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Elon Musk 帶錢解救 Samsung 晶片落後困局?Tesla 165 億美元 8 年長約是台積電不會做的讓步

Elon Musk 帶錢解救 Samsung 晶片落後困局?Tesla 165 億美元 8 年長約是台積電不會做的讓步

Yahoo2 days ago
FILE - Tesla CEO
Elon Musk introduces the Cybertruck at Tesla's design studio in Hawthorne, Calif., on Nov. 21, 2019. Many people are puzzled on what a Elon Musk takeover of Twitter would mean for the company and even whether he’ll go through with the deal. If the 50-year-old Musk’s gambit has made anything clear it’s that he thrives on contradiction. (AP Photo/Ringo H.W. Chiu, File)
Elon Musk 宣佈與 Samsung 簽下價值 165.4 億美元晶片供應長約,供應期至 2033 年底,內容包括在美國德州 Talyor 廠房生產 Tesla 次世代 AI6 晶片,以驅動 Robotaxi、Optimus 人形機器人、自研 Dojo 超級電腦等,是未來 Tesla 在自駕車和 AI 發展的關鍵硬件。
而且 Elon Musk 更透露 Samsung 同意 Tesla 將會參與到其製程,以便提高效率,而且他自己也將會親身巡視,因為離家近!
這次合作被視為 Samsung 半導體事業的一場勝利,因為能夠從台積電的 AI5 晶片之後搶到下一世代的晶片代工訂單。然而著名分析師郭明錤就認為 AI6 的訂單是 Samsung 做了台積電不會做的讓步 – 由客戶直接「指點江山」。TSMC 一直把製程保密,避免商業秘密和技術外流,而 Elon Musk 會直接進入 Samsung 產線的做法就正正是 TSMC 永遠無法做到的。
至於為什麼 Samsung 會願意讓步呢?因為在目前 2nm 製程競賽上,Samsung SF2 良率僅 40% 至 45%,遠遜台積電 N2 製程的超過 70% 以及 Intel 的 18A 有 50% 至 55%。如果 Elon Musk 強大的行動力有機會推動到 Samsung 的良率至滿足 Tesla 的需求,則是讓 Samsung 可以重回戰場。如果萬一真的未能如期在 2027 年由 Samsung 量產 AI6 晶片,郭明錤認為 Elon Musk 還是可以轉向委托台積電。
更妙的是,郭明錤指 Samsung 在這合作的損失其實有限,反而如果成功了,更可能發展出另一種由客戶積極參與製造過程的商業模式。
更多內容:
The Korea Times
Tesla signs $16.5B deal with Samsung to make AI chips
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