also shift the focus of poachers to horned populations elsewhere,' said Kuiper, who added that he was surprised that syndicates were still willing to kill rhinos for such a small stump of horn. But, he said, with prices ranging from about $30,000 for a kilogram, even the stumps could make the risk worth the reward. Combined with Kruger's vast two million-hectare landscape and evidence of insider information, the risk-reward ratio for poachers remained alarmingly viable, said Kuiper. R1-billion spent — but what worked? Reserves in the study spent R1-billion on anti-poaching interventions between 2017 and 2021 — including helicopters, rangers, tracking dogs, detection cameras and access controls. These efforts resulted in more than 700 arrests, but the data showed no significant statistical reduction in poaching. 'Finally, ineffective criminal justice systems mean that arrested offenders often escape punishment, with evidence from our study area of multiple repeat offenders,' said Kuiper. The study highlights the critical gap in enforcement: arrest without effective prosecution undermines conservation efforts. A human story behind the statistics While the study is rich in hard data, Kuiper said the reasons behind poaching were deeply rooted in inequality. He said the fact that many people living alongside the Kruger National Park were impoverished and unemployed, combined with poor service delivery, created the 'sort of conditions that allow crime to thrive. 'I wouldn't say people wake up in the morning and think, 'I don't have a job and I'm poor, so I'm going to walk into Kruger and kill a rhino.' I think it's more about the syndicates, these very sophisticated criminal networks that are able to thrive better in these contexts because they can more easily recruit and influence people.' Kuper said the syndicates would often go to local shebeens where they would flaunt their wealth, which would attract the attention of young men. He said he had even heard of syndicates offering loans to people who would then be threatened when they were unable to make good on the loan. 'If these young men had had better opportunities, I don't think they would choose to become involved; most of them wouldn't,' said Kuiper. A collaborative effort The project was spearheaded by GKEPF (Greater Kruger Environmental Protection Foundation), a coalition of reserve managers who wanted hard evidence to guide their efforts. Sharon Haussmann, a trailblazer in the field of conservation and the CEO of the GKEPF, played a major role in bringing together scientists and conservationists, said Kuiper. Haussmann, who died earlier this month, believed that the true value of the innovative study, conceived by GKEPF operational managers, lay in its collective critical thinking. The collaboration included contributions from Nelson Mandela University, UCT, Stellenbosch University, Oxford, SANParks, WWF South Africa and the Rhino Recovery Fund. 'From a donor perspective, this study has given excellent insight into where conservation funding should go — and where not to spend,' said Dr Markus Hofmeyr of the Rhino Recovery Fund. Kuiper also paid his respects to rangers who are out in the field daily. 'Rangers are often seen as foot soldiers at the bottom of the hierarchy,' he said. 'They're told where to go and what to do. But we don't often ask them what they think.' He believes that their experience should be treated as critical conservation intelligence. 'Rangers have such a wealth of knowledge. They're out patrolling 24/7. They know the ins and outs of these reserves in ways the data alone can't capture,' said Kuiper. He added that rangers should be better paid and supported to ensure they didn't fall prey to syndicates. Speaking about the inside information that syndicates were fed, he said, 'I think if rangers were better funded, better supported and paid better, they might be less inclined to get involved with criminal syndicates.' An African-led study Beyond the numbers, Kuiper says the story was also one of African leadership in African conservation. 'This was an African team, led by African scientists and African managers, tackling an African crisis,' he said. 'That's still too rare in global science, and it's something I'm proud of.' As for what's next, Kuiper is clear in his beliefs. Dehorning is helping for now. But the endgame is dismantling the syndicates, investing in local communities, and getting to a place where rhinos can keep their horns. 'It should be seen as buying us time to address the bigger problems, which is dismantling these criminal networks, these transnational criminal organisations. There needs to be intelligence led investigations to disrupt those. 'We don't want to have to dehorn rhinos. The first prize is allowing rhinos to be rhinos — with their horns intact.' DM

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