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Market Analysis: May 13th, 2025

Market Analysis: May 13th, 2025

Globe and Mail13-05-2025

Global Market Update
Canadian Markets:Canada's TSX index rose on the back of a move higher in commodity prices, driving strength in the energy and mining sectors. The rise in commodity prices was fueled by renewed demand from key trading partners and expectations of continued growth in the global economy. Recent data indicates that tourism in Canada is poised for a significant surge, driven by favorable travel policies a boost in sentiment and a rebound in consumer spending.
U.S. Markets:U.S. stock markets traded mixed, as the Nasdaq index outperformed other major indices, driven higher by technology stocks. Nvidia, in particular, saw substantial gains after announcing a new partnership to supply advanced semiconductor chips to Saudi Arabia, signaling expanded global reach and solidifying its position as a leader in AI and computing technology. April's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report revealed that inflation eased, with consumer prices rising 2.3% year-over-year, down from 2.4% in March and below the expected 2.4%. This is the lowest annual increase since February 2021, marking a slowdown despite the impact of President Trump's tariffs.
European Markets:European equities edged higher, bolstered by strong performances in the healthcare and clean energy sectors. Bayer, a pharmaceutical and life sciences company, led the gains after positive news regarding its drug pipeline. Clean energy stocks also rallied, supported by government incentives and investment commitments. However, the European Central Bank (ECB) tempered the market's enthusiasm by cutting growth forecasts, citing the adverse impact of global trade disputes and slower economic activity in key sectors. Despite this, the overall sentiment remained positive.
UK Markets:UK stock markets closed slightly lower as concerns about the labor market weighed on sentiment. Unemployment in the UK has surged to the highest level in four years, reflecting economic challenges amid rising inflation and slower-than-expected business investment. The increase in jobless claims and a dip in retail spending have heightened worries about the resilience of the UK economy, leading to cautious trading and minor losses in major indices.
Corporate Stock News
Alphabet Inc:Google demonstrated new AI tools for software development ahead of its annual developer conference, including an AI agent to aid software engineers and the integration of its Gemini AI chatbot with Android XR glasses.
Amazon.com Inc & FedEx Corp:Amazon hired FedEx to manage some large package deliveries, following UPS's decision to reduce its delivery services for Amazon.
BlackRock Inc:CEO Larry Fink stated that trillions of dollars are sitting idle in cash due to trade war worries and U.S. economic uncertainty, despite continued investor interest in U.S. assets.
Boeing Co:China lifted a ban on accepting Boeing planes after a temporary cut in tariffs between the U.S. and China.
Coinbase Global Inc:Shares rose after it was announced that Coinbase will be included in the S&P 500 index, replacing Discover Financial.
DaVita Inc:Reported first-quarter profit of $2 per share, beating estimates of $1.95 per share, with revenue increasing by 5% to $3.22 billion.
Exxon Mobil Corp & Suncor Energy Inc:Colorado's Supreme Court allowed Boulder's climate change lawsuit against the companies to move forward, rejecting their appeal to dismiss the case.
Fox Corp:Barclays raised its target price to $52 from $45, citing industry outperformance.
G Mining Ventures Corp:Announced restatement of 2024 financial statements to reflect non-cash adjustments of $32 million, with no impact on cash flow or liquidity.
Honda Motor Co Ltd:Forecasted a 59% drop in profit for the current year and delayed plans for an EV supply chain in Canada, citing uncertainty from U.S. tariffs.
JD.com Inc:Posted a 15.8% rise in quarterly revenue to 301.08 billion yuan, beating the estimate of 289.22 billion yuan, driven by steady consumer demand.
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc:Barclays raised its target price to $10 from $5 after the company's recent stock split.
On Holding AG:Raised its annual sales forecast and reported a 43% rise in first-quarter sales, fueled by collaborations and new product launches.
Phillips 66:Elliott Investment Management gained support from ISS in its board fight, advocating for changes to improve company structure.
Sea Ltd:First-quarter revenue surged by 30% to $4.84 billion, led by growth in e-commerce, entertainment, and financial services.
Simon Property Group Inc:Reported higher first-quarter real estate funds from operations (FFO) of $2.95 per share, up from $2.91 a year ago, driven by resilient leasing demand.
Suncor Energy Inc:Colorado Supreme Court rejected efforts to dismiss a climate lawsuit by Boulder, allowing the case to move forward.
Tencent Music Entertainment Group:First-quarter revenue grew by 8.7% to 7.36 billion yuan, with music subscription revenue up 16.6% to 4.22 billion yuan.
TotalEnergies SE:Namibia expects TotalEnergies to make a final investment decision on its Venus discovery by Q4 2026.
UnitedHealth Group Inc:Suspended its annual forecast due to high medical costs; CEO Andrew Witty resigned for personal reasons.
Venture Global Inc:Forecasted higher-than-expected core profit due to increased LNG demand despite a slight reduction from earlier expectations.
Ziff Davis Inc:Barclays lowered the target price to $34 from $48, citing negative organic growth.

