Ontario's Progressive Conservatives cruise to rare 3rd-straight majority, CBC News projects
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Ontario Premier Doug Ford and his Progressive Conservatives have cruised to their third straight majority government, CBC News projects, after a snap winter election fought amid the spectre of U.S. tariffs.
It is the first time since 1959 in Ontario that a party leader has won three consecutive majorities.
Results are still pouring in from ridings across the province, so the size of the majority is uncertain.
Get the latest results here.
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‘These are not small margins:' Doug Ford's PCs hold 21-point lead, new survey suggests
The next Ontario election is likely still years away but a new poll suggests that Premier Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative party remain well ahead of their rivals. Abacus Data surveyed 1,000 adult Ontarians between June 2 and June 5 and found that if an election were held today about 49 per cent of committed voters would support Ford's PC party. The Liberals were in second with the support of 28 per cent of committed voters while the NDP were at 14 per cent and the Greens were at five per cent. About four per cent of committed voters said that they would support another party. Ford's PC party was ahead in all regions surveyed by Abacus, though the gap was the closest in Toronto where they only had a four-point lead over the Liberals, according to the poll. Notably, support for the PCs was up four points from the last time Abacus Data surveyed Ontarians in the days prior to February's election. The Liberals were down one point, the NDP were down two points and support for the Greens was changed. 'These are not small margins. A 21-point lead over the second-place Liberals is rare in any political context. But for a third-term government battling economic insecurity, it is even more remarkable,' Abacus Data CEO David Coletto said in an analysis accompanying the poll results. The Abacus Data survey also examined Ford's personal popularity level for the first time since January. It found that 44 per cent of respondents approved of the job Ford and his government are doing, up two points since the winter. Abacus says that it is the highest approval number it has recorded for Ford since August, 2023. Similarly, 33 per cent of respondents said that they had a favourable impression of Ford compared to the 33 per cent who said that they viewed him negatively. About 31 per cent of respondents viewed Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie favourably compared to the 33 per cent who viewed her negatively. NDP Leader Marit Stiles was viewed favourably by 28 per cent of respondents and viewed negatively by 25 per cent of respondents. But a comparatively higher percentage of respondents – 16 per cent – said that they did not know enough to offer an opinion. In his analysis, Coletto said that Ford currently possesses 'by far, the most defined political brand in the province' and 'remains in a very strong position' months after its re-election. 'Whether this holds depends on what happens next. The economy is still fragile. The housing crisis remains unresolved. And (U.S. President) Trump could introduce new anxieties that ripple across all levels of Canadian politics. But for now, the Ford government has time, space, and public goodwill. In politics, that is a rare combination, and one the Premier will no doubt seek to maintain and leverage to push his agenda forward,' he said. The survey was conducted using a set of opt-in panels using the Lucid exchange platform. While such polls are not assigned a margin of error, Abacus says that a comparable probability-based random sample of this size would carry a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Global News
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Ontario won't bring U.S. alcohol back to LCBO as Alberta, Saskatchewan relent
Ontario Premier Doug Ford says he won't be ordering the LCBO to restock alcohol from the United States, despite plans from neighbouring provinces to begin selling American booze again. Speaking at an event hosted by the Globe and Mail on Monday, Ford addressed plans by the premiers of Saskatchewan and Alberta to restore American-made alcohol in their provinces. 'Not until he gets rid of these tariffs — why should I? It's a small kitchen table issue, (but) Kentucky knows how important bourbon is to the economy,' Ford said when asked if he would follow the western provinces. U.S.-made alcohol was removed from the stores of the LCBO at the beginning of March as part of a series of measures designed to punish the United States for levying tariffs on Canadian exports like steel, aluminum and cars. Story continues below advertisement The Ontario government estimates that just under $1 billion of U.S. alcohol was sold by the LCBO last year, across 3,600 different products. Get breaking National news For news impacting Canada and around the world, sign up for breaking news alerts delivered directly to you when they happen. Sign up for breaking National newsletter Sign Up By providing your email address, you have read and agree to Global News' Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy Roughly 48 per cent of those sales was American liquor, of which the LCBO sold 22 million litres last year for $461 million. Wine made up around 42 per cent of the total with 21 million litres sold at $408 million. Just $7 million worth of U.S. beer was sold by the LCBO last year, according to figures from the LCBO, while the remainder includes direct orders for some retailers and pre-made ready-to-drink beverages. Ontario's move was mirrored across parts of the country. With tariffs still in place, however, other jurisdictions appear to have relented. Ford said that, while the booze ban has not forced Trump to revisit the tariff issue, he still believes it is an important diplomatic tool. 'It might be a small dollar figure, but when we're the largest purchaser of alcohol in the entire world, the LCBO, you have to use that leverage. And thousands and thousands of jobs are being lost in Kentucky and in California…. there's one person causing this problem,' he said. 'Don't mess with people's booze, they lose their minds. Simple as that.'
