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This year's Rugby Championship is as unpredictable as ever

This year's Rugby Championship is as unpredictable as ever

Extra.ie​3 days ago
A year after plumbing new depths in the Rugby Championship, Australia head into the southern hemisphere tournament with renewed confidence after their series finale win over the British & Irish Lions.
Though beaten 2-1 by Andy Farrell's tourists, the Wallabies' 22-12 win in a Sydney deluge gave fans hope that they are on the right trajectory two years out from hosting the 2027 World Cup.
Now Joe Schmidt's team will look to build on the momentum when they take on the southern hemisphere nations that humiliated them last year. Joe Schmidt during the Australia rugby squad captain's run. Pic: Brendan Moran/Sportsfile
In Schmidt's first season in charge, Australia managed one shaky win over Argentina in their worst ever Rugby Championship campaign. It included back-to-back thrashings on home soil by eventual champions South Africa and a record 67-27 defeat by the Pumas in Santa Fe.
It was another bitter pill for supporters following the disastrous 2023 World Cup in France under Eddie Jones where the Wallabies exited at the group phase for the first time. Australia players celebrate. Pic: Brendan Moran/Sportsfile
Fans will hope the dark days are over, having seen how well the team can play during the final two tests of the Lions series when disciplined, dogged and beefed-up with players like Will Skelton and Rob Valetini.
Defending champions South Africa will look to nip that optimism in the bud when they host Australia in their first two tests. Australia have not won at Ellis Park in Johannesburg since 1963 or Cape Town, the second test venue, since 1992.
While the Wallabies will hope to end a four-match losing streak to the world champions, they may be quietly satisfied to leave South Africa without a pair of thrashings before back-to-back tests at home to Argentina. Argentina's Santiago Cordero celebrates scoring a try with team mates. Pic: INPHO/Ben Brady
The stakes are far higher for those Pumas matches given ranking implications for the World Cup draw. Sixth in the world, a whisker ahead of number seven Argentina in the points standings, Australia need to hold their place or improve it by the end of the season to be assured of a better draw.
The top six teams earn places in separate pools during the group phase, meaning they avoid each other until the knockout rounds.
Australia finish off the tournament against New Zealand with a daunting trip to Eden Park — where they have not won since 1986 — and a home match against the All Blacks in Perth on September 27. Taniela Tupou of Australia is tackled by Rieko Ioane and Sevu Reece of New Zealand. Pic:Schmidt and his staff would likely regard beating Argentina twice and pinching one win from either South Africa or New Zealand as a good outcome and a step forward in the Wallabies' rebuild.
Expectations are a lot different in New Zealand, where the evolving squad will be under pressure to challenge the Springboks for silverware as impatience with progress under Scott Robertson grows.
Last year, in Robertson's first season in charge, they lost the title they had held for the previous three years, shipping two losses to the Boks and a home defeat by the Pumas. Du'Plessis Kirifi of New Zealand performs a haka during the Test Match between New Zealand All Blacks and France. Pic:The All Blacks have since won seven out of eight tests, including a 3-0 whitewash in the home series against a depleted France in July. Their campaign starts with a two-test tour of Argentina where they have never been beaten by the hosts and will hope to build momentum before a pair of all-important home tests against Rassie Erasmus's Boks next month.
Robertson unveiled a couple of tactical shifts against the French, moving Leinster-bound centre Rieko Ioane to the wing to make way for Billy Proctor while moving Tupou Vaa'i, who played mostly as a lock, to blindside flanker.
But after cycling through his entire squad of fit players against France, Robertson included only one uncapped player in his 36-man Championship squad — the big and bulky loose forward Simon Parker. Beauden Barrett. Pic:To the chagrin of some rugby pundits at home, Robertson will again be relying on familiar names and veterans, like hooker Codie Taylor and fly-half Beauden Barrett, who will be 36 during the World Cup.
The squad is laden with injured players who will miss a test or two at the start, including loose forward Wallace Sititi, prop Tamaiti Williams and scrum-half Cameron Roigard.
Erasmus, meanwhile, has made no secret of his desire to freshen up his ageing squad and keep the Springboks on course for a third successive World Cup title in 2027. Rassie Erasmus. Pic: Brendan Moran/Sportsfile
He has suggested that he might prioritise handing vital international experience to a new crop of emerging players ahead of the outcome of the Rugby Championship tests, although given his relentless competitive streak, this is only likely to be in extreme circumstances.
The majority of the World Cup winners from 2023 are over 30, and Erasmus is conscious that many might be past their peak in 2027.
'It's not easy to predict who is going to be available, and that's why we've been working with an expanded squad of 45 players,' he explained. Pic: PHILL MAGAKOE/AFP via Getty Images
Recent tests against Italy and Georgia saw several new caps. 'We won't be throwing the old guys away, but we need to give as many chances as we can to up-and-coming talent,' he added.
Argentina enjoyed their best ever campaign in 2024, with that win in New Zealand for the first time, beating the Boks and thumping of Australia.
Recent form has been mixed, including a 2-0 home series loss to a severely under-strength England in July, but coach Felipe Contepomi had rested several players for those matches too. Felipe Contepomi. Pic: INPHO/Ben Brady
He has recalled Juan Cruz Mallía, Santiago Chocobares, Marcos Kremer, Bautista Delguy, Mateo Carreras and Ignacio Ruiz in what is a significant bolster to the squad.
The likes of Tomas Albornoz, Gonzalo Garcia, Franco Molina and Joel Sclavi, who all featured in the 28-24 win over the Lions at Aviva Stadium, but missed the England series, are also back.
The Pumas' final clash with South Africa is at Twickenham on October 4, the first time a Rugby Championship game will be played in the northern hemisphere. Players of South Africa celebrate with the trophy after winning the Rugby Championship. Pic: Dirk Kotze/Sat Aug 16: South Africa v Australia, Johannesburg 4.10pm; Argentina v New Zealand, Cordoba 10.10pm.
Sat Aug 23: South Africa v Australia, Cape Town 4.10pm; Argentina v New Zealand, Buenos Aires 10.10pm.
Sat Sep 6: Australia v Argentina, Townsville 5.30am; New Zealand v South Africa, Auckland 8.05am.
Sat Sep 13: Australia v Argentina, Sydney 5am; New Zealand v South Africa, Wellington 8.05am.
Sat Sep 27: New Zealand v Australia, Auckland 6.05am, South Africa v Argentina, Durban 4.10pm.
Sat Oct 4: Australia v New Zealand, Perth 10.45am; Argentina v South Africa, London 2pm.
All matches live on Sky Sports
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