
Ringgit Strengthens Amid Softer US Dollar And Mixed US Economic Data
The ringgit opened stronger against the US dollar on Friday, buoyed by a weaker US Dollar Index (DXY) and a mixed bag of US economic indicators, according to analysts.
At 8 am, the local unit rose to 4.2575/2860 against the greenback, improving from Thursday's close of 4.2705/2765. It also made gains across the board against both major and regional currencies.
Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said the DXY stayed below the 100-point mark, reflecting tempered market sentiment on the dollar.
He noted that although the US initial jobless claims were slightly lower than expected at 227,000 (versus a consensus forecast of 230,000), the number of continuing claims rose to 1.90 million from 1.87 million. 'This suggests that the labour market is still resilient,' he told local media.
Meanwhile, the US manufacturing sector posted positive momentum, with the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) climbing to 52.3 points in May from 50.2 in April. 'A significant rise in new orders was the main driver,' he added. However, other components such as employment were muted, and businesses were increasing inventories in anticipation of higher tariffs and prices.
Mohd Afzanizam also pointed to political developments in the US, highlighting the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act by the House of Representatives. The bill extends the 2017 tax cuts, introduces new deductions for tips, and raises the cap on state and local taxes.
'Budget deficits are likely to balloon from the current 6.1% of gross domestic product (GDP). This will impact the government's debt burden, which already stands at 100% of GDP,' he said. He added that a weaker US dollar in this context bodes well for emerging market currencies, including the ringgit.
At the same time, the ringgit recorded broad-based gains. It appreciated to 2.9591/9791 against the Japanese yen (from 2.9768/9812), 5.7131/7514 versus the British pound (from 5.7212/7292), and 4.8029/8350 against the euro (from 4.8218/8286).
Regionally, it strengthened to 3.2943/3166 against the Singapore dollar (from 3.3061/3110), and to 12.9498/13.0484 against the Thai baht (from 13.0000/0254). The local note also rose to 260.7/262.6 against the Indonesian rupiah (from 261.5/262.0), and 7.65/7.71 vis-a-vis the Philippine peso (from 7.68/7.69). Related
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New Straits Times
2 hours ago
- New Straits Times
Ringgit set to extend gains as US fundamentals weaken
KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit is poised to extend its gains against the US dollar next week, buoyed by weakening US fundamentals, easing trade tensions, and stronger domestic economic resilience. The local currency has already strengthened against major and Asean currencies, and Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said the trend is likely to persist as economic momentum in the US continues to lose steam. "We expect this trend to hold in the near term, driven by signs of a slowing US economy as business and consumer sentiment continue to weaken," he told Business Times. Afzanizam added that heightened uncertainty over US trade policies is further dampening confidence among businesses, prompting a reassessment of the greenback's global standing. "In some ways, the US dollar's dominance in the global economy is being revisited. This shift could favour emerging market currencies, including the ringgit, in the short to medium term," he said. Echoing this view, SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes said that foreign appetite for Malaysian assets remains strong, further supporting the local currency. "The ringgit is finally catching a break. With the US dollar on the back foot, tariffs de-escalating, and capital inflows into bonds and FX deposits rising, there is a tangible floor forming under ringgit," he said. Innes pointed to growing foreign appetite for Malaysian debt, highlighting the 3.3 times bid-to-cover ratio in May's 20-year government investment issue (GII) auction as a signal of revived confidence. He noted that foreign holdings of local government bonds have risen to 21.5 per cent, reversing a dip recorded in February. Adding to the ringgit's resilience, foreign currency deposits in local banks have climbed to a record 11.6 per cent of total deposits, offering a buffer against external shocks. Innes said that while Malaysia is not immune to global economic fragility, it is also not a sitting duck, with the domestic investment cycle now taking the lead. "If the trade war cools and global risk sentiment remains stable, Malaysia may continue to navigate the delicate balance between global volatility and domestic resilience. The ringgit, for once, has a shot at playing offence," he added. The ringgit opened higher this morning, extending its gains against the US dollar. At 8am, it stood at 4.2140/4.2335 compared with Thursday's close of 4.2245/4.2295. The local currency also traded mostly higher against major currencies, gaining ground against the Japanese yen and British pound, though it slipped slightly against the euro. Among regional peers, the ringgit appreciated across most Asean currencies, including the Singapore dollar, Thai baht, Indonesian rupiah and Philippine peso. It ended Friday's session at 4.2275 against the greenback.


BusinessToday
3 hours ago
- BusinessToday
Ringgit Breaking 4.20 Hinges On Upcoming Economic Data
After a brief dip to 4.26 against the US dollar last Friday, the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) showed resilience this week, trading within the expected 4.23–4.25 range. This recovery was partly attributed to a subdued US Dollar Index (DXY), as reported by Kenanga Research. The US dollar experienced initial pressure following increased US tariffs on steel and aluminum, coupled with threats of a 'revenge tax' from President Donald Trump. Further weakness came from a softer ISM manufacturing print and growing fiscal concerns. However, the greenback later rebounded on stronger JOLTs job openings data and renewed optimism surrounding potential trade talks between the US and China. Despite this rebound, softer ADP private payroll figures and rising jobless claims have signaled potential cracks in the US labor market. Globally, Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) rate cut had minimal impact on bolstering the USD. The Euro managed to hold its gains amid indications that further easing might be paused soon. Market attention now shifts to tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. A figure below 100,000 new jobs could intensify recession fears and strengthen the case for a US Federal Reserve rate cut. However, markets are likely to await next week's core inflation data, which is anticipated to show a 0.3% month-over-month increase, before making significant moves. Looking ahead, Kenanga Research notes lingering concerns about renewed trade and bond market volatility once the 90-day US reciprocal tariffs pause concludes in July. The trajectory of US-China negotiations will be critical. A breakthrough in these talks could offer the US dollar short-term support, although fiscal-driven term premiums might cap any substantial gains. Domestically, the Ringgit's performance will hinge on upcoming economic indicators. If industrial production (IPI) and retail sales data point to continued economic resilience in Malaysia, the Ringgit could appreciate further. Kenanga Research suggests the Ringgit could potentially test the 4.21–4.24 per US dollar range next week. Technically, the USDMYR currency pair remains neutral, trading close to its 5-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 4.24. Near-term direction is expected to be guided by trade-related headlines, with immediate support identified at 4.22 and resistance at 4.25. USD GBP EUR JPY100 CHF AUD CAD SGD HKD100 3 Jun 2025 4.2390 5.7426 4.8509 2.9704 5.1885 2.7522 3.0894 3.2982 54.0382 4 Jun 2025 4.2490 5.7474 4.8366 2.9508 5.1597 2.7451 3.0983 3.2947 54.1636 5 Jun 2025 4.2325 5.7395 4.8375 2.9667 5.1764 2.7518 3.0956 3.2942 53.9509 6 Jun 2025 4.2250 5.7367 4.8376 2.9395 5.1512 2.7503 3.0916 3.2851 53.8508 Related


Daily Express
3 hours ago
- Daily Express
Ringgit likely to trade within RM4.22-RM4.23 against greenback next week
Published on: Saturday, June 07, 2025 Published on: Sat, Jun 07, 2025 By: Bernama Text Size: The ringgit ended the week higher against the US dollar, closing at 4.2270/2360 on Friday from 4.2530/2605 a week earlier. Kuala Lumpur: The ringgit is likely to trade around RM4.22 to RM4.23 next week, said an analyst. Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said that next week multiple United States (US) economic data will be out, namely the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) for the month of May which plays a key role in shaping the market. Advertisement 'While the data might show deceleration in inflation rate, the US Federal Reserve is likely to stay cautious as it is wary about the potential inflationary pressures arising from the tariff shocks. 'Already, responses from the US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Index survey indicated that businesses have become more pessimistic as the higher tariffs have affected the supply chains and resulted in higher operating costs,' he told Bernama. The ringgit ended the week higher against the US dollar, closing at 4.2270/2360 on Friday from 4.2530/2605 a week earlier. The local note traded mostly higher against a basket of major currencies. Advertisement The ringgit rose vis-à-vis the Japanese yen to 2.9324/9390 from 2.9531/9585 and inched higher against the British pound to 5.7212/7334 from 5.7284/7385 a week earlier. However, it depreciated versus the euro to 4.8268/8371 at Friday's close from 4.8169/8254 at the end of last week. The ringgit traded mostly higher against ASEAN currencies. The local note improved against the Singapore dollar to 3.2862/2934 on Friday from 3.2938/3002 the previous week, edged higher versus the Indonesian rupiah to 259.5/260.2 from 260.4/261.1 and stronger vis-a-vis the Philippine peso to 7.58/7.60 from 7.62/7.64 a week before, However, it weakened versus the Thai baht to 12.9599/9947 from 12.9507/9790 last week. * Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel and Telegram for breaking news alerts and key updates! * Do you have access to the Daily Express e-paper and online exclusive news? Check out subscription plans available. Stay up-to-date by following Daily Express's Telegram channel. Daily Express Malaysia