4 Nations Face-Off: Canada vs. Finland odds, picks and predictions
Team Canada meets Team Finland Monday in the final round-robin match for both teams at the 4 Nations Face-Off Tournament at TD Garden in Boston. Puck drop is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's hockey odds around the Canada vs. Finland odds and make our expert hockey picks and predictions.
Team Canada projected lines
Line 1: LW Sam Reinhart (Panthers), C Connor McDavid (Oilers), RW Mitch Marner (Maple Leafs)
(Panthers), C (Oilers), RW (Maple Leafs) Line 2: LW Sidney Crosby (Penguins), C Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche), RW Mark Stone (Golden Knights)
(Penguins), C (Avalanche), RW (Golden Knights) Line 3: LW Brad Marchand (Bruins), C Brayden Point (Lightning), RW Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes)
(Bruins), C (Lightning), RW (Hurricanes) Line 4: LW Brandon Hagel (Lightning), C Anthony Cirelli (Lightning), RW Sam Bennett (Panthers)
(Lightning), C (Lightning), RW (Panthers) Defense 1: LD Devon Toews (Avalanche), RD Drew Doughty (Kings)
(Avalanche), RD (Kings) Defense 2: LD Josh Morrissey (Jets), RD Colton Parayko (Blues)
(Jets), RD (Blues) Defense 3: LD Travis Sanheim (Flyers), RD Thomas Harley (Stars)
(Flyers), RD (Stars) Goalies: Jordan Binnington (Blues), Adin Hill (Golden Knights)
(Blues), (Golden Knights) Scratched: RW Travis Konecny (Flyers – healthy), LD Cale Makar (Avalanche – illness), G Sam Montembeault (Canadiens – healthy)
Team Canada was forced to shake things up a bit, as D Shea Theodore was injured in the opener against Sweden, ending his tournament, while Makar missed Saturday's game with Team USA due to an undisclosed illness. Emergency call-up Harley was thrust into action, and he'll play again if Makar is still unable to go Monday afternoon. Coach Jon Cooper also inserted Bennett into the lineup in place of Konecny.
Canada was on the short end of a 3-1 loss against the Americans, and it now has 2 points, tied with Finland with one overtime win and a regulation loss.
Team Finland projected lines
Line 1: LW Artturi Lehkonen (Avalanche), C Aleksander Barkov (Panthers), RW Mikko Rantanen (Hurricanes)
(Avalanche), C (Panthers), RW (Hurricanes) Line 2: LW Roope Hintz (Stars), C Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes), RW Patrik Laine (Canadiens)
(Stars), C (Hurricanes), RW (Canadiens) Line 3: LW Eetu Luostarinen (Panthers), C Anton Lundell (Panthers), RW Mikael Granlund (Stars)
(Panthers), C (Panthers), RW (Stars) Line 4: LW Teuvo Teravainen (Blackhawks), C Erik Haula (Devils), RW Kaapo Kakko (Kraken)
(Blackhawks), C (Devils), RW (Kraken) Defense 1: LD Niko Mikkola (Panthers), RD Esa Lindell (Stars)
(Panthers), RD (Stars) Defense 2: LD Olli Maatta (Utah), RD Henri Jokiharju (Sabres)
(Utah), RD (Sabres) Defense 3: LD Urho Vaakanainen (Rangers), RD Nikolas Matinpalo (Senators)
(Rangers), RD (Senators) Goalies: Kevin Lankinen (Canucks), Juuse Saros (Predators)
(Canucks), (Predators) Scratched: RW Joel Armia (Canadiens), D Juuso Valimaki (Utah), G Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Sabres)
On Saturday, Finland staved off elimination with a 4-3 victory in overtime against rival Sweden. Barkov tied the game 3-3 in the second period, and after a scoreless third, the game went to the extra session. Granlund scored the winner on a feed from Mikkola. Coach Antti Pennanen swapped out Saros for Lankinen in net, and the move paid off. Kakko was also inserted into the lineup in place of Armia.
Finland has a chance to make the final Thursday, but it needs to win, and it needs Sweden to suffer a setback against USA.
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Canada vs. Finland odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Canada -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Finland +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
: Canada -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Finland +310 (bet $100 to win $310) Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Canada -1.5 (-145) | Finland +1.5 (+120)
: Canada -1.5 (-145) | Finland +1.5 (+120) Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Canada vs. Finland projected goalies
Adin Hill (20-10-4, 2.64 GAA, .900 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Kevin Lankinen (19-8-7, 2.53 GAA, .905 SV%, 4 SO)
There is nothing official, but Hill is expected to make his first start of the season after Binnington lost 3-1 in Saturday's game after his overtime victory over Sweden in the opener. Binnington has allowed 5 goals on 48 shots in 2 games in this tournament.
Lankinen was inserted into the lineup after Saros allowed 6 goals in the opener to Team USA. The 29-year-old Canucks netminder allowed 3 goals on 24 shots in Saturday's 4-3 OTW against Sweden.
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Canada vs. Finland picks and predictions
Prediction
Canada 4, Finland 2
Canada (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
Even if you were to include this in a multi-leg or cross-sport parlay, playing Canada makes little sense, as it would suck all of the value out of your ticket.
PASS, and look to the puck line instead.
CANADA -1.5 (-145) will still cost you, but it's a better value taking it laying the goal and a half rather than the hefty price on the moneyline.
Canada was the slight pre-tournament favorite, but it is against the ropes. It will be facing Finland (+310), a team that was expected to finish last among the combatants. Look for the more talented team to seize the opportunity and force its way into the title game, although it might take a late empty-net goal to get over the hump for this wager, so be careful.
The Total (6) should come right down on the number. If there were a lean, it would be to the Under, ever so slightly. There is so much at stake, as the winner has the chance to advance to the title game, while the loser will go home. We should see some nerves and tentativeness early on.
You can buy a half-goal and play UNDER 6.5 GOALS – ALTERNATE LINE (-130). Go with a half-unit on that if you want in on a total play.
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