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2 First Nations working on roads to Ring of Fire speak out against Ontario's new mining law
Two First Nations that signed deals with the provincial government to improve access to the Ring of Fire are speaking out against a new Ontario law that seeks to ease mineral extraction in the northern region. Aroland First Nation Chief Sonny Gagnon said his community objects to the law known as Bill 5, which seeks to speed up development in the face of pressure from the United States. The legislation passed last week and allows Ontario to suspend provincial and municipal laws by creating so-called special economic zones for certain projects it chooses, such as new mines. "We do not stand with Ontario in support of Bill 5," Gagnon said in a statement. "We do stand in support of the other First Nations in Ontario who are opposed to Bill 5 and working to have it thrown out." Ontario intends to name the mineral-rich Ring of Fire as the first such zone, but the law has created a firestorm of anger among many First Nations. They say they want to be involved in development, but that the new law violates their treaty rights and ignores their concerns. Aroland signed a shared-prosperity agreement with the province in January for major upgrades to roads that lead to the proposed roads to the Ring of Fire, a 5,000-square kilometre region about 450 kilometres north of Thunder Bay, Ont. Aroland sits outside the Ring of Fire region with access to the provincial highway system that ends near its territory. Premier Doug Ford has trotted out Gagnon's name at least five times in recent weeks in defence of Bill 5. Ford also often points to Marten Falls First Nation and Webequie First Nation, which are the lead proponents for three roads that will connect their remote communities to the provincial highway system. One of them would connect the Eagle's Nest site in the Ring of Fire, a proposed mine owned by Australian mining giant Wyloo, to the other two roads. "There's going to be a group that doesn't want anything done," Ford said last week. "Well, good, don't do it then. There's going to be another group in the middle that says, 'Boy, let's see what happens.' And then there's the progressive group that's saying, 'Let's get it done,' like Chief Sonny from Aroland — and Webequie and Marten Falls." Gagnon said Aroland has never consented to mining the Ring of Fire. Rather, part of the agreement was designed to give road access to its neighbouring First Nation, Marten Falls. Marten Falls and Webequie First Nation are fly-in communities that have a month or so of winter road access. "Aroland has never said Marten Falls cannot build a road so that it is no longer remote; if they want to have road access to the highway system like we do, they should be able to," Gagnon said. WATCH | Ontario passes Bill 5 despite opposition from First Nations, environmental groups: Ontario passes Bill 5 despite opposition from First Nations, environmental groups 6 days ago Duration 2:39 "But that has to be done right — with proper assessment and protection measures and Aroland involvement and consent. The agreement with Ontario is about that, and some necessary electrical power to our community." "We were to get funding to support that initiative and so far we have received nothing and instead have spent our own dollars trying to ensure our community has basic services," Gagnon said. Aroland does not consent to that road being used for mining companies, he added. "We have consistently in writing indicated that no such decision on what happens to the Ring of Fire should be made until the regional assessment being conducted now and being co-led by many First Nations, including Aroland, is complete, and indicates that mining in this sensitive and vulnerable peatlands region is safe for humanity, for us, for wildlife, climate and water," Gagnon said. "We don't yet know that. More important — Ontario does not yet know that." Ford says he will speak to Gagnon Ford took issue with Gagnon's comments. "Does he want the $200 million electricity deal that we handed over to him? Does he want to get off diesel because they live on diesel? Does he want a road that they can actually leave their community and drive?" "Does he want a community centre? Does he want a hockey arena inside that community centre? The answer is 1,000 per cent yes," Ford said Monday at Intersect/25, an event hosted by the Globe and Mail. Ford said he will be speaking to Gagnon shortly. "Mark my words in this room, he will be moving forward with us, not because of me, not because of pressuring me, because he's a smart man, and he understands his community needs to prosper," Ford said. Marten Falls First Nation also has an agreement with the province on roads, and its chief says he cannot support the law as it is written — though he hopes Ontario can correct course with consultation. 'I'm not OK with this bill' Chief Bruce Achneepineskum said he is feeling conflicted. "I'm not OK with this bill," he told The Canadian Press in an interview. On the one hand, he and his community want road access built so they do not have to rely on winter roads. Last year, the frozen road only lasted a month as the winter road season keeps shrinking, he said. Marten Falls also wants to be in the driver's seat for any development in its territory, Achneepineskum said. "Our intent is to take the lead on development in our area and with that we're still in discussions with government on how to move forward," he said. "We don't agree with everything that government says and does. So we're taking it on an approach that's based on a negotiation." Marten Falls First Nation has been working on environmental assessments for the roads. One of the assessments has been in development for going on six years, though about half that time was lost due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Achneepineskum said. "Sometimes, you think to yourself, that is a really long time," he said. Ford, Indigenous Affairs Minister Greg Rickford and Energy and Mines Minister Stephen Lecce have said the province will consult First Nations on the new law throughout the summer. WATCH | Breaking down the controversial Bill 5: Breaking down the Ford government's controversial Bill 5 11 days ago Duration 7:16 The Ford government has been receiving criticism from Ontario's opposition parties, as well as environmental and Indigenous leaders on their controversial Bill 5. CBC's Mike Crawley breaks down what you need to know about the legislation. Achneepineskum said he is willing to listen to the province and give them time to get Bill 5 right, but, like many other First Nations have said, he wanted the province to consult with them on the language in the legislation rather than starting those conversations after it is already law. "I have to support Aboriginal and treaty rights that other First Nations are talking about because, in principle, that's what we're fighting for also: to have our rights and interests in our traditional area — and that includes the Ring of Fire — recognized," Achneepineskum said.
