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Trump Demands Sisi Give US Ships Free Passage Through Suez, Support Against Houthis

Trump Demands Sisi Give US Ships Free Passage Through Suez, Support Against Houthis

Gulf Insider02-05-2025

US President Donald Trump asked his Egyptian counterpart, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, for American ships to enjoy free passage through the Suez Canal in an April phone call, as the US presses ahead with its bombing campaign against the Houthis in Yemen.
Trump has made no secret of his belief that US vessels should transit the strategic waterway for free. On Saturday, he publicly demanded as much, saying the canal 'would not exist without the United States of America.' One Egyptian MP was reported as characterizing the Trump administration's moves as blackmail and rubbished Trump's claim about the canal's existence, saying it was 'purely Egyptian'.
The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday that Trump raised the issue with Sisi directly this month. The two leaders spoke on April 1.
An Egyptian readout of the call stated that the two leaders 'discussed developments in the Middle East and mediation efforts to restore calm to the region, which reflects positively on navigation in the Red Sea.'
At the end of 2024, Egypt's presidential office said the country had lost at least $7bn in Suez Canal revenue.
According to The Wall Street Journal, Trump told Sisi the US wanted Egyptian support for its campaign against the Houthis, including military assistance, intelligence sharing and funding, because the US bombing campaign would help to restore traffic through the Red Sea and Suez Canal. Sisi sidestepped the request and told Trump the best way to address the Houthi threat was a ceasefire in Gaza.
The conversation dovetails with Trump's public messaging on the Suez Canal. His reasoning also aligns with that of private discussions between US senior officials, as revealed in a leaked Signal group chat earlier this year.
'As I heard it, the president was clear: green light, but we soon make clear to Egypt and Europe what we expect in return,' one person identified in a group chat started by national security advisor Mike Waltz was revealed as saying in The Atlantic.
The person was identified as SM, which appears to refer to Trump adviser Stephen Miller. 'If the US successfully restores freedom of navigation at great cost, there needs to be some further economic gain extracted in return,' the Signal user said.
Trump's demand for Egypt to provide military support or economic assistance to the US is a stark reversal in the two countries' post-war relationship, which usually has it the other way around.
The US brokered the 1979 peace treaty between Israel and Egypt. Since then, the US has provided roughly $1.3bn in military aid to Egypt. But ties between Egypt and the US have been dented by Israel's war on Gaza. US diplomats in Cairo have tried to dissuade the Trump administration from pressing Egypt to accept forcibly displaced Palestinians, Middle East Eye reported previously.
Egyptian officials are already simmering with anger at the US for siding with Israel when the latter seized Gaza's southern city of Rafah in May 2024 and accused Egypt of being negligent in policing the border.
MEE revealed in March that the UAE, a close patron of Egypt, was lobbying the Trump administration against a plan that Cairo introduced to the Arab League for post-war governance of the Gaza Strip.
According to US and Egyptian officials, the US has told Egypt it is considering cutting military aid. The officials say the threat to cut aid stems from frustration within Trump's inner circle that Egypt has refused to accept forcibly displaced Palestinians.
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'Serious Damage' To Iran's Nuclear Facilities As Israeli Jets Operate Over Tehran's Skies
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'Serious Damage' To Iran's Nuclear Facilities As Israeli Jets Operate Over Tehran's Skies

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Five Questions Surrounding Israel's Unprecedented Strikes On Iran
Five Questions Surrounding Israel's Unprecedented Strikes On Iran

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Israel launched unprecedented strikes on Iranian military and nuclear targets early Friday morning. This followed the latest US-Iranian nuclear talks stalling, continued speculation that Iran is secretly building nukes, and growing Israeli anxiety with the situation. From the looks of it, Israel decapitated the Iranian Armed Forces and the IRGC, yet Iran still vowed to retaliate. The situation is fluid, but as of Friday morning Moscow time, there are five questions whose answers will determine the course of this crisis: 1. To What Extent Did The US Assist Israel? Trump publicly distanced himself from Israel's rapid lead-up to these unprecedented strikes, which followed his reported rift with Bibi, but Iranian policymakers have long believed that the US and Israel are iron-clad allies that always work together. Their assessment of the extent to which the US assisted Israel in these strikes will therefore determine the scope and scale of their retaliation. If they conclude that the US played a role, then American military assets in the region and elsewhere might be targeted. 2. What Will Be The Scale & Scope Of Iran's Retaliation Look Like? Building upon the above, Iran can either throw everything that it has at Israel if it senses that this is a pivotal moment in their decades-long rivalry or it can carry out a comparatively more restrained retaliation, though the latter might still be exploited as the pretext for follow-up strikes by Israel. Apart from targeting American military assets, Iran could also finally blockade the Strait of Hormuz like it's long threatened to do, though that could also be exploited as the pretext for direct US military involvement. 3. Will Trump Resist Mission Creep? Even if the US didn't assist Israel, Iran shares this view, and American military assets aren't targeted in its retaliation, Trump might still get dragged into the conflict if the 'deep state' convinces him to authorize air defense support of Israel and/or joint offensive operations with it after Iran's retaliation. He'd risk irreparably splitting his base with all that entails for his movement's future if he does, particularly if this results in the US' involvement in a major and costly regional war, so he'd do well to resist mission creep. 4. Why Couldn't Iran Better Defend Itself? Initial reports suggest that Israel really did indeed hit Iran very hard, thus raising questions about Iran's air defense systems. Likewise, there are also questions about why it didn't preempt Israel's attack amidst the rapid lead-up in recent days, especially considering how often its representatives talked about Iran supposedly being ready to launch 'Operation True Promise 3' at any time. Iran is now weakened and Israel won't be caught by surprise so the odds of total victory are less in Iran's favor that before. 5. What Comes Next If A Major Regional War Is Somehow Avoided? A major regional war can be avoided if Iran doesn't significantly retaliate against Israel (though a possibly choreographed show might follow), Israel is humbled by Iran's outmatched retaliation (which the US doesn't significantly help it defend against), or Iran absorbs Israel's second blow and doesn't retaliate. If the nuclear talks aren't resumed and swiftly lead to a deal on the US' terms, then a 'cold peace' might follow characterized by intense hybrid warfare (sanctions, terrorism, Color Revolution plots) against Iran. Israel sought to eliminate what it considers to be the existential threat that Iran poses, but the damage that Israel reportedly inflicted on Iran could pose an existential threat to Iran if Israel exploits the aftermath through more strikes and/or hybrid warfare. These zero-sum mutual perceptions of existential threats greatly raise the stakes of this crisis. If Iran doesn't deliver a knockout blow to Israel (and survive the inevitable retaliation), then Israel might gain the upper hand over it unless Iran soon builds nukes.

US-Israeli Deception Gave Iran False Security Amid Washington Green Light
US-Israeli Deception Gave Iran False Security Amid Washington Green Light

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US-Israeli Deception Gave Iran False Security Amid Washington Green Light

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