
Rate cut expectations boost Australia home prices in May
SYDNEY, June 2 (Reuters) - Australia's house prices rose for the fourth straight month in May as expectations of more interest rate cuts boosted buyer sentiment, with every state capital posting a rise in prices.
Figures from Cotality, formerly CoreLogic, showed national prices rose 0.5% in May from April, compared with a 0.3% gain the previous month. Annual growth in national prices was 3.3%.
"The continued momentum we're seeing across almost all markets is no doubt being fuelled by rate cuts - both those that have already happened, but also potential cuts in the coming months," Cotality Research Director Tim Lawless said.
Those cuts could boost sentiment in June and through the rest of the year with home prices expected to post "a modest rise" this year, though at slower pace recorded in 2024, Lawless said in a statement.
The Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates to a two-year low last month as cooling inflation at home offered scope to counter rising global trade risks, and left the door open to further easing in the months ahead.
Strong immigration and tight supply has helped Australia's property market to end a year-long slide much earlier than the expectations of many experts.
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Telegraph
an hour ago
- Telegraph
‘I retired at 50 and accidentally founded a holiday let empire in Italy'
This is part of a series about early retirement – how our readers did it, and what they are doing now. Would you like to take part? Get in touch at money@ A chance encounter gave Norma Williams the opportunity to buy a sprawling palazzo in Italy in the 1980s for just a few thousand pounds. It seemed too good to be true. Undeterred, Williams and her then-husband took the risk and paid £12,000 to the seller who they met through a mutual friend. They did so with little more than a promise there would be a house in Umbria, central Italy, waiting for them. ' We bought it blind, ' she recalls more than 40 years later. But the couple were quickly given cause for regret when they finally travelled to see what they had spent their money on. 'It was a pile of stones,' Williams says, with 'no heating, lighting or electricity' that had been 'abandoned totally'. It had been destroyed in an earthquake decades before and, according to the former owner, qualified for a government-funded grant to pay for repairs. She learnt after buying the property that the money was never going to come through. 'Me and my first husband lived in it like a tent for the first two or three years while we saved up money to fix holes in the roof,' Williams recalls. The house, which some may have viewed as a millstone, in fact sparked a business that has paved the way for a comfortable retirement in the sun. 'Suddenly I was doing nothing' Nowadays the former philosophy lecturer, 77, spends her winters in the Canary Islands, and her business makes up to €50,000 (£42,000) a year. But it wasn't always that way. Williams worked in a succession of posts at educational institutions in the UK, but by her late 40s she wound down her work and initially struggled to find ways to fill the spare time. 'I was used to being quite active and very successful, and suddenly I was doing nothing.' She quit her job as a lecturer at a higher education college in Hertfordshire in 1998 aged 50. With a pension of only £5,500 per year, Williams knew she would need to come up with extra cash to maintain a comfortable lifestyle and retire in Italy. She is now one of about 500,000 British expatriates who have retired abroad. Luckily, when they bought the house, they stumbled on an area of the country that would soon undergo a major tourist boom. By acting as an agent for local property-owning families who want to lease their unused homes to foreign guests, Williams has taken advantage of the tourist trade and built up a small but lucrative subletting business. In the 1980s, she and her ex-husband continued to visit the house in Umbria, slowly repairing it, and over the years built a network of contacts that would one day become her clients. By 1991, Williams was remarried to her current husband, Laurie, who is 10 years her senior. Having divided up assets and 'split down the middle' with her ex-husband, she was able to buy the other half of the house in Italy from him. 'I had decided to sell,' she says. '[But] I told my new husband about a place in Italy and he said, 'There's no need to sell it. We'll work together'. We pooled our resources and reconstructed the house, it took about five years.' The couple had moved full-time to Italy by the late 1990s. Williams says the 'launching pad' for leaving the UK was their London flat, which they rented to tenants to provide enough income to allow them to live in the newly renovated property in Italy. This, combined with Laurie's pension lump sum upon his retirement, cushioned their move and initially funded their life abroad. 'I started my holiday let empire by accident' She placed her house on a holiday house-swapping website in the mid 2000s and was asked whether she would rent out a portion of her home. 'We had never thought about this before,' she says. 'We had an enormous house and we said yes.' 'This is quite an idea: to rent out bits of our house,' she said of the time. 'We started just by accident [and then] started to advertise it.' Williams spied an opportunity and devised a plan to sub-let apartments in their area of Umbria from locals, and offer them up as holiday lets to the increasing numbers of tourists. 'We ended up doing that with 15 holiday properties and we were the main renters of Spoleto apartments. We helped open it up to the rest of the world. 'At the same time, Italians became very interested in Spoleto – it started to explode at exactly the same time as we started subletting all our properties on the holiday rental market.' Before long, she had set up her business, Umbria Holiday Rentals. 'Italian taxes are excruciating' The sudden demand from locals seeking to use spare properties as a holiday lets meant she had to raise her standards significantly. Williams takes charge of the day-to-day running of their business, which involves finding local contractors who can help guests throw parties and host weddings in the properties. She also manages the stays of guests and acts as a middleman between her partners and the local property owners. Her husband takes charge of the finances. Williams estimates that her business can earn anywhere between €20,000 to €50,000 a year, before tax. 'It's a small business, but Italian taxes are very high,' she says. 'It just grew and grew over the last 25 years, sometimes we earn a lot more, but the more you earn the less you earn. Italian taxes are excruciating. 'Anyone who starts a business in Italy has got to really love what they do, because you're basically working for nothing. You are taxed at every twist and turn of the way.' Taxpayers in Italy can be caught by three levels of taxation. These are a national income tax, worth between 23pc to 43pc, and then regional and municipal taxes that can vary. Italy also has a flat tax regime for expat retirees of 7pc, though this only applies to income and pensions that are from outside the country. Williams says she will carry on running her business for the foreseeable future. 'The most important thing is to pick the people you are going to work with with a fine tooth comb,' she says.


