May 11 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

New Paper

10-05-2025

Race 1 (1,160m)
Both (1) CHARMING CHEETAH and (3) TIN PAN ALLEY confirmed the promise of debut victories by acquitting themselves well in subsequent features, so should run well.
Fellow first-start scorer (4) ZALATORIS could be anything after scoring a debut win, so is not to be underestimated.
Last-start winner (2) RED PENNY and debutant (8) BLUSHING BLOOM complete the shortlist.
Race 2 (1,160m)
Recent runners-up (6) LAVA COUNTY and (8) SOHO HEARTTHROB need not improve much to fight for victory. But preference is for the latter, who ought to have come on appreciably from the experience of his promising debut.
Well-related newcomers (5) XENOPHON and (7) PALACE ATTACK are worth a market check.
(1) MIZZEN SWORD and (3) OLD FASHIONED have the form and experience to trouble their younger rivals.
Race 3 (1,800m)
(1) PARISIAN WALKWAY had excuses for a disappointing last start and, on the strength of his earlier form, is worth another chance under a 4kg claimer.
Recent hat-trick scorer (2) TAMARISK TREE is performing at the top of his game and should remain competitive off a career-high mark under a handy galloping weight.
(3) NAVAJO NATION and (4) SILENT WAR will not be far off the mark, while stablemates (6) MISS SCALETTA and (7) KEY ELEMENT also have earning potential.
Race 4 (1,600m)
(1) THE ULTIMATE KING was not winning out of turn on his reappearance as a gelding last month. He looks good value to follow up on his handicap debut, with further improvement expected.
Hat-trick seeking (3) PRETTY ANALIA, consistent (5) FUTUREWOLFF and rejuvenated (7) COPPOLA seem the most likely dangers.
Race 5 (1,400m)
High-class (1) MAIN DEFENDER has only once been beaten in six starts over this distance. He is weighted to win, so is almost impossible to oppose.
A big threat could be posed by (5) TRUTH, Grade 1 winner (2) PURPLE PITCHER and (6) WHITE PEARL, though.
(3) ATTICUS FINCH and (4) LEGEND OF ARTHUR are most effective over further.
Race 6 (1,400m)
(1) ROYAL FORCE showed his class and well-being by winning over track and trip last time. A six-point penalty for that victory is unlikely to halt his progress.
Fellow last-start winners (6) DANCE KING and filly (8) MOUNTAIN HIGH also remain competitive for top honours under resultant penalties.
Recently gelded (2) IMMEDIATE EDGE, consistent (3) POTBERRIE and returning (5) KEY NEWS appeal most of the remaining opponents.
Race 7 (1,000m)
Top-weight (1) DREAMLAND bounced back to form last time and will be competitive with a repeat of that performance.
(4) COSMIC STAR and stable companion (6) MOUNT PINATUBO fit a similar profile and are distance-suited.
Consistent (2) QUANTUM THEORY and versatile last-start winner (8) BOB'S YOUR UNCLE are others with genuine each-way chances.
Race 8 (1,000m)
Lightly raced (6) VIRGIN RIVER is ideally distance-suited and probably better than rated, so it could pay to side with her.
Class-dropper (2) NIGHT VIGIL concedes 5.5kg to her older rival but can still overcome that handicap.
(3) SIMPLY MAJESTIC and stable companion (4) COSMIC QUEEN are above-average three-year-old fillies with the form and experience to trouble the leading prospects.