Memphis at South Florida odds, picks and predictions
Kevin Erickson
USA TODAY Sports
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The No. 14 Memphis Tigers (20-4, 10-1 AAC) visit the South Florida Bulls (12-12, 5-6) Thursday at Yuengling Center in Tampa. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's college basketball odds around the Memphis vs. South Floridaodds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Tigers head to Tampa with a 7-game win streak in tow since an 88-81 loss at the Temple Owls on Jan. 16. While Memphis has been winning plenty of games lately, it is 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 outings, and 2-8 ATS across the previous 10 outings.
The Over has hit in the past 3 games for Memphis, as it is averaging 86.3 points per game (PPG), while allowing 71 or more points in 3 in a row, and 4 of the past 5 outings.
The Bulls lost 75-70 at home against the Wichita State Shockers Sunday, failing to cover as a 2-point favorite. USF has dropped 6 of the previous 9 games, while going just 1-7 ATS in the past 8 outings. The Under has hit in 5 of the past 7 games.
USF won 74-73 in the most recent meeting in Memphis on Jan. 18, 2024, last season, but the Tigers are still 5-1 SU in the past 6 in the series. The Bulls are 3-1 ATS in the past 4 meetings, while going 7-3 ATS across the past 10 in the series since 2018.
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Memphis at South Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Memphis -325 (bet $325 to win $100) | South Florida +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
: Memphis -325 (bet $325 to win $100) | South Florida +260 (bet $100 to win $260) Against the spread : Memphis -7.5 (-110) | South Florida +7.5 (-110)
: Memphis -7.5 (-110) | South Florida +7.5 (-110) Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Memphis at South Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Memphis 85, South Florida 71
Memphis (-325) will cost you more than 3 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not nearly enough reward, either as a standalone play or as part of a multi-leg parlay.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
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MEMPHIS -7.5 (-110) is worth playing, but there is plenty of risk. The Tigers have struggled against the number, going 0-3 ATS in the past 3 games, while covering just 2 times in the previous 10 outings.
South Florida +7.5 (-110) has been a thorn in the side of the Tigers lately, winning the most recent matchup outright, while going 3-1 ATS in the past 4 in the series, and 7-3 ATS in the previous 10 meetings. However, USF isn't playing nearly as well this season, and it is just 1-7 ATS in the past 8 games.
OVER 151.5 (-110) is a solid play in this AAC clash on the Suncoast.
The Over has cashed in 2 of the past 3 games for the Bulls, but be careful. The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 games for South Florida.
As far as the Tigers are concerned, though, the Over has hit in 3 in a row, while going 4-1 in the past 5 games. The Over has hit in 3 of the past 4 games in this series, too.
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