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Indonesia's Yield Curve May Steepen as BI Unwinds Intervention

Indonesia's Yield Curve May Steepen as BI Unwinds Intervention

Bloomberg5 hours ago

Indonesia's sovereign yield curve is set to steepen as the central bank reduces its use of short-term rupiah securities, prompting a shift in demand toward government bonds.
The spread between 2- and 10-year bond yields this week reached the widest since June 2023. Bank Indonesia is in an interest-rate cutting cycle and investors are redirecting funds from a set of rupiah-denominated tools, so-called SRBI securities, into sovereign bonds — thus likely sinking front-end yields.

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RBC Capital Lowers PT on Nuvation Bio (NUVB) to $6 But Keeps a Buy Rating
RBC Capital Lowers PT on Nuvation Bio (NUVB) to $6 But Keeps a Buy Rating

Yahoo

time20 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

RBC Capital Lowers PT on Nuvation Bio (NUVB) to $6 But Keeps a Buy Rating

Nuvation Bio Inc. (NYSE:NUVB) is one of the 13 Best Long-Term Penny Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. RBC Capital analyst Leonid Timashev maintained a Buy rating on Nuvation Bio Inc. (NYSE:NUVB) on June 17, lowering the price target to $6.00 from $10.00. The analyst told investors in a research note that the firm updated its model after the company's transformation into a commercial stage biotech and the recent approval of Ibtrozi to treat cancer. A close-up of researchers, carefully studying a biopharmaceutical compound in a laboratory. Timashev acknowledged that the firm sees some potential challenges for the launch of Ibtrozi, including near-term competitive headwinds and patient finding. However, RBC is optimistic that these headwinds will be outweighed by the drug's long treatment duration, favorable profile, and improving dx rates, supporting the positive rating for Nuvation Bio Inc. (NYSE:NUVB). The analyst also reasoned that the stock is steeply discounting the recently realized commercial opportunity. Nuvation Bio (NYSE:NUVB) is a biopharmaceutical company that develops therapeutic and differentiated candidates to tackle the gaps in oncology. It is advancing several clinical-stage candidates, including a bromodomain and extra-terminal (BET) inhibitor, a ROS1 inhibitor, a mutant isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (mIDH1) inhibitor, and a drug-drug conjugate (DDC). While we acknowledge the potential of NUVB as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: The Best and Worst Dow Stocks for the Next 12 Months and 10 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Double Your Money. Disclosure: None.

Carnival Corp's Free Cash Flow Surges - CCL Stock Looks Deeply Undervalued
Carnival Corp's Free Cash Flow Surges - CCL Stock Looks Deeply Undervalued

Yahoo

time33 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Carnival Corp's Free Cash Flow Surges - CCL Stock Looks Deeply Undervalued

Carnival Corp. (CCL) reported strong EBITDA and net income results today for its fiscal Q2 ended May 31 and raised guidance for the year. Moreover, its free cash flow more than doubled, and FCF margins skyrocketed. That leaves CCL stock undervalued by at least 34% at $34.62 per share. This article will show why. CCL is at $25.74 in midday trading on Tuesday, June 24, up over 7% for the day. However, based on its strong FCF margins and analysts' revenue forecasts, CCL stock could be worth substantially more, as this article will show. $2M Insider Buy on Robinhood Makes History: Should You Buy HOOD Stock, Too? Long-Term Bull Put Spread Provides Opportunities for Walmart Bulls Exelon Corp (EXC) Draws Bullish Options Bets After Unusual Volume Spike Stop Missing Market Moves: Get the FREE Barchart Brief – your midday dose of stock movers, trending sectors, and actionable trade ideas, delivered right to your inbox. Sign Up Now! I previewed this result in my last Barchart article, on May 11 ("Carnival Corp's Free Cash Flow Could Surprise Analysts - Is CCL a Buy Here?). I showed how CCL stock could be worth $28.28 per share. Based on its strong FCF margins, I think CCL could be worth over one-third more than its present price, or $34.62 per share. Here is why. Let's cut to the chase here. You can read their earnings report, with lots of stats, and management's guidance (which is now higher). But the most important fact, from an investor's standpoint, is the amount of free cash flow (FCF) Carnival generated. That can be seen on page 11 of the report. The problem is that Carnival does not explicitly publish its free cash flow (FCF), and you have to calculate it. I have done that in the table below. It shows that for the quarter ending May 31, Carnival generated over $1.54 billion in free cash flow, since FCF equals operating cash flow less capex. That represented over 23.4% of its revenue. For the six months ending May 31, its FCF margin was 15.3%. That implies its future FCF margin could average about 19.35%. We can use that to forecast FCF going forward. Given management's higher revenue guidance and using analysts' forecasts, we can project out its next 12 months (NTM) free cash flow. Analysts now project between $26.11 billion in revenue this year (to Nov. 2025) and $27.12 billion next fiscal year. That implies its run rate for the NTM is $26.615 billion. But analysts are likely to revise their sales forecast upward after today's results. So, let's forecast $27 billion in NTM sales. Applying an average of a 19.35% margin results in over $5 billion in FCF: $27b NTM sales x 19.35% = $5.23 billion NTM FCF Just to be conservative, let's use a $5 billion FCF forecast to value the stock. Today, Carnival Corp has a market value of $34.75 billion at $25.74 per share. So, if the market assumes its 6-month $1.859 billion FCF doubles (i.e., $3.718b forecast) that means it is trading on a 10.69% FCF yield: $3.718b / $34.75b mkt cap = 0.1069 = 10.69% FCF yield Therefore, if we apply this to our $5 billion forecast, its projected NTM market cap is over $46.7 billion: $5b / 0.107 = $46.73 billion NTM market cap That implies its market value could rise by 34.5%: $46.73b / $34.75b = 1.345 = +34.5% In other words, CCL stock is worth at least 34.5% more: $25.74 x 1.345 = $34.63 p/sh That is why CCL stock looks deeply undervalued here. Moreover, analysts tend to agree. For example, Yahoo! Finance shows that 29 analysts have an average price target of $28.55 per share. That is higher than the $27.55 average price I reported in my last Barchart article a month ago. Similarly, Barchart's mean survey price is now $28.17, up from $27.67 a month ago. However, which tracks recent analyst recommendations and price targets, shows that 20 analysts now have an average price target of $30.03. That is up from $26.51 a month ago. The bottom line is that AnaChart's average price target is 16.7% higher than today's price. Moreover, after today's results, expect to see these average price targets rise, just as I raised my target price. As a result, both from a free cash flow standpoint, and using analysts' price targets, CCL stock looks deeply undervalued. However, there is no guarantee this target can be reached anytime soon. It makes sense to set a lower buy-in target by shorting out-of-the-money (OTM) puts, as I described in my last article. For example, last month I suggested shorting the $19.00 and $20.00 puts expiring May 20. The short seller would have made 3.68% and 5.45% respectively from these plays. CCL stock remained out-of-the-money on June 20 (i.e., it closed at $23.77). So, the short seller had no obligation to buy shares at the strike prices. Today, the July 18 expiry period shows that the $24.00 put option strike price has a premium of $0.32, and the $24.50 is at $0.44. That means that a short seller of the $24.00 put makes an immediate yield of 1.333% (i.e., $0.32/$24.00) and the $24.50 put has a short-put yield of 1.80% (i.e., $0.44/24.50). Note that these two strike prices are between 4.5% and 6.5% out-of-the-money (i.e., below the trading price). That means that using a 50/50 mix of these two strike prices, an investor could make an average yield of $1.567% over the next month: $32+44 = $76 income $76 / ($2400 +$2,450) = $76/$4850 = 0.01567 = 1.567% 1 month yield Moreover, given the immediately received income, the investor's breakeven would be $23.87 (i.e., ($4850-$76)/200 shares = $23.87)), or 7% below today's trading price. The bottom line is that this is a great way to set a lower buy-in price target for investing in CCL stock. Moreover, the investor's upside is over +45%: $34.63 target price /$23.87 breakeven price = 1.45 = +45% Meanwhile, an investor gets paid over 1.5% to be willing to buy the stock at an average price of 24.25 using a mix of these two short-put plays. So, given Carnival Corp's strong free cash flow, analysts' price targets, and the short-put plays available, CCL looks deeply undervalued here. On the date of publication, Mark R. Hake, CFA did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data

Institutional investors own a significant stake of 50% in Remgro Limited (JSE:REM)
Institutional investors own a significant stake of 50% in Remgro Limited (JSE:REM)

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time43 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Institutional investors own a significant stake of 50% in Remgro Limited (JSE:REM)

Institutions' substantial holdings in Remgro implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price A total of 11 investors have a majority stake in the company with 51% ownership Past performance of a company along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business AI is about to change healthcare. These 20 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10bn in marketcap - there is still time to get in early. If you want to know who really controls Remgro Limited (JSE:REM), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 50% to be precise, is institutions. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk). Because institutional owners have a huge pool of resources and liquidity, their investing decisions tend to carry a great deal of weight, especially with individual investors. Therefore, a good portion of institutional money invested in the company is usually a huge vote of confidence on its future. Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Remgro. View our latest analysis for Remgro Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index. We can see that Remgro does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Remgro, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too. We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Remgro. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Public Investment Corporation Limited with 17% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 8.4% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 5.8% by the third-largest shareholder. A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 11 shareholders have a combined ownership of 51% implying that no single shareholder has a majority. Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. While there is some analyst coverage, the company is probably not widely covered. So it could gain more attention, down the track. While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it. I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions. We can report that insiders do own shares in Remgro Limited. This is a big company, so it is good to see this level of alignment. Insiders own R1.6b worth of shares (at current prices). It is good to see this level of investment by insiders. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently. The general public-- including retail investors -- own 40% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies. We can see that Private Companies own 8.4%, of the shares on issue. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research. It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Remgro better, we need to consider many other factors. I like to dive deeper into how a company has performed in the past. You can find historic revenue and earnings in this detailed graph. But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future. NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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