The Guardian
2 hours ago
- The Guardian
UK interest rates more uncertain due to Trump policies, says Bank governor
The Bank of England governor, Andrew Bailey, has told MPs that the future path of interest rates in the UK has become more uncertain because of Donald Trump's chaotic trade policy. Asked about the impact of on-off tariffs for the Bank's policymaking by the cross-party Treasury select committee, Bailey said 'the path remains downwards, but how far and how quickly is now shrouded in a lot more uncertainty, frankly'. The Bank's nine-member monetary policy committee (MPC) has cut interest rates four times – to 4.25% – since last summer, as inflation has slowed. Bailey warned that some businesses were now telling the Bank that they were pausing investment due to the uncertainty around trade barriers. 'The impact of fragmenting the world trading system is negative for world growth and world activity: it obviously increases uncertainty,' he told MPs. 'You hear it now when you go round the country from businesses. One impact of that is that it tends to cause delays and putting off of investment decisions.' He welcomed the UK's trade agreement with the US, but said that tariffs remained higher than before Trump came to power, and that because the UK is such an open economy, it is more affected by the wider global picture. 'The overall picture on trade now I'm afraid is one where the rules-based system is sort of dead,' he said. 'That has very serious consequences for the global economy.' Bailey also said he continues to expect wage growth to decline in the coming months – suggesting the MPC may feel more confident to cut rates. 'I have no evidence to doubt the steer from our agents' pay survey that come the end of this year … wage settlements should be around 3.7- 3.8%, which is a good percentage point below where we are now,' Bailey said. He added: 'That's going to be a crucial judgment going forward.' The governor also acknowledged that financial markets have been volatile in recent weeks as a result of rapidly changing US trade policy. 'This is having a big impact on markets; markets have moved quite a lot since our last meeting,' he said. He expressed particular concern about the market 'constellation' – where equity markets are falling, at the same time as US bond yields have risen and the dollar has depreciated – suggesting these periods have shifted White House policy. 'We had two periods in the post 'liberation day' period where that became quite acute, frankly. On both occasions, the administration did respond: the first led to the 90-day period to negotiate trade agreements, the second one concerned the position of chair Powell,' he said. 'We haven't seen that particular constellation since, because the equity markets haven't behaved in the same way. But I think we have to watch this very carefully, because the equity markets appear to be discounting a more optimistic view of how this will pan out.' Sign up to Business Today Get set for the working day – we'll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning after newsletter promotion Two external members of the MPC, Swati Dhingra and Catherine Mann, appeared alongside Bailey and explained their own voting decisions on interest rates. Dhingra, a trade expert, who has repeatedly voted for lower rates than the MPC has set, said she was concerned that keeping rates high may be damaging the economy's future capacity to grow. She suggested this could prompt her to support half-point cuts at future meetings. 'If for a long time we've held policy too tight, at some point that level and that time period over which policy has been too tight, starts to play a role, which means I now need to start thinking about, do I increase the decrements for which I've been voting or not?' she said. Mann, who voted for a half-point reduction in February, against the majority, but did not support the quarter-point cut the committee made last month, made clear she prefers more 'bold' moves. 'In order to make a clear statement about the stance of monetary policy appropriate for the UK, I think it's important to make a bolder move, and then to hold for longer,' she said.


The Independent
2 hours ago
- The Independent
Speed of UK rate cuts ‘shrouded in uncertainty' after tariffs, Bank boss says
The speed at which UK interest rates can be cut is 'shrouded in a lot more uncertainty' due to the 'unpredictable' global economic situation and a US- China trade war, the governor of the Bank of England has said. Andrew Bailey told MPs during a Treasury Committee session that the Bank had 'genuine concerns' about escalating trade tensions. The governor, who was being quizzed alongside fellow members of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), said it was not clear-cut where UK interest rates will go next. 'I think the path remains downwards, but how far and how quickly is now shrouded in a lot more uncertainty, frankly,' he told MPs. 'We've added the word 'unpredictable' to 'uncertain' because of the sheer nature of what we're dealing with.' The MPC cut rates to 4.25% last month – the fourth reduction in a year. This decision was led by a slowdown in UK inflation, but the Bank said it had also considered the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs on the UK economy. Referring to US tariffs, Mr Bailey told MPs that the 'impact of fragmenting the world trading system is negative for world growth and activity'. 'It obviously increases uncertainty… and one impact of that is it tends to cause delays and putting off of investment decisions, because they are typically a once-only, irreversible decision.' The relationship between the US and China is at 'the centre' of global trade tensions and is a 'genuine concern', Mr Bailey said. The Bank chief also said the recent trade agreement struck between the UK and the US was 'in the circumstances, a good thing', but added: 'It still leaves the average tariff level higher than it was pre all this starting, and that's important to bear in mind. 'The UK is a very open economy…. so what affects our economy is not just whatever trade agreements we do, but also what the rest of the world does. 'You could make this point not just about China but also about the EU.' Mr Bailey reiterated his call for the UK to strengthen trade with the EU post-Brexit, telling the committee: 'I do strongly take the view that if we can rebuild trade with the EU, because they are our largest trading partner, then that's a good thing.' He added that the system of global trade established after the Second World War had now been 'blown up' by the Trump administration. Mr Bailey said: 'That system has now been blown up to a considerable degree and that has very serious consequences for the world economy.' It came as the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) cut its projections for global and UK economic growth in 2025 and 2026.