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Prediction: These 2 Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next Decade
Prediction: These 2 Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next Decade

Globe and Mail

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  • Globe and Mail

Prediction: These 2 Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next Decade

Those concerned about recent market volatility can take comfort in the fact that equity markets will likely deliver competitive returns over the next decade. Selling shares of top companies now may result in lower stock market gains than investors might have otherwise earned over the long term if they had held on. The better strategy is to stick to your holdings and be on the lookout for companies that can perform well, perhaps even better, than the market given enough time. Two stocks that might have what it takes are Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU) and MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI). Here's more on these potential market beaters. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue » 1. Roku Although Roku started 2025 strong, its shares have been in free fall for the past few weeks, partly due to somewhat disappointing financial results and guidance. Potential tariff-related headwinds are also not helping. Despite these concerns, the company's financial results remain strong, and its ecosystem continues to grow and strengthen. In the first quarter, Roku's revenue increased by 16% year over year to $1 billion. Streaming hours were 35.8 billion, 5.1 billion more than in the comparable period of the previous fiscal year. As more people spend more time on Roku's platform, the company's ecosystem becomes more valuable to advertisers, a classic example of the network effect. During the first period, Roku's platform revenue, which includes ad-related sales, increased by 17% year over year, compared to 11% year-over-year growth for its device segment, where it reports sales of its namesake streaming devices. Roku remains unprofitable, but it also made some progress on this front in the quarter, reporting a net loss per share of $0.19, which is better than the $0.35 reported in Q1 2024. Roku could feel some volatility in the near term, and the impact of tariffs remains somewhat uncertain. However, Roku has sold its devices at a loss before when faced with the choice. The company prioritizes deepening engagement within its ecosystem -- that's where the long-term opportunity lies. So, if tariffs lead to higher manufacturing costs for its devices, Roku will likely adopt the same strategy as before. Meanwhile, television viewing time is expected to continue shifting away from cable and toward streaming in the long run. And whichever giant in the industry wins the race makes little difference to Roku, which grants its users access to most of the big players in the streaming market. Advertising dollars will follow viewers wherever they go, providing Roku with plenty of revenue growth opportunities. Lastly, Roku's shares look reasonably valued. The company's forward price-to-sales ratio is just 2.3. The official undervalued range starts at 2, but the leader in the connected TV market in North America, even ahead of some tech giants, is worth the slight premium, in my view. Though the stock has dipped in the past few weeks, investors focused on the long game should seriously consider picking up the company's shares and holding on to them for the next decade. 2. MercadoLibre MercadoLibre is the undisputed leader in e-commerce in Latin America. The company has successfully fended off competition from local players and international powerhouses, including Amazon. But MercadoLibre isn't just an e-commerce platform -- it provides a comprehensive suite of services to merchants. The company's fintech platform also looks promising. MercadoLibre's dominance in these markets is leading to strong performances and financial results. The stock has increased by 48% this year. In the first quarter, the company's net revenue increased by 37% year over year to $5.9 billion. MercadoLibre's net income came in at $494 million, up 43.6% compared to the year-ago period. Other important metrics trended up, including gross merchandise volume, fintech monthly active users, and more. Those are the kinds of performances investors are used to with MercadoLibre. It arguably justified its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 52.2, nearly twice the 27.9 average for the consumer discretionary sector. Here's the flip side: If MercadoLibre fails to perform in line with market expectations, its shares will drop significantly. Furthermore, although it does business in Latin America and won't suffer directly from the impact of tariffs, general economic instability that could result from President Donald Trump's trade policies would still have an impact on the stock. These are all legitimate concerns, but long-term investors should still consider buying the stock. There is massive whitespace in the e-commerce market in Latin America. Nobody is better positioned to benefit from it. MercadoLibre's revenue and profits should grow rapidly in the next 10 years. Even if the stock experiences a correction due to its valuation, in the long run, it should still outperform the market, just as it has in the past, despite some volatility and steep valuation metrics. MercadoLibre remains a strong candidate to outperform the market through 2035. Should you invest $1,000 in Roku right now? Before you buy stock in Roku, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Roku wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $669,517!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $868,615!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor 's total average return is792% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to171%for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